TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2019-20 Arkansas State  16-16 (0.500)  |  Sun Belt
All-Play Percentage: 0.446 (195th)
Schedule Strength: 0.508 (152nd)
Record Quality: -0.011 (186th)
Avg. Season Rank: 189.27 (192nd)
Pace: 70.09 (144th)
Momentum: -0.80 (222nd)
Off. Momentum: -0.77 (274th)
Def. Momentum: -0.03 (133rd)
Consistency: -9.36 (210th)
Res. Consistency: -11.58 (156th)
Away From Home: 1.39 (41st)
Paper Tiger Factor: -0.15 (114th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through March 11, 2020. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 98.97 33.01 71.94 77.24 43.38 23.55 34.85 23.62 35.90 30.07 55.94 12.10 14.62 5.96 30.49 30.58 38.93 1.92
RANK: 178th 4th 149th 335th 166th 339th 94th 138th 220th 105th 268th 106th 84th 73rd 327th 89th 56th 19th

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 102.12 30.36 -- 77.03 45.61 28.87 33.99 18.47 37.52 29.69 61.93 10.27 13.59 6.22 37.48 23.98 38.55 1.99
RANK: 232nd 321st -- 24th 284th 98th 213th 30th 192nd 241st 266th 107th 222nd 303rd 177th 52nd 306th 257th

ANALYSIS:
While not an atrocious team by any means, Arkansas State is not exactly one that should appear in many top-100 rankings either. Haslametrics has them ranked 195th overall (out of 353) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 16-16. Of the 12 schools in the Sun Belt (average ranking 173.3), they're currently ranked as our #9 team in the conference.

Arkansas State does not have a terribly exceptional defense this year. Rated at #232 in defensive efficiency, they allow around 102 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Arkansas State commits too many fouls, which leads to plentiful free throw attempts for the opposition. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 30.36 vs. AO, the squad is ranked #321 in the country in that category. Arkansas State also does a less-than-adequate job to prevent opponents from scoring off of the offensive glass. The team allows AO to convert 6.2% of all second-chance opportunities (303rd nationally). If Arkansas State does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their ability to limit the number of shot attempts by the opposition. The team has a defensive field goal attempt rate of 77.03 vs. AO, which ranks 24th-best in college basketball.

Though they rate better on offense than they do on defense, Arkansas State still isn't one of the more capable offensive teams in college hoops. Scoring roughly 99 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #178 in the nation in offensive efficiency. Arkansas State happens to be one of the very worst in the game when it comes to maximizing the number of shot attempts they get off from the floor. The team is nationally ranked 335th in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of only 77.24 vs. AO. If Arkansas State does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's ability to get to the free throw line. The squad has a free throw attempt rate of 33.01 vs. AO, which ranks fourth in the country.

On the road, Arkansas State performs somewhat better than their norm, as the squad is nationally ranked 41st in our away-from-home metric.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Arkansas State performs better against squads that convert well from outside the arc. When facing teams that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 32.77%, Arkansas State is more efficient than normal 75% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 30% of the time.
LATEST NEWS ITEMS:
Eaton, Arkansas St. rally late, beat Georgia Southern 76-75
(3/4/2020 12:58:00 AM) Eaton, Arkansas St. rally late, beat Georgia Southern 76-75 Marquis Eaton scored five points in the final 22 seconds, Christian Willis made two free throws with 1.8 seconds left, and Arkansas State rallied late to beat Georgia Southern 76-75 Check out this ...
McBride, Knapp lead Cornell past Brown 63-46
(2/22/2020 10:52:00 PM) ITHACA, N.Y. (AP)Terrance McBride and Bryan Knapp scored 17 points apiece and Cornell surprised Brown with a 63-45 win on Saturday night. Kobe Dickson added 10 points for the Big Red (6-17, 3-7 Ivy League),
White leads Louisiana-Monroe over Arkansas St. 66-52
(2/20/2020 12:38:00 AM) Tyree White registered 18 points as Louisiana-Monroe defeated Arkansas State 66-52 on Wednesday night. Michael Ertel had 17 points for Louisiana-Monroe (8-18, 4-13 Sun Belt Conference). Erie Olonade added 12 points. Langston Powell had seven rebounds.
UALR, ASU supply joy on a solemn day
(2/9/2020 2:35:00 AM) A long line of cars on University Avenue was proof of the interest in the game between Arkansas State University and the University of Arkansas Little Rock ... and the buzzer signaled a 90-87 victory for the Trojans. It was UALR's 13th win in the past ...
A-State men drop second straight at home
(2/2/2020 12:00:24 AM) JONESBORO, Ark. (2/1/20) – The Arkansas State men’s basketball team had four players score in double figures, including freshman guard Caleb Field with a team-high 21 points, and overcame a 10-point deficit in the second half to briefly take the lead,
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-2584th84th51st80thSun Belt27th123rd184th214th304th99th
2023-24119th119th172nd150thSun Belt118th338th148th204th244th137th
2022-23266th265th270th280thSun Belt317th62nd239th264th100th280th
2021-22179th178th113th162ndSun Belt87th207th246th281st226th198th
2020-21245th245th209th292ndSun Belt183rd54th255th45th230th289th
2019-20195th195th192nd186thSun Belt144th210th152nd114th41st192nd
2018-19228th227th249th235thSun Belt194th4th142nd73rd271st233rd
2017-18285th285th290th291stSun Belt98th293rd179th47th148th272nd
2016-17149th147th85th120thSun Belt228th136th187th48th242nd108th
2015-16257th257th273rd276thSun Belt28th313th174th39th215th243rd
2014-15297th297th266th280thSun Belt105th147th226th262nd78th285th
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2586th127th161st23rd206th59th202nd328th339th12th226th93rd31st82nd93rd340th43rd150th
2023-2470th173rd266th7th170th35th172nd344th232nd7th227th238th50th50th73rd352nd25th138th
2022-23282nd120th312th198th295th292nd184th69th348th210th227th217th153rd198th292nd68th211th119th
2021-22249th165th85th302nd158th335th318th67th125th189th133rd82nd270th280th325th42nd144th54th
2020-21234th105th112th202nd232nd352nd164th20th279th146th236th147th139th128th354th11th136th22nd
2019-20178th4th149th335th166th339th94th138th220th105th268th106th84th73rd327th89th56th19th
2018-19167th56th81st100th276th208th261st115th116th147th306th290th130th292nd225th128th164th143rd
2017-18191st212th188th71st215th212th275th136th163rd76th242nd100th84th88th242nd151st100th94th
2016-17157th39th335th167th151st283rd123rd263rd307th6th243rd200th24th48th288th271st6th13th
2015-16262nd118th110th169th285th305th314th26th59th258th322nd270th52nd136th306th19th249th113th
2014-15294th236th210th139th284th297th265th53rd291st172nd239th165th152nd236th303rd46th188th90th
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2578th299th--107th78th40th62nd280th73rd180th77th88th190th128th53rd299th208th279th
2023-24246th200th--200th271st11th303rd314th244th282nd176th131st230th242nd11th312th275th338th
2022-23254th307th--99th237th98th334th90th97th297th145th116th167th290th104th109th322nd298th
2021-22127th138th--123rd177th96th194th188th93rd217th181st284th178th239th114th197th236th254th
2020-21254th148th--250th230th219th259th152nd306th238th95th232nd103rd174th191st128th219th187th
2019-20232nd321st--24th284th98th213th30th192nd241st266th107th222nd303rd177th52nd306th257th
2018-19306th347th--204th189th153rd201st74th244th311th97th149th242nd261st139th66th307th275th
2017-18330th216th--123rd345th70th346th159th297th252nd320th168th256th300th77th177th262nd290th
2016-17138th314th--79th161st91st118th119th21st209th242nd64th85th40th123rd148th252nd242nd
2015-16233rd258th--260th115th311th324th240th88th82nd80th208th187th139th287th219th52nd46th
2014-15277th175th--318th201st261st222nd276th278th140th183rd109th205th178th210th236th96th107th