Automated Team Capsule for 2019-20 Arkansas State16-16 (0.500) | Sun Belt
All-Play Percentage: 0.446 (195th)
Schedule Strength: 0.508 (152nd)
Record Quality: -0.011 (186th)
Avg. Season Rank: 189.27 (192nd)
Pace: 70.09 (144th)
Momentum: -0.80 (222nd)
Off. Momentum: -0.77 (274th)
Def. Momentum: -0.03 (133rd)
Consistency: -9.36 (210th)
Res. Consistency: -11.58 (156th)
Away From Home: 1.39 (41st)
Paper Tiger Factor: -0.15 (114th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through March 11, 2020. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
98.97
69.87
33.01
71.94
77.24
33.51
43.38
23.55
8.21
34.85
23.62
8.48
35.90
30.07
16.82
55.94
12.10
14.62
5.96
30.49
30.58
38.93
1.92
RANK:
178th
158th
4th
149th
335th
265th
166th
339th
319th
94th
138th
161st
220th
105th
168th
268th
106th
84th
73rd
327th
89th
56th
19th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
102.12
70.32
30.36
--
77.03
35.13
45.61
28.87
9.81
33.99
18.47
6.93
37.52
29.69
18.39
61.93
10.27
13.59
6.22
37.48
23.98
38.55
1.99
RANK:
232nd
222nd
321st
--
24th
152nd
284th
98th
131st
213th
30th
42nd
192nd
241st
266th
266th
107th
222nd
303rd
177th
52nd
306th
257th
ANALYSIS: While not an atrocious team by any means, Arkansas State is not exactly one that should appear in many top-100 rankings either. Haslametrics has them ranked 195th overall (out of 353) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 16-16. Of the 12 schools in the Sun Belt (average ranking 173.3), they're currently ranked as our #9 team in the conference.
Arkansas State does not have a terribly exceptional defense this year. Rated at #232 in defensive efficiency, they allow around 102 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Arkansas State commits too many fouls, which leads to plentiful free throw attempts for the opposition. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 30.36 vs. AO, the squad is ranked #321 in the country in that category. Arkansas State also does a less-than-adequate job to prevent opponents from scoring off of the offensive glass. The team allows AO to convert 6.2% of all second-chance opportunities (303rd nationally). If Arkansas State does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their ability to limit the number of shot attempts by the opposition. The team has a defensive field goal attempt rate of 77.03 vs. AO, which ranks 24th-best in college basketball.
Though they rate better on offense than they do on defense, Arkansas State still isn't one of the more capable offensive teams in college hoops. Scoring roughly 99 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #178 in the nation in offensive efficiency. Arkansas State happens to be one of the very worst in the game when it comes to maximizing the number of shot attempts they get off from the floor. The team is nationally ranked 335th in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of only 77.24 vs. AO. If Arkansas State does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's ability to get to the free throw line. The squad has a free throw attempt rate of 33.01 vs. AO, which ranks fourth in the country.
On the road, Arkansas State performs somewhat better than their norm, as the squad is nationally ranked 41st in our away-from-home metric.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Arkansas State performs better against squads that convert well from outside the arc. When facing teams that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 32.77%, Arkansas State is more efficient than normal 75% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 30% of the time.
LATEST NEWS ITEMS:
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White leads Louisiana-Monroe over Arkansas St. 66-52 (2/20/2020 12:38:00 AM) Tyree White registered 18 points as Louisiana-Monroe defeated Arkansas State 66-52 on Wednesday night. Michael Ertel had 17 points for Louisiana-Monroe (8-18, 4-13 Sun Belt Conference). Erie Olonade added 12 points. Langston Powell had seven rebounds.
UALR, ASU supply joy on a solemn day (2/9/2020 2:35:00 AM) A long line of cars on University Avenue was proof of the interest in the game between Arkansas State University and the University of Arkansas Little Rock ... and the buzzer signaled a 90-87 victory for the Trojans. It was UALR's 13th win in the past ...
A-State men drop second straight at home (2/2/2020 12:00:24 AM) JONESBORO, Ark. (2/1/20) – The Arkansas State men’s basketball team had four players score in double figures, including freshman guard Caleb Field with a team-high 21 points, and overcame a 10-point deficit in the second half to briefly take the lead,
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