Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2019-20 USC 22-9 (0.710) | Pac-12

All-Play Percentage: 0.838 (58^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.667 (66^th)	Record Quality: 0.368 (26^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 78.90 (76^th)
Pace: 69.35 (197^th)	Momentum: 1.10 (125^th)	Off. Momentum: -1.09 (282^nd)	Def. Momentum: 2.19 (35^th)
Consistency: -10.36 (316^th)	Res. Consistency: -13.17 (271^st)	Away From Home: 1.09 (61^st)	Paper Tiger Factor: 1.31 (22^nd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through March 11, 2020. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

102.78

28.65

67.50

80.58

46.03

26.49

34.97

23.44

37.26

30.66

62.28

12.33

14.13

6.83

32.87

29.08

38.04

1.95

RANK:

98^th

48^th

285^th

229^th

45^th

299^th

86^th

145^th

154^th

80^th

69^th

94^th

104^th

33^rd

293^rd

127^th

75^th

51^st

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

90.92

21.71

85.06

38.00

34.90

31.01

24.13

33.75

26.03

51.32

13.45

11.17

3.74

41.03

28.37

30.60

2.10

RANK:

35^th

47^th

304^th

9^th

330^th

50^th

244^th

48^th

73^rd

14^th

323^rd

52^nd

31^st

297^th

213^th

43^rd

37^th

ANALYSIS:
USC has been extremely effective at times this year and should be regarded as a serious opponent. They have a record of 22-9 and are ranked 58th overall (out of 353) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. Of the 12 schools in the Pac-12 (average ranking 63.8), they're currently ranked as our #6 team in the conference.

USC will mainly try to find success through their defense. They are ranked 35th in defensive efficiency and allow fewer than 91 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. USC will put a good dent in the shooting percentages of several opponents, considering the team ranks in the top-50 in each of the four major defensive shooting categories. They allow AO to make just 31.0% of their three-pointers (50th in the nation), 33.8% of their mid-range shots (48th), 51.3% of their near-proximity attempts (14th), and 38.0% of their total shots from the field (ninth). USC is also one of the better teams when it comes to not allowing opponents to convert scoring chances off of offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 3.7% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 31st in the NCAA). If USC does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's propensity to allow too many shot attempts per trip. The squad has a rating of 85.06 in defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO, which ranks 50th-worst in college basketball.

USC is also a fairly decent team on the offensive end of the court. The team ranks 98th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 103 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. USC is one of the better teams in the country when it comes to converting scoring chances off of offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team successfully converts 6.8% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 33rd nationally). USC also boasts one of the better offensive field goal percentages in the college game. The squad is ranked 45th in the country in field goal percentage, making approximately 46.0% of their attempts vs. AO. If USC does have a weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's penchant for allowing too many easy buckets off of giveaways. The squad has a rating of 13.45 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of steals, which ranks 31st-worst in the college game.

USC has been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 316th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Tue 11/5/2019	vs Florida A&M₃₂₇	W 77.82 - 55.32	W 77-48	1-0	108.57	99.18	▼ 9.39	81.47	65.24	▲ 16.23	▲ 6.84
Fri 11/8/2019	vs Portland₂₈₁	W 75.96 - 56.83	W 76-65	2-0	106.56	109.43	▲ 2.87	83.95	100.47	▼ 16.52	▼ 13.65
Tue 11/12/2019	vs South Dakota St.₁₂₉	W 74.20 - 65.16	W 84-66	3-0	103.96	107.01	▲ 3.05	95.35	87.22	▲ 8.13	▲ 11.18
Sat 11/16/2019	@ Nevada₇₈	L 70.26 - 72.37	W 76-66	4-0	99.12	107.64	▲ 8.52	97.08	89.22	▲ 7.86	▲ 16.38
Tue 11/19/2019	vs Pepperdine₁₂₂	W 75.89 - 67.08	W 91-84	5-0	103.58	116.22	▲ 12.64	95.75	112.25	▼ 16.50	▼ 3.86
Fri 11/22/2019	vs Temple₁₀₄	W 69.48 - 61.99	L 61-70	5-1	95.96	78.35	▼ 17.61	89.99	99.67	▼ 9.68	▼ 27.29
Thu 11/28/2019	vs Fairfield₂₉₃ *	W 67.26 - 51.76	W 54-47	6-1	104.04	81.82	▼ 22.22	80.03	72.31	▲ 7.72	▼ 14.50
Fri 11/29/2019	vs Marquette₃₂ *	L 69.07 - 72.60	L 79-101	6-2	98.13	92.54	▼ 5.59	102.63	131.34	▼ 28.71	▼ 34.30
Sun 12/1/2019	vs Harvard₁₂₆ *	W 69.55 - 64.24	W 77-62	7-2	100.06	121.52	▲ 21.46	91.88	84.12	▲ 7.76	▲ 29.22
Fri 12/6/2019	@ TCU₈₀	L 63.08 - 64.92	W 80-78	8-2	97.85	107.71	▲ 9.86	95.07	101.21	▼ 6.14	▲ 3.72
Sun 12/15/2019	vs Long Beach St.₃₀₅	W 78.79 - 57.25	W 87-76	9-2	107.45	115.54	▲ 8.09	82.03	102.80	▼ 20.77	▼ 12.68
Sat 12/21/2019	vs LSU₃₉ *	L 72.44 - 74.80	W 70-68	10-2	103.17	93.65	▼ 9.52	105.30	87.18	▲ 18.12	▲ 8.60
Sun 12/29/2019	vs FGCU₃₀₉	W 72.21 - 51.61	W 71-58	11-2	105.07	103.30	▼ 1.77	79.20	83.96	▼ 4.76	▼ 6.53
Thu 1/2/2020	@ Washington St.₁₂₁	W 68.47 - 66.62	W 65-56	12-2	97.87	91.19	▼ 6.68	90.70	75.60	▲ 15.10	▲ 8.42
Sun 1/5/2020	@ Washington₄₆	L 63.40 - 68.69	L 40-72	12-3	92.93	58.14	▼ 34.79	94.67	93.49	▲ 1.18	▼ 33.61
Sat 1/11/2020	@ UCLA₇₃	L 64.16 - 66.29	W 74-63	13-3	99.38	121.63	▲ 22.25	97.47	94.38	▲ 3.09	▲ 25.34
Thu 1/16/2020	vs California₁₄₅	W 68.77 - 58.66	W 88-56	14-3	100.93	102.39	▲ 1.46	90.75	67.27	▲ 23.48	▲ 24.94
Sat 1/18/2020	vs Stanford₃₃	L 64.31 - 64.45	W 82-78 (OT)	15-3	90.17	98.68	▲ 8.51	94.99	108.20	▼ 13.21	▼ 4.70
Thu 1/23/2020	@ Oregon₁₅	L 62.62 - 72.01	L 70-79 (2OT)	15-4	97.04	105.78	▲ 8.74	106.07	99.19	▲ 6.88	▲ 15.62
Sat 1/25/2020	@ Oregon State₆₈	L 66.74 - 69.19	W 75-55	16-4	101.16	122.68	▲ 21.52	99.25	86.32	▲ 12.93	▲ 34.45
Thu 1/30/2020	vs Utah₉₅	W 70.07 - 63.62	W 56-52	17-4	101.34	92.47	▼ 8.87	96.26	89.84	▲ 6.42	▼ 2.45
Sat 2/1/2020	vs Colorado₃₆	W 66.58 - 66.05	L 57-78	17-5	94.43	63.62	▼ 30.81	98.07	115.96	▼ 17.89	▼ 48.70
Thu 2/6/2020	@ Arizona₁₁	L 61.90 - 72.31	L 80-85	17-6	91.69	115.12	▲ 23.43	100.82	118.98	▼ 18.16	▲ 5.27
Sat 2/8/2020	@ Arizona State₆₄	L 68.62 - 71.43	L 64-66	17-7	95.45	88.35	▼ 7.10	94.12	83.27	▲ 10.85	▲ 3.75
Thu 2/13/2020	vs Washington₄₆	W 66.73 - 65.24	W 62-56	18-7	92.93	91.49	▼ 1.44	94.67	88.60	▲ 6.07	▲ 4.63
Sat 2/15/2020	vs Washington St.₁₂₁	W 71.88 - 63.06	W 70-51	19-7	97.87	102.36	▲ 4.49	90.70	65.61	▲ 25.09	▲ 29.58
Thu 2/20/2020	@ Colorado₃₆	L 63.31 - 69.47	L 66-70	19-8	94.43	105.57	▲ 11.14	98.07	105.24	▼ 7.17	▲ 3.97
Sun 2/23/2020	@ Utah₉₅	L 66.85 - 66.98	L 65-79	19-9	101.34	94.96	▼ 6.38	96.26	110.75	▼ 14.49	▼ 20.87
Thu 2/27/2020	vs Arizona₁₁	L 65.20 - 68.84	W 57-48	20-9	91.69	86.61	▼ 5.08	100.82	73.22	▲ 27.60	▲ 22.52
Sat 2/29/2020	vs Arizona State₆₄	W 72.12 - 67.89	W 71-61	21-9	95.45	98.98	▲ 3.53	94.12	88.97	▲ 5.15	▲ 8.68
Sat 3/7/2020	vs UCLA₇₃	W 67.32 - 63.05	W 54-52	22-9	99.38	85.32	▼ 14.06	97.47	87.35	▲ 10.12	▼ 3.94
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---

Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	USC performs better against squads that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds. When facing teams that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 4.98%, USC is more efficient than normal 80% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 18% of the time.
	When playing teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities, USC usually performs worse than average. USC is more efficient than normal 22% of the time when facing clubs that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 11.90. In all other contests, USC performs better than average 73% of the time.
	USC is typically better vs. teams that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities. Against foes that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 11.47, USC performs above their norm 80% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 38% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	Analysis: Pac-12 shooting for 7 NCAA Tournament berths (3/8/2020 3:12:00 PM) Analysis: Pac-12 shooting for 7 NCAA Tournament berths The Pac-12 Conference has the potential to get seven teams through to the NCAA Tournament Check out this story on Freep.com: https://www.usatoday.
	Oregon grabs No. 1 seed for Pac-12 men’s basketball tournament (3/8/2020 3:28:00 AM) Oregon won the outright title with an 80-67 victory over Stanford on Saturday. UCLA (19-12, 12-6) could have tied Oregon for the title, but lost to Southern California 54-52 on Saturday. The Bruins, under first-year coach Mick Cronin, won 11 of their final 14 conference games. They were picked to finish eighth in the preseason media poll.
	Mathews, Utomi lead Southern Cal past Arizona St. 71-61 (2/29/2020 10:39:00 PM) Jonah Mathews scored 23 points and Daniel Utomi added 19 and 10 rebounds to lead USC to a 71-61 win over Arizona State
	USC beats Arizona, 57-48 (2/28/2020 12:47:39 PM) LOS ANGELES (Arizona Athletics) - Despite getting a game-high 15 points and 10 rebounds from Zeke Nnaji, the Arizona Wildcats could only muster 28.1 percent shooting in a loss at Southern California on Thursday,
	UCLA looks to extend streak vs Arizona (2/28/2020 6:52:00 AM) UCLA’s last Pac-12 loss came against the Arizona State Sun Devils 84-66 on Feb. 6. Arizona fell 57-48 at Southern California in its last outing. SPARKING THE OFFENSE: Nico Mannion has either made or assisted on 41 percent of all Arizona field goals over the last three games. The freshman guard has 13 field goals and 16 assists in those games.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox