TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 Arkansas State  11-20 (0.355)  |  Sun Belt
All-Play Percentage: 0.269 (257th)
Schedule Strength: 0.501 (174th)
Record Quality: -0.209 (276th)
Avg. Season Rank: 240.38 (243rd)
Pace: 73.29 (28th)
Momentum: -1.72 (251st)
Off. Momentum: -0.37 (223rd)
Def. Momentum: -1.35 (233rd)
Consistency: -10.15 (313th)
Res. Consistency: -10.75 (120th)
Away From Home: -0.37 (215th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 1.13 (39th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 96.31 30.04 71.78 82.09 40.89 24.56 30.98 30.36 38.56 27.17 52.45 9.18 17.52 6.99 29.92 36.99 33.10 1.97
RANK: 262nd 118th 110th 169th 285th 305th 314th 26th 59th 258th 322nd 270th 52nd 136th 306th 19th 249th 113th

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 105.50 31.00 -- 84.27 42.67 32.34 38.44 25.51 34.04 26.42 56.19 11.26 15.20 6.45 38.38 30.27 31.35 2.07
RANK: 233rd 258th -- 260th 115th 311th 324th 240th 88th 82nd 80th 208th 187th 139th 287th 219th 52nd 46th

ANALYSIS:
They're far from the worst of the worst, but Arkansas State should not be a terribly frightening opponent for most clubs. They have a record of 11-20 and are ranked 257th overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #9 team (out of 11) in the Sun Belt (average ranking 180.1).

Arkansas State is not one of the better offensive teams you will find. They are rated #262 in efficiency on that end of the court and only score about 96 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Arkansas State won't provide opponents much of a scare with their shooting percentage from the inside. The team is ranked 322nd in near-proximity field goal percentage, making only 52.4% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. Arkansas State also won't enter the conversation if you're looking to list the best three-point shooting teams in the country. They are ranked 314th in three-point field goal percentage nationally and make just 31.0% of their attempts from long vs. AO.

Arkansas State doesn't rate much better on defense than they do on offense. Allowing roughly 105 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #233 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Arkansas State does a very lackluster job preventing opponents from draining threes. They rank 324th nationally in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make 38.4% of their attempts from afar.

Arkansas State has been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 313th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Arkansas State is typically worse vs. teams that fail to defend efficiently inside the paint. Against foes that have a defensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 57.48%, Arkansas State performs above their norm 37% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 80% of the time.
When facing teams that find ways to get to the free throw line, Arkansas State often performs worse than normal. Arkansas State is more efficient than usual 37% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 27.51. In their other contests, Arkansas State performs better than the norm 80% of the time.
Arkansas State does better vs. clubs that are typically efficient on offense. When playing squads that have an offensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 102.35, Arkansas State performs above average 80% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 37% of the time.
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-2583rd83rd51st80thSun Belt28th123rd184th216th303rd99th
2023-24119th119th172nd150thSun Belt118th338th148th204th244th137th
2022-23266th265th270th280thSun Belt317th62nd239th264th100th280th
2021-22179th178th113th162ndSun Belt87th207th246th281st226th198th
2020-21245th245th209th292ndSun Belt183rd54th255th45th230th289th
2019-20195th195th192nd186thSun Belt144th210th152nd114th41st192nd
2018-19228th227th249th235thSun Belt194th4th142nd73rd271st233rd
2017-18285th285th290th291stSun Belt98th293rd179th47th148th272nd
2016-17149th147th85th120thSun Belt228th136th187th48th242nd108th
2015-16257th257th273rd276thSun Belt28th313th174th39th215th243rd
2014-15297th297th266th280thSun Belt105th147th226th262nd78th285th
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2586th128th162nd23rd206th59th202nd328th337th12th226th92nd30th84th95th339th42nd147th
2023-2470th173rd266th7th170th35th172nd344th232nd7th227th238th50th50th73rd352nd25th138th
2022-23282nd120th312th198th295th292nd184th69th348th210th227th217th153rd198th292nd68th211th119th
2021-22249th165th85th302nd158th335th318th67th125th189th133rd82nd270th280th325th42nd144th54th
2020-21234th105th112th202nd232nd352nd164th20th279th146th236th147th139th128th354th11th136th22nd
2019-20178th4th149th335th166th339th94th138th220th105th268th106th84th73rd327th89th56th19th
2018-19167th56th81st100th276th208th261st115th116th147th306th290th130th292nd225th128th164th143rd
2017-18191st212th188th71st215th212th275th136th163rd76th242nd100th84th88th242nd151st100th94th
2016-17157th39th335th167th151st283rd123rd263rd307th6th243rd200th24th48th288th271st6th13th
2015-16262nd118th110th169th285th305th314th26th59th258th322nd270th52nd136th306th19th249th113th
2014-15294th236th210th139th284th297th265th53rd291st172nd239th165th152nd236th303rd46th188th90th
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2578th299th--110th77th40th62nd280th74th178th75th87th187th128th55th297th209th279th
2023-24246th200th--200th271st11th303rd314th244th282nd176th131st230th242nd11th312th275th338th
2022-23254th307th--99th237th98th334th90th97th297th145th116th167th290th104th109th322nd298th
2021-22127th138th--123rd177th96th194th188th93rd217th181st284th178th239th114th197th236th254th
2020-21254th148th--250th230th219th259th152nd306th238th95th232nd103rd174th191st128th219th187th
2019-20232nd321st--24th284th98th213th30th192nd241st266th107th222nd303rd177th52nd306th257th
2018-19306th347th--204th189th153rd201st74th244th311th97th149th242nd261st139th66th307th275th
2017-18330th216th--123rd345th70th346th159th297th252nd320th168th256th300th77th177th262nd290th
2016-17138th314th--79th161st91st118th119th21st209th242nd64th85th40th123rd148th252nd242nd
2015-16233rd258th--260th115th311th324th240th88th82nd80th208th187th139th287th219th52nd46th
2014-15277th175th--318th201st261st222nd276th278th140th183rd109th205th178th210th236th96th107th