Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 UC Riverside14-17 (0.452) | Big West
All-Play Percentage: 0.366 (223rd)
Schedule Strength: 0.533 (136th)
Record Quality: -0.065 (207th)
Avg. Season Rank: 233.51 (235th)
Pace: 66.66 (113th)
Momentum: 2.06 (70th)
Off. Momentum: -0.29 (242nd)
Def. Momentum: 2.35 (18th)
Consistency: -7.12 (7th)
Res. Consistency: -9.48 (42nd)
Away From Home: -1.23 (293rd)
Paper Tiger Factor: -1.73 (242nd)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
93.97
66.56
26.07
67.47
81.97
33.66
41.06
28.22
9.06
32.12
22.80
7.10
31.14
30.94
17.49
56.54
12.86
15.74
7.15
34.43
27.82
37.75
1.97
RANK:
282nd
118th
283rd
237th
172nd
251st
258th
168th
222nd
271st
266th
299th
320th
69th
108th
219th
85th
146th
117th
168th
269th
67th
120th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
100.71
66.76
32.07
--
78.02
33.65
43.13
26.31
10.05
38.21
25.44
8.47
33.30
26.27
15.13
57.59
10.90
14.77
7.21
33.73
32.60
33.67
2.00
RANK:
166th
248th
273rd
--
32nd
83rd
157th
102nd
220th
327th
178th
109th
78th
91st
88th
135th
126th
137th
226th
161st
236th
137th
171st
ANALYSIS: UC Riverside has a squad that most likely falls somewhere in the bottom half of NCAA Division I teams this year. Carrying a record of 14-17, they are currently rated #223 overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the nine schools in the Big West (average ranking 153.2), they're currently ranked as our #7 team in the conference.
Based on their performances this year, UC Riverside will likely find more success on defense than they will on offense. Allowing about 101 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #166 slot in the ratings for defensive efficiency. UC Riverside does a really good job to prevent opponents from getting off shots from the field. The club is ranked 32nd in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 78.02 vs. AO. If UC Riverside does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's inability to stop opponents from sinking threes. AO will convert 38.2% of their three-point attempts, and the team ranks 25th-worst in that category because of it.
The offense for UC Riverside, on the other hand, isn't nearly as efficient as the defense is. The team is ranked 282nd in offensive efficiency, scoring about 94 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. UC Riverside needs improvement when it comes to draining the mid-range shot. The team is ranked 320th in field goal percentage from that distance, making only 31.1% of their mid-range attempts vs. AO.
UC Riverside is one of the most consistent teams in NCAA basketball (currently ranked seventh in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their upcoming games far easier to predict.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
UC Riverside is typically better vs. teams that tend to allow more shots on the perimeter. Against foes that have a defensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.03, UC Riverside performs above their norm 89% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 45% of the time.
When facing teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot, UC Riverside often performs worse than normal. UC Riverside is more efficient than usual 33% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 38.08%. In their other contests, UC Riverside performs better than the norm 70% of the time.
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