TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2020-21 Buffalo  16-9 (0.640)  |  Mid-American
All-Play Percentage: 0.758 (88th)
Schedule Strength: 0.482 (189th)
Record Quality: 0.147 (103rd)
Avg. Season Rank: 88.81 (85th)
Pace: 73.62 (22nd)
Momentum: -1.57 (250th)
Off. Momentum: -0.42 (230th)
Def. Momentum: -1.14 (222nd)
Consistency: -7.65 (45th)
Res. Consistency: -13.08 (223rd)
Away From Home: 0.59 (131st)
Paper Tiger Factor: -0.58 (162nd)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 5, 2021. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 103.48 26.53 69.13 85.49 44.58 25.56 34.83 20.16 30.66 39.77 57.91 14.36 22.48 9.77 29.89 23.59 46.52 1.83
RANK: 106th 102nd 243rd 44th 125th 325th 130th 267th 348th 1st 211th 37th 1st 2nd 337th 292nd 2nd 2nd

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 96.24 21.67 -- 85.08 42.18 26.45 28.86 23.30 35.02 35.33 56.87 10.81 13.41 5.72 31.09 27.38 41.53 1.90
RANK: 99th 67th -- 308th 93rd 29th 6th 184th 69th 351st 104th 154th 228th 271st 16th 151st 347th 350th

ANALYSIS:
Buffalo has a fairly solid squad that likely falls within the top quartile of all teams in college basketball this year. Haslametrics has them ranked 88th overall (out of 357) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 16-9. Of the 12 schools in the MAC (average ranking 197.1), they're currently ranked as our #3 team in the conference.

Demonstrating a preference for a very up-tempo style of play (the 22nd-fastest pace in D1), Buffalo will mainly try to find success through their defense. They are ranked 99th in defensive efficiency and allow fewer than 97 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Buffalo does an outstanding job shutting down the opposition from behind the arc. They rank sixth in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 28.9% of their attempts from afar. For this reason, AO takes nowhere near as many threes as they typically would -- just 31.1% of AO's field goal attempts will be from downtown. Buffalo also does a pretty solid job providing themselves chances to score quickly off of steals. They're ranked 37th in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 14.36. If Buffalo does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's propensity to allow too many shot attempts per trip. The squad has a rating of 85.08 in defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO, which ranks 50th-worst in college basketball.

Buffalo plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 106th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 103 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Buffalo appears to be one of the top-notch offensive rebounding teams you will find this year. Against AO, the squad has a rating of 22.48 in potential points scored off of second chances (ranked first in the NCAA), and they convert 9.8% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked second) as well. Buffalo will also routinely look to penetrate, pound the ball inside, and score from as short a distance as possible. The ball-club is second in the NCAA in ratio of near-proximity attempts to total field goal attempts. As far as converting those near-proximity shots goes, the team shoots 57.9% vs. AO, which falls somewhere in the middle of the pack of the rankings in that category. If Buffalo does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's inability to drain mid-range jumpers. The squad makes just 30.7% of their mid-range field goal attempts vs. AO, which ranks tenth-worst in the nation.

Buffalo is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 45th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Buffalo is typically better vs. teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities. Against foes that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 10.80, Buffalo performs above their norm 67% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 17% of the time.
When facing teams that find ways to get to the free throw line, Buffalo often performs worse than normal. Buffalo is more efficient than usual 11% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 25.40. In their other contests, Buffalo performs better than the norm 60% of the time.
Buffalo does better vs. clubs that convert well from outside the arc. When playing squads that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 33.40%, Buffalo performs above average 60% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 11% of the time.
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HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-25343rd343rd327th323rdMAC40th230th216th259th6th346th
2023-24351st351st354th354thMAC79th123rd209th34th15th344th
2022-23221st220th220th194thMAC16th315th127th325th333rd191st
2021-22150th150th103rd135thMAC19th116th222nd153rd24th113th
2020-2188th87th94th103rdMAC22nd45th189th162nd131st85th
2019-20150th150th91st110thMAC4th26th169th63rd4th164th
2018-1927th27th4th14thMAC15th2nd87th118th295th22nd
2017-1868th68th31st65thMAC28th61st139th136th45th75th
2016-17152nd152nd160th175thMAC39th148th154th244th130th152nd
2015-16142nd142nd138th132ndMAC23rd60th141st140th60th166th
2014-1564th64th48th58thMAC28th101st119th178th168th77th
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25340th280th196th336th327th118th346th348th357th95th281st276th274th317th81st345th51st171st
2023-24335th346th252nd264th291st113th351st257th334th224th102nd281st216th135th93rd243rd195th251st
2022-23230th227th252nd121st226th243rd317th232nd106th44th259th78th63rd113th256th249th49th66th
2021-22162nd265th160th39th189th169th258th298th167th2nd265th152nd4th5th216th315th11th48th
2020-21106th102nd243rd44th125th325th130th267th348th1st211th37th1st2nd337th292nd2nd2nd
2019-20170th226th245th30th213th107th308th335th266th2nd254th41st2nd3rd156th341st9th61st
2018-1924th47th191st25th72nd23rd207th333rd176th39th45th37th14th12th53rd339th68th204th
2017-1845th148th245th40th61st74th62nd324th99th24th142nd65th109th77th100th333rd40th134th
2016-17165th59th230th224th202nd148th238th329th292nd27th238th182nd17th43rd132nd329th22nd87th
2015-16157th62nd142nd260th170th145th203rd280th312th128th124th104th189th148th122nd278th106th169th
2014-1550th24th89th45th153rd221st143rd134th330th51st100th12th33rd57th244th167th80th87th
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25312th113th--213th341st125th344th42nd280th348th263rd357th285th355th111th34th348th328th
2023-24352nd124th--335th338th185th336th63rd275th357th254th355th142nd330th94th27th351st331st
2022-23233rd253rd--104th286th78th295th83rd225th317th171st127th157th209th88th95th333rd321st
2021-22191st118th--313th170th55th167th182nd198th350th59th111th354th351st28th135th346th344th
2020-2199th67th--308th93rd29th6th184th69th351st104th154th228th271st16th151st347th350th
2019-20161st175th--189th178th40th91st162nd87th332nd172nd160th327th337th38th159th334th331st
2018-1936th118th--89th100th47th4th159th162nd242nd143rd35th200th149th66th189th281st293rd
2017-18144th233rd--182nd129th68th49th164th176th291st83rd38th269th192nd63rd156th286th309th
2016-17128th331st--87th132nd42nd145th115th164th277th56th202nd265th202nd57th139th301st313th
2015-16157th187th--137th153rd164th166th66th38th278th162nd152nd109th175th178th59th280th252nd
2014-1588th150th--107th136th125th41st106th113th233rd180th157th143rd156th149th116th256th238th