Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 Arkansas State11-20 (0.355) | Sun Belt
All-Play Percentage: 0.269 (257th)
Schedule Strength: 0.501 (174th)
Record Quality: -0.209 (276th)
Avg. Season Rank: 240.38 (243rd)
Pace: 73.29 (28th)
Momentum: -1.72 (251st)
Off. Momentum: -0.37 (223rd)
Def. Momentum: -1.35 (233rd)
Consistency: -10.15 (313th)
Res. Consistency: -10.75 (120th)
Away From Home: -0.37 (215th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 1.13 (39th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
96.31
73.32
30.04
71.78
82.09
33.57
40.89
24.56
7.61
30.98
30.36
11.71
38.56
27.17
14.25
52.45
9.18
17.52
6.99
29.92
36.99
33.10
1.97
RANK:
262nd
26th
118th
110th
169th
270th
285th
305th
325th
314th
26th
16th
59th
258th
311th
322nd
270th
52nd
136th
306th
19th
249th
113th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
105.50
73.25
31.00
--
84.27
35.96
42.67
32.34
12.43
38.44
25.51
8.68
34.04
26.42
14.84
56.19
11.26
15.20
6.45
38.38
30.27
31.35
2.07
RANK:
233rd
324th
258th
--
260th
163rd
115th
311th
337th
324th
240th
183rd
88th
82nd
52nd
80th
208th
187th
139th
287th
219th
52nd
46th
ANALYSIS: They're far from the worst of the worst, but Arkansas State should not be a terribly frightening opponent for most clubs. They have a record of 11-20 and are ranked 257th overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #9 team (out of 11) in the Sun Belt (average ranking 180.1).
Arkansas State is not one of the better offensive teams you will find. They are rated #262 in efficiency on that end of the court and only score about 96 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Arkansas State won't provide opponents much of a scare with their shooting percentage from the inside. The team is ranked 322nd in near-proximity field goal percentage, making only 52.4% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. Arkansas State also won't enter the conversation if you're looking to list the best three-point shooting teams in the country. They are ranked 314th in three-point field goal percentage nationally and make just 31.0% of their attempts from long vs. AO.
Arkansas State doesn't rate much better on defense than they do on offense. Allowing roughly 105 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #233 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Arkansas State does a very lackluster job preventing opponents from draining threes. They rank 324th nationally in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make 38.4% of their attempts from afar.
Arkansas State has been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 313th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Arkansas State is typically worse vs. teams that fail to defend efficiently inside the paint. Against foes that have a defensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 57.48%, Arkansas State performs above their norm 37% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 80% of the time.
When facing teams that find ways to get to the free throw line, Arkansas State often performs worse than normal. Arkansas State is more efficient than usual 37% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 27.51. In their other contests, Arkansas State performs better than the norm 80% of the time.
Arkansas State does better vs. clubs that are typically efficient on offense. When playing squads that have an offensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 102.35, Arkansas State performs above average 80% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 37% of the time.
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