TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 Northwestern  13-19 (0.406)  |  Big Ten
All-Play Percentage: 0.790 (75th)
Schedule Strength: 0.719 (40th)
Record Quality: 0.043 (154th)
Avg. Season Rank: 64.58 (61st)
Pace: 67.32 (258th)
Momentum: 0.62 (148th)
Off. Momentum: -0.64 (246th)
Def. Momentum: 1.25 (78th)
Consistency: -8.63 (68th)
Res. Consistency: -9.64 (32nd)
Away From Home: -2.63 (347th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -4.82 (351st)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 102.93 24.94 74.54 86.14 42.24 35.78 32.35 21.28 34.37 29.08 60.17 11.35 11.19 4.68 41.53 24.71 33.76 2.08
RANK: 171st 226th 68th 63rd 250th 68th 280th 172nd 238th 218th 154th 181st 304th 294th 94th 189th 251st 268th

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 93.71 26.50 -- 81.92 40.66 27.36 29.19 20.52 33.34 34.04 54.29 10.77 10.39 4.07 33.40 25.05 41.55 1.92
RANK: 23rd 202nd -- 105th 42nd 18th 6th 169th 64th 310th 37th 113th 9th 12th 17th 183rd 328th 341st

ANALYSIS:
Despite what their win percentage might indicate, Northwestern is a good team that can cause more than enough trouble for most opponents. Carrying a record of 13-19, they are currently rated #75 overall (out of 353) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the 14 schools in the Big Ten (average ranking 37.8), they're currently ranked as our #13 team in the conference.

The Northwestern defense will be extremely problematic for most opposing offenses. Allowing about 94 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, the club is ranked 23rd overall in defensive efficiency. Northwestern will take a bite out of many opponents' shooting percentages, based on the fact that the team ranks in the top-50 in three of our four primary defensive field goal categories. They allow AO to convert only 29.2% of their three-pointers (sixth in the nation), 54.3% of their near-proximity attempts (37th), and 40.7% of their total shots from the field (42nd). Northwestern also does a super job to deny opponents offensive rebounds and second chances. They have a rating of 10.39 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked ninth in the country), and they allow AO to convert just 4.1% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked 12th) as well.

Though they're not quite as efficient offensively as they are defensively, Northwestern still does OK when they have possession of the ball. The team ranks 171st nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 103 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Northwestern does a pretty decent job in most cases to maximize opportunities to score on offense. The team is ranked 63rd in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 86.14 vs. AO. As far as making those field goal attempts goes, the team is somewhat middle-of-the-road, converting about 42.2% of them vs. AO. Northwestern also converts a fair amount of its free throws. Making 74.5% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked 68th nationally in free throw percentage. If Northwestern does have a weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's difficulties obtaining second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad only has a rating of 11.19 vs. AO in potential points off of second chances, which ranks 50th-worst in college hoops.

On the road, Northwestern performs noticeably worse than they do at home. The team is currently ranked seventh from the bottom in the country in the away-from-home metric we track.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Northwestern is typically better vs. teams that do not defend well on the perimeter. Against foes that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 32.39%, Northwestern performs above their norm 67% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 27% of the time.
When facing teams that find ways to get to the free throw line, Northwestern often performs worse than normal. Northwestern is more efficient than usual 27% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 28.38. In their other contests, Northwestern performs better than the norm 67% of the time.
Northwestern does worse vs. clubs that convert well from outside the arc. When playing squads that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 33.66%, Northwestern performs above average 41% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 80% of the time.
LATEST NEWS ITEMS:
Breaking down Iowa basketball’s matchup against Illinois
(3/14/2019 12:35:00 PM) Following its 74-69 overtime win over Northwestern, Illinois advanced to take on Iowa on Thursday in the second round of the Big Ten Tournament in Chicago. The Hawkeyes and Illini will clash 25 minutes after the conclusion of Penn State-Minnesota.
Big Ten Tournament: UI vs. Northwestern
(3/14/2019 11:22:00 AM) Illinois takes on Northwestern during an NCAA college basketball game in the first round of the Big Ten Tournament at the United Center in Chicago, Wednesday, March 13, 2019. Illinois won the game 74-69 in overtime and will advance to play Iowa in the late ...
Northwestern vs Illinois: 2019 Big Ten Tournament Preview, TV schedule
(3/13/2019 10:36:00 AM) Tonight, Illinois basketball will take on Northwestern basketball ... During the month of January, the Wildcats played their best basketball, winning three conference games.
Edwards scores 21, No. 11 Purdue cruises to 70-57 victory over Northwestern
(3/9/2019 9:56:00 PM) EVANSTON, Ill. — A shaky start to the season didn’t rattle Purdue. The Boilermakers believed they were setting themselves up to go on a big run, and look at them now. Carsen Edwards scored 21 points and No. 11 Purdue clinched a share of the Big Ten ...
Purdue tops Northwestern, clinches 24th Big Ten title
(3/9/2019 9:00:00 PM) EVANSTON, Illinois – This was supposed to be a rebuilding year for Purdue. The Boilermakers weren't supposed ... after it clinched that conference title with a rock-solid 70-57 road win over Northwestern was defiant. "It almost makes it more special ...
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-2546th46th183rd79thBig Ten310th180th26th266th196th49th
2023-2444th44th78th49thBig Ten341st244th59th3rd285th49th
2022-2338th38th78th32ndBig Ten316th310th31st179th16th53rd
2021-2293rd93rd201st126thBig Ten118th209th45th219th187th56th
2020-2195th95th261st152ndBig Ten206th132nd17th292nd123rd74th
2019-20120th120th326th232ndBig Ten275th244th12th27th14th117th
2018-1975th75th249th154thBig Ten258th68th40th351st347th61st
2017-1873rd73rd206th121stBig Ten339th340th38th347th345th67th
2016-1736th36th61st38thBig Ten285th156th44th75th150th29th
2015-1667th67th98th90thBig Ten343rd220th124th349th235th70th
2014-15120th120th205th128thBig Ten341st241st52nd263rd31st125th
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2565th81st161st59th89th233rd128th25th18th294th133rd185th12th37th261st29th317th217th
2023-2435th188th46th49th76th145th5th85th49th229th203rd204th106th147th184th109th266th227th
2022-2370th77th53rd33rd227th48th183rd200th244th183rd159th88th14th129th81st238th242nd285th
2021-22105th171st170th84th165th106th82nd145th87th227th233rd220th45th46th130th171st253rd249th
2020-21138th303rd136th236th70th86th110th156th59th323rd19th118th318th108th72nd145th331st319th
2019-20123rd212th98th98th127th208th136th65th150th229th84th287th266th282nd237th72nd256th180th
2018-19171st226th68th63rd250th68th280th172nd238th218th154th181st304th294th94th189th251st268th
2017-1871st222nd92nd14th153rd53rd118th97th101st265th119th306th47th90th93rd118th302nd296th
2016-1744th123rd36th34th86th157th157th64th43rd239th53rd203rd61st101st199th75th274th216th
2015-1682nd312th291st6th124th19th157th122nd123rd291st31st224th107th183rd48th190th327th332nd
2014-1591st318th16th130th103rd47th90th166th41st297th108th316th279th131st57th183rd304th315th
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2536th171st--53rd28th161st90th257th77th39th21st39th123rd54th227th290th55th83rd
2023-2447th184th--40th85th141st84th110th92nd156th80th13th28th4th202nd148th210th198th
2022-2315th130th--37th34th242nd99th104th10th45th87th17th114th22nd307th149th72nd52nd
2021-2282nd152nd--46th80th277th281st79th98th52nd32nd112th131st83rd317th118th88th53rd
2020-2142nd86th--103rd52nd308th104th178th148th23rd70th147th64th142nd327th205th24th23rd
2019-20125th76th--298th53rd337th207th121st17th154th67th57th128th215th321st90th102nd57th
2018-1923rd202nd--105th42nd18th6th169th64th310th37th113th9th12th17th183rd328th341st
2017-1883rd166th--108th61st279th159th151st52nd66th72nd184th67th159th301st176th83rd59th
2016-1723rd216th--192nd18th171st29th295th8th86th48th266th45th6th152nd297th78th127th
2015-1657th82nd--256th25th276th161st316th55th22nd35th52nd166th113th252nd308th11th34th
2014-15144th77th--336th55th322nd286th320th67th73rd29th60th196th41st285th269th24th40th