Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 UNC Wilmington 29-6 (0.829) | Colonial

All-Play Percentage: 0.829 (61^st)	Schedule Strength: 0.524 (130^th)	Record Quality: 0.342 (36^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 65.09 (62^nd)
Pace: 71.75 (83^rd)	Momentum: 1.01 (125^th)	Off. Momentum: 2.44 (71^st)	Def. Momentum: -1.42 (233^rd)
Consistency: -10.77 (334^th)	Res. Consistency: -10.02 (84^th)	Away From Home: -1.21 (269^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.03 (171^st)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

114.04

26.78

68.30

88.03

46.89

36.26

36.37

24.81

40.46

26.97

66.96

13.23

16.75

8.07

41.19

28.18

30.63

2.11

RANK:

27^th

199^th

249^th

2^nd

57^th

15^th

118^th

133^rd

20^th

246^th

21^st

40^th

60^th

51^st

61^st

191^st

304^th

314^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

102.58

28.19

77.94

47.59

23.71

34.63

25.96

36.08

28.27

69.04

7.82

13.41

8.18

30.42

33.30

36.28

1.94

RANK:

183^rd

194^th

36^th

312^th

9^th

121^st

265^th

134^th

166^th

342^nd

7^th

91^st

297^th

16^th

315^th

229^th

314^th

ANALYSIS:
This website places UNC Wilmington in the top 25% of all NCAA college basketball teams this year. They are ranked #61 (out of 351) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 29-6. They are also ranked by this site as the best team (out of 10) in the Colonial (average ranking 173.3).

The primary strength for UNC Wilmington this year is offense. The team is ranked 27th in efficiency on that end of the floor, and they'll rack up more than 114 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. UNC Wilmington is one of the very best when it comes to maximizing field goal opportunities. The team is ranked second in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 88.03 vs. AO. And when they do shoot, they make a fair portion of their shots. Ranked in the top-75 in field goal shooting percentage, the squad converts about 46.9% of their total attempts vs. AO. UNC Wilmington also allows very few breakaway opportunities for the opposition, which typically translates to fewer turnovers. The team's rating vs. AO for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals is 7.82, which ranks #7 in the country. UNC Wilmington is lastly superb at converting jumpers in between the three-point stripe and the low post. The squad is ranked 20th nationally in mid-range field goal percentage, making about 40.5% of their attempts from those locations vs. AO.

Unfortunately, UNC Wilmington is not even remotely close to being as good on defense as they are on offense. The team is ranked 183rd in defensive efficiency, allowing about 103 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. UNC Wilmington fares terribly when attempting to stop opponents from converting from the inside. The team is ranked tenth from the bottom in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on 69.0% of their attempts from close-up. UNC Wilmington also allows opponents' field goal percentages to get far too high. The ball-club ranks #312 nationally in field goal percentage allowed, as AO will convert approximately 47.6% of their total attempts from the floor. If UNC Wilmington does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their ability to limit the number of shot attempts by the opposition. The team has a defensive field goal attempt rate of 77.94 vs. AO, which ranks 36th-best in college basketball.

UNC Wilmington has been one of the most erratic teams in college basketball this year (currently ranked 334th overall in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their future games far more difficult to predict.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/11/2016	vs Claflin	---	W 110-64	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Mon 11/14/2016	@ E. Kentucky₂₃₆	W 81.18 - 70.11	W 78-69 (OT)	2-0	114.96	96.25	▼ 18.71	95.87	91.81	▲ 4.06	▼ 14.65
Sun 11/20/2016	vs ETSU₇₃	W 80.31 - 75.26	W 68-59	3-0	107.40	94.93	▼ 12.47	104.76	85.31	▲ 19.45	▲ 6.98
Fri 11/25/2016	vs Mid Tennessee₄₅ *	L 72.69 - 75.19	L 63-68	3-1	106.68	93.77	▼ 12.91	110.00	101.21	▲ 8.79	▼ 4.12
Sat 11/26/2016	vs Evansville₁₄₈ *	W 79.90 - 71.69	W 65-62	4-1	112.84	96.56	▼ 16.28	101.22	92.11	▲ 9.11	▼ 7.17
Sun 11/27/2016	vs Toledo₁₄₅ *	W 81.55 - 73.30	W 102-77	5-1	115.52	137.05	▲ 21.53	104.53	103.46	▲ 1.07	▲ 22.60
Wed 11/30/2016	@ W. Michigan₁₆₉	W 81.80 - 75.29	W 97-92	6-1	115.61	125.00	▲ 9.39	103.11	114.24	▼ 11.13	▼ 1.74
Sat 12/3/2016	vs Pfeiffer	---	W 126-113	7-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 12/10/2016	@ St. Bonaventure₈₃	L 78.92 - 79.12	W 81-80	8-1	110.82	121.48	▲ 10.66	107.42	115.94	▼ 8.52	▲ 2.14
Wed 12/14/2016	@ Campbell₂₇₉	W 81.91 - 68.36	W 96-75	9-1	119.38	146.28	▲ 26.90	96.45	102.96	▼ 6.51	▲ 20.39
Sat 12/17/2016	vs Radford₃₀₇	W 82.87 - 61.07	W 100-64	10-1	117.97	143.78	▲ 25.81	91.33	89.72	▲ 1.61	▲ 27.42
Tue 12/20/2016	vs ECU₁₈₀	W 79.17 - 65.66	W 81-71	11-1	108.74	113.50	▲ 4.76	94.41	96.42	▼ 2.01	▲ 2.75
Wed 12/28/2016	@ Clemson₃₆	L 74.63 - 81.28	L 73-87	11-2	108.08	92.98	▼ 15.10	113.49	122.03	▼ 8.54	▼ 23.64
Sat 12/31/2016	@ Towson₁₃₈	W 79.12 - 74.25	W 76-67	12-2	112.25	109.26	▼ 2.99	101.88	86.36	▲ 15.52	▲ 12.53
Mon 1/2/2017	vs Elon₁₅₈	W 81.93 - 69.95	W 79-63	13-2	112.32	116.25	▲ 3.93	100.41	91.10	▲ 9.31	▲ 13.24
Thu 1/5/2017	@ Drexel₂₆₂	W 87.33 - 74.04	W 90-72	14-2	120.15	109.62	▼ 10.53	98.65	88.81	▲ 9.84	▼ 0.69
Sat 1/7/2017	@ Delaware₂₉₃	W 80.71 - 65.84	W 91-81	15-2	118.17	132.22	▲ 14.05	93.20	113.50	▼ 20.30	▼ 6.25
Thu 1/12/2017	vs William & Mary₁₄₂	W 89.91 - 78.36	W 101-77	16-2	119.30	135.28	▲ 15.98	108.51	100.63	▲ 7.88	▲ 23.86
Sat 1/14/2017	vs Hofstra₁₉₅	W 88.53 - 74.17	W 84-76	17-2	121.30	123.16	▲ 1.86	105.81	113.98	▼ 8.17	▼ 6.31
Thu 1/19/2017	@ Charleston₁₀₇	W 74.05 - 71.81	W 65-59	18-2	110.08	83.47	▼ 26.61	102.79	71.53	▲ 31.26	▲ 4.65
Sat 1/21/2017	vs Drexel₂₆₂	W 90.52 - 70.94	W 87-74	19-2	120.15	122.03	▲ 1.88	98.65	96.15	▲ 2.50	▲ 4.38
Thu 1/26/2017	@ JMU₂₂₁	W 76.54 - 66.72	W 87-76	20-2	113.69	134.03	▲ 20.34	95.71	111.63	▼ 15.92	▲ 4.42
Sat 1/28/2017	@ William & Mary₁₄₂	W 86.73 - 81.53	L 78-96	20-3	119.30	99.14	▼ 20.16	108.51	126.57	▼ 18.06	▼ 38.22
Thu 2/2/2017	vs Charleston₁₀₇	W 77.00 - 68.77	L 66-67	20-4	110.08	90.74	▼ 19.34	102.79	95.27	▲ 7.52	▼ 11.82
Sat 2/4/2017	vs Delaware₂₉₃	W 83.72 - 62.90	W 108-80	21-4	118.17	164.45	▲ 46.28	93.20	118.22	▼ 25.02	▲ 21.26
Thu 2/9/2017	vs JMU₂₂₁	W 79.49 - 63.72	W 88-73	22-4	113.69	130.57	▲ 16.88	95.71	94.02	▲ 1.69	▲ 18.57
Sat 2/11/2017	@ Elon₁₅₈	W 78.85 - 73.02	L 76-77	22-5	112.32	110.79	▼ 1.53	100.41	107.78	▼ 7.37	▼ 8.90
Thu 2/16/2017	@ Northeastern₁₅₆	W 79.74 - 74.19	W 66-65	23-5	115.08	102.22	▼ 12.86	103.09	96.27	▲ 6.82	▼ 6.04
Sat 2/18/2017	@ Hofstra₁₉₅	W 85.43 - 77.20	W 83-76	24-5	121.30	120.79	▼ 0.51	105.81	106.36	▼ 0.55	▼ 1.06
Thu 2/23/2017	vs Towson₁₃₈	W 82.21 - 71.20	W 83-78	25-5	112.25	119.84	▲ 7.59	101.88	115.65	▼ 13.77	▼ 6.18
Sat 2/25/2017	vs Northeastern₁₅₆	W 82.78 - 71.17	W 74-65	26-5	115.08	96.45	▼ 18.63	103.09	91.26	▲ 11.83	▼ 6.80
Sat 3/4/2017	vs Delaware₂₉₃ *	W 82.21 - 64.37	W 91-82	27-5	118.17	127.54	▲ 9.37	93.20	110.14	▼ 16.94	▼ 7.57
Sun 3/5/2017	vs William & Mary₁₄₂ *	W 88.32 - 79.94	W 105-94	28-5	119.30	149.25	▲ 29.95	108.51	120.90	▼ 12.39	▲ 17.56
Mon 3/6/2017	vs Charleston₁₀₇ *	W 75.52 - 70.29	W 78-69	29-5	110.08	115.87	▲ 5.79	102.79	93.55	▲ 9.24	▲ 15.03
Thu 3/16/2017	vs Virginia₉ *	L 61.93 - 71.46	L 71-76	29-6	96.71	107.58	▲ 10.87	112.20	115.15	▼ 2.95	▲ 7.92
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that do not defend well on the perimeter, UNC Wilmington usually performs worse than average. UNC Wilmington is more efficient than normal 27% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 35.65%. In all other contests, UNC Wilmington performs better than average 67% of the time.
	UNC Wilmington is typically better vs. teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities. Against foes that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 10.13, UNC Wilmington performs above their norm 62% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 25% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox