TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2020-21 Michigan  23-5 (0.821)  |  Big Ten
All-Play Percentage: 0.994 (3rd)
Schedule Strength: 0.785 (30th)
Record Quality: 0.577 (3rd)
Avg. Season Rank: 6.58 (3rd)
Pace: 67.45 (293rd)
Momentum: -2.34 (279th)
Off. Momentum: -2.08 (311th)
Def. Momentum: -0.26 (162nd)
Consistency: -11.28 (330th)
Res. Consistency: -17.08 (331st)
Away From Home: -1.71 (310th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 3.46 (3rd)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 5, 2021. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 116.46 25.93 78.13 83.92 50.57 28.14 40.24 23.74 41.34 32.04 66.49 8.75 14.73 7.18 33.53 28.29 38.18 1.95
RANK: 7th 127th 19th 84th 4th 267th 2nd 155th 66th 41st 11th 298th 78th 26th 286th 178th 54th 47th

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 87.23 18.06 -- 87.30 37.33 26.91 30.46 33.14 31.15 27.26 51.64 8.83 10.69 3.03 30.82 37.96 31.22 2.00
RANK: 4th 6th -- 342nd 2nd 40th 23rd 355th 6th 144th 12th 41st 49th 11th 14th 353rd 74th 261st

ANALYSIS:
There aren't many teams in the country that have been as strong as Michigan this year. They have a record of 23-5 and are ranked third overall (out of 357) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the best team (out of 14) in the Big Ten (average ranking 44.1).

Michigan is one of the most menacing defensive teams in the country. Ranked fourth in defensive efficiency, they will allow fewer than 88 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Michigan will wreak havoc with many opponents' shooting percentages this year. And it doesn't really matter where the shots originate; the team ranks in the top-25 in each of the four major defensive shooting categories. They allow AO to make just 30.5% of their three-pointers (23rd in the nation), 31.2% of their mid-range shots (sixth), 51.6% of their near-proximity attempts (12th), and 37.3% of their total shots from the field (second). Michigan is also a superior unit when it comes to preventing opponents from getting to the foul line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 18.06 vs. AO, they are currently rated sixth in the country in that category. Michigan lastly does a fantastic job to prevent opposing teams from capitalizing on chances from offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 3.0% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 11th in the NCAA), and with a rating of 10.69, they're 49th in potential points allowed off of the offensive glass as well. If Michigan does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's propensity to allow too many shot attempts per trip. The squad has a rating of 87.30 in defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO, which ranks 16th-worst in college basketball.

The frightening part is that Michigan is almost as dominant on the offensive end of the floor as they are on the defensive end of it. The team ranks seventh nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 116 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Michigan is a very dangerous team when it comes to shooting the rock, ranking in the top-25 in three of our four major field goal categories. They convert 40.2% of their three-pointers (second in the nation), 66.5% of their near-proximity attempts (11th), and 50.6% of their total shots from the field (fourth) vs. AO. Michigan is also deadly accurate at the free throw line. Making 78.1% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked 19th nationally in free throw percentage.

Michigan has been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 330th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most. When playing on the road, Michigan performs somewhat worse than they normally do on their home court. The club is nationally ranked 310th in our site's away-from-home metric.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When facing teams that favor a faster tempo, Michigan often performs worse than normal. Michigan is more efficient than usual 13% of the time when facing teams that have a pace vs. AO greater than 71.01. In their other contests, Michigan performs better than the norm 70% of the time.
Michigan does better vs. clubs that do a nice job converting inside the paint. When playing squads that have an offensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 59.77%, Michigan performs above average 70% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 13% of the time.
Michigan performs worse against squads that have trouble defending the mid-range shot. When facing teams that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 34.09%, Michigan is more efficient than normal 33% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 77% of the time.
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HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-2526th24th37th9thBig Ten52nd233rd4th310th123rd28th
2023-24133rd132nd337th210thBig Ten192nd208th3rd178th253rd82nd
2022-2353rd53rd176th88thBig Ten200th276th27th2nd184th59th
2021-2221st21st153rd54thBig Ten223rd213th3rd203rd210th26th
2020-213rd3rd12th3rdBig Ten293rd330th30th3rd310th3rd
2019-2013th13th102nd40thBig Ten177th136th6th336th247th13th
2018-197th7th15th10thBig Ten332nd255th25th17th69th5th
2017-187th7th12th6thBig Ten323rd230th28th252nd90th19th
2016-1715th15th59th26thBig Ten341st340th25th275th177th22nd
2015-1655th55th87th55thBig Ten315th149th54th348th164th36th
2014-1537th37th179th101stBig Ten342nd295th23rd324th97th59th
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2547th36th171st222nd29th177th144th331st13th23rd79th227th35th29th164th328th14th72nd
2023-24116th165th281st195th90th219th32nd121st115th231st137th282nd136th113th219th115th229th189th
2022-2358th88th244th168th43rd196th48th79th36th283rd61st291st118th24th206th83rd294th241st
2021-2215th91st30th104th11th303rd75th65th24th93rd20th278th71st34th315th73rd115th52nd
2020-217th127th19th84th4th267th2nd155th66th41st11th298th78th26th286th178th54th47th
2019-2018th123rd137th73rd12th111th105th215th42nd99th8th176th209th189th143rd233rd125th176th
2018-1918th217th149th15th29th64th111th255th286th40th15th127th259th237th124th286th88th159th
2017-1834th63rd315th103rd35th33rd155th305th132nd128th7th66th300th212th51st312th150th268th
2016-173rd207th12th58th3rd12th16th261st2nd277th1st93rd315th184th17th284th296th334th
2015-1637th250th41st76th54th14th84th318th118th169th33rd63rd326th292nd23rd327th219th320th
2014-1527th324th9th18th55th31st56th164th5th231st112th142nd335th259th55th214th285th307th
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2512th27th--331st4th300th11th353rd15th24th28th215th174th30th254th347th11th34th
2023-24186th78th--291st204th93rd176th211th9th326th294th287th305th283rd66th182nd303rd319th
2022-2347th18th--327th48th114th48th304th25th286th72nd139th90th15th69th275th242nd283rd
2021-2265th15th--279th86th107th42nd346th199th79th121st13th6th10th78th344th47th162nd
2020-214th6th--342nd2nd40th23rd355th6th144th12th41st49th11th14th353rd74th261st
2019-2016th20th--231st47th11th109th351st90th119th43rd7th59th53rd7th351st92nd291st
2018-192nd5th--230th7th12th1st324th1st269th39th9th174th47th9th327th256th329th
2017-183rd52nd--98th17th11th14th346th79th31st52nd5th39th76th16th350th41st182nd
2016-1754th10th--216th158th15th129th342nd211th154th145th5th136th166th11th343rd137th288th
2015-1695th14th--198th171st175th123rd283rd239th97th234th31st6th34th163rd288th90th125th
2014-1572nd10th--288th113th210th21st189th178th259th159th8th246th294th164th147th218th206th