TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2021-22 Montana State  27-8 (0.771)  |  Big Sky
All-Play Percentage: 0.605 (142nd)
Schedule Strength: 0.309 (303rd)
Record Quality: 0.177 (88th)
Avg. Season Rank: 150.17 (141st)
Pace: 68.15 (163rd)
Momentum: -0.94 (229th)
Off. Momentum: 0.34 (182nd)
Def. Momentum: -1.28 (233rd)
Consistency: -9.80 (244th)
Res. Consistency: -12.26 (197th)
Away From Home: 1.83 (30th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -1.20 (213th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 4, 2022. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 101.80 28.52 74.81 78.96 44.59 29.39 34.17 23.70 39.73 25.88 60.89 6.94 12.01 3.52 37.22 30.01 32.77 2.04
RANK: 166th 36th 78th 354th 108th 224th 124th 217th 83rd 298th 116th 346th 243rd 319th 161st 153rd 237th 227th

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 100.76 26.91 -- 83.50 42.97 25.85 33.29 27.61 37.39 30.04 56.44 11.79 12.77 4.72 30.96 33.06 35.98 1.95
RANK: 164th 262nd -- 132nd 157th 19th 176th 304th 166th 234th 87th 262nd 141st 149th 22nd 315th 248th 315th

ANALYSIS:
Per this website's calculations, Montana State is somewhere between an average to slightly above-average D1 ball-club. Their record this season is 27-8, and the club is ranked 142nd overall (out of 358) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the best team (out of 11) in the Big Sky (average ranking 253.7).

Based on their performances this year, Montana State will likely find more success on defense than they will on offense. Allowing about 101 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #164 slot in the ratings for defensive efficiency. Montana State has been pretty good preventing teams from hitting shots in the paint. They are ranked 87th in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 56.4% of their attempts from close-up. If Montana State does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's unwillingness to take risks in order to score fast points off of the opposition's turnovers. The squad only has a rating of 6.94 in potential points scored off of steals vs. AO, which ranks 13th-worst in the college game.

Montana State plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 166th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 102 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Montana State does a really good job to acquire opportunities from the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of 28.52 vs. AO, they are ranked 36th in the nation at getting to the charity stripe. In addition, the team is in the top-100 in free throw shooting, converting a solid 74.8% of their attempts. If Montana State does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's difficulties in getting off a sufficient number of shots each possession. The squad has a field goal attempt rate of just 78.96 vs. AO, which ranks fifth-worst in college basketball.

On the road, Montana State performs somewhat better than their norm, as the squad is nationally ranked 30th in our away-from-home metric.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When facing teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities, Montana State often performs better than normal. Montana State is more efficient than usual 56% of the time when facing teams that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 10.96. In their other contests, Montana State performs better than the norm 18% of the time.
LATEST NEWS ITEMS:
WATCH: Stanford's Fran Belibi blocks shot, throws down one-handed dunk in insane coast-to-coast play
(3/19/2022 12:06:44 AM) The Cardinal routed Montana State 78-37 in the NCAA Tournament's first round, but Belibi's dunk will be the game's lasting memory
NCAA Men's Tournament 2022: Friday's First-Round Winners and Losers
(3/18/2022 7:51:41 PM) Plenty of brackets were busted on the first full day of the 2022 NCAA men's tournament when No. 2 seed Kentucky fell to No. seed 15 Saint Peter's, and that was just the appetizer for another 16-game lineup on Friday as first-round action continued...
Notre Dame keeps rolling, beats Alabama 78-64 in 1st round
(3/18/2022 7:48:02 PM) SAN DIEGO (AP) — Cormac Ryan scored a career-high 29 points, including seven 3-pointers, and 11th-seeded Notre Dame recovered from a grueling First Four win and late-night flight to beat sixth-seeded Alabama 78-64 on Friday in the first round of the NCAA Tour…
RECAP: Red Raiders roll into NCAA Tournament Second Round - Texas Tech Red Raiders - TexasTech.com
(3/18/2022 5:45:03 PM) <dfn><a href="/roster.aspx?rp_id=11501" rel="smarttag" rev="11501">Bryson Williams</a></dfn> and Terrence Shannon, Jr. scored 20 points each while <dfn><a href="/roster.aspx?rp_id=11538" rel="smarttag" rev="11538">Kevin Obanor</a></dfn> recorded a double-doub…
Montana State vs. Texas Tech - Game Recap - March 18, 2022 - ESPN
(3/18/2022 4:25:47 PM) Get a recap of the Montana State Bobcats vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders basketball game.
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-25181st181st231st227thBig Sky259th177th218th277th288th156th
2023-24203rd202nd205th235thBig Sky105th179th266th89th108th227th
2022-23115th115th45th91stBig Sky220th59th189th279th171st119th
2021-22142nd141st21st88thBig Sky163rd244th303rd213th30th141st
2020-21199th199th133rd191stBig Sky177th124th216th186th54th202nd
2019-20223rd222nd183rd189thBig Sky225th328th171st158th189th193rd
2018-19265th265th212th242ndBig Sky62nd92nd293rd312th261st295th
2017-18269th269th253rd264thBig Sky106th100th229th94th186th256th
2016-17239th239th179th237thBig Sky136th75th307th145th163rd225th
2015-16250th249th213th247thBig Sky157th68th289th134th319th253rd
2014-15321st321st335th326thBig Sky100th326th235th293rd197th317th
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25220th305th160th228th164th101st240th266th214th204th95th284th344th327th88th268th179th253rd
2023-24197th305th155th330th98th92nd52nd259th205th314th68th97th357th336th50th225th283rd311th
2022-23156th3rd19th361st140th318th276th248th175th180th115th181st301st350th267th181st84th84th
2021-22166th36th78th354th108th224th124th217th83rd298th116th346th243rd319th161st153rd237th227th
2020-21224th13th52nd350th209th301st331st135th215th279th72nd279th226th131st254th89th211th150th
2019-20251st57th74th352nd206th278th250th212th263rd251st149th308th275th291st209th148th156th142nd
2018-19150th136th64th266th195th41st88th217th106th333rd196th244th114th277th24th204th323rd342nd
2017-18232nd60th68th177th330th92nd272nd207th349th250th259th311th94th274th86th207th250th277th
2016-17192nd205th78th170th287th30th152nd153rd200th334th267th330th235th316th35th154th338th338th
2015-16158th309th192nd19th260th20th82nd127th154th317th283rd351st132nd285th38th177th336th337th
2014-15316th340th167th128th332nd43rd152nd137th296th329th343rd351st227th302nd46th147th328th333rd
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25205th232nd--281st156th28th65th287th163rd338th133rd135th121st161st11th268th315th344th
2023-24220th248th--142nd263rd44th184th106th134th343rd233rd251st197th219th47th104th347th345th
2022-2394th252nd--51st141st7th198th296th221st154th69th132nd37th32nd17th328th219th301st
2021-22164th262nd--132nd157th19th176th304th166th234th87th262nd141st149th22nd315th248th315th
2020-21218th314th--117th151st84th169th229th155th185th144th205th185th131st85th248th210th249th
2019-20180th192nd--234th106th322nd120th138th128th104th176th229th137th47th317th124th77th52nd
2018-19338th82nd--262nd345th308th311th156th314th125th350th172nd155th304th291st124th110th71st
2017-18306th211th--235th302nd186th157th220th249th193rd345th196th225th310th149th217th166th171st
2016-17281st342nd--84th232nd183rd263rd201st116th60th309th148th212th277th216th237th93rd96th
2015-16318th338th--154th300th185th249th243rd227th106th341st95th237th188th186th250th109th127th
2014-15316th317th--109th307th42nd327th246th270th191st266th247th114th234th53rd268th212th272nd