TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2019-20 Miss. State  20-11 (0.645)  |  SEC
All-Play Percentage: 0.898 (37th)
Schedule Strength: 0.683 (57th)
Record Quality: 0.304 (42nd)
Avg. Season Rank: 35.98 (32nd)
Pace: 67.99 (272nd)
Momentum: 0.12 (171st)
Off. Momentum: 2.05 (90th)
Def. Momentum: -1.93 (260th)
Consistency: -9.38 (215th)
Res. Consistency: -12.73 (242nd)
Away From Home: -2.18 (313th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -1.18 (204th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through March 11, 2020. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 109.63 29.56 75.67 82.86 47.68 23.60 34.99 27.71 37.62 31.55 66.00 10.94 17.84 7.98 28.48 33.44 38.08 1.90
RANK: 23rd 32nd 41st 122nd 13th 340th 85th 49th 143rd 53rd 21st 170th 10th 7th 347th 55th 74th 11th

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 94.96 23.02 -- 83.21 41.33 29.76 31.65 25.77 34.65 27.68 57.96 11.95 12.91 4.16 35.76 30.97 33.27 2.02
RANK: 85th 89th -- 227th 81st 132nd 84th 300th 74th 137th 135th 251st 175th 73rd 104th 291st 111th 185th

ANALYSIS:
While this site doesn't quite consider them to be in the national title hunt, Miss. State has the potential to be a formidable opponent for many in Division I. They have a record of 20-11 and are ranked 37th overall (out of 353) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #4 team (out of 14) in the SEC (average ranking 67.6).

Miss. State will create problems for opponents with their extremely prolific offense. Scoring roughly 110 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, the squad is rated #23 in offensive efficiency. Miss. State does an outstanding job finishing any scoring chances they obtain from offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team successfully converts 8.0% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked seventh nationally), and with a rating of 17.84, they're tenth in potential points scored off of the offensive glass as well. Miss. State is also one of the best field goal shooting teams that opposing defenses will have the displeasure of facing this season. The squad is ranked 13th in the country in field goal percentage, making approximately 47.7% of their attempts vs. AO. They do their best work in close, shooting 66.0% from locations close to the basket vs. AO (ranked 21st in near-proximity shooting percentage).

Miss. State is also a fairly decent team on the defensive end of the court. The team ranks 85th nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 95 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Miss. State does an adequate job to prevent opponents from scoring off of offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 4.2% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 73rd in the NCAA). Miss. State has also been fairly decent in preventing teams from draining shots from between the three-point stripe and the low post. They're ranked 74th in Division I in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 34.6% of their attempts from that distance.

When playing on the road, Miss. State performs somewhat worse than they normally do on their home court. The club is nationally ranked 313th in our site's away-from-home metric.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Miss. State performs better against squads that convert well from the charity stripe. When facing teams that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 0.69%, Miss. State is more efficient than normal 68% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 17% of the time.
When playing teams that tend to get off more shots, Miss. State usually performs worse than average. Miss. State is more efficient than normal 23% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 82.61. In all other contests, Miss. State performs better than average 67% of the time.
Miss. State is typically better vs. teams that find ways to get to the free throw line. Against foes that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 24.97, Miss. State performs above their norm 59% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 22% of the time.
LATEST NEWS ITEMS:
Vols upset #6 Kentucky
(3/4/2020 12:07:00 AM) COLUMBIA, S.C. — South Carolina forward Maik Kotsar scored 20 points on Senior Night and pushed the Gamecocks to an 83-71 win over Mississippi State. Kotsar, A.J. Lawson and Keyshawn Bryant, who threw down two highlight-reel dunks among his 12 points, helped keep the Gamecocks in range. MEMPHIS, Tenn. — The hits just keep coming for ...
South Carolina knocks off Bulldogs
(3/3/2020 10:32:00 PM) COLUMBIA, S.C. — South Carolina forward Maik Kotsar scored 20 points on Senior Night and pushed the Gamecocks to an 83-71 win over Mississippi State. Kotsar, A.J. Lawson and Keyshawn Bryant, who threw down two highlight-reel dunks among his 12 points, helped keep the Gamecocks in range. LEXINGTON, Ky. — John Fulkerson scored a career ...
How Frank Martin’s philosophy shines through, even after a hard-fought road loss
(2/20/2020 10:17:00 AM) South Carolina men’s basketball ... the way his team barged back into a game against Mississippi State and cut an eight-point lead with 24 seconds left to one point with seven seconds to go. But after the 79-76 loss at Starkville, Martin quickly turned ...
Ado after nothing
(2/16/2020 4:39:00 AM) FAYETTEVILLE -- For 39 minutes and 59.4 seconds, Mississippi State center Abdul Ado didn't score Saturday at Walton Arena. But then the 6-11 junior from Lagos, Nigeria, made the game's biggest basket. Ado tipped in a miss by Tyson Carter with 0.6 seconds left to lift the Bulldogs to a 78-77 victory over the University of Arkansas men's ...
No. 24 Razorbacks Defeat Furman And UIC At FGCU Invitational
(2/15/2020 8:43:00 PM) FAYETTEVILLE -- The Arkansas Razorbacks stormed back from a 17-point second-half deficit to take a 3-point lead with 1:45 to play, but several Hog miscues in the final 90 seconds were punctuated by a Mississippi State tip-in at 0:00.6 to give the Bulldogs a 78-77 road win Saturday in front of 19,200 fans at Bud Walton Arena. Junior 6-11 ...
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox