Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 USC 16-17 (0.485) | Pac-12

All-Play Percentage: 0.761 (84^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.606 (85^th)	Record Quality: 0.061 (135^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 100.98 (96^th)
Pace: 69.43 (116^th)	Momentum: 0.78 (134^th)	Off. Momentum: 2.81 (52^nd)	Def. Momentum: -2.03 (266^th)
Consistency: -8.90 (96^th)	Res. Consistency: -13.13 (230^th)	Away From Home: -0.22 (198^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -2.64 (297^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

109.24

23.49

66.16

86.84

46.87

31.58

38.87

24.72

36.26

30.54

63.74

11.23

14.84

6.88

36.37

28.46

35.17

2.01

RANK:

67^th

276^th

321^st

38^th

42^nd

200^th

11^th

57^th

157^th

156^th

46^th

185^th

106^th

71^st

238^th

76^th

206^th

149^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

101.08

22.23

88.50

41.68

35.16

33.29

23.28

35.63

30.06

56.18

10.67

14.37

5.33

39.73

26.30

33.97

2.06

RANK:

125^th

31^st

344^th

67^th

290^th

92^nd

282^nd

150^th

148^th

66^th

98^th

240^th

95^th

221^st

239^th

90^th

107^th

ANALYSIS:
Despite what their win percentage might indicate, USC is a good team that can cause more than enough trouble for most opponents. They have a record of 16-17 and are ranked 84th overall (out of 353) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. Of the 12 schools in the Pac-12 (average ranking 106.2), they're currently ranked as our #5 team in the conference.

USC succeeds primarily through their offense. They are ranked 67th in offensive efficiency and score in excess of 109 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. USC is an excellent shooting team, capable of converting from multiple locations on the court and ranking in the top-50 in three of our four primary field goal categories. They convert 38.9% of their three-pointers (11th in the nation), 63.7% of their near-proximity attempts (46th), and 46.9% of their total shots from the field (42nd) vs. AO. USC also has one of the better squads in the college game when it comes to maximizing opportunities to score. The team is ranked 38th in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 86.84 vs. AO. If USC does have a weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's poor shooting at the line. The squad makes just 66.2% of their free throw attempts, which ranks 33rd-worst in Division I.

USC is also a fairly decent team on the defensive end of the court. The team ranks 125th nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 101 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. USC does a pretty solid job avoiding careless fouls and minimizing opponents' opportunities from the free throw line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 22.23 vs. AO, they are currently rated 31st in the country in that category. USC has also been pretty good preventing teams from hitting shots in the paint. They are ranked 66th in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 56.2% of their attempts from close-up. If USC does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's propensity to allow too many shot attempts per trip. The squad has a rating of 88.50 in defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO, which ranks tenth-worst in college basketball.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Tue 11/6/2018	vs Robert Morris₂₆₀	W 76.96 - 61.32	W 83-62	1-0	109.48	106.59	▼ 2.89	92.37	89.82	▲ 2.55	▼ 0.34
Sun 11/11/2018	vs Vanderbilt₁₄₉	W 74.84 - 66.94	L 78-82	1-1	105.67	96.53	▼ 9.14	98.23	109.57	▼ 11.34	▼ 20.48
Wed 11/14/2018	vs Stetson₃₃₄	W 86.33 - 62.99	W 95-59	2-1	119.41	121.52	▲ 2.11	91.82	75.22	▲ 16.60	▲ 18.71
Mon 11/19/2018	vs Texas Tech₅ *	L 60.73 - 76.98	L 63-78	2-2	89.68	90.00	▲ 0.32	112.99	107.04	▲ 5.95	▲ 6.27
Tue 11/20/2018	vs Missouri State₁₉₅ *	W 75.39 - 67.33	W 99-80	3-2	109.82	136.92	▲ 27.10	98.47	104.69	▼ 6.22	▲ 20.88
Sun 11/25/2018	vs CSU Bakersfield₂₀₄	W 76.42 - 65.03	W 90-75	4-2	112.13	122.86	▲ 10.73	99.57	111.19	▼ 11.62	▼ 0.89
Wed 11/28/2018	vs Long Beach St.₂₂₄	W 83.35 - 69.55	W 75-65	5-2	111.42	101.26	▼ 10.16	97.56	95.02	▲ 2.54	▼ 7.62
Sat 12/1/2018	vs Nevada₃₂	L 73.61 - 76.55	L 61-73	5-3	102.27	85.88	▼ 16.39	110.11	108.24	▲ 1.87	▼ 14.52
Fri 12/7/2018	vs TCU₃₇ *	L 70.44 - 76.25	L 61-96	5-4	101.10	76.67	▼ 24.43	108.95	126.67	▼ 17.72	▼ 42.15
Sat 12/15/2018	vs Oklahoma₂₉ *	L 70.09 - 76.58	L 70-81	5-5	99.25	89.46	▼ 9.79	107.88	98.78	▲ 9.10	▼ 0.69
Tue 12/18/2018	@ Santa Clara₂₀₇	W 73.65 - 67.90	L 92-102 (2OT)	5-6	109.71	106.39	▼ 3.32	96.82	101.40	▼ 4.58	▼ 7.90
Fri 12/21/2018	vs Southern Utah₂₇₃	W 81.62 - 64.70	W 91-49	6-6	110.99	111.04	▲ 0.05	92.64	72.74	▲ 19.90	▲ 19.95
Sun 12/30/2018	vs UC Davis₂₅₀	W 76.88 - 62.07	W 73-55	7-6	110.36	115.65	▲ 5.29	93.80	100.27	▼ 6.47	▼ 1.18
Thu 1/3/2019	vs California₂₃₆	W 80.49 - 66.45	W 82-73	8-6	117.16	125.20	▲ 8.04	100.79	122.00	▼ 21.21	▼ 13.17
Sun 1/6/2019	vs Stanford₁₁₉	W 76.03 - 70.24	W 77-66	9-6	106.42	112.43	▲ 6.01	101.80	100.27	▲ 1.53	▲ 7.54
Thu 1/10/2019	@ Oregon State₉₂	L 71.32 - 74.27	L 74-79 (OT)	9-7	108.97	112.50	▲ 3.53	108.38	103.96	▲ 4.42	▲ 7.95
Sun 1/13/2019	@ Oregon₃₁	L 63.04 - 72.31	L 60-81	9-8	98.97	96.61	▼ 2.36	108.49	137.89	▼ 29.40	▼ 31.76
Sat 1/19/2019	vs UCLA₁₃₁	W 81.91 - 75.36	W 80-67	10-8	111.40	106.32	▼ 5.08	106.32	71.11	▲ 35.21	▲ 30.13
Thu 1/24/2019	vs Arizona₈₇	W 72.20 - 68.85	W 80-57	11-8	102.83	112.79	▲ 9.96	102.22	71.07	▲ 31.15	▲ 41.11
Sat 1/26/2019	vs Arizona State₆₆	W 76.07 - 74.38	W 69-67	12-8	103.28	92.35	▼ 10.93	105.28	93.04	▲ 12.24	▲ 1.31
Wed 1/30/2019	@ Washington₅₃	L 66.14 - 72.73	L 62-75	12-9	100.04	87.11	▼ 12.93	105.11	112.02	▼ 6.91	▼ 19.84
Sat 2/2/2019	@ Washington St.₂₀₉	W 81.26 - 75.09	W 93-84	13-9	116.44	133.92	▲ 17.48	103.97	108.08	▼ 4.11	▲ 13.37
Wed 2/6/2019	vs Utah₉₃	W 77.64 - 73.58	L 70-77	13-10	112.86	92.82	▼ 20.04	110.88	111.19	▼ 0.31	▼ 20.35
Sat 2/9/2019	vs Colorado₇₃	W 72.90 - 70.37	L 65-69	13-11	104.10	100.63	▼ 3.47	104.28	109.89	▼ 5.61	▼ 9.08
Wed 2/13/2019	@ Stanford₁₁₉	L 72.69 - 73.62	L 76-79	13-12	106.42	113.04	▲ 6.62	101.80	109.16	▼ 7.36	▼ 0.74
Sat 2/16/2019	@ California₂₃₆	W 77.25 - 69.83	W 89-66	14-12	117.16	152.50	▲ 35.34	100.79	78.69	▲ 22.10	▲ 57.44
Thu 2/21/2019	vs Oregon₃₁	L 66.16 - 69.07	W 66-49	15-12	98.97	102.59	▲ 3.62	108.49	88.88	▲ 19.61	▲ 23.23
Sat 2/23/2019	vs Oregon State₉₂	W 74.53 - 70.89	L 62-67	15-13	108.97	95.18	▼ 13.79	108.38	108.42	▼ 0.04	▼ 13.83
Thu 2/28/2019	@ UCLA₁₃₁	L 78.46 - 78.80	L 88-93 (OT)	15-14	111.40	133.72	▲ 22.32	106.32	123.90	▼ 17.58	▲ 4.74
Thu 3/7/2019	@ Utah₉₃	L 74.40 - 76.94	L 74-83	15-15	112.86	114.62	▲ 1.76	110.88	117.79	▼ 6.91	▼ 5.15
Sat 3/9/2019	@ Colorado₇₃	L 69.63 - 73.87	L 67-78	15-16	104.10	106.50	▲ 2.40	104.28	120.70	▼ 16.42	▼ 14.02
Wed 3/13/2019	vs Arizona₈₇ *	L 70.55 - 70.56	W 78-65	16-16	102.83	116.42	▲ 13.59	102.22	93.33	▲ 8.89	▲ 22.48
Thu 3/14/2019	vs Washington₅₃ *	L 67.75 - 71.07	L 75-78	16-17	100.04	105.63	▲ 5.59	105.11	109.86	▼ 4.75	▲ 0.84
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	USC performs worse against squads that effectively clean the offensive glass. When facing teams that have an offensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 13.38, USC is more efficient than normal 9% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 55% of the time.
	When playing teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot, USC usually performs worse than average. USC is more efficient than normal 26% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 35.17%. In all other contests, USC performs better than average 70% of the time.
	USC is typically better vs. teams that tend to get off more shots. Against foes that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 82.19, USC performs above their norm 60% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 22% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	Wills helps Stanford rally past USC 79-76 (2/14/2019 1:38:00 AM) Sheffield, who missed of all last year with an injury, scored a season-high 16 points, including a key 3-pointer, and Stanford rallied to beat Southern California 79-76 on ... scored 19 points to lead the Trojans (13-12, 6-6), who lost at Stanford for ...
	Patrick McCaffery sets Iowa City West's career scoring record in win over Dubuque Wahlert (2/13/2019 11:26:00 PM) “The first time was after my sophomore season,” McCaffery said, after his Class 4A seventh-ranked Trojans brushed past Dubuque ... at West in the late 1990s/2000 and coaches basketball in Southern California. McCaffery, of course, is the son of ...
	Utah opens its SoCal road swing with 77-70 victory at USC (2/7/2019 1:44:00 AM) The Utes went ahead by 23 points midway through the second half, then held on after the Trojans got within seven points in the last three minutes. Parker Van Dyke’s 3-pointer secured the victory. Ute center Jayce Johnson, a Southern California product ...
	Dickerson scores 21, leads Washington past USC 75-62 (1/31/2019 1:37:00 AM) SEATTLE (AP) Noah Dickerson scored 21 points and grabbed 14 rebounds, Matisse Thybulle added 17 points and six steals, and Washington never trailed in beating Southern California 75-62 ... when they could have put the Trojans away far sooner.
	LA Blues: Arizona mens basketball swept by USC, UCLA (1/28/2019 2:01:00 PM) The Arizona Wildcats mens basketball program suffered its worst loss against the Southern California Trojans in 46 years last Thursday. The Wildcats (14-6, 5-2) were routed by the Trojans from the get-go, trailing wire-to-wire before falling, 80-57 ...

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox