Automated Team Capsule for 2023-24 Illinois29-9 (0.763) | Big Ten
All-Play Percentage: 0.967 (13th)
Schedule Strength: 0.707 (21st)
Record Quality: 0.464 (7th)
Avg. Season Rank: 17.07 (17th)
Pace: 69.13 (94th)
Momentum: 2.27 (78th)
Off. Momentum: 1.42 (106th)
Def. Momentum: 0.84 (103rd)
Consistency: -10.99 (335th)
Res. Consistency: -10.51 (61st)
Away From Home: 1.22 (49th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -1.30 (208th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 8, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
122.92
69.26
32.87
73.32
89.21
43.30
48.54
33.63
12.22
36.33
19.84
7.77
39.16
35.74
23.31
65.22
9.83
15.70
7.18
37.70
22.24
40.06
1.98
RANK:
3rd
88th
9th
131st
25th
6th
20th
117th
79th
65th
275th
257th
173rd
32nd
5th
19th
267th
76th
35th
155th
295th
61st
117th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
98.48
69.01
22.07
--
90.06
36.99
41.08
26.53
8.59
32.37
31.49
10.90
34.61
32.04
17.51
54.64
10.26
13.78
5.05
29.46
34.96
35.58
1.94
RANK:
52nd
264th
28th
--
346th
135th
45th
16th
11th
68th
359th
330th
22nd
234th
162nd
55th
90th
211th
110th
6th
358th
154th
323rd
ANALYSIS: A top-25 caliber team, Illinois will almost certainly present a challenging task for any Division I opponent. They have a record of 29-9 and are ranked 13th overall (out of 362) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. Of the 14 schools in the Big Ten (average ranking 54.7), they're currently ranked as our #2 team in the conference. With a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.707 (which ranks 21st nationally), Illinois is one of the more battle-tested teams in the college game.
Illinois showcases one of the country's most efficient offenses. Racking up about 123 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, the team is nationally rated third in efficiency on that end of the floor. Illinois does a super job in their efforts to get to the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of 32.87 vs. AO, they are ranked ninth in the nation at getting to the charity stripe, where the team shoots a rather mediocre 73.3%. Illinois is also one of the nation's most effective teams finishing close to the iron. The team is ranked 19th in the country in near-proximity field goal percentage, making approximately 65.2% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. The team will attempt a fair amount of field goals from up-close, too. Approximately 40.1% of their attempts vs. AO are taken from near-proximity locations, which puts the team in the top-75 in that category nationally. The squad likewise lands in the top-25 in overall offensive field goal percentage and makes good on about 48.5% of their total attempts vs. AO. Illinois is lastly one of the very best when it comes to maximizing field goal opportunities. The team is ranked 25th in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 89.21 vs. AO.
Illinois plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 52nd nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 98 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Illinois does a bang-up job preventing the opposition from draining jumpers in between the three-point line and the low post. They're ranked 22nd in Division I in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 34.6% of their attempts from that distance. To capitalize on that weakness, this team will make AO shoot from mid-range locations more than they usually would. Of AO's total field goals, a large portion of them (35.0%) will be from mid-range. Illinois also does a pretty solid job avoiding careless fouls and minimizing opponents' opportunities from the free throw line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 22.07 vs. AO, they are currently rated 28th in the country in that category. If Illinois does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's propensity to allow too many shot attempts per trip. The squad has a rating of 90.06 in defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO, which ranks 17th-worst in college basketball.
Illinois has been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 335th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most. On the road, Illinois performs somewhat better than their norm, as the squad is nationally ranked 49th in our away-from-home metric.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
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