Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 UNC Wilmington 18-14 (0.563) | Colonial

All-Play Percentage: 0.511 (172^nd)	Schedule Strength: 0.475 (187^th)	Record Quality: 0.016 (166^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 171.76 (167^th)
Pace: 68.14 (43^rd)	Momentum: -0.88 (216^th)	Off. Momentum: 1.62 (114^th)	Def. Momentum: -2.50 (279^th)
Consistency: -12.36 (349^th)	Res. Consistency: -15.14 (333^rd)	Away From Home: -0.55 (226^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.19 (121^st)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

97.75

29.41

68.22

82.08

42.48

22.36

35.55

31.67

36.29

28.05

55.00

12.02

14.99

5.87

27.25

38.58

34.17

1.93

RANK:

218^th

151^st

216^th

165^th

202^nd

324^th

118^th

21^st

127^th

188^th

263^rd

119^th

182^nd

258^th

328^th

18^th

199^th

64^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

99.70

35.36

79.48

43.05

22.36

32.13

28.54

34.04

28.58

60.61

11.02

19.40

8.21

28.13

35.91

35.96

1.92

RANK:

144^th

336^th

79^th

155^th

17^th

52^nd

296^th

106^th

173^rd

226^th

135^th

346^th

295^th

15^th

326^th

214^th

308^th

ANALYSIS:
Per this website's calculations, UNC Wilmington is somewhere between an average to slightly above-average D1 ball-club. Haslametrics has them ranked 172nd overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 18-14. They are also ranked by this site as the #4 team (out of 10) in the Colonial (average ranking 207.0).

UNC Wilmington will likely call on their defense to win a majority of their games. The team is ranked 144th in defensive efficiency and allows fewer than 100 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. UNC Wilmington owns a pretty good track record against teams that shoot the three. They rank 52nd in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 32.1% of their attempts from afar. For this reason, AO takes nowhere near as many threes as they typically would -- just 28.1% of AO's field goal attempts will be from downtown. If UNC Wilmington does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's difficulties stopping opponents from obtaining second-chance opportunities via offensive rebounds. The squad has a rating of 19.40 in potential points allowed off of second chances vs. AO, which ranks sixth-worst in college hoops.

UNC Wilmington doesn't perform as well offensively as they do defensively. The team is ranked 218th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 98 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. UNC Wilmington fares worse than most teams when it comes to converting from locations close to the hoop. The team is ranked 263rd in near-proximity field goal percentage, making only 55.0% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO.

UNC Wilmington has been one of the most erratic teams in college basketball this year (currently ranked third from the bottom overall in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their future games far more difficult to predict.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Sat 11/15/2014	@ Old Dominion₇₁	L 56.89 - 67.95	L 56-76	0-1	91.29	75.70	▼ 15.59	102.59	104.84	▼ 2.25	▼ 17.84
Tue 11/18/2014	@ UNCG₂₈₀	W 69.50 - 67.12	W 84-72	1-1	102.59	118.46	▲ 15.87	93.47	89.03	▲ 4.44	▲ 20.31
Sat 11/22/2014	@ VMI₂₉₃	W 79.50 - 75.78	W 110-93	2-1	104.07	127.15	▲ 23.08	94.16	102.97	▼ 8.81	▲ 14.27
Sat 11/29/2014	@ Davidson₄₀	L 66.74 - 82.45	L 49-72	2-2	98.37	63.91	▼ 34.46	114.86	95.47	▲ 19.39	▼ 15.07
Wed 12/3/2014	vs St. Andrews	---	W 105-47	3-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sun 12/14/2014	@ Louisville₁₇	L 55.18 - 75.06	L 57-68	3-3	83.57	83.25	▼ 0.32	106.91	92.80	▲ 14.11	▲ 13.79
Wed 12/17/2014	vs Liberty₃₂₉	W 73.25 - 57.37	W 73-70 (OT)	4-3	103.73	86.88	▼ 16.85	86.74	94.15	▼ 7.41	▼ 24.26
Sat 12/20/2014	vs ECU₂₃₈	W 69.90 - 62.66	W 66-54	5-3	103.26	98.57	▼ 4.69	98.09	87.35	▲ 10.74	▲ 6.05
Tue 12/23/2014	@ Campbell₂₉₀	W 65.18 - 62.09	L 63-69	5-4	103.22	99.89	▼ 3.33	93.21	101.57	▼ 8.36	▼ 11.69
Sat 12/27/2014	@ Minnesota₄₁	L 63.16 - 78.92	L 82-108	5-5	92.34	107.66	▲ 15.32	108.92	140.11	▼ 31.19	▼ 15.87
Tue 12/30/2014	@ Ohio₂₂₀	L 68.74 - 70.37	L 53-72	5-6	101.15	76.41	▼ 24.74	97.80	101.79	▼ 3.99	▼ 28.73
Sat 1/3/2015	vs Hofstra₁₂₂	L 73.69 - 73.71	L 56-68	5-7	99.40	78.19	▼ 21.21	105.55	100.11	▲ 5.44	▼ 15.77
Mon 1/5/2015	@ Northeastern₈₉	L 62.39 - 72.36	W 75-68	6-7	96.70	113.13	▲ 16.43	105.80	97.90	▲ 7.90	▲ 24.33
Thu 1/8/2015	vs Delaware₂₈₂	W 74.31 - 64.19	W 74-73 (OT)	7-7	104.12	94.13	▼ 9.99	95.93	100.07	▼ 4.14	▼ 14.13
Sat 1/10/2015	vs Drexel₂₅₁	W 67.38 - 59.55	W 64-57	8-7	100.60	98.62	▼ 1.98	94.97	91.50	▲ 3.47	▲ 1.49
Wed 1/14/2015	@ William & Mary₁₁₅	L 66.71 - 74.92	L 72-76	8-8	101.93	129.29	▲ 27.36	108.56	122.89	▼ 14.33	▲ 13.03
Sat 1/17/2015	@ Hofstra₁₂₂	L 69.57 - 77.82	W 79-74	9-8	99.40	119.15	▲ 19.75	105.55	107.48	▼ 1.93	▲ 17.82
Wed 1/21/2015	@ Charleston₂₉₁	W 63.09 - 59.96	W 58-56 (OT)	10-8	98.32	82.97	▼ 15.35	88.07	75.82	▲ 12.25	▼ 3.10
Sat 1/24/2015	vs Towson₂₇₃	W 68.78 - 59.45	W 69-65	11-8	102.90	95.60	▼ 7.30	94.40	95.83	▼ 1.43	▼ 8.73
Wed 1/28/2015	vs Elon₂₇₀	W 74.21 - 64.26	W 82-65	12-8	100.86	129.76	▲ 28.90	93.24	82.60	▲ 10.64	▲ 39.54
Sat 1/31/2015	@ Drexel₂₅₁	W 63.64 - 63.38	L 76-85	12-9	100.60	107.32	▲ 6.72	94.97	117.32	▼ 22.35	▼ 15.63
Wed 2/4/2015	@ JMU₂₀₅	L 67.90 - 70.10	W 77-65	13-9	102.82	125.19	▲ 22.37	100.40	97.03	▲ 3.37	▲ 25.74
Sat 2/7/2015	vs William & Mary₁₁₅	L 70.57 - 70.97	L 53-56	13-10	101.93	77.33	▼ 24.60	108.56	87.82	▲ 20.74	▼ 3.86
Wed 2/11/2015	vs Charleston₂₉₁	W 66.88 - 56.26	W 58-45	14-10	98.32	90.13	▼ 8.19	88.07	67.88	▲ 20.19	▲ 12.00
Sat 2/14/2015	vs Northeastern₈₉	L 66.20 - 68.41	W 66-61	15-10	96.70	86.22	▼ 10.48	105.80	88.89	▲ 16.91	▲ 6.43
Thu 2/19/2015	@ Delaware₂₈₂	W 70.33 - 68.14	L 59-70	15-11	104.12	86.79	▼ 17.33	95.93	101.51	▼ 5.58	▼ 22.91
Sat 2/21/2015	@ Towson₂₇₃	W 65.04 - 63.04	W 73-69	16-11	102.90	125.50	▲ 22.60	94.40	113.86	▼ 19.46	▲ 3.14
Wed 2/25/2015	vs JMU₂₀₅	W 71.80 - 66.17	W 74-54	17-11	102.82	118.46	▲ 15.64	100.40	84.79	▲ 15.61	▲ 31.25
Sat 2/28/2015	@ Elon₂₇₀	W 70.11 - 68.31	L 55-74	17-12	100.86	73.56	▼ 27.30	93.24	97.03	▼ 3.79	▼ 31.09
Sat 3/7/2015	vs Charleston₂₉₁ *	W 64.98 - 58.11	W 79-53	18-12	98.32	117.24	▲ 18.92	88.07	77.19	▲ 10.88	▲ 29.80
Sun 3/8/2015	vs Northeastern₈₉ *	L 64.29 - 70.39	L 71-78	18-13	96.70	110.94	▲ 14.24	105.80	120.00	▼ 14.20	▲ 0.04
Wed 3/18/2015	@ Sam Houston₁₁₆	L 61.33 - 69.70	L 71-87	18-14	92.43	89.18	▼ 3.25	98.32	125.84	▼ 27.52	▼ 30.77
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	UNC Wilmington does better vs. clubs that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds. When playing squads that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 14.88, UNC Wilmington performs above average 67% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 20% of the time.
	UNC Wilmington performs better against squads that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot. When facing teams that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 36.76%, UNC Wilmington is more efficient than normal 78% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 41% of the time.
	When playing teams that effectively clean the offensive glass, UNC Wilmington usually performs worse than average. UNC Wilmington is more efficient than normal 41% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 12.70. In all other contests, UNC Wilmington performs better than average 78% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox