TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2020-21 Northwestern  9-15 (0.375)  |  Big Ten
All-Play Percentage: 0.736 (95th)
Schedule Strength: 0.800 (17th)
Record Quality: 0.039 (152nd)
Avg. Season Rank: 79.12 (74th)
Pace: 69.32 (206th)
Momentum: 0.83 (131st)
Off. Momentum: -2.28 (315th)
Def. Momentum: 3.11 (18th)
Consistency: -8.86 (132nd)
Res. Consistency: -10.66 (92nd)
Away From Home: 0.65 (123rd)
Paper Tiger Factor: -2.64 (292nd)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 5, 2021. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 101.42 21.37 72.28 80.67 45.98 33.54 35.17 23.73 41.63 23.40 65.87 12.04 9.76 5.54 41.57 29.41 29.01 2.13
RANK: 138th 303rd 136th 236th 70th 86th 110th 156th 59th 323rd 19th 118th 318th 108th 72nd 145th 331st 319th

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 92.55 22.14 -- 80.61 40.80 33.87 32.70 23.23 37.69 23.51 55.57 10.72 10.96 4.64 42.02 28.81 29.16 2.13
RANK: 42nd 86th -- 103rd 52nd 308th 104th 178th 148th 23rd 70th 147th 64th 142nd 327th 205th 24th 23rd

ANALYSIS:
Northwestern is a fairly decent basketball team that, while likely better than average, isn't quite good enough to crack any top-25 rankings this year. Haslametrics has them ranked 95th overall (out of 357) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 9-15. Of the 14 schools in the Big Ten (average ranking 44.1), they're currently ranked as our #13 team in the conference. With a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.800 (which ranks 17th nationally), Northwestern is one of the more battle-tested teams in the college game.

Northwestern will mainly try to find success through their defense. They are ranked 42nd in defensive efficiency and allow fewer than 93 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Northwestern has had some success this season preventing opponents from converting many of their overall field goal attempts. The team ranks #52 nationally in field goal percentage allowed, as AO only makes good on about 40.8% of their total attempts from the floor. Northwestern also does a fairly satisfactory job to deny opponents chances to score off of the offensive glass. They have a rating of 10.96 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked 64th in the country).

Northwestern is also a fairly decent team on the offensive end of the court. The team ranks 138th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 101 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Northwestern is one of the nation's most effective teams finishing close to the iron. The team is ranked 19th in the country in near-proximity field goal percentage, making approximately 65.9% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. However, even with their high conversion rate on near-proximity attempts, this team usually settles for shots from longer distances. Only about 29.0% of their total attempts vs. AO are from the inside. Northwestern also does fairly solid work converting shots between the three-point stripe and the low post. The squad is ranked 59th nationally in mid-range field goal percentage, making about 41.6% of their attempts from those locations vs. AO. If Northwestern does have a weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's difficulties obtaining second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad only has a rating of 9.76 vs. AO in potential points off of second chances, which ranks 40th-worst in college hoops.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Northwestern does worse vs. clubs that tend to get off more shots. When playing squads that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 83.61, Northwestern performs above average 20% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 77% of the time.
Northwestern performs better against squads that allow more chances at the line. When facing teams that have a defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 24.07, Northwestern is more efficient than normal 80% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 31% of the time.
When playing teams that aren't terribly skilled defensively, Northwestern usually performs better than average. Northwestern is more efficient than normal 71% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 92.64. In all other contests, Northwestern performs better than average 22% of the time.
LATEST NEWS ITEMS:
Northwestern men get shut out for the final 4:20 of a 51-46 loss to Minnesota in the Big Ten Tournament opener
(3/10/2021 9:54:29 PM) Minnesota snapped a seven-game skid with a 51-46 win over Northwestern in the first round of the Big Ten Tournament. The Wildcats didn’t help their cause down the stretch. After taking a 46-39 lead with 4:20 to go, they never scored again.
Gophers top Northwestern 51-46 to advance in Big Ten tournament
(3/10/2021 9:35:24 PM) Tre Williams scored 14 points and Minnesota snapped a seven-game skid with a 51-46 win over Northwestern
Williams helps Minnesota knock off Northwestern 51-46
(3/10/2021 9:26:42 PM) INDIANAPOLIS - Tre Williams scored 14 points and Jamal Mashburn Jr. 11 and Minnesota snapped a seven-game skid with a 51-46 win over Northwestern in t...
Gophers hold off Northwestern 51-46 in Big Ten tournament, win first game away from home this season
(3/10/2021 8:52:50 PM) The Gophers started hot, and finished hotter - on a 12-0 run - to eliminate the Wildcats. Minnesota advances to play Ohio State on Thursday.
2021 Big Ten Tournament bracket, schedule: Live scores, updates, dates, live stream for March Madness - CBSSports.com
(3/10/2021 8:50:00 PM) <ol><li>2021 Big Ten Tournament bracket, schedule: Live scores, updates, dates, live stream for March Madness  CBSSports.com </li><li>A Look Back at the 2020 Big Ten Tournament | Big Ten Basketball  Big Ten Network </li><li>Illinois AD Pens Scathing Letter …
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-2547th47th183rd78thBig Ten310th179th26th264th196th49th
2023-2444th44th78th49thBig Ten341st244th59th3rd285th49th
2022-2338th38th78th32ndBig Ten316th310th31st179th16th53rd
2021-2293rd93rd201st126thBig Ten118th209th45th219th187th56th
2020-2195th95th261st152ndBig Ten206th132nd17th292nd123rd74th
2019-20120th120th326th232ndBig Ten275th244th12th27th14th117th
2018-1975th75th249th154thBig Ten258th68th40th351st347th61st
2017-1873rd73rd206th121stBig Ten339th340th38th347th345th67th
2016-1736th36th61st38thBig Ten285th156th44th75th150th29th
2015-1667th67th98th90thBig Ten343rd220th124th349th235th70th
2014-15120th120th205th128thBig Ten341st241st52nd263rd31st125th
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2566th82nd160th57th89th234th128th25th17th294th134th185th12th36th262nd29th315th214th
2023-2435th188th46th49th76th145th5th85th49th229th203rd204th106th147th184th109th266th227th
2022-2370th77th53rd33rd227th48th183rd200th244th183rd159th88th14th129th81st238th242nd285th
2021-22105th171st170th84th165th106th82nd145th87th227th233rd220th45th46th130th171st253rd249th
2020-21138th303rd136th236th70th86th110th156th59th323rd19th118th318th108th72nd145th331st319th
2019-20123rd212th98th98th127th208th136th65th150th229th84th287th266th282nd237th72nd256th180th
2018-19171st226th68th63rd250th68th280th172nd238th218th154th181st304th294th94th189th251st268th
2017-1871st222nd92nd14th153rd53rd118th97th101st265th119th306th47th90th93rd118th302nd296th
2016-1744th123rd36th34th86th157th157th64th43rd239th53rd203rd61st101st199th75th274th216th
2015-1682nd312th291st6th124th19th157th122nd123rd291st31st224th107th183rd48th190th327th332nd
2014-1591st318th16th130th103rd47th90th166th41st297th108th316th279th131st57th183rd304th315th
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2536th170th--54th28th161st85th258th79th38th21st44th122nd53rd228th291st55th83rd
2023-2447th184th--40th85th141st84th110th92nd156th80th13th28th4th202nd148th210th198th
2022-2315th130th--37th34th242nd99th104th10th45th87th17th114th22nd307th149th72nd52nd
2021-2282nd152nd--46th80th277th281st79th98th52nd32nd112th131st83rd317th118th88th53rd
2020-2142nd86th--103rd52nd308th104th178th148th23rd70th147th64th142nd327th205th24th23rd
2019-20125th76th--298th53rd337th207th121st17th154th67th57th128th215th321st90th102nd57th
2018-1923rd202nd--105th42nd18th6th169th64th310th37th113th9th12th17th183rd328th341st
2017-1883rd166th--108th61st279th159th151st52nd66th72nd184th67th159th301st176th83rd59th
2016-1723rd216th--192nd18th171st29th295th8th86th48th266th45th6th152nd297th78th127th
2015-1657th82nd--256th25th276th161st316th55th22nd35th52nd166th113th252nd308th11th34th
2014-15144th77th--336th55th322nd286th320th67th73rd29th60th196th41st285th269th24th40th