Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 Evansville 11-21 (0.344) | Missouri Valley

All-Play Percentage: 0.349 (230^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.536 (126^th)	Record Quality: -0.173 (256^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 207.34 (207^th)
Pace: 70.60 (70^th)	Momentum: -0.65 (209^th)	Off. Momentum: 1.05 (135^th)	Def. Momentum: -1.70 (242^nd)
Consistency: -11.54 (335^th)	Res. Consistency: -12.13 (168^th)	Away From Home: -0.69 (242^nd)	Paper Tiger Factor: 0.83 (43^rd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

97.58

27.81

72.45

77.55

42.41

33.67

34.61

15.81

30.37

28.07

58.54

9.20

9.52

4.35

43.42

20.39

36.19

2.07

RANK:

266^th

103^rd

136^th

346^th

241^st

125^th

164^th

316^th

340^th

251^st

205^th

296^th

346^th

325^th

59^th

293^rd

165^th

265^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

103.09

28.78

84.11

43.57

28.78

35.22

24.25

33.76

31.08

58.96

11.56

12.20

5.42

34.22

28.83

36.95

1.97

RANK:

153^rd

276^th

192^nd

138^th

43^rd

220^th

305^th

77^th

200^th

136^th

168^th

59^th

102^nd

26^th

308^th

192^nd

275^th

ANALYSIS:
If you see Evansville on the schedule, you will likely get one of the average to below-average teams in college hoops. They are ranked #230 (out of 353) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 11-21. They are also ranked by this site as the #9 team (out of 10) in the MVC (average ranking 178.4).

Evansville will likely call on their defense to win a majority of their games. The team is ranked 153rd in defensive efficiency and allows fewer than 104 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Evansville does a fairly satisfactory job to deny opponents chances to score off of the offensive glass. They have a rating of 12.20 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked 59th in the country).

The offense for Evansville, on the other hand, isn't nearly as efficient as the defense is. The team is ranked 266th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 98 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Evansville happens to be one of the very worst in the game when it comes to maximizing the number of shot attempts they get off from the floor. The team is nationally ranked eighth from the bottom in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of only 77.55 vs. AO. Evansville also poses no threat whatsoever to grab rebounds off their own misses. Against AO, the ball-club has a rating of 9.52 in potential points scored off of second chances (eighth from the bottom nationally), and they convert just 4.4% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked 325th) as well. Evansville is lastly downright rotten when shooting the mid-range jumper. The team is ranked 340th in field goal percentage from that distance, making only 30.4% of their mid-range attempts vs. AO.

