Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2019-20 Illinois 21-10 (0.677) | Big Ten

All-Play Percentage: 0.920 (29^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.724 (31^st)	Record Quality: 0.356 (29^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 40.14 (36^th)
Pace: 68.70 (234^th)	Momentum: -0.72 (218^th)	Off. Momentum: 1.76 (104^th)	Def. Momentum: -2.48 (287^th)
Consistency: -9.12 (185^th)	Res. Consistency: -11.46 (151^st)	Away From Home: -0.67 (213^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.76 (253^rd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through March 11, 2020. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

106.79

28.49

71.65

84.11

46.16

26.89

32.48

27.31

37.76

29.92

66.13

10.24

12.74

5.17

31.97

32.47

35.57

1.96

RANK:

45^th

55^th

157^th

68^th

40^th

291^st

236^th

58^th

136^th

113^th

19^th

209^th

181^st

145^th

305^th

65^th

141^st

71^st

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

90.10

19.34

83.25

40.37

27.42

32.48

31.48

34.92

24.35

56.28

9.06

9.46

3.51

32.93

37.81

29.25

2.04

RANK:

25^th

13^th

229^th

48^th

54^th

121^st

350^th

85^th

35^th

82^nd

32^nd

7^th

19^th

39^th

351^st

25^th

156^th

ANALYSIS:
A borderline top-25 caliber team, Illinois will almost certainly present a challenging task for any Division I opponent. They have a record of 21-10 and are ranked 29th overall (out of 353) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. Of the 14 schools in the Big Ten (average ranking 36.5), they're currently ranked as our #11 team in the conference.

The Illinois defense will be extremely problematic for most opposing offenses. Allowing about 90 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, the club is ranked 25th overall in defensive efficiency. Illinois does a super job to deny opponents offensive rebounds and second chances. They have a rating of 9.46 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked seventh in the country), and they allow AO to convert just 3.5% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked 19th) as well. Illinois is also a superior unit when it comes to preventing opponents from getting to the foul line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 19.34 vs. AO, they are currently rated 13th in the country in that category.

Illinois plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 45th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 107 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Illinois is one of the nation's most effective teams finishing close to the iron. The team is ranked 19th in the country in near-proximity field goal percentage, making approximately 66.1% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. The squad likewise lands in the top-50 in overall offensive field goal percentage and makes good on about 46.2% of their total attempts vs. AO. Illinois also does a pretty good job of protecting the ball when they have possession and not allowing quick and easy baskets off of their own turnovers. The team's rating vs. AO for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals is 9.06, which ranks #32 in the country.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Tue 11/5/2019	vs Nicholls₁₅₇	W 74.64 - 59.41	W 78-70 (OT)	1-0	104.40	89.22	▼ 15.18	88.46	95.41	▼ 6.95	▼ 22.13
Fri 11/8/2019	@ Grand Canyon₂₇₄	W 78.24 - 62.29	W 83-71	2-0	116.63	113.41	▼ 3.22	89.00	93.50	▼ 4.50	▼ 7.72
Sun 11/10/2019	@ Arizona₁₁	L 64.27 - 70.59	L 69-90	2-1	95.68	92.73	▼ 2.95	99.70	116.85	▼ 17.15	▼ 20.10
Mon 11/18/2019	vs Hawaii₁₇₅	W 73.59 - 57.77	W 66-53	3-1	105.99	95.64	▼ 10.35	88.16	73.12	▲ 15.04	▲ 4.69
Wed 11/20/2019	vs The Citadel₃₃₁	W 87.96 - 59.22	W 85-57	4-1	117.28	121.71	▲ 4.43	83.75	85.14	▼ 1.39	▲ 3.04
Sat 11/23/2019	vs Hampton₃₂₁	W 88.15 - 61.28	W 120-71	5-1	121.28	145.55	▲ 24.27	89.70	77.96	▲ 11.74	▲ 36.01
Tue 11/26/2019	vs Lindenwood	---	W 117-65	6-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Mon 12/2/2019	vs Miami₁₁₈	W 74.26 - 62.07	L 79-81	6-2	105.61	107.55	▲ 1.94	92.94	116.53	▼ 23.59	▼ 21.65
Sat 12/7/2019	@ Maryland₁₂	L 63.44 - 69.47	L 58-59	6-3	96.07	87.74	▼ 8.33	100.58	86.61	▲ 13.97	▲ 5.64
Wed 12/11/2019	vs Michigan₁₃	W 68.43 - 67.62	W 71-62	7-3	97.03	98.98	▲ 1.95	101.14	93.29	▲ 7.85	▲ 9.80
Sat 12/14/2019	vs Old Dominion₁₇₇	W 70.91 - 55.31	W 69-55	8-3	103.00	104.11	▲ 1.11	85.20	67.97	▲ 17.23	▲ 18.34
Sat 12/21/2019	vs Missouri₇₇ *	W 67.03 - 61.73	L 56-63	8-4	99.31	82.05	▼ 17.26	91.75	88.73	▲ 3.02	▼ 14.24
Sun 12/29/2019	vs NC A&T₂₉₀	W 82.53 - 57.66	W 95-64	9-4	110.10	127.55	▲ 17.45	81.24	87.19	▼ 5.95	▲ 11.50
Thu 1/2/2020	@ Michigan State₃	L 64.08 - 73.91	L 56-76	9-5	95.48	86.82	▼ 8.66	104.34	113.18	▼ 8.84	▼ 17.50
Sun 1/5/2020	vs Purdue₁₆	W 63.24 - 62.37	W 63-37	10-5	94.86	93.98	▼ 0.88	98.52	58.59	▲ 39.93	▲ 39.05
Wed 1/8/2020	@ Wisconsin₂₇	L 61.54 - 64.92	W 71-70	11-5	97.88	114.70	▲ 16.82	98.12	108.66	▼ 10.54	▲ 6.28
Sat 1/11/2020	vs Rutgers₂₅	W 65.57 - 63.42	W 54-51	12-5	94.29	78.15	▼ 16.14	95.64	80.91	▲ 14.73	▼ 1.41
Sat 1/18/2020	vs Northwestern₁₂₀	W 72.04 - 59.96	W 75-71	13-5	104.93	114.82	▲ 9.89	92.27	116.96	▼ 24.69	▼ 14.80
Tue 1/21/2020	@ Purdue₁₆	L 60.06 - 65.49	W 79-62	14-5	94.86	129.23	▲ 34.37	98.52	95.80	▲ 2.72	▲ 37.09
Sat 1/25/2020	@ Michigan₁₃	L 65.06 - 70.98	W 64-62	15-5	97.03	96.57	▼ 0.46	101.14	91.49	▲ 9.65	▲ 9.19
Thu 1/30/2020	vs Minnesota₂₃	W 68.00 - 66.03	W 59-51	16-5	98.44	79.64	▼ 18.80	100.71	80.01	▲ 20.70	▲ 1.90
Sun 2/2/2020	@ Iowa₁₈	L 69.00 - 74.35	L 65-72	16-6	101.52	99.32	▼ 2.20	104.15	110.05	▼ 5.90	▼ 8.10
Fri 2/7/2020	vs Maryland₁₂	W 66.76 - 66.12	L 66-75	16-7	96.07	86.44	▼ 9.63	100.58	109.21	▼ 8.63	▼ 18.26
Tue 2/11/2020	vs Michigan State₃	L 67.44 - 70.42	L 69-70	16-8	95.48	93.39	▼ 2.09	104.34	98.34	▲ 6.00	▲ 3.91
Sat 2/15/2020	@ Rutgers₂₅	L 62.26 - 66.56	L 57-72	16-9	94.29	88.76	▼ 5.53	95.64	108.66	▼ 13.02	▼ 18.55
Tue 2/18/2020	@ Penn State₂₁	L 66.89 - 71.99	W 62-56	17-9	97.00	100.86	▲ 3.86	99.18	87.87	▲ 11.31	▲ 15.17
Mon 2/24/2020	vs Nebraska₁₆₀	W 79.30 - 63.99	W 71-59	18-9	106.35	98.62	▼ 7.73	90.54	82.72	▲ 7.82	▲ 0.09
Thu 2/27/2020	@ Northwestern₁₂₀	W 68.75 - 63.26	W 74-66	19-9	104.93	123.26	▲ 18.33	92.27	100.78	▼ 8.51	▲ 9.82
Sun 3/1/2020	vs Indiana₃₈	W 69.23 - 64.73	W 67-66	20-9	99.56	94.57	▼ 4.99	98.10	106.80	▼ 8.70	▼ 13.69
Thu 3/5/2020	@ Ohio State₆	L 61.73 - 69.86	L 63-71	20-10	94.88	97.69	▲ 2.81	101.74	106.93	▼ 5.19	▼ 2.38
Sun 3/8/2020	vs Iowa₁₈	W 72.41 - 70.87	W 78-76	21-10	101.52	113.97	▲ 12.45	104.15	115.88	▼ 11.73	▲ 0.72
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Illinois does worse vs. clubs that convert well from the charity stripe. When playing squads that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 0.73%, Illinois performs above average 27% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 73% of the time.
	Illinois performs worse against squads that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities. When facing teams that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 11.31, Illinois is more efficient than normal 25% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 67% of the time.
	When playing teams that find ways to get to the free throw line, Illinois usually performs worse than average. Illinois is more efficient than normal 29% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 27.41. In all other contests, Illinois performs better than average 69% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	No. 23 Illinois nips No. 18 Iowa, earns No. 4 seed in Big Ten (3/8/2020 10:09:00 PM) Sophomore guard Ayo Dosunmu scored 17 points, including the game’s final four, and added eight assists and seven rebounds to spark No. 23 Illinois to a 78-76 win over No. 18 Iowa to close out the Big Ten Conference regular season on Sunday night in Champaign,
	No. 23 Illinois outlasts No. 18 Iowa 78-76 to clinch double bye in Big Ten tournament (3/8/2020 10:05:00 PM) Iowa star forward Luka Garza's game-tying shot attempt was blocked at the buzzer as Illinois held on by two against Iowa. With the win, the Fighting Illini clinched a top-4 seed in the Big Ten tournament and thus, a double bye.
	Dosunmu, No. 23 Illinois hold off No. 18 Iowa 78-76 (3/8/2020 9:55:00 PM) CHAMPAIGN, Ill. -- Ayo Dosunmu scored 17 points and No. 23 Illinois held off No. 18 Iowa 78-76 on Sunday to secure the No. 4 seed in the Big Ten Conference tournament. Andres Feliz scored 14 points, Kofi Cockburn had 12 and Kipper Nichols added 10 for Illinois (21-10, 12-8 Big Ten). Luka Garza scored a game-high 28 points for Iowa (20-11 ...
	Illinois holds off Indiana for fourth straight win (3/2/2020) Indiana freshman Trayce Jackson-Davis missed a pair of free throws with ... That set up a pair of free throws from Ayo Dosunmu, which he canned to give Illinois a four-point lead and, ultimately, a 67-66 win on Sunday at the State Farm Center for their fourth straight win. The win kept Illinois within one game of Big Ten-leading Maryland ...
	Grades and takeaways: Illinois crushes Northwestern on road (2/28/2020 12:25:00 PM) But, Griffin deserved the recognition after making his first five three-point attempts, leading the Illini to a 74-66 victory ... rebounds. Northwestern held Cockburn to 12-points and seven-rebounds in the first matchup this season. On Thursday night, Cockburn posted 10-points and 5-rebounds in his first 11 minutes on the court. Illinois ...

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox