Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Miss. State 16-16 (0.500) | SEC

All-Play Percentage: 0.740 (92^nd)	Schedule Strength: 0.645 (71^st)	Record Quality: 0.103 (111^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 104.92 (105^th)
Pace: 70.90 (134^th)	Momentum: -3.12 (294^th)	Off. Momentum: -4.35 (345^th)	Def. Momentum: 1.23 (56^th)
Consistency: -10.56 (328^th)	Res. Consistency: -14.63 (327^th)	Away From Home: -1.01 (255^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.98 (263^rd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

103.69

26.17

69.20

81.24

46.17

30.03

35.19

21.86

33.88

29.35

66.55

14.10

14.12

8.15

36.96

26.91

36.13

2.01

RANK:

124^th

221^st

210^th

202^nd

74^th

163^rd

170^th

225^th

286^th

124^th

27^th

28^th

204^th

45^th

153^rd

235^th

123^rd

175^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

97.26

27.23

80.66

42.44

28.85

32.59

26.11

38.25

25.70

57.74

7.78

13.45

5.28

35.77

32.36

31.87

2.04

RANK:

78^th

164^th

119^th

88^th

152^nd

48^th

277^th

243^rd

69^th

111^th

6^th

96^th

45^th

160^th

288^th

79^th

121^st

ANALYSIS:
They may not cause sleepless nights for opponents, but Miss. State, as a slightly above-average team, cannot be totally ignored. Haslametrics has them ranked 92nd overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 16-16. Of the 14 schools in the SEC (average ranking 63.3), they're currently ranked as our #12 team in the conference.

Miss. State has a fairly effective defensive attack. Occupying the #78 slot in our defensive efficiency ratings, they will allow about 97 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Miss. State does a pretty solid job providing themselves chances to score quickly off of steals. They're ranked 28th in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 14.10. Miss. State is also one of the better teams when it comes to not allowing opponents to convert scoring chances off of offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 5.3% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 45th in the NCAA).

Miss. State plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 124th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 104 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Miss. State allows very few breakaway opportunities for the opposition, which typically translates to fewer turnovers. The team's rating vs. AO for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals is 7.78, which ranks #6 in the country. Miss. State also has the potential to make you pay if you let them get close to the rim. The team is ranked 27th in the country in near-proximity field goal percentage, making approximately 66.6% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO.

Miss. State has been one of the most erratic teams in college basketball this year (currently ranked 328th overall in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their future games far more difficult to predict.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/11/2016	vs Norfolk State₃₁₂	W 79.20 - 59.97	W 78-74	1-0	108.77	103.19	▼ 5.58	86.61	104.99	▼ 18.38	▼ 23.96
Thu 11/17/2016	vs UCF₆₉ *	L 64.46 - 66.68	L 61-86	1-1	93.79	85.25	▼ 8.54	96.93	120.63	▼ 23.70	▼ 32.24
Fri 11/18/2016	vs Boise State₈₂ *	L 71.94 - 72.78	W 80-68	2-1	100.15	109.86	▲ 9.71	101.71	90.00	▲ 11.71	▲ 21.42
Sun 11/20/2016	vs UTEP₂₁₁ *	W 72.07 - 63.39	W 61-54	3-1	103.71	96.83	▼ 6.88	91.49	84.38	▲ 7.11	▲ 0.23
Fri 11/25/2016	vs Lehigh₁₀₂	W 74.17 - 70.25	L 73-87	3-2	101.66	92.23	▼ 9.43	100.70	120.53	▼ 19.83	▼ 29.26
Mon 11/28/2016	vs Northwestern St.₃₀₆	W 85.72 - 66.30	W 65-59	4-2	112.95	94.80	▼ 18.15	91.64	91.61	▲ 0.03	▼ 18.12
Thu 12/1/2016	vs Oregon State₂₇₅	W 73.66 - 58.47	W 74-57	5-2	105.06	115.33	▲ 10.27	87.80	82.57	▲ 5.23	▲ 15.50
Sun 12/4/2016	vs Georgia State₁₄₀	W 73.72 - 66.55	W 82-60	6-2	101.64	113.96	▲ 12.32	95.93	92.98	▲ 2.95	▲ 15.27
Wed 12/14/2016	vs ETSU₇₃	W 71.84 - 70.69	L 65-67	6-3	97.08	94.80	▼ 2.28	99.56	103.73	▼ 4.17	▼ 6.45
Mon 12/19/2016	vs Southern Miss₃₂₆ *	W 75.30 - 57.95	W 86-44	7-3	109.14	119.61	▲ 10.47	84.53	56.86	▲ 27.67	▲ 38.14
Thu 12/22/2016	vs Morehead State₂₀₄	W 79.39 - 68.07	W 85-76	8-3	109.49	122.78	▲ 13.29	98.38	113.98	▼ 15.60	▼ 2.31
Thu 12/29/2016	vs UMKC₂₃₇	W 80.29 - 66.57	W 77-54	9-3	107.37	109.65	▲ 2.28	93.21	68.32	▲ 24.89	▲ 27.17
Tue 1/3/2017	vs Alabama₅₅	L 64.58 - 66.09	L 58-68	9-4	92.72	79.47	▼ 13.25	98.92	99.36	▼ 0.44	▼ 13.69
Sat 1/7/2017	@ LSU₁₆₆	W 78.68 - 76.22	W 95-78	10-4	108.37	121.39	▲ 13.02	101.07	96.40	▲ 4.67	▲ 17.69
Tue 1/10/2017	@ Arkansas₃₄	L 69.20 - 80.42	W 84-78	11-4	98.46	122.22	▲ 23.76	109.15	109.21	▼ 0.06	▲ 23.70
Sat 1/14/2017	vs Texas A&M₅₆	L 66.29 - 67.57	W 67-59	12-4	95.99	97.78	▲ 1.79	102.25	90.28	▲ 11.97	▲ 13.76
Tue 1/17/2017	vs Kentucky₇	L 69.02 - 81.99	L 81-88	12-5	90.73	97.78	▲ 7.05	112.42	108.24	▲ 4.18	▲ 11.23
Sat 1/21/2017	@ Tennessee₅₁	L 67.25 - 75.88	L 74-91	12-6	95.62	97.45	▲ 1.83	103.19	129.03	▼ 25.84	▼ 24.01
Wed 1/25/2017	vs Missouri₁₅₅	W 73.46 - 65.58	W 89-74	13-6	100.37	134.88	▲ 34.51	94.20	111.74	▼ 17.54	▲ 16.97
Sat 1/28/2017	@ Alabama₅₅	L 61.66 - 68.93	L 62-71	13-7	92.72	87.93	▼ 4.79	98.92	99.21	▼ 0.29	▼ 5.08
Tue 1/31/2017	@ Ole Miss₇₁	L 72.41 - 78.15	L 61-88	13-8	99.36	86.94	▼ 12.42	102.83	111.67	▼ 8.84	▼ 21.26
Sat 2/4/2017	vs Tennessee₅₁	L 70.34 - 72.72	W 64-59	14-8	95.62	86.67	▼ 8.95	103.19	83.04	▲ 20.15	▲ 11.20
Tue 2/7/2017	@ Auburn₇₆	L 75.61 - 80.18	L 92-98	14-9	101.51	113.06	▲ 11.55	103.18	113.08	▼ 9.90	▲ 1.65
Sat 2/11/2017	vs South Carolina₂₆	L 64.01 - 71.59	L 73-77	14-10	88.08	102.07	▲ 13.99	102.73	112.22	▼ 9.49	▲ 4.50
Tue 2/14/2017	@ Georgia₅₄	L 64.97 - 73.01	L 72-79	14-11	95.26	96.81	▲ 1.55	102.17	103.12	▼ 0.95	▲ 0.60
Sat 2/18/2017	vs Florida₄	L 64.87 - 77.78	L 52-57	14-12	89.25	73.15	▼ 16.10	111.82	86.04	▲ 25.78	▲ 9.68
Tue 2/21/2017	vs Ole Miss₇₁	W 75.61 - 74.82	L 82-87 (OT)	14-13	99.36	83.68	▼ 15.68	102.83	90.37	▲ 12.46	▼ 3.22
Sat 2/25/2017	@ Vanderbilt₃₉	L 64.40 - 74.29	L 48-77	14-14	96.04	60.55	▼ 35.49	105.74	122.27	▼ 16.53	▼ 52.02
Tue 2/28/2017	@ South Carolina₂₆	L 60.98 - 74.68	L 57-63	14-15	88.08	80.30	▼ 7.78	102.73	85.28	▲ 17.45	▲ 9.67
Sat 3/4/2017	vs LSU₁₆₆	W 81.87 - 73.02	W 88-76	15-15	108.37	119.52	▲ 11.15	101.07	105.11	▼ 4.04	▲ 7.11
Wed 3/8/2017	vs LSU₁₆₆ *	W 80.27 - 74.62	W 79-52	16-15	108.37	106.15	▼ 2.22	101.07	73.44	▲ 27.63	▲ 25.41
Thu 3/9/2017	vs Alabama₅₅ *	L 63.12 - 67.51	L 55-75	16-16	92.72	69.39	▼ 23.33	98.92	124.00	▼ 25.08	▼ 48.41
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When facing teams that do a nice job converting inside the paint, Miss. State often performs better than normal. Miss. State is more efficient than usual 100% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 63.77%. In their other contests, Miss. State performs better than the norm 38% of the time.
	Miss. State does better vs. clubs that fail to defend efficiently inside the paint. When playing squads that have a defensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 56.49%, Miss. State performs above average 86% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 39% of the time.
	Miss. State performs better against squads that tend to allow more shots on the perimeter. When facing teams that have a defensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.02, Miss. State is more efficient than normal 81% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 38% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox