TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Arkansas State  20-12 (0.625)  |  Sun Belt
All-Play Percentage: 0.577 (149th)
Schedule Strength: 0.478 (187th)
Record Quality: 0.087 (120th)
Avg. Season Rank: 106.09 (108th)
Pace: 69.46 (228th)
Momentum: -3.77 (312th)
Off. Momentum: -1.22 (270th)
Def. Momentum: -2.55 (291st)
Consistency: -8.61 (136th)
Res. Consistency: -10.81 (131st)
Away From Home: -0.85 (242nd)
Paper Tiger Factor: 0.74 (48th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 102.03 31.52 63.57 81.89 44.33 25.92 36.24 20.97 33.22 35.00 56.98 10.28 18.00 8.18 31.65 25.61 42.74 1.89
RANK: 157th 39th 335th 167th 151st 283rd 123rd 263rd 307th 6th 243rd 200th 24th 48th 288th 271st 6th 13th

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 101.07 31.54 -- 79.28 44.08 27.75 34.49 22.26 32.09 29.27 62.29 9.40 13.22 5.25 35.01 28.08 36.92 1.98
RANK: 138th 314th -- 79th 161st 91st 118th 119th 21st 209th 242nd 64th 85th 40th 123rd 148th 252nd 242nd

ANALYSIS:
As an average to slightly above-average foe, Arkansas State should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. They have a record of 20-12 and are ranked 149th overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #5 team (out of 12) in the Sun Belt (average ranking 187.5).

If there is a strength for Arkansas State this year, it's probably on the defensive end of the court. The team is rated 138th in defensive efficiency, allowing fewer than 102 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Arkansas State does a bang-up job preventing the opposition from draining jumpers in between the three-point line and the low post. They're ranked 21st in Division I in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 32.1% of their attempts from that distance. Arkansas State is also one of the better teams when it comes to not allowing opponents to convert scoring chances off of offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 5.3% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 40th in the NCAA). If Arkansas State does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's tendency to send opponents to the line too much by fouling. The squad has a rating of 31.54 in defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO, which ranks 38th-worst in the country.

Arkansas State plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 157th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 102 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Arkansas State will routinely look to penetrate, pound the ball inside, and score from as short a distance as possible. The ball-club is sixth in the NCAA in ratio of near-proximity attempts to total field goal attempts. As far as converting those near-proximity shots goes, the team shoots 57.0% vs. AO, which falls somewhere in the middle of the pack of the rankings in that category. Arkansas State also appears to be one of the top-notch offensive rebounding teams you will find this year. Against AO, the squad has a rating of 18.00 in potential points scored off of second chances (ranked 24th in the NCAA), and they convert 8.2% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked 48th) as well. If Arkansas State does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's poor shooting at the line. The squad makes just 63.6% of their free throw attempts, which ranks 17th-worst in Division I.

Arkansas State has recently performed below their norm from an efficiency standpoint. The team is currently ranked 312th in the country in positive momentum.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Arkansas State is typically better vs. teams that do a nice job converting inside the paint. Against foes that have an offensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 60.28%, Arkansas State performs above their norm 80% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 33% of the time.
When facing teams that fail to defend efficiently inside the paint, Arkansas State often performs better than normal. Arkansas State is more efficient than usual 59% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 57.76%. In their other contests, Arkansas State performs better than the norm 22% of the time.
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-2583rd83rd51st80thSun Belt28th123rd184th216th303rd99th
2023-24119th119th172nd150thSun Belt118th338th148th204th244th137th
2022-23266th265th270th280thSun Belt317th62nd239th264th100th280th
2021-22179th178th113th162ndSun Belt87th207th246th281st226th198th
2020-21245th245th209th292ndSun Belt183rd54th255th45th230th289th
2019-20195th195th192nd186thSun Belt144th210th152nd114th41st192nd
2018-19228th227th249th235thSun Belt194th4th142nd73rd271st233rd
2017-18285th285th290th291stSun Belt98th293rd179th47th148th272nd
2016-17149th147th85th120thSun Belt228th136th187th48th242nd108th
2015-16257th257th273rd276thSun Belt28th313th174th39th215th243rd
2014-15297th297th266th280thSun Belt105th147th226th262nd78th285th
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2586th128th162nd23rd206th59th202nd328th337th12th226th92nd30th84th95th339th42nd147th
2023-2470th173rd266th7th170th35th172nd344th232nd7th227th238th50th50th73rd352nd25th138th
2022-23282nd120th312th198th295th292nd184th69th348th210th227th217th153rd198th292nd68th211th119th
2021-22249th165th85th302nd158th335th318th67th125th189th133rd82nd270th280th325th42nd144th54th
2020-21234th105th112th202nd232nd352nd164th20th279th146th236th147th139th128th354th11th136th22nd
2019-20178th4th149th335th166th339th94th138th220th105th268th106th84th73rd327th89th56th19th
2018-19167th56th81st100th276th208th261st115th116th147th306th290th130th292nd225th128th164th143rd
2017-18191st212th188th71st215th212th275th136th163rd76th242nd100th84th88th242nd151st100th94th
2016-17157th39th335th167th151st283rd123rd263rd307th6th243rd200th24th48th288th271st6th13th
2015-16262nd118th110th169th285th305th314th26th59th258th322nd270th52nd136th306th19th249th113th
2014-15294th236th210th139th284th297th265th53rd291st172nd239th165th152nd236th303rd46th188th90th
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2578th299th--110th77th40th62nd280th74th178th75th87th187th128th55th297th209th279th
2023-24246th200th--200th271st11th303rd314th244th282nd176th131st230th242nd11th312th275th338th
2022-23254th307th--99th237th98th334th90th97th297th145th116th167th290th104th109th322nd298th
2021-22127th138th--123rd177th96th194th188th93rd217th181st284th178th239th114th197th236th254th
2020-21254th148th--250th230th219th259th152nd306th238th95th232nd103rd174th191st128th219th187th
2019-20232nd321st--24th284th98th213th30th192nd241st266th107th222nd303rd177th52nd306th257th
2018-19306th347th--204th189th153rd201st74th244th311th97th149th242nd261st139th66th307th275th
2017-18330th216th--123rd345th70th346th159th297th252nd320th168th256th300th77th177th262nd290th
2016-17138th314th--79th161st91st118th119th21st209th242nd64th85th40th123rd148th252nd242nd
2015-16233rd258th--260th115th311th324th240th88th82nd80th208th187th139th287th219th52nd46th
2014-15277th175th--318th201st261st222nd276th278th140th183rd109th205th178th210th236th96th107th