TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2020-21 Ball State  10-13 (0.435)  |  Mid-American
All-Play Percentage: 0.542 (163rd)
Schedule Strength: 0.505 (171st)
Record Quality: -0.033 (194th)
Avg. Season Rank: 167.58 (164th)
Pace: 72.99 (37th)
Momentum: 4.00 (27th)
Off. Momentum: 3.91 (10th)
Def. Momentum: 0.09 (138th)
Consistency: -8.61 (115th)
Res. Consistency: -14.04 (261st)
Away From Home: -1.68 (306th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -0.61 (164th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 5, 2021. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 99.44 23.62 75.90 79.33 44.15 32.23 35.59 19.58 37.46 27.53 58.92 9.85 12.69 5.11 40.62 24.68 34.70 2.06
RANK: 170th 216th 44th 282nd 147th 134th 93rd 277th 196th 197th 175th 237th 187th 148th 93rd 267th 155th 235th

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 99.97 28.86 -- 81.11 43.57 29.48 30.93 22.46 36.96 29.17 61.44 12.41 14.21 3.85 36.35 27.69 35.96 2.00
RANK: 171st 317th -- 129th 159th 127th 38th 148th 125th 219th 267th 262nd 276th 60th 129th 163rd 240th 238th

ANALYSIS:
Per this website's calculations, Ball State is somewhere between an average to slightly above-average D1 ball-club. Ranked 163rd overall (out of 357) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 10-13. They are also ranked by this site as the #7 team (out of 12) in the MAC (average ranking 197.1).

If there is a strength for Ball State this year, it's probably on the offensive end of the court. The team is rated 170th in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 99 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Ball State does a really good job converting from the free throw line. Making 75.9% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked 44th nationally in free throw percentage.

Ball State plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 171st nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 100 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Ball State has done a very good job to prevent opponents from draining threes this year. They rank 38th in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 30.9% of their attempts from afar. Ball State also does an adequate job to prevent opponents from scoring off of offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 3.8% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 60th in the NCAA). If Ball State does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's tendency to send opponents to the line too much by fouling. The squad has a rating of 28.86 in defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO, which ranks 41st-worst in the country.

Ball State has been playing better basketball in their most recent outings, as evidenced by the team's #27 ranking in positive momentum.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Ball State is typically better vs. teams that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities. Against foes that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 11.94, Ball State performs above their norm 60% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 23% of the time.
When facing teams that shoot the ball well from the field, Ball State often performs better than normal. Ball State is more efficient than usual 60% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 43.08%. In their other contests, Ball State performs better than the norm 23% of the time.
Ball State does better vs. clubs that do a nice job converting inside the paint. When playing squads that have an offensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 57.91%, Ball State performs above average 63% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 27% of the time.
LATEST NEWS ITEMS:
Jackson scores 29 to lead Toledo over Ball St in MAC tourney
(3/11/2021 4:17:41 PM) CLEVELAND (AP) — Marreon Jackson had 29 points as Toledo narrowly defeated Ball State 91-89 in overtime in the Mid-American Conference Tourney quarterfinals on Thursday.
Jackson triple-double carries Toledo over Ball St. 89-70
(3/5/2021 9:42:30 PM) TOLEDO, Ohio (AP) — Marreon Jackson had a triple-double with 22 points, 13 rebounds and 10 assists to lift Toledo to an 89-70 win over Ball State on Friday night.
El-Amin lifts Ball State past Central Michigan 97-91
(2/27/2021 3:54:01 PM) MUNCIE, Ind. (AP) — Ishmael El-Amin had a career-high 33 points as Ball State beat Central Michigan 97-91 on Saturday.
Turner lifts Bowling Green over Ball St. 75-62
(2/16/2021 9:58:40 PM) MUNCIE, Ind. (AP) — Justin Turner had 27 points as Bowling Green topped Ball State 75-62 on Tuesday night. Kaden Metheny added 21 points for the Falcons.
Six in double figures for Ball State in win over Toledo
(2/6/2021 2:48:59 PM) MUNCIE, Ind. (AP) — Jarron Coleman had 19 points to lead six Ball State players in double figures as the Cardinals beat Toledo 81-67 on Saturday.
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-25281st281st236th278thMAC212th186th286th12th104th257th
2023-24259th258th220th276thMAC212th96th331st240th226th267th
2022-23187th187th96th143rdMAC165th226th246th98th89th151st
2021-22293rd293rd224th244thMAC34th112th272nd240th340th273rd
2020-21163rd163rd225th194thMAC37th115th171st164th306th164th
2019-20124th124th131st155thMAC206th352nd208th179th120th105th
2018-19133rd132nd195th172ndMAC49th165th104th282nd99th92nd
2017-18175th175th119th137thMAC58th92nd198th168th304th159th
2016-17172nd172nd94th131stMAC48th171st240th195th107th194th
2015-16179th179th118th144thMAC300th96th237th66th42nd186th
2014-15264th264th335th298thMAC206th340th127th15th28th246th
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25236th35th243rd316th248th282nd264th144th138th223rd289th359th123rd56th244th116th176th132nd
2023-24227th102nd14th342nd253rd226th133rd120th119th336th305th354th226th283rd161st87th310th273rd
2022-23136th19th296th266th142nd232nd122nd215th190th178th140th212th95th127th198th187th159th150th
2021-22259th26th254th353rd262nd151st143rd286th75th289th327th176th117th225th87th246th220th266th
2020-21170th216th44th282nd147th134th93rd277th196th197th175th237th187th148th93rd267th155th235th
2019-20213th213th235th260th227th17th193rd345th264th218th178th135th229th329th8th344th188th330th
2018-19210th94th233rd316th98th321st312th92nd98th210th29th230th286th184th310th61st155th81st
2017-18215th157th235th263rd198th151st233rd160th190th270th126th243rd232nd195th128th145th249th241st
2016-17169th231st107th234th197th43rd102nd256th78th299th257th305th263rd282nd41st257th287th318th
2015-16201st291st239th193rd193rd61st192nd150th57th334th148th268th271st249th60th138th331st329th
2014-15268th273rd232nd250th255th27th257th265th154th331st167th261st230th291st22nd255th323rd342nd
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25300th172nd--267th303rd226th110th310th349th96th355th163rd87th121st184th304th69th110th
2023-24277th82nd--311th279th153rd327th295th251st225th238th280th183rd284th88th278th171st229th
2022-23266th257th--158th258th50th360th297th277th198th77th261st208th309th51st313th208th282nd
2021-22314th232nd--235th259th324th335th199th341st53rd172nd312th306th249th316th182nd42nd36th
2020-21171st317th--129th159th127th38th148th125th219th267th262nd276th60th129th163rd240th238th
2019-2054th79th--223rd69th62nd53rd217th133rd308th31st149th157th110th45th206th302nd321st
2018-1963rd144th--226th64th61st21st304th26th218th141st130th172nd89th36th299th192nd269th
2017-18147th122nd--242nd130th71st266th262nd51st247th70th270th186th110th50th251st233rd282nd
2016-17182nd183rd--206th146th113th250th128th96th296th70th291st123rd91st95th110th288th287th
2015-16153rd238th--159th107th173rd267th160th90th197th49th242nd130th63rd177th167th212th194th
2014-15231st230th--58th319th78th243rd142nd250th165th333rd327th5th153rd113th202nd222nd243rd