Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 Colorado State 27-7 (0.794) | Mountain West

All-Play Percentage: 0.826 (62^nd)	Schedule Strength: 0.532 (137^th)	Record Quality: 0.342 (30^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 46.26 (45^th)
Pace: 67.02 (94^th)	Momentum: -3.15 (304^th)	Off. Momentum: -1.36 (293^rd)	Def. Momentum: -1.79 (240^th)
Consistency: -10.12 (278^th)	Res. Consistency: -10.84 (125^th)	Away From Home: -0.85 (262^nd)	Paper Tiger Factor: -2.16 (267^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

110.59

34.74

72.76

84.46

44.42

29.80

34.50

26.36

35.14

28.30

63.50

10.05

15.55

6.78

35.28

31.21

33.51

2.02

RANK:

27^th

16^th

67^th

69^th

108^th

99^th

164^th

143^rd

177^th

42^nd

254^th

154^th

160^th

139^th

170^th

220^th

222^nd

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

98.68

26.59

83.22

42.00

29.07

36.56

25.76

32.84

28.39

55.90

10.79

13.99

6.09

34.93

30.96

34.12

2.01

RANK:

122^nd

88^th

222^nd

115^th

229^th

275^th

190^th

60^th

167^th

83^rd

115^th

82^nd

107^th

209^th

176^th

149^th

ANALYSIS:
While this site doesn't quite consider them to be in the national title hunt, Colorado State has the potential to be a formidable opponent for many in Division I. Their record this season is 27-7, and the club is ranked 62nd overall (out of 351) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #3 team (out of 11) in the MWC (average ranking 148.0).

Colorado State succeeds primarily through their offense. They are ranked 27th in offensive efficiency and score in excess of 110 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Colorado State does a super job in their efforts to get to the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of 34.74 vs. AO, they are ranked 16th in the nation at getting to the charity stripe. In addition, the team is in the top-75 in free throw shooting, converting a solid 72.8% of their attempts. Colorado State also has the potential to make you pay if you let them get close to the rim. The team is ranked 42nd in the country in near-proximity field goal percentage, making approximately 63.5% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO.

Colorado State is also a fairly decent team on the defensive end of the court. The team ranks 122nd nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 99 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Colorado State has been fairly decent in preventing teams from draining shots from between the three-point stripe and the low post. They're ranked 60th in Division I in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 32.8% of their attempts from that distance.

Colorado State has recently performed below their norm from an efficiency standpoint. The team is currently ranked 304th in the country in positive momentum.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Sat 11/15/2014	vs Montana₁₅₃	W 74.42 - 63.41	W 83-66	1-0	112.18	122.89	▲ 10.71	101.07	85.43	▲ 15.64	▲ 26.35
Fri 11/21/2014	vs Georgia State₆₄	W 71.40 - 66.89	W 80-70	2-0	106.29	119.25	▲ 12.96	104.81	98.21	▲ 6.60	▲ 19.56
Sun 11/23/2014	vs Mercer₁₈₄	W 73.40 - 60.53	W 75-62	3-0	112.77	115.26	▲ 2.49	98.35	99.76	▼ 1.41	▲ 1.08
Thu 11/27/2014	vs Missouri State₂₄₂ *	W 73.29 - 60.78	W 76-61	4-0	113.11	114.75	▲ 1.64	93.83	88.14	▲ 5.69	▲ 7.33
Fri 11/28/2014	vs Pacific₂₁₈ *	W 73.90 - 62.91	W 75-64	5-0	114.47	122.20	▲ 7.73	97.21	104.28	▼ 7.07	▲ 0.66
Sat 11/29/2014	vs UCSB₈₂ *	W 70.17 - 68.18	W 65-63	6-0	107.53	101.56	▼ 5.97	103.86	98.44	▲ 5.42	▼ 0.55
Wed 12/3/2014	vs UTEP₈₇	W 72.95 - 66.19	W 65-62	7-0	106.14	97.55	▼ 8.59	101.45	97.84	▲ 3.61	▼ 4.98
Sun 12/7/2014	vs N. Colorado₂₆₂	W 83.41 - 65.47	W 66-58	8-0	124.13	95.43	▼ 28.70	102.75	88.47	▲ 14.28	▼ 14.42
Wed 12/10/2014	@ Colorado₉₇	L 69.42 - 69.87	W 62-60	9-0	106.76	101.77	▼ 4.99	101.46	93.66	▲ 7.80	▲ 2.81
Sat 12/13/2014	vs Ark Fort Smith	---	W 88-60	10-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Fri 12/19/2014	@ Denver₂₁₆	W 69.14 - 62.25	W 85-84	11-0	116.09	154.76	▲ 38.67	98.52	147.03	▼ 48.51	▼ 9.84
Mon 12/22/2014	vs Charleston So.₂₁₃	W 80.34 - 64.87	W 75-54	12-0	115.15	121.56	▲ 6.41	97.84	73.34	▲ 24.50	▲ 30.91
Sat 12/27/2014	@ New Mexico St.₁₀₀	L 69.47 - 69.86	W 58-57 (OT)	13-0	108.29	86.58	▼ 21.71	102.78	80.64	▲ 22.14	▲ 0.43
Wed 12/31/2014	vs Boise State₅₀	W 70.13 - 67.72	W 71-65	14-0	104.84	109.73	▲ 4.89	106.61	104.53	▲ 2.08	▲ 6.97
Sat 1/3/2015	@ New Mexico₁₃₀	W 66.96 - 65.23	L 53-66	14-1	105.15	82.08	▼ 23.07	96.39	95.54	▲ 0.85	▼ 22.22
Wed 1/7/2015	vs Wyoming₁₀₁	W 67.25 - 60.31	L 54-60	14-2	105.72	77.63	▼ 28.09	100.39	94.15	▲ 6.24	▼ 21.85
Sat 1/10/2015	@ Air Force₁₉₃	W 73.23 - 67.16	W 92-87	15-2	115.45	124.59	▲ 9.14	100.07	113.03	▼ 12.96	▼ 3.82
Wed 1/14/2015	vs Nevada₂₇₅	W 78.26 - 59.56	W 98-42	16-2	114.86	154.57	▲ 39.71	92.75	69.75	▲ 23.00	▲ 62.71
Sat 1/17/2015	@ San Jose State₃₄₆	W 77.61 - 56.76	W 70-41	17-2	118.33	116.18	▼ 2.15	82.14	59.99	▲ 22.15	▲ 20.00
Sat 1/24/2015	vs San Diego State₃₇	W 62.69 - 61.73	W 79-73	18-2	95.99	126.54	▲ 30.55	99.83	124.64	▼ 24.81	▲ 5.74
Tue 1/27/2015	@ Boise State₅₀	L 66.29 - 71.58	L 78-82	18-3	104.84	122.97	▲ 18.13	106.61	119.42	▼ 12.81	▲ 5.32
Sat 1/31/2015	vs Fresno State₁₈₉	W 77.09 - 62.91	W 80-57	19-3	111.70	115.61	▲ 3.91	96.54	86.57	▲ 9.97	▲ 13.88
Wed 2/4/2015	@ Wyoming₁₀₁	L 63.59 - 63.94	L 48-59	19-4	105.72	73.66	▼ 32.06	100.39	93.64	▲ 6.75	▼ 25.31
Sat 2/7/2015	vs UNLV₁₁₄	W 75.44 - 66.86	W 83-82	20-4	108.65	113.98	▲ 5.33	101.60	117.48	▼ 15.88	▼ 10.55
Tue 2/10/2015	vs New Mexico₁₃₀	W 70.82 - 61.52	W 70-59	21-4	105.15	97.03	▼ 8.12	96.39	86.79	▲ 9.60	▲ 1.48
Sat 2/14/2015	@ San Diego State₃₇	L 58.96 - 65.28	L 63-72	21-5	95.99	98.43	▲ 2.44	99.83	104.49	▼ 4.66	▼ 2.22
Wed 2/18/2015	@ Fresno State₁₈₉	W 73.12 - 66.79	W 81-73	22-5	111.70	118.69	▲ 6.99	96.54	99.93	▼ 3.39	▲ 3.60
Sat 2/21/2015	vs Air Force₁₉₃	W 77.09 - 63.44	W 66-53	23-5	115.45	99.93	▼ 15.52	100.07	84.67	▲ 15.40	▼ 0.12
Wed 2/25/2015	vs San Jose State₃₄₆	W 81.59 - 53.00	W 72-56	24-5	118.33	118.00	▼ 0.33	82.14	96.52	▼ 14.38	▼ 14.71
Wed 3/4/2015	@ Nevada₂₇₅	W 74.34 - 63.41	W 78-62	25-5	114.86	127.11	▲ 12.25	92.75	75.98	▲ 16.77	▲ 29.02
Sat 3/7/2015	@ Utah State₁₃₁	W 71.08 - 69.05	W 75-70	26-5	109.40	113.27	▲ 3.87	100.26	101.51	▼ 1.25	▲ 2.62
Thu 3/12/2015	vs Fresno State₁₈₉ *	W 75.11 - 64.85	W 71-59	27-5	111.70	111.11	▼ 0.59	96.54	90.48	▲ 6.06	▲ 5.47
Fri 3/13/2015	vs San Diego State₃₇ *	L 60.82 - 63.50	L 43-56	27-6	95.99	81.13	▼ 14.86	99.83	105.66	▼ 5.83	▼ 20.69
Wed 3/18/2015	vs South Dakota St.₁₀₇	W 77.45 - 69.01	L 76-86	27-7	110.86	104.07	▼ 6.79	103.80	122.42	▼ 18.62	▼ 25.41
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When facing teams that convert well from the charity stripe, Colorado State often performs better than normal. Colorado State is more efficient than usual 67% of the time when facing teams that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 68.38%. In their other contests, Colorado State performs better than the norm 20% of the time.
	Colorado State does better vs. clubs that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities. When playing squads that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 11.47, Colorado State performs above average 69% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 24% of the time.
	Colorado State performs better against squads that favor a faster tempo. When facing teams that have a pace vs. AO greater than 64.62, Colorado State is more efficient than normal 69% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 30% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox