Automated Team Capsule for 2020-21 Arkansas State11-13 (0.458) | Sun Belt
All-Play Percentage: 0.315 (245th)
Schedule Strength: 0.391 (255th)
Record Quality: -0.230 (292nd)
Avg. Season Rank: 280.93 (289th)
Pace: 69.68 (183rd)
Momentum: 1.43 (111th)
Off. Momentum: -1.03 (262nd)
Def. Momentum: 2.45 (30th)
Consistency: -7.81 (54th)
Res. Consistency: -7.80 (11th)
Away From Home: -0.50 (230th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 1.19 (45th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 5, 2021. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
96.10
69.62
26.50
72.99
81.52
34.58
42.41
22.27
7.61
34.17
30.56
10.69
34.98
28.69
16.28
56.73
11.54
13.38
5.27
27.31
37.49
35.20
1.92
RANK:
234th
183rd
105th
112th
202nd
226th
232nd
352nd
341st
164th
20th
54th
279th
146th
179th
236th
147th
139th
128th
354th
11th
136th
22nd
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
103.58
69.74
24.04
--
83.62
37.55
44.91
31.52
11.27
35.76
22.54
9.55
42.39
29.56
16.73
56.59
11.89
11.51
4.94
37.69
26.95
35.35
2.02
RANK:
254th
176th
148th
--
250th
254th
230th
219th
265th
259th
152nd
251st
306th
238th
189th
95th
232nd
103rd
174th
191st
128th
219th
187th
ANALYSIS: While not an atrocious team by any means, Arkansas State is not exactly one that should appear in many top-100 rankings either. Haslametrics has them ranked 245th overall (out of 357) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 11-13. Of the 12 schools in the Sun Belt (average ranking 233.9), they're currently ranked as our #8 team in the conference.
Arkansas State does not have a terribly exceptional defense this year. Rated at #254 in defensive efficiency, they allow around 104 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Arkansas State hasn't done terribly well defending the mid-range jumper. The squad is ranked 306th nationally in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on 42.4% of their attempts from those in-between spots on the floor.
Arkansas State doesn't rate much better on offense than they do on defense. Scoring roughly 96 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #234 in the nation in offensive efficiency. Arkansas State has some difficulties converting mid-range shot attempts. The team is ranked 279th in field goal percentage from that distance, making only 35.0% of their mid-range attempts vs. AO.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Arkansas State performs better against squads that do a nice job converting inside the paint. When facing teams that have an offensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 57.57%, Arkansas State is more efficient than normal 82% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 20% of the time.
When playing teams that shoot the ball well from the field, Arkansas State usually performs better than average. Arkansas State is more efficient than normal 75% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 40.95%. In all other contests, Arkansas State performs better than average 22% of the time.
Arkansas State is typically worse vs. teams that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities. Against foes that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 12.85, Arkansas State performs above their norm 22% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 75% of the time.
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Eaton carries Arkansas St. past Louisiana-Lafayette 83-77 (2/6/2021 8:23:17 PM) JONESBORO, Ark. (AP) — Marquis Eaton had 15 points and 10 assists to lead five Arkansas State players scoring in double figures as the Red Wolves beat Louisiana-Lafayette 83-77 on Saturday.
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