Evansville has been one of the most erratic teams in college basketball this year (currently ranked 335th overall in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their future games far more difficult to predict.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Thu 11/8/2018	@ Illinois₅₉	L 65.86 - 82.40	L 60-99	0-1	94.30	67.80	▼ 26.50	111.73	128.90	▼ 17.17	▼ 43.67
Sat 11/10/2018	@ Xavier₇₂	L 62.54 - 77.37	L 85-91	0-2	93.65	120.55	▲ 26.90	108.67	122.16	▼ 13.49	▲ 13.41
Thu 11/15/2018	vs Kentucky Wesleyan	---	W 92-72	1-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sun 11/18/2018	vs Texas Southern₂₁₈	W 79.83 - 77.01	W 85-63	2-2	102.11	93.50	▼ 8.61	102.32	73.16	▲ 29.16	▲ 20.55
Sat 11/24/2018	@ Ball State₁₁₆	L 65.40 - 77.27	L 72-82	2-3	92.36	96.61	▲ 4.25	102.97	110.61	▼ 7.64	▼ 3.39
Wed 11/28/2018	vs Wyoming₃₀₁	W 74.00 - 65.32	W 86-78	3-3	101.91	99.91	▼ 2.00	94.07	97.11	▼ 3.04	▼ 5.04
Sat 12/1/2018	vs Albion	---	W 65-49	4-3	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Tue 12/4/2018	@ Arkansas State₂₂₉	L 70.92 - 74.52	L 77-87	4-4	103.18	104.79	▲ 1.61	102.98	113.89	▼ 10.91	▼ 9.30
Sun 12/9/2018	vs Ball State₁₁₆	L 69.00 - 73.70	W 89-77	5-4	92.36	113.12	▲ 20.76	102.97	99.79	▲ 3.18	▲ 23.94
Sat 12/15/2018	vs Jacksonville St.₁₁₇	L 66.65 - 71.39	L 50-55	5-5	91.63	69.97	▼ 21.66	102.49	77.58	▲ 24.91	▲ 3.25
Tue 12/18/2018	@ Murray State₅₀	L 64.31 - 83.09	L 64-66	5-6	92.87	98.02	▲ 5.15	113.09	100.23	▲ 12.86	▲ 18.01
Sat 12/22/2018	vs Green Bay₁₉₁	W 77.60 - 76.34	W 80-75	6-6	100.08	109.16	▲ 9.08	103.44	112.64	▼ 9.20	▼ 0.12
Sun 12/30/2018	@ Miami (OH)₁₄₇	L 65.10 - 74.26	L 67-70	6-7	97.60	104.40	▲ 6.80	104.63	98.59	▲ 6.04	▲ 12.84
Wed 1/2/2019	vs Drake₁₃₅	L 71.13 - 75.03	W 82-77 (2OT)	7-7	97.01	78.06	▼ 18.95	106.84	84.19	▲ 22.65	▲ 3.70
Sat 1/5/2019	@ Illinois State₁₉₄	L 67.36 - 73.00	L 46-58	7-8	98.57	72.19	▼ 26.38	101.72	85.38	▲ 16.34	▼ 10.04
Tue 1/8/2019	vs Loyola-Chicago₁₀₆	L 63.06 - 68.31	W 67-48	8-8	91.84	104.42	▲ 12.58	103.98	64.31	▲ 39.67	▲ 52.25
Sat 1/12/2019	vs Indiana State₂₀₀	W 71.94 - 70.16	L 66-72 (OT)	8-9	99.15	81.07	▼ 18.08	100.48	84.65	▲ 15.83	▼ 2.25
Wed 1/16/2019	@ Missouri State₁₉₅	L 66.57 - 72.04	W 70-64	9-9	98.16	106.97	▲ 8.81	100.82	90.26	▲ 10.56	▲ 19.37
Sat 1/19/2019	vs Illinois State₁₉₄	W 70.84 - 69.54	L 70-78	9-10	98.57	97.50	▼ 1.07	101.72	109.16	▼ 7.44	▼ 8.51
Wed 1/23/2019	@ Drake₁₃₅	L 67.59 - 78.69	L 66-78	9-11	97.01	81.91	▼ 15.10	106.84	101.79	▲ 5.05	▼ 10.05
Sat 1/26/2019	@ Northern Iowa₁₈₄	L 63.85 - 70.11	L 74-81	9-12	96.77	110.92	▲ 14.15	100.78	111.59	▼ 10.81	▲ 3.34
Wed 1/30/2019	vs Bradley₁₄₈	L 65.75 - 68.08	L 73-81	9-13	93.57	95.99	▲ 2.42	102.08	123.57	▼ 21.49	▼ 19.07
Sat 2/2/2019	vs Valparaiso₂₃₃	W 69.10 - 65.39	W 64-53	10-13	100.09	95.94	▼ 4.15	97.98	80.62	▲ 17.36	▲ 13.21
Wed 2/6/2019	@ Indiana State₂₀₀	L 68.43 - 73.75	L 62-85	10-14	99.15	68.22	▼ 30.93	100.48	125.28	▼ 24.80	▼ 55.73
Sat 2/9/2019	@ S. Illinois₁₅₉	L 64.59 - 72.56	L 73-78	10-15	95.59	105.35	▲ 9.76	102.23	107.23	▼ 5.00	▲ 4.76
Wed 2/13/2019	vs Missouri State₁₉₅	W 70.02 - 68.69	L 56-68	10-16	98.16	89.07	▼ 9.09	100.82	115.58	▼ 14.76	▼ 23.85
Sun 2/17/2019	vs Northern Iowa₁₈₄	W 67.20 - 66.68	L 58-73	10-17	96.77	86.39	▼ 10.38	100.78	112.02	▼ 11.24	▼ 21.62
Wed 2/20/2019	@ Loyola-Chicago₁₀₆	L 59.75 - 71.54	L 58-70	10-18	91.84	104.25	▲ 12.41	103.98	118.19	▼ 14.21	▼ 1.80
Sat 2/23/2019	@ Bradley₁₄₈	L 62.36 - 71.42	L 61-63	10-19	93.57	94.92	▲ 1.35	102.08	93.69	▲ 8.39	▲ 9.74
Wed 2/27/2019	vs S. Illinois₁₅₉	L 68.02 - 69.19	L 91-98	10-20	95.59	116.17	▲ 20.58	102.23	129.77	▼ 27.54	▼ 6.96
Sat 3/2/2019	@ Valparaiso₂₃₃	L 65.75 - 68.71	W 65-63	11-20	100.09	95.35	▼ 4.74	97.98	88.48	▲ 9.50	▲ 4.76
Thu 3/7/2019	vs Illinois State₁₉₄ *	L 69.10 - 71.27	L 60-65	11-21	98.57	85.71	▼ 12.86	101.72	92.86	▲ 8.86	▼ 4.00
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that shoot the ball well from the field, Evansville usually performs better than average. Evansville is more efficient than normal 67% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 43.65%. In all other contests, Evansville performs better than average 25% of the time.
	Evansville is typically worse vs. teams that convert well from the charity stripe. Against foes that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 71.20%, Evansville performs above their norm 29% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 69% of the time.
	When facing teams that allow more chances at the line, Evansville often performs worse than normal. Evansville is more efficient than usual 29% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 25.17. In their other contests, Evansville performs better than the norm 69% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	Fayne lifts Illinois St. past Evansville 65-60 (3/8/2019 9:19:00 AM) ST. LOUIS (AP) Phil Fayne had 17 points and 10 rebounds to lead Illinois State to a 65-60 win over Evansville in the first round of the Missouri Valley Conference Tourney on Thursday night. Milik Yarbrough had 18 points for Illinois State (17-15).
	Aces Fall Just Short to Bradley, Despite Furious Rally (2/23/2019 11:09:00 PM) PEORIA, IL (WFIE) - Trailing by ten points with four minutes remaining, the University of Evansville men’s basketball team got within one tally in the final minute, but Bradley was able to escape with a 63-61 win on Saturday inside Carver Arena.
	As season winds down, Bradley wins ugly against Evansville (2/23/2019 9:02:00 PM) So on Saturday at Carver Arena, Bradley coach Brian Wardle and his team got some practice on their tournament clichés after a tense 63-61 win over last-place Evansville. “End of February and March, it’s survive and advance,” Wardle said.
	Da Silva leads Missouri State over Evansville 68-56 (2/13/2019 10:53:00 PM) Marty Hill had 15 points for the Purple Aces (10-16, 4-9 Missouri Valley ... takes on Loyola of Chicago on the road on Sunday. Evansville plays Northern Iowa at home on Sunday. For more AP college basketball coverage: https://apnews.com/Collegebasketball ...
	Evansville-SIU: 3 things to watch (2/9/2019 6:50:00 PM) In the 12th game of the Missouri Valley Conference season, SIU's men's basketball team meets Evansville for the first time tonight. The Purple Aces are much different under first-year head coach ...

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox