Automated Team Capsule for 2022-23 Montana17-14 (0.548) | Big Sky
All-Play Percentage: 0.564 (159th)
Schedule Strength: 0.443 (185th)
Record Quality: 0.018 (164th)
Avg. Season Rank: 164.85 (162nd)
Pace: 64.61 (341st)
Momentum: 0.32 (165th)
Off. Momentum: 2.21 (89th)
Def. Momentum: -1.89 (248th)
Consistency: -9.07 (165th)
Res. Consistency: -11.91 (168th)
Away From Home: -0.24 (135th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -1.00 (192nd)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 3, 2023. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
107.05
64.45
22.78
79.76
84.71
38.11
44.98
34.67
12.66
36.52
25.66
10.89
42.44
24.38
14.55
59.70
6.96
9.31
2.97
40.93
30.29
28.77
2.12
RANK:
101st
344th
290th
4th
176th
124th
116th
63rd
34th
50th
129th
56th
23rd
349th
322nd
151st
350th
348th
358th
63rd
129th
349th
342nd
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
107.92
64.78
28.97
--
84.41
38.07
45.11
27.14
9.17
33.78
28.21
11.00
39.00
29.05
17.90
61.63
10.90
14.25
5.29
32.16
33.42
34.42
1.98
RANK:
280th
27th
319th
--
161st
229th
240th
35th
58th
161st
328th
330th
229th
159th
221st
277th
195th
211th
180th
41st
336th
154th
264th
ANALYSIS: As an average to slightly above-average foe, Montana should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. Carrying a record of 17-14, they are currently rated #159 overall (out of 363) in All-Play Percentage this season. They are also ranked by this site as the #3 team (out of 10) in the Big Sky (average ranking 204.9).
With a more deliberate, half-court style of play (the 23rd-slowest pace in D1), Montana will likely rely on their offense more than anything else to win games. The team is ranked 101st in offensive efficiency and scores more than 107 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Montana is deadly accurate at the free throw line. Making 79.8% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked fourth nationally in free throw percentage. Unfortunately, with a free throw attempt rate of just 22.78 vs. AO, they don't provide themselves a whole lot of opportunities at the foul line. Montana is also superb at converting jumpers in between the three-point stripe and the low post. The squad is ranked 23rd nationally in mid-range field goal percentage, making about 42.4% of their attempts from those locations vs. AO. If Montana does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's difficulties obtaining and converting second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad has a second-chance conversion percentage of just 3.0% vs. AO, which ranks sixth-worst in the nation.
Unfortunately, Montana is not even remotely close to being as good on defense as they are on offense. The team is ranked 280th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 108 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Montana is extremely underskilled to force steals that turn into quick and easy points. They're ranked #350 in potential points off of breakaway steals with a rating of only 6.96 vs. AO. Montana also commits too many fouls, which leads to plentiful free throw attempts for the opposition. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 28.97 vs. AO, the squad is ranked #319 in the country in that category.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Montana is typically worse vs. teams that tend to get off more shots. Against foes that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 84.57, Montana performs above their norm 18% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 68% of the time.
When facing teams that effectively clean the offensive glass, Montana often performs worse than normal. Montana is more efficient than usual 18% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 12.63. In their other contests, Montana performs better than the norm 68% of the time.
Montana does worse vs. clubs that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds. When playing squads that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 12.65, Montana performs above average 38% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 78% of the time.
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