Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 UMass15-18 (0.455) | Atlantic 10
All-Play Percentage: 0.526 (168th)
Schedule Strength: 0.567 (107th)
Record Quality: 0.013 (162nd)
Avg. Season Rank: 131.77 (131st)
Pace: 73.71 (22nd)
Momentum: -2.32 (274th)
Off. Momentum: -0.97 (261st)
Def. Momentum: -1.34 (231st)
Consistency: -8.87 (165th)
Res. Consistency: -11.65 (194th)
Away From Home: -0.25 (175th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 1.21 (26th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
97.88
73.67
26.44
65.70
79.94
35.53
44.44
31.24
9.44
30.24
14.77
5.40
36.58
33.94
20.68
60.95
13.98
15.99
7.81
39.07
18.47
42.45
1.97
RANK:
224th
23rd
208th
308th
262nd
183rd
146th
118th
243rd
332nd
345th
344th
168th
15th
23rd
123rd
26th
95th
68th
99th
344th
8th
83rd
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
98.59
73.75
31.35
--
78.46
33.43
42.61
26.16
9.60
36.71
20.07
7.34
36.58
32.23
16.48
51.14
10.09
15.83
7.29
33.34
25.58
41.08
1.92
RANK:
98th
329th
311th
--
46th
53rd
95th
38th
88th
240th
45th
40th
154th
306th
142nd
13th
118th
260th
233rd
65th
63rd
335th
325th
ANALYSIS: As an average to slightly above-average foe, UMass should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. They are ranked #168 (out of 351) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 15-18. They are also ranked by this site as the #10 team (out of 14) in the A-10 (average ranking 126.9).
While favoring a very up-tempo style of play (the 22nd-fastest pace in D1), the primary strength for UMass is defense. The team is ranked 98th in efficiency, allowing fewer than 99 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. UMass does tremendous work shutting down the opposition from the inside. They are ranked 13th in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 51.1% of their attempts from close-up. And to capitalize on that weakness, this team will make AO shoot from the inside more than they usually would. Of AO's total field goals, a big portion of them (41.1%) will be from short-distance. UMass also does a pretty solid job providing themselves chances to score quickly off of steals. They're ranked 26th in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 13.98. (Predictably, this aggressive style of play tends to result in too many fouls -- the team has a defensive free throw attempt rate of 31.35, ranked #311 in the country -- so they need to be wary of opponents that can convert from the foul line.)
The offense for UMass, on the other hand, isn't nearly as efficient as the defense is. The team is ranked 224th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 98 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. UMass is one of the least accurate teams when shooting from long-distance. They are ranked 332nd in three-point field goal percentage nationally and make just 30.2% of their attempts from long vs. AO. UMass is also not one of the better teams when it comes to sinking foul shots. Converting just 65.7% of their attempts, the squad is ranked #308 overall in free throw percentage.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
UMass is typically better vs. teams that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities. Against foes that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 9.01, UMass performs above their norm 68% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 18% of the time.
When facing teams that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities, UMass often performs worse than normal. UMass is more efficient than usual 20% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 81.79. In their other contests, UMass performs better than the norm 65% of the time.
UMass does worse vs. clubs that allow opponents to shoot well from the field. When playing squads that have a defensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 42.85%, UMass performs above average 35% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 77% of the time.
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