Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 UC Riverside 14-19 (0.424) | Big West

All-Play Percentage: 0.431 (200^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.475 (197^th)	Record Quality: -0.125 (233^rd)	Avg. Season Rank: 199.78 (194^th)
Pace: 69.30 (202^nd)	Momentum: -0.63 (195^th)	Off. Momentum: 0.16 (190^th)	Def. Momentum: -0.79 (196^th)
Consistency: -7.84 (47^th)	Res. Consistency: -8.92 (23^rd)	Away From Home: 1.13 (75^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.67 (160^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

98.21

27.24

73.46

80.17

42.35

29.94

34.42

22.89

32.72

27.34

59.09

10.42

15.67

6.86

37.34

28.55

34.11

2.03

RANK:

224^th

219^th

53^rd

262^nd

236^th

142^nd

197^th

217^th

299^th

248^th

160^th

191^st

128^th

148^th

112^th

205^th

215^th

241^st

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

104.18

30.15

81.99

43.98

27.91

35.10

26.38

34.97

27.70

61.52

11.69

15.38

6.99

34.04

32.18

33.78

2.00

RANK:

205^th

231^st

166^th

175^th

128^th

184^th

274^th

125^th

132^nd

239^th

248^th

195^th

186^th

126^th

278^th

127^th

168^th

ANALYSIS:
They're far from the worst of the worst, but UC Riverside should not be a terribly frightening opponent for most clubs. They are ranked #200 (out of 351) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 14-19. Of the nine schools in the Big West (average ranking 158.6), they're currently ranked as our #6 team in the conference.

UC Riverside sports an offensive attack that is mediocre at best. Rated at #224 in offensive efficiency, they score about 98 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. UC Riverside has some difficulties converting mid-range shot attempts. The team is ranked 299th in field goal percentage from that distance, making only 32.7% of their mid-range attempts vs. AO.

UC Riverside doesn't rate much better on defense than they do on offense. Allowing roughly 104 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #205 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Although their defense isn't the greatest, UC Riverside doesn't stand out as being especially horrible in any one particular area on that end of the court, and they fall outside the bottom-100 in every one of the defensive categories we take into consideration for this analysis.

UC Riverside is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 47th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Sat 11/14/2015	vs William Jessup	---	W 100-68	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Thu 11/19/2015	vs Santa Clara₂₀₇	W 70.14 - 65.65	W 77-63	2-0	101.12	119.30	▲ 18.18	100.21	102.92	▼ 2.71	▲ 15.47
Sat 11/21/2015	@ San Francisco₂₀₁	L 71.74 - 75.71	L 57-58	2-1	104.03	93.39	▼ 10.64	103.84	89.15	▲ 14.69	▲ 4.05
Tue 11/24/2015	vs Delaware State₃₅₁	W 75.17 - 54.87	W 81-55	3-1	109.74	115.73	▲ 5.99	85.36	82.23	▲ 3.13	▲ 9.12
Fri 11/27/2015	@ Rice₂₆₅	W 75.21 - 75.10	L 81-87	3-2	108.38	112.38	▲ 4.00	103.19	114.65	▼ 11.46	▼ 7.46
Sun 11/29/2015	@ Lamar₃₁₈	W 75.73 - 70.57	W 74-69	4-2	106.84	104.29	▼ 2.55	94.79	90.33	▲ 4.46	▲ 1.91
Thu 12/3/2015	vs N. Colorado₃₀₇	W 78.64 - 66.30	W 77-66	5-2	108.77	106.45	▼ 2.32	97.47	95.78	▲ 1.69	▼ 0.63
Sun 12/6/2015	@ Loyola Marymount₂₂₄	L 68.13 - 70.57	L 76-77	5-3	102.03	104.25	▲ 2.22	99.74	99.75	▼ 0.01	▲ 2.21
Sat 12/12/2015	vs UNLV₁₁₃	L 69.69 - 72.62	L 62-73	5-4	92.95	72.69	▼ 20.26	102.57	93.04	▲ 9.53	▼ 10.73
Tue 12/15/2015	@ Houston Baptist₂₉₅	W 73.69 - 71.22	L 59-72	5-5	105.50	75.64	▼ 29.86	97.13	89.29	▲ 7.84	▼ 22.02
Fri 12/18/2015	@ Abil. Christian₃₂₄	W 71.69 - 66.21	W 60-56	6-5	107.03	99.69	▼ 7.34	94.09	84.58	▲ 9.51	▲ 2.17
Sun 12/20/2015	vs Life Pacific	---	W 95-48	7-5	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Tue 12/22/2015	vs Denver₁₈₄	W 64.23 - 61.76	W 63-54	8-5	98.56	103.86	▲ 5.30	100.90	90.85	▲ 10.05	▲ 15.35
Mon 12/28/2015	@ Morgan State₃₀₉	W 71.29 - 67.13	W 81-72	9-5	104.50	114.02	▲ 9.52	93.24	96.73	▼ 3.49	▲ 6.03
Wed 12/30/2015	@ Ohio₁₃₆	L 69.21 - 77.95	L 59-81	9-6	100.56	85.73	▼ 14.83	107.33	112.96	▼ 5.63	▼ 20.46
Sat 1/2/2016	vs CSU Bakersfield₁₁₁	L 64.69 - 67.58	L 48-67	9-7	90.90	71.94	▼ 18.96	100.60	106.28	▼ 5.68	▼ 24.64
Thu 1/7/2016	vs CSU Fullerton₂₃₇	W 73.50 - 67.31	L 73-79	9-8	101.95	97.08	▼ 4.87	99.22	114.19	▼ 14.97	▼ 19.84
Sat 1/9/2016	@ UC Irvine₇₉	L 59.45 - 73.07	L 68-84	9-9	90.55	98.51	▲ 7.96	104.58	113.02	▼ 8.44	▼ 0.48
Thu 1/14/2016	vs Hawaii₆₁	L 66.61 - 74.42	L 71-80	9-10	90.19	98.32	▲ 8.13	106.75	115.98	▼ 9.23	▼ 1.10
Sat 1/16/2016	@ CSU Northridge₂₆₀	L 70.71 - 71.10	W 75-72	10-10	102.33	99.07	▼ 3.26	97.64	90.59	▲ 7.05	▲ 3.79
Thu 1/21/2016	@ UC Davis₂₂₂	L 62.00 - 64.73	L 55-58	10-11	94.15	86.25	▼ 7.90	93.34	86.31	▲ 7.03	▼ 0.87
Sat 1/23/2016	vs Long Beach St.₁₀₁	L 70.33 - 74.59	W 74-72	11-11	96.27	105.91	▲ 9.64	108.02	115.42	▼ 7.40	▲ 2.24
Thu 1/28/2016	@ Cal Poly₁₇₁	L 68.22 - 73.91	W 72-68	12-11	102.20	112.01	▲ 9.81	105.47	105.02	▲ 0.45	▲ 10.26
Sat 1/30/2016	@ CSU Fullerton₂₃₇	L 69.46 - 71.24	W 81-71	13-11	101.95	118.63	▲ 16.68	99.22	92.80	▲ 6.42	▲ 23.10
Wed 2/3/2016	vs CSU Northridge₂₆₀	W 74.81 - 67.05	L 71-73	13-12	102.33	101.49	▼ 0.84	97.64	111.87	▼ 14.23	▼ 15.07
Sat 2/6/2016	vs UC Davis₂₂₂	W 65.91 - 61.05	L 49-50	13-13	94.15	70.22	▼ 23.93	93.34	78.68	▲ 14.66	▼ 9.27
Sat 2/13/2016	vs Cal Poly₁₇₁	W 72.17 - 70.07	L 78-86	13-14	102.20	104.23	▲ 2.03	105.47	121.23	▼ 15.76	▼ 13.73
Thu 2/18/2016	vs UCSB₉₆	L 65.33 - 69.72	L 55-65	13-15	93.27	81.70	▼ 11.57	105.61	102.92	▲ 2.69	▼ 8.88
Thu 2/25/2016	@ Hawaii₆₁	L 62.50 - 78.43	W 77-71	14-15	90.19	109.86	▲ 19.67	106.75	95.69	▲ 11.06	▲ 30.73
Sat 2/27/2016	@ Long Beach St.₁₀₁	L 66.25 - 78.60	L 55-66	14-16	96.27	84.02	▼ 12.25	108.02	95.44	▲ 12.58	▲ 0.33
Thu 3/3/2016	@ UCSB₉₆	L 61.43 - 73.57	L 55-81	14-17	93.27	93.11	▼ 0.16	105.61	131.04	▼ 25.43	▼ 25.59
Sat 3/5/2016	vs UC Irvine₇₉	L 63.35 - 69.27	L 66-76	14-18	90.55	94.14	▲ 3.59	104.58	113.06	▼ 8.48	▼ 4.89
Thu 3/10/2016	vs Long Beach St.₁₀₁ *	L 68.29 - 76.60	L 74-82	14-19	96.27	94.37	▼ 1.90	108.02	106.85	▲ 1.17	▼ 0.73
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	UC Riverside performs better against squads that fail to defend efficiently inside the paint. When facing teams that have a defensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 57.08%, UC Riverside is more efficient than normal 77% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 22% of the time.
	When playing teams that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities, UC Riverside usually performs worse than average. UC Riverside is more efficient than normal 45% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 80.70. In all other contests, UC Riverside performs better than average 91% of the time.
	UC Riverside is typically worse vs. teams that do a nice job converting inside the paint. Against foes that have an offensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 60.51%, UC Riverside performs above their norm 33% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 73% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox