Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2023-24 California 13-19 (0.406) | Pac-12

All-Play Percentage: 0.662 (123^rd)	Schedule Strength: 0.672 (50^th)	Record Quality: 0.056 (141^st)	Avg. Season Rank: 144.54 (139^th)
Pace: 68.80 (111^th)	Momentum: -2.67 (283^rd)	Off. Momentum: -2.25 (316^th)	Def. Momentum: -0.42 (176^th)
Consistency: -7.48 (18^th)	Res. Consistency: -10.86 (85^th)	Away From Home: -0.19 (203^rd)	Paper Tiger Factor: 2.27 (4^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

107.69

25.83

72.22

87.41

43.84

35.37

35.04

22.13

37.47

29.92

58.96

11.99

14.10

6.05

40.46

25.32

34.22

2.06

RANK:

124^th

208^th

172^nd

80^th

186^th

67^th

146^th

193^rd

245^th

226^th

134^th

148^th

144^th

124^th

80^th

213^th

246^th

287^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

102.43

26.42

86.84

42.01

32.33

34.19

26.52

36.46

27.99

56.31

9.96

12.76

5.06

37.23

30.54

32.24

2.05

RANK:

120^th

190^th

257^th

81^st

221^st

176^th

308^th

69^th

68^th

114^th

68^th

123^rd

112^th

196^th

306^th

48^th

87^th

ANALYSIS:
They may not cause sleepless nights for opponents, but California, as a slightly above-average team, cannot be totally ignored. Ranked 123rd overall (out of 362) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 13-19. They are also ranked by this site as the #10 team (out of 12) in the Pac-12 (average ranking 76.1).

If there is a strength for California this year, it's probably on the defensive end of the court. The team is rated 120th in defensive efficiency, allowing fewer than 103 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. California has been fairly decent in preventing teams from draining shots from between the three-point stripe and the low post. They're ranked 69th in Division I in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 36.5% of their attempts from that distance.

California plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 124th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 108 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. California is fairly competent protecting the ball on offense, which minimizes opportunities for the opponent to score quickly off of steals. The team's rating vs. AO for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals is 9.96, which ranks #68 in the country.

California is one of the most consistent teams in NCAA basketball (currently ranked 18th in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their upcoming games far easier to predict.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Mon 11/6/2023	vs St. Thomas₁₃₀	W 69.85 - 66.10	W 71-66	1-0	105.35	111.98	▲ 6.63	104.78	110.73	▼ 5.95	▲ 0.68
Fri 11/10/2023	vs Pacific₃₅₄	W 83.78 - 60.69	L 79-87	1-1	117.89	103.35	▼ 14.54	90.87	125.96	▼ 35.09	▼ 49.63
Mon 11/13/2023	vs CSU Bakersfield₂₁₈	W 73.72 - 63.92	W 83-63	2-1	108.30	119.69	▲ 11.39	98.71	96.19	▲ 2.52	▲ 13.91
Thu 11/16/2023	vs Montana State₂₁₅	W 78.19 - 68.09	L 60-63	2-2	109.62	89.77	▼ 19.85	100.39	100.97	▼ 0.58	▼ 20.43
Mon 11/20/2023	vs UTEP₁₈₈ *	W 72.59 - 67.19	L 72-75	2-3	102.96	105.17	▲ 2.21	95.23	109.55	▼ 14.32	▼ 12.11
Wed 11/22/2023	vs Tulane₁₄₄ *	W 80.39 - 78.26	L 81-84	2-4	110.27	103.15	▼ 7.12	107.09	106.97	▲ 0.12	▼ 7.00
Sat 11/25/2023	vs San Diego State₃₉ *	L 65.78 - 74.71	L 67-76 (OT)	2-5	97.23	91.70	▼ 5.53	110.25	104.02	▲ 6.23	▲ 0.70
Sat 12/2/2023	vs Santa Clara₁₀₇	W 75.51 - 73.05	W 84-69	3-5	105.40	115.93	▲ 10.53	106.52	95.45	▲ 11.07	▲ 21.60
Sat 12/9/2023	@ Butler₅₆	L 68.98 - 78.95	L 90-97 (2OT)	3-6	102.02	106.82	▲ 4.80	111.49	103.26	▲ 8.23	▲ 13.03
Sat 12/16/2023	vs Ole Miss₉₃ *	L 72.99 - 75.78	L 78-88	3-7	106.67	111.43	▲ 4.76	110.53	127.08	▼ 16.55	▼ 11.79
Wed 12/20/2023	vs UC San Diego₁₂₇	W 74.70 - 71.14	W 71-67	4-7	108.09	101.88	▼ 6.21	108.72	101.07	▲ 7.65	▲ 1.44
Fri 12/29/2023	vs Arizona₅	L 70.06 - 83.97	L 81-100	4-8	94.02	84.79	▼ 9.23	117.44	124.76	▼ 7.32	▼ 16.55
Sun 12/31/2023	vs Arizona State₁₃₂	W 73.04 - 68.86	L 69-71	4-9	101.63	87.07	▼ 14.56	100.67	94.74	▲ 5.93	▼ 8.63
Wed 1/3/2024	@ USC₇₂	L 68.56 - 76.57	L 74-82	4-10	101.65	108.25	▲ 6.60	108.05	112.96	▼ 4.91	▲ 1.69
Sat 1/6/2024	@ UCLA₉₄	L 64.18 - 69.86	W 66-57	5-10	101.32	102.54	▲ 1.22	104.55	83.40	▲ 21.15	▲ 22.37
Wed 1/10/2024	vs Colorado₁₈	L 70.27 - 78.67	W 82-78	6-10	99.63	121.71	▲ 22.08	116.34	117.24	▼ 0.90	▲ 21.18
Sat 1/13/2024	@ Oregon₅₃	L 68.33 - 78.65	L 73-80	6-11	101.80	106.82	▲ 5.02	111.39	111.75	▼ 0.36	▲ 4.66
Thu 1/18/2024	vs Washington₆₁	L 75.92 - 78.85	L 75-77	6-12	103.34	103.10	▼ 0.24	112.35	112.54	▼ 0.19	▼ 0.43
Sat 1/20/2024	vs Washington St.₄₃	L 67.23 - 71.92	W 81-75 (OT)	7-12	99.18	103.71	▲ 4.53	110.85	107.15	▲ 3.70	▲ 8.23
Fri 1/26/2024	vs Stanford₁₀₅	W 76.56 - 74.05	W 73-71	8-12	105.89	94.80	▼ 11.09	107.00	95.96	▲ 11.04	▼ 0.05
Thu 2/1/2024	@ Arizona₅	L 66.49 - 87.56	L 65-91	8-13	94.02	84.07	▼ 9.95	117.44	120.42	▼ 2.98	▼ 12.93
Sat 2/3/2024	@ Arizona State₁₃₂	L 69.58 - 72.21	W 81-66	9-13	101.63	120.00	▲ 18.37	100.67	84.56	▲ 16.11	▲ 34.48
Wed 2/7/2024	vs USC₇₂	L 71.97 - 73.21	W 83-77 (OT)	10-13	101.65	102.15	▲ 0.50	108.05	103.67	▲ 4.38	▲ 4.88
Sat 2/10/2024	vs UCLA₉₄	W 67.38 - 66.61	L 60-61	10-14	101.32	92.70	▼ 8.62	104.55	97.85	▲ 6.70	▼ 1.92
Thu 2/15/2024	@ Washington St.₄₃	L 63.97 - 75.18	L 65-84	10-15	99.18	95.98	▼ 3.20	110.85	124.88	▼ 14.03	▼ 17.23
Sat 2/17/2024	@ Washington₆₁	L 72.39 - 82.40	W 82-80	11-15	103.34	113.35	▲ 10.01	112.35	102.73	▲ 9.62	▲ 19.63
Thu 2/22/2024	vs Oregon State₁₆₁	W 72.98 - 66.73	W 81-73	12-15	107.61	122.08	▲ 14.47	103.51	114.84	▼ 11.33	▲ 3.14
Sat 2/24/2024	vs Oregon₅₃	L 71.73 - 75.24	W 69-64	13-15	101.80	97.46	▼ 4.34	111.39	96.65	▲ 14.74	▲ 10.40
Wed 2/28/2024	@ Colorado₁₈	L 66.88 - 82.19	L 78-88	13-16	99.63	103.87	▲ 4.24	116.34	113.25	▲ 3.09	▲ 7.33
Sat 3/2/2024	@ Utah₄₆	L 69.38 - 80.66	L 59-88	13-17	100.43	85.59	▼ 14.84	111.20	122.36	▼ 11.16	▼ 26.00
Thu 3/7/2024	@ Stanford₁₀₅	L 73.07 - 77.58	L 58-80	13-18	105.89	81.59	▼ 24.30	107.00	114.46	▼ 7.46	▼ 31.76
Wed 3/13/2024	vs Stanford₁₀₅ *	L 74.81 - 75.81	L 76-87 (OT)	13-19	105.89	100.00	▼ 5.89	107.00	100.00	▲ 7.00	▲ 1.11
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	California does better vs. clubs that convert well from the charity stripe. When playing squads that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 0.71%, California performs above average 76% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 36% of the time.
	California performs better against squads that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds. When facing teams that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 5.16%, California is more efficient than normal 78% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 43% of the time.
	When playing teams that favor a faster tempo, California usually performs worse than average. California is more efficient than normal 43% of the time when facing clubs that have a pace vs. AO greater than 68.29. In all other contests, California performs better than average 78% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox