TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2019-20 ECU  11-20 (0.355)  |  American
All-Play Percentage: 0.381 (219th)
Schedule Strength: 0.547 (117th)
Record Quality: -0.119 (234th)
Avg. Season Rank: 242.31 (238th)
Pace: 71.74 (61st)
Momentum: 0.58 (148th)
Off. Momentum: 0.39 (201st)
Def. Momentum: 0.20 (124th)
Consistency: -7.94 (44th)
Res. Consistency: -11.98 (181st)
Away From Home: -0.88 (234th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 1.38 (22nd)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through March 11, 2020. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 96.75 28.05 71.63 80.43 43.12 24.94 29.23 26.34 40.53 29.15 57.34 11.28 15.26 6.04 31.01 32.74 36.25 1.95
RANK: 215th 76th 158th 227th 181st 324th 333rd 73rd 43rd 137th 222nd 151st 57th 68th 323rd 61st 117th 51st

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 99.83 29.18 -- 79.47 43.52 33.49 33.98 19.02 37.19 26.96 59.85 11.46 13.51 4.47 42.15 23.93 33.92 2.08
RANK: 182nd 297th -- 82nd 166th 286th 211th 43rd 177th 102nd 197th 203rd 217th 108th 325th 50th 137th 66th

ANALYSIS:
While not an atrocious team by any means, ECU is not exactly one that should appear in many top-100 rankings either. Ranked 219th overall (out of 353) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 11-20. Of the 12 schools in the AAC (average ranking 94.4), they're currently ranked as the worst team in the conference.

ECU sports an offensive attack that is mediocre at best. Rated at #215 in offensive efficiency, they score about 97 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. ECU is one of the least accurate teams when shooting from long-distance. They are ranked 333rd in three-point field goal percentage nationally and make just 29.2% of their attempts from long vs. AO. If ECU does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's ability to successfully hit from mid-range locations on the court. The team makes 40.5% of their in-between field goal attempts vs. AO, which ranks 43rd in the NCAA.

ECU doesn't rate much better on defense than they do on offense. Allowing roughly 100 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #182 in the nation in defensive efficiency. ECU has some difficulty staying out of foul trouble, leading to an excess of free throw attempts for the opposition. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 29.18 vs. AO, the squad is ranked #297 in the country in that category.

ECU is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 44th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
ECU performs worse against squads that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities. When facing teams that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 80.85, ECU is more efficient than normal 31% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 73% of the time.
When playing teams that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities, ECU usually performs better than average. ECU is more efficient than normal 80% of the time when facing clubs that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 12.35. In all other contests, ECU performs better than average 38% of the time.
LATEST NEWS ITEMS:
Achiuwa scores 24 to lift Memphis past ECU basketball, 77-73
(2/20/2020 2:21:00 AM) The Pirates battled back from a 16-point second-half deficit to tie the score three times, the first with 6:23 to play. But after tying the game at 69, Ellis and Achiuwa scored inside to give the Tigers a 73-69 lead going into the final minute.
ECU drops hard-fought game at Memphis
(2/20/2020 12:45:00 AM) For the second time in a span of four days, East Carolina’s men’s basketball team had a chance to defeat one of the league’s most talented teams, only to come up just short yet again. After falling to Cincinnati in overtime on Sunday at home, the Pirates dropped a hard-fought 77-73 game at Memphis inside the FexExForum on Wednesday as the ...
Pirates Hold On To Top Houston 53-50
(2/9/2020 12:14:00 AM) NEW ORLEANS (AP) - Jayden Gardner scored 20 points, freshman Tristen Newton added 18 points and a season-high nine rebounds, and East Carolina ended its seven-game road losing streak, getting past Tulane 81-67 on Saturday. Gardner also had nine rebounds. Tyrie Jackson had 11 points for East Carolina (10-14, 4-7 American Athletic Conference).
ECU can't complete comeback, falls to UCF at home
(2/6/2020 10:05:00 PM) East Carolina entered Thursday night with a chance to separate itself from the bottom of the pack in the American Athletic Conference. Instead, the Pirates suffered a disappointing home loss, falling 68-64 to UCF to fall closer to last place in the league themselves. ECU trailed by as many as 17 late in the second half until mounting a furious ...
Milon, Smith lead Central Florida over East Carolina 68-64
(2/6/2020 10:00:00 PM) GREENVILLE, N.C. (AP) — Matt Milon scored 17 points and Collin Smith added 14 points and seven rebounds as Central Florida defeated East Carolina 68-64 on Thursday night ... Caesar DeJesus hit a jumper to put UCF up by eight with 1:38 to go.
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-25178th177th135th141stAAC215th45th157th66th44th163rd
2023-24187th185th241st196thAAC318th335th131st247th209th162nd
2022-23165th164th207th163rdAAC177th297th137th20th42nd204th
2021-22181st180th188th143rdAAC130th72nd126th156th199th158th
2020-21181st180th231st206thAAC184th18th121st88th71st156th
2019-20219th219th288th234thAAC61st44th117th22nd234th238th
2018-19279th279th303rd238thAAC178th177th109th298th342nd273rd
2017-18329th329th298th271stAAC95th341st195th343rd301st316th
2016-17175th174th223rd189thAAC215th305th119th197th270th190th
2015-16180th179th259th209thAAC191st348th114th169th47th153rd
2014-15239th239th237th224thAAC307th121st151st224th338th228th
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25160th146th152nd60th212th241st241st146th210th73rd246th67th155th213th272nd167th109th79th
2023-24202nd126th302nd104th237th196th264th199th259th63rd226th57th110th170th225th219th83rd100th
2022-23219th58th289th151st297th144th295th310th286th40th310th128th20th91st149th317th38th106th
2021-22203rd98th29th235th255th233rd242nd128th91st213th308th97th254th252nd224th114th192nd165th
2020-21238th109th135th94th287th311th324th16th75th252nd332nd205th196th242nd321st15th266th110th
2019-20215th76th158th227th181st324th333rd73rd43rd137th222nd151st57th68th323rd61st117th51st
2018-19271st190th277th141st199th347th340th14th191st142nd140th64th189th118th351st14th149th27th
2017-18331st320th298th283rd236th296th327th200th135th69th278th239th284th199th288th175th47th48th
2016-17282nd81st298th295th257th242nd270th103rd280th269th171st204th99th49th221st80th240th189th
2015-16169th249th120th274th121st124th131st176th117th308th74th131st306th260th98th154th286th282nd
2014-15192nd320th250th114th198th50th119th148th271st287th105th144th325th330th66th171st303rd312th
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25215th76th--230th242nd135th347th103rd206th336th69th94th192nd142nd113th84th330th311th
2023-24203rd149th--128th189th334th207th47th114th98th287th149th152nd160th340th45th113th40th
2022-23135th234th--188th117th112th116th64th14th349th106th218th266th112th92nd54th344th336th
2021-22168th191st--98th176th286th263rd11th67th228th145th166th154th224th303rd10th252nd129th
2020-21120th302nd--38th116th306th105th32nd116th45th251st184th142nd24th339th59th94th31st
2019-20182nd297th--82nd166th286th211th43rd177th102nd197th203rd217th108th325th50th137th66th
2018-19262nd294th--98th271st194th257th145th234th109th303rd157th108th215th222nd164th141st132nd
2017-18310th159th--305th263rd249th310th79th295th311th109th287th241st247th179th49th280th250th
2016-1772nd64th--328th32nd217th93rd328th52nd146th35th327th288th122nd129th300th84th146th
2015-16179th7th--309th206th343rd121st151st238th116th314th284th291st327th334th112th75th30th
2014-15269th143rd--253rd248th328th129th60th319th184th275th177th273rd325th324th36th157th68th