Automated Team Capsule for 2021-22 Montana State27-8 (0.771) | Big Sky
All-Play Percentage: 0.605 (142nd)
Schedule Strength: 0.309 (303rd)
Record Quality: 0.177 (88th)
Avg. Season Rank: 150.17 (141st)
Pace: 68.15 (163rd)
Momentum: -0.94 (229th)
Off. Momentum: 0.34 (182nd)
Def. Momentum: -1.28 (233rd)
Consistency: -9.80 (244th)
Res. Consistency: -12.26 (197th)
Away From Home: 1.83 (30th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -1.20 (213th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 4, 2022. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
101.80
68.14
28.52
74.81
78.96
35.21
44.59
29.39
10.04
34.17
23.70
9.41
39.73
25.88
15.76
60.89
6.94
12.01
3.52
37.22
30.01
32.77
2.04
RANK:
166th
160th
36th
78th
354th
239th
108th
224th
193rd
124th
217th
168th
83rd
298th
251st
116th
346th
243rd
319th
161st
153rd
237th
227th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
100.76
68.15
26.91
--
83.50
35.88
42.97
25.85
8.61
33.29
27.61
10.32
37.39
30.04
16.96
56.44
11.79
12.77
4.72
30.96
33.06
35.98
1.95
RANK:
164th
197th
262nd
--
132nd
149th
157th
19th
44th
176th
304th
286th
166th
234th
178th
87th
262nd
141st
149th
22nd
315th
248th
315th
ANALYSIS: Per this website's calculations, Montana State is somewhere between an average to slightly above-average D1 ball-club. Their record this season is 27-8, and the club is ranked 142nd overall (out of 358) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the best team (out of 11) in the Big Sky (average ranking 253.7).
Based on their performances this year, Montana State will likely find more success on defense than they will on offense. Allowing about 101 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #164 slot in the ratings for defensive efficiency. Montana State has been pretty good preventing teams from hitting shots in the paint. They are ranked 87th in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 56.4% of their attempts from close-up. If Montana State does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's unwillingness to take risks in order to score fast points off of the opposition's turnovers. The squad only has a rating of 6.94 in potential points scored off of steals vs. AO, which ranks 13th-worst in the college game.
Montana State plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 166th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 102 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Montana State does a really good job to acquire opportunities from the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of 28.52 vs. AO, they are ranked 36th in the nation at getting to the charity stripe. In addition, the team is in the top-100 in free throw shooting, converting a solid 74.8% of their attempts. If Montana State does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's difficulties in getting off a sufficient number of shots each possession. The squad has a field goal attempt rate of just 78.96 vs. AO, which ranks fifth-worst in college basketball.
On the road, Montana State performs somewhat better than their norm, as the squad is nationally ranked 30th in our away-from-home metric.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When facing teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities, Montana State often performs better than normal. Montana State is more efficient than usual 56% of the time when facing teams that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 10.96. In their other contests, Montana State performs better than the norm 18% of the time.
NCAA Men's Tournament 2022: Friday's First-Round Winners and Losers (3/18/2022 7:51:41 PM) Plenty of brackets were busted on the first full day of the 2022 NCAA men's tournament when No. 2 seed Kentucky fell to No. seed 15 Saint Peter's, and that was just the appetizer for another 16-game lineup on Friday as first-round action continued...
Notre Dame keeps rolling, beats Alabama 78-64 in 1st round (3/18/2022 7:48:02 PM) SAN DIEGO (AP) — Cormac Ryan scored a career-high 29 points, including seven 3-pointers, and 11th-seeded Notre Dame recovered from a grueling First Four win and late-night flight to beat sixth-seeded Alabama 78-64 on Friday in the first round of the NCAA Tour…
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