TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 Montana State  15-17 (0.469)  |  Big Sky
All-Play Percentage: 0.250 (265th)
Schedule Strength: 0.368 (293rd)
Record Quality: -0.149 (242nd)
Avg. Season Rank: 289.40 (295th)
Pace: 70.92 (62nd)
Momentum: 0.56 (152nd)
Off. Momentum: 2.63 (60th)
Def. Momentum: -2.07 (268th)
Consistency: -8.92 (92nd)
Res. Consistency: -11.00 (100th)
Away From Home: -0.92 (261st)
Paper Tiger Factor: -2.82 (312th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 104.26 27.00 74.58 81.63 43.33 36.98 36.22 19.76 37.30 24.88 58.69 10.31 14.69 4.92 45.30 24.21 30.49 2.15
RANK: 150th 136th 64th 266th 195th 41st 88th 217th 106th 333rd 196th 244th 114th 277th 24th 204th 323rd 342nd

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 114.45 24.02 -- 85.47 49.13 35.61 37.51 20.38 39.71 29.48 69.66 11.60 13.33 7.43 41.66 23.84 34.50 2.07
RANK: 338th 82nd -- 262nd 345th 308th 311th 156th 314th 125th 350th 172nd 155th 304th 291st 124th 110th 71st

ANALYSIS:
If you're looking for a squad in the bottom quartile of all Division I basketball teams this year, Montana State likely fits the bill. Their record this season is 15-17, and the club is ranked 265th overall (out of 353) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #6 team (out of 11) in the Big Sky (average ranking 257.4).

Based on the data, Montana State will likely find more success on offense than on defense. Scoring about 104 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #150 slot in the rankings for offensive efficiency. Montana State lives and dies by the three-ball and will launch from long-distance early and often. The team ranks 24th in ratio of three-point attempts to total field goal attempts. If you do allow them to shoot from long, they have the ability to punish you for it, too. Ranked in the top-100 in three-point shooting percentage, they make approximately 36.2% of their three-point attempts vs. AO. Montana State also converts a fair amount of its free throws. Making 74.6% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked 64th nationally in free throw percentage.

Unfortunately, Montana State is not even remotely close to being as good on defense as they are on offense. The team is ranked 338th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 114 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Montana State can be counted on to make some of the inferior shooting teams look pretty capable. The team ranks in the bottom-50 in each of the four major defensive field goal shooting categories. They allow AO to make 37.5% of their three-pointers (43rd-worst in the nation), 39.7% of their mid-range jumpers (40th-worst), 69.7% of their near-proximity chances (fourth-worst), and 49.1% of their total shots from the field (ninth-worst). Montana State also gives up too many chances to easily score off of offensive rebounds. The team allows AO to convert 7.4% of all second-chance opportunities (304th nationally).
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When facing teams that prefer the outside shot, Montana State often performs better than normal. Montana State is more efficient than usual 80% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.02. In their other contests, Montana State performs better than the norm 36% of the time.
Montana State does better vs. clubs that allow opponents to shoot well from the field. When playing squads that have a defensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 45.56%, Montana State performs above average 80% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 36% of the time.
Montana State performs worse against squads that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities. When facing teams that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 82.81, Montana State is more efficient than normal 52% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 90% of the time.
LATEST NEWS ITEMS:
UI men chip away at big deficit but can’t overcome Bobcats
(3/14/2019 1:17:00 PM) Montana State held off Idaho’s second-half rally and defeated the Vandals 75-71 for its first tournament victory in more than a decade. “Always tough when it comes to an end and I think ...
Deconstructing Tyler: Points have come easier than wins, but Montana State's Hall makes final stand
(3/12/2019 9:18:00 PM) BOISE, Idaho — Retired Montana State radio voice Dean Alexander has closely observed Big Sky Conference basketball since 1973, the year he first joined the Bobcats' broadcast team. Alexander’s ...
Bobcat men fall to Portland State, lose chance at first-round bye
(3/10/2019 8:44:00 AM) Whatever run, whatever energizing play Montana State made, Portland State had an answer ... Portland State countered all the Bobcats had to offer and went on to take an 84-80 victory on Saturday in the regular-season finale in Portland.
Montana looks to keep status quo, Montana State aims for upset in 298th Cat-Griz meeting
(2/1/2019 7:00:00 PM) ... was able to wrestle away the advantage in its age-old men’s basketball series from Montana State with a sweep of the Bobcats last season. The Grizzlies have now won 149 meetings to MSU’s 148.
N. Colorado fends off late Montana State rally for 73-70 win
(1/15/2019 6:27:00 AM) The Bears (11-6, 5-1) moved a half-game over idle Weber State (10-6, 4-1) and a game ahead of Montana ... Bobcats with 25 points on five 3s and Blevins grabbed 10 rebounds. Related Articles Once considered a strength, team depth thinning for CU Buffs ...
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-25181st181st231st227thBig Sky259th177th218th277th288th156th
2023-24203rd202nd205th235thBig Sky105th179th266th89th108th227th
2022-23115th115th45th91stBig Sky220th59th189th279th171st119th
2021-22142nd141st21st88thBig Sky163rd244th303rd213th30th141st
2020-21199th199th133rd191stBig Sky177th124th216th186th54th202nd
2019-20223rd222nd183rd189thBig Sky225th328th171st158th189th193rd
2018-19265th265th212th242ndBig Sky62nd92nd293rd312th261st295th
2017-18269th269th253rd264thBig Sky106th100th229th94th186th256th
2016-17239th239th179th237thBig Sky136th75th307th145th163rd225th
2015-16250th249th213th247thBig Sky157th68th289th134th319th253rd
2014-15321st321st335th326thBig Sky100th326th235th293rd197th317th
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25220th305th160th228th164th101st240th266th214th204th95th284th344th327th88th268th179th253rd
2023-24197th305th155th330th98th92nd52nd259th205th314th68th97th357th336th50th225th283rd311th
2022-23156th3rd19th361st140th318th276th248th175th180th115th181st301st350th267th181st84th84th
2021-22166th36th78th354th108th224th124th217th83rd298th116th346th243rd319th161st153rd237th227th
2020-21224th13th52nd350th209th301st331st135th215th279th72nd279th226th131st254th89th211th150th
2019-20251st57th74th352nd206th278th250th212th263rd251st149th308th275th291st209th148th156th142nd
2018-19150th136th64th266th195th41st88th217th106th333rd196th244th114th277th24th204th323rd342nd
2017-18232nd60th68th177th330th92nd272nd207th349th250th259th311th94th274th86th207th250th277th
2016-17192nd205th78th170th287th30th152nd153rd200th334th267th330th235th316th35th154th338th338th
2015-16158th309th192nd19th260th20th82nd127th154th317th283rd351st132nd285th38th177th336th337th
2014-15316th340th167th128th332nd43rd152nd137th296th329th343rd351st227th302nd46th147th328th333rd
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25205th232nd--281st156th28th65th287th163rd338th133rd135th121st161st11th268th315th344th
2023-24220th248th--142nd263rd44th184th106th134th343rd233rd251st197th219th47th104th347th345th
2022-2394th252nd--51st141st7th198th296th221st154th69th132nd37th32nd17th328th219th301st
2021-22164th262nd--132nd157th19th176th304th166th234th87th262nd141st149th22nd315th248th315th
2020-21218th314th--117th151st84th169th229th155th185th144th205th185th131st85th248th210th249th
2019-20180th192nd--234th106th322nd120th138th128th104th176th229th137th47th317th124th77th52nd
2018-19338th82nd--262nd345th308th311th156th314th125th350th172nd155th304th291st124th110th71st
2017-18306th211th--235th302nd186th157th220th249th193rd345th196th225th310th149th217th166th171st
2016-17281st342nd--84th232nd183rd263rd201st116th60th309th148th212th277th216th237th93rd96th
2015-16318th338th--154th300th185th249th243rd227th106th341st95th237th188th186th250th109th127th
2014-15316th317th--109th307th42nd327th246th270th191st266th247th114th234th53rd268th212th272nd