Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 Colorado State 12-20 (0.375) | Mountain West

All-Play Percentage: 0.509 (174^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.522 (145^th)	Record Quality: -0.123 (232^nd)	Avg. Season Rank: 213.47 (216^th)
Pace: 67.78 (232^nd)	Momentum: 1.18 (115^th)	Off. Momentum: -0.60 (237^th)	Def. Momentum: 1.78 (53^rd)
Consistency: -12.06 (347^th)	Res. Consistency: -17.19 (349^th)	Away From Home: 0.32 (130^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -3.82 (341^st)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

106.10

25.03

69.25

82.79

46.84

31.90

35.14

18.94

41.61

31.96

61.62

13.66

11.73

6.24

38.53

22.87

38.60

2.00

RANK:

112^th

232^nd

237^th

200^th

43^rd

189^th

144^th

237^th

12^th

105^th

109^th

59^th

287^th

136^th

181^st

234^th

95^th

124^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

108.67

22.14

88.58

45.36

35.22

34.98

21.81

41.50

31.55

59.61

10.99

12.32

5.17

39.76

24.62

35.62

2.04

RANK:

276^th

30^th

345^th

226^th

293^rd

199^th

230^th

336^th

225^th

160^th

125^th

66^th

81^st

223^rd

165^th

139^th

136^th

ANALYSIS:
Per this website's calculations, Colorado State is somewhere between an average to slightly above-average D1 ball-club. Ranked 174th overall (out of 353) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 12-20. They are also ranked by this site as the #6 team (out of 11) in the MWC (average ranking 168.5).

Based on the data, Colorado State will likely find more success on offense than on defense. Scoring about 106 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #112 slot in the rankings for offensive efficiency. Colorado State is superb at converting jumpers in between the three-point stripe and the low post. The squad is ranked 12th nationally in mid-range field goal percentage, making about 41.6% of their attempts from those locations vs. AO. The squad likewise lands in the top-50 in overall offensive field goal percentage, making good on about 46.8% of their total attempts vs. AO.

Unfortunately, Colorado State is not even remotely close to being as good on defense as they are on offense. The team is ranked 276th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 109 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Colorado State allows the opposition to get off far too many shots from the floor. The team is ranked ninth from the bottom in the nation in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 88.58 vs. AO. Colorado State also performs really badly when attempting to stop opponents from making mid-range jumpers. The squad is ranked 336th nationally in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on 41.5% of their attempts from those in-between spots on the floor. If Colorado State does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their success preventing opponents from getting to the free throw line. The team has a defensive free throw attempt rate of 22.14 vs. AO, which ranks 30th-best in the country.

Colorado State has been one of the most erratic teams in college basketball this year (currently ranked seventh from the bottom overall in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their future games far more difficult to predict.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Wed 11/7/2018	vs Colorado Christian	---	W 100-66	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 11/10/2018	vs AR-Pine Bluff₃₂₄	W 77.02 - 62.83	W 92-67	2-0	112.04	138.94	▲ 26.90	95.84	78.80	▲ 17.04	▲ 43.94
Wed 11/14/2018	vs Montana State₂₇₆	W 83.76 - 74.12	W 81-77	3-0	117.13	111.59	▼ 5.54	108.39	113.69	▼ 5.30	▼ 10.84
Mon 11/19/2018	vs Louisiana₁₅₆ *	L 77.63 - 79.14	L 73-91	3-1	108.78	73.85	▼ 34.93	109.98	113.64	▼ 3.66	▼ 38.59
Tue 11/20/2018	vs FGCU₂₂₀ *	W 74.60 - 72.29	W 82-74	4-1	109.55	113.89	▲ 4.34	106.27	101.37	▲ 4.90	▲ 9.24
Wed 11/21/2018	vs South Dakota St.₉₁ *	L 76.41 - 83.29	L 65-78	4-2	106.34	91.04	▼ 15.30	116.89	116.92	▼ 0.03	▼ 15.33
Tue 11/27/2018	vs S. Illinois₁₅₉	W 71.25 - 69.21	L 67-82	4-3	104.23	99.26	▼ 4.97	106.90	142.23	▼ 35.33	▼ 40.30
Sat 12/1/2018	@ Colorado₇₃	L 65.76 - 76.93	L 80-86	4-4	100.87	114.38	▲ 13.51	111.42	113.72	▼ 2.30	▲ 11.21
Wed 12/5/2018	vs Arkansas₆₅	L 71.94 - 77.79	L 74-98	4-5	100.45	98.60	▼ 1.85	112.60	133.86	▼ 21.26	▼ 23.11
Sat 12/8/2018	vs Sam Houston₁₆₉	W 73.92 - 70.73	W 71-65	5-5	107.80	96.12	▼ 11.68	108.18	95.35	▲ 12.83	▲ 1.15
Sun 12/16/2018	vs South Dakota₂₂₁	W 73.76 - 67.79	L 63-68	5-6	106.81	98.71	▼ 8.10	103.37	108.75	▼ 5.38	▼ 13.48
Sat 12/22/2018	@ Long Beach St.₂₂₄	L 75.75 - 76.58	L 61-64	5-7	108.25	81.72	▼ 26.53	104.71	79.56	▲ 25.15	▼ 1.38
Sun 12/30/2018	vs New Mexico St.₄₅	L 67.70 - 75.85	L 68-88	5-8	101.46	102.77	▲ 1.31	117.58	150.24	▼ 32.66	▼ 31.35
Wed 1/2/2019	@ UNLV₁₈₃	L 72.18 - 75.18	L 76-78	5-9	110.59	122.18	▲ 11.59	108.89	115.86	▼ 6.97	▲ 4.62
Sat 1/5/2019	@ Fresno State₈₈	L 67.90 - 78.21	L 67-78	5-10	101.24	93.04	▼ 8.20	111.45	108.14	▲ 3.31	▼ 4.89
Tue 1/8/2019	vs Air Force₂₄₅	W 75.42 - 67.94	W 87-64	6-10	109.55	130.26	▲ 20.71	103.79	97.23	▲ 6.56	▲ 27.27
Sat 1/12/2019	vs New Mexico₂₀₁	W 80.44 - 75.30	W 91-76	7-10	109.90	123.66	▲ 13.76	107.23	97.95	▲ 9.28	▲ 23.04
Sat 1/19/2019	@ Utah State₄₆	L 65.99 - 80.97	L 72-87	7-11	99.52	110.19	▲ 10.67	115.23	128.27	▼ 13.04	▼ 2.37
Wed 1/23/2019	@ Nevada₃₂	L 66.30 - 83.14	L 60-100	7-12	98.98	100.01	▲ 1.03	117.25	149.43	▼ 32.18	▼ 31.15
Sat 1/26/2019	vs Fresno State₈₈	L 71.25 - 74.82	W 74-65	8-12	101.24	100.28	▼ 0.96	111.45	92.77	▲ 18.68	▲ 17.72
Tue 1/29/2019	vs Boise State₁₀₉	L 71.10 - 72.75	L 68-70	8-13	105.94	102.12	▼ 3.82	113.10	111.87	▲ 1.23	▼ 2.59
Sat 2/2/2019	@ Air Force₂₄₅	W 72.13 - 71.18	W 85-53	9-13	109.55	143.43	▲ 33.88	103.79	69.15	▲ 34.64	▲ 68.52
Wed 2/6/2019	vs Nevada₃₂	L 69.65 - 79.73	L 82-98	9-14	98.98	116.91	▲ 17.93	117.25	144.38	▼ 27.13	▼ 9.20
Sat 2/9/2019	@ Wyoming₃₀₁	W 73.77 - 68.93	L 66-74	9-15	110.44	100.88	▼ 9.56	98.54	111.79	▼ 13.25	▼ 22.81
Tue 2/12/2019	vs San Diego State₁₃₂	L 70.27 - 70.92	L 60-71	9-16	103.81	82.75	▼ 21.06	109.32	112.33	▼ 3.01	▼ 24.07
Wed 2/20/2019	@ San Jose State₃₄₃	W 79.80 - 67.47	W 91-70	10-16	118.65	132.18	▲ 13.53	95.51	90.74	▲ 4.77	▲ 18.30
Sat 2/23/2019	vs Wyoming₃₀₁	W 77.11 - 65.55	W 83-48	11-16	110.44	116.80	▲ 6.36	98.54	73.19	▲ 25.35	▲ 31.71
Wed 2/27/2019	@ Boise State₁₀₉	L 67.89 - 76.05	W 76-62	12-16	105.94	121.37	▲ 15.43	113.10	86.57	▲ 26.53	▲ 41.96
Sat 3/2/2019	@ New Mexico₂₀₁	L 76.95 - 78.85	L 65-77	12-17	109.90	98.56	▼ 11.34	107.23	114.69	▼ 7.46	▼ 18.80
Tue 3/5/2019	vs Utah State₄₆	L 69.30 - 77.47	L 96-100 (OT)	12-18	99.52	129.81	▲ 30.29	115.23	136.87	▼ 21.64	▲ 8.65
Sat 3/9/2019	vs UNLV₁₈₃	W 75.44 - 71.92	L 60-65	12-19	110.59	91.25	▼ 19.34	108.89	105.67	▲ 3.22	▼ 16.12
Wed 3/13/2019	vs Boise State₁₀₉ *	L 69.49 - 74.40	L 57-66	12-20	105.94	89.06	▼ 16.88	113.10	100.00	▲ 13.10	▼ 3.78
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that favor a faster tempo, Colorado State usually performs worse than average. Colorado State is more efficient than normal 11% of the time when facing clubs that have a pace vs. AO greater than 69.75. In all other contests, Colorado State performs better than average 55% of the time.
	Colorado State is typically better vs. teams that do not defend well on the perimeter. Against foes that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 34.65%, Colorado State performs above their norm 63% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 20% of the time.
	When facing teams that aren't terribly skilled defensively, Colorado State often performs better than normal. Colorado State is more efficient than usual 64% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 104.92. In their other contests, Colorado State performs better than the norm 24% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	Broncos not ready to go home after win over Colorado State: 'This team has a lot of fight left in us' (3/14/2019 12:09:00 AM) The Broncos are just thankful to have a shot. Eighth-seeded Boise State extended its season by at least a day with a 66-57 win over No. 9 Colorado State on Wednesday in the opening round at the Thomas and Mack Center. It’s the first win in the Mountain ...
	Takeaways from Colorado State basketball's first-round Mountain West tournament loss to Boise State (3/13/2019 4:43:00 PM) LAS VEGAS — The inconsistency that plagued the CSU men's basketball all season long ultimately ended the Rams' season. Colorado State University throughout the schedule showed excellent flashes of play, but often self-sabotaged with stretches of mental ...
	Colorado State bows out of Mountain West conference tournament with loss to Boise State (3/13/2019 4:28:00 PM) Niko Medved’s first season as the head coach at Colorado State (12-20) ended Wednesday afternoon in the first round of the Mountain West Basketball 2019 Championship ... The 9th-seeded Rams shot 46.9 percent from the field and 30 percent from distance.
	Boise State tops Colorado State for first Mountain West Tournament win in four years (3/13/2019 2:01:00 PM) The Boise State men’s basketball team extended its season by at least ... But two bad Boise State turnovers led to Colorado State buckets, and the Rams ended the half with an 8-2 spurt to cut the Broncos’ lead to 33-26 at the break.
	High-scoring guard from Nebraska commits to Colorado State basketball (3/12/2019 6:58:00 PM) Tonje has verbally committed to Colorado State. (Photo ... has verbally committed to join the CSU men's basketball team. Omaha Central guard John Tonje tweeted his intention to sign with the Rams on Monday night. He led Omaha Central to the Class A ...

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox