Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 USF8-25 (0.242) | American
All-Play Percentage: 0.314 (241st)
Schedule Strength: 0.616 (88th)
Record Quality: -0.188 (256th)
Avg. Season Rank: 252.72 (254th)
Pace: 68.32 (264th)
Momentum: 0.49 (146th)
Off. Momentum: -0.14 (210th)
Def. Momentum: 0.64 (105th)
Consistency: -9.89 (289th)
Res. Consistency: -13.72 (299th)
Away From Home: 3.45 (2nd)
Paper Tiger Factor: 0.38 (80th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
95.42
68.22
29.23
65.55
80.90
35.02
43.29
19.25
6.21
32.27
29.51
10.15
34.40
32.14
18.66
58.06
8.11
19.63
8.99
23.79
36.48
39.72
1.84
RANK:
275th
266th
147th
320th
234th
200th
191st
351st
350th
283rd
38th
64th
232nd
49th
85th
190th
316th
16th
29th
351st
30th
34th
5th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
102.76
68.43
28.83
--
87.49
36.06
41.22
33.90
10.90
32.15
20.10
6.86
34.12
33.49
18.30
54.65
13.49
19.02
6.89
38.75
22.97
38.28
2.00
RANK:
177th
95th
167th
--
338th
172nd
63rd
338th
259th
45th
36th
24th
93rd
316th
234th
47th
335th
340th
177th
295th
8th
268th
163rd
ANALYSIS: They're far from the worst of the worst, but USF should not be a terribly frightening opponent for most clubs. Ranked 241st overall (out of 351) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 8-25. They are also ranked by this site as the worst team (out of 11) in the AAC (average ranking 108.1).
USF is not one of the better offensive teams you will find. They are rated #275 in efficiency on that end of the court and only score about 95 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. USF tends to be very careless with the ball and allows far too many breakaway opportunities off of their own turnovers. The team's rating for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals vs. AO is 13.49, which ranks 335th in D1. USF is also not one of the better teams when it comes to sinking foul shots. Converting just 65.5% of their attempts, the squad is ranked #320 overall in free throw percentage. If USF does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's knack for obtaining second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad has a rating of 19.63 in potential points off of second chances vs. AO, which ranks 16th in all of college hoops.
Though they rate better on defense than they do on offense, USF still isn't one of the more capable defensive teams in college hoops. Allowing roughly 103 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #177 in the nation in defensive efficiency. USF gives up far too many offensive rebounds and second chances to their opponents. The club has a rating of 19.02 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (340th nationally). USF also allows the opposition to get off far too many shots from the floor. The team is ranked 338th in the nation in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 87.49 vs. AO. If USF does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their ability to hinder opponents from sinking threes. AO will convert only 32.1% of their three-point attempts, and the team ranks 45th-best in the NCAA in that category because of it.
When playing on the road, USF has played their best basketball this season. The team is currently ranked second in the country in the away-from-home metric our site tracks.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
USF is typically worse vs. teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities. Against foes that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 12.26, USF performs above their norm 25% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 71% of the time.
When facing teams that do not defend well on the perimeter, USF often performs worse than normal. USF is more efficient than usual 41% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 32.78%. In their other contests, USF performs better than the norm 82% of the time.
USF does better vs. clubs that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities. When playing squads that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 10.31, USF performs above average 68% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 27% of the time.
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