Automated Team Capsule for 2023-24 N. Kentucky18-15 (0.545) | Horizon
All-Play Percentage: 0.479 (189th)
Schedule Strength: 0.392 (219th)
Record Quality: -0.004 (181st)
Avg. Season Rank: 185.71 (179th)
Pace: 68.51 (121st)
Momentum: 0.98 (127th)
Off. Momentum: 1.62 (97th)
Def. Momentum: -0.64 (191st)
Consistency: -8.44 (77th)
Res. Consistency: -10.18 (46th)
Away From Home: -0.72 (249th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -1.10 (198th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 8, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
102.52
68.40
26.74
71.89
85.66
36.88
43.05
29.84
9.54
31.96
28.01
12.89
46.02
27.81
14.45
51.96
13.10
12.09
4.38
34.84
32.69
32.47
2.02
RANK:
224th
130th
167th
192nd
167th
217th
231st
243rd
278th
293rd
58th
13th
7th
286th
332nd
333rd
93rd
237th
290th
247th
54th
297th
208th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
104.94
68.62
24.84
--
84.97
37.79
44.47
35.28
11.24
31.86
21.12
10.07
47.66
28.57
16.48
57.69
10.71
13.26
5.40
41.52
24.86
33.62
2.08
RANK:
158th
247th
119th
--
141st
183rd
198th
323rd
236th
52nd
109th
281st
360th
89th
95th
167th
123rd
174th
168th
334th
112th
95th
45th
ANALYSIS: They're far from the worst of the worst, but N. Kentucky should not be a terribly frightening opponent for most clubs. Ranked 189th overall (out of 362) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 18-15. Of the 11 schools in the Horizon League (average ranking 220.8), they're currently ranked as our #5 team in the conference.
Based on their performances this year, N. Kentucky will likely find more success on defense than they will on offense. Allowing about 105 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #158 slot in the ratings for defensive efficiency. N. Kentucky owns a pretty good track record against teams that shoot the three. They rank 52nd in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 31.9% of their attempts from afar. And to expose that weakness, this team will force AO to shoot the three more than they usually would. Of AO's total field goals, a large chunk of them (41.5%) will come from long-distance. If N. Kentucky does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's troubles stopping opponents from converting mid-range jumpers. AO will make good on 47.7% of their mid-range field goal attempts, and the squad ranks third-worst in that category because of it.
N. Kentucky doesn't perform as well offensively as they do defensively. The team is ranked 224th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 103 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. N. Kentucky won't provide opponents much of a scare with their shooting percentage from the inside. The team is ranked 333rd in near-proximity field goal percentage, making only 52.0% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. If N. Kentucky does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's ability to successfully hit from mid-range locations on the court. The team makes 46.0% of their in-between field goal attempts vs. AO, which ranks seventh in the NCAA.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When facing teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot, N. Kentucky often performs worse than normal. N. Kentucky is more efficient than usual 23% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 39.49%. In their other contests, N. Kentucky performs better than the norm 72% of the time.
N. Kentucky does better vs. clubs that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds. When playing squads that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 5.08%, N. Kentucky performs above average 68% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 25% of the time.
N. Kentucky performs better against squads that convert well from the charity stripe. When facing teams that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 0.71%, N. Kentucky is more efficient than normal 64% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 22% of the time.
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