Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 Montana State15-17 (0.469) | Big Sky
All-Play Percentage: 0.250 (265th)
Schedule Strength: 0.368 (293rd)
Record Quality: -0.149 (242nd)
Avg. Season Rank: 289.40 (295th)
Pace: 70.92 (62nd)
Momentum: 0.56 (152nd)
Off. Momentum: 2.63 (60th)
Def. Momentum: -2.07 (268th)
Consistency: -8.92 (92nd)
Res. Consistency: -11.00 (100th)
Away From Home: -0.92 (261st)
Paper Tiger Factor: -2.82 (312th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
104.26
70.87
27.00
74.58
81.63
35.37
43.33
36.98
13.39
36.22
19.76
7.37
37.30
24.88
14.60
58.69
10.31
14.69
4.92
45.30
24.21
30.49
2.15
RANK:
150th
62nd
136th
64th
266th
231st
195th
41st
32nd
88th
217th
181st
106th
333rd
322nd
196th
244th
114th
277th
24th
204th
323rd
342nd
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
114.45
70.98
24.02
--
85.47
41.99
49.13
35.61
13.36
37.51
20.38
8.09
39.71
29.48
20.54
69.66
11.60
13.33
7.43
41.66
23.84
34.50
2.07
RANK:
338th
293rd
82nd
--
262nd
345th
345th
308th
333rd
311th
156th
259th
314th
125th
299th
350th
172nd
155th
304th
291st
124th
110th
71st
ANALYSIS: If you're looking for a squad in the bottom quartile of all Division I basketball teams this year, Montana State likely fits the bill. Their record this season is 15-17, and the club is ranked 265th overall (out of 353) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #6 team (out of 11) in the Big Sky (average ranking 257.4).
Based on the data, Montana State will likely find more success on offense than on defense. Scoring about 104 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #150 slot in the rankings for offensive efficiency. Montana State lives and dies by the three-ball and will launch from long-distance early and often. The team ranks 24th in ratio of three-point attempts to total field goal attempts. If you do allow them to shoot from long, they have the ability to punish you for it, too. Ranked in the top-100 in three-point shooting percentage, they make approximately 36.2% of their three-point attempts vs. AO. Montana State also converts a fair amount of its free throws. Making 74.6% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked 64th nationally in free throw percentage.
Unfortunately, Montana State is not even remotely close to being as good on defense as they are on offense. The team is ranked 338th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 114 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Montana State can be counted on to make some of the inferior shooting teams look pretty capable. The team ranks in the bottom-50 in each of the four major defensive field goal shooting categories. They allow AO to make 37.5% of their three-pointers (43rd-worst in the nation), 39.7% of their mid-range jumpers (40th-worst), 69.7% of their near-proximity chances (fourth-worst), and 49.1% of their total shots from the field (ninth-worst). Montana State also gives up too many chances to easily score off of offensive rebounds. The team allows AO to convert 7.4% of all second-chance opportunities (304th nationally).
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When facing teams that prefer the outside shot, Montana State often performs better than normal. Montana State is more efficient than usual 80% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.02. In their other contests, Montana State performs better than the norm 36% of the time.
Montana State does better vs. clubs that allow opponents to shoot well from the field. When playing squads that have a defensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 45.56%, Montana State performs above average 80% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 36% of the time.
Montana State performs worse against squads that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities. When facing teams that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 82.81, Montana State is more efficient than normal 52% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 90% of the time.
LATEST NEWS ITEMS:
UI men chip away at big deficit but can’t overcome Bobcats (3/14/2019 1:17:00 PM) Montana State held off Idaho’s second-half rally and defeated the Vandals 75-71 for its first tournament victory in more than a decade. “Always tough when it comes to an end and I think ...
Bobcat men fall to Portland State, lose chance at first-round bye (3/10/2019 8:44:00 AM) Whatever run, whatever energizing play Montana State made, Portland State had an answer ... Portland State countered all the Bobcats had to offer and went on to take an 84-80 victory on Saturday in the regular-season finale in Portland.
N. Colorado fends off late Montana State rally for 73-70 win (1/15/2019 6:27:00 AM) The Bears (11-6, 5-1) moved a half-game over idle Weber State (10-6, 4-1) and a game ahead of Montana ... Bobcats with 25 points on five 3s and Blevins grabbed 10 rebounds. Related Articles Once considered a strength, team depth thinning for CU Buffs ...
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