Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2021-22 Texas State 21-8 (0.724) | Sun Belt

All-Play Percentage: 0.630 (134^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.366 (239^th)	Record Quality: 0.142 (102^nd)	Avg. Season Rank: 132.19 (126^th)
Pace: 66.11 (324^th)	Momentum: 2.26 (69^th)	Off. Momentum: 0.53 (169^th)	Def. Momentum: 1.73 (59^th)
Consistency: -7.95 (32^nd)	Res. Consistency: -11.89 (171^st)	Away From Home: -0.68 (262^nd)	Paper Tiger Factor: -3.80 (345^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 4, 2022. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

103.53

25.21

74.94

83.36

45.32

24.44

37.18

30.99

40.10

27.93

58.23

9.90

13.20

5.88

29.32

37.18

33.50

1.96

RANK:

114^th

120^th

73^rd

201^st

83^rd

346^th

32^nd

17^th

71^st

222^nd

182^nd

247^th

167^th

79^th

345^th

15^th

214^th

52^nd

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

101.06

24.48

80.84

44.15

33.12

36.11

17.98

39.54

29.74

55.88

9.71

13.48

6.12

40.97

22.24

36.79

2.04

RANK:

185^th

210^th

57^th

202^nd

257^th

297^th

8^th

263^rd

224^th

79^th

67^th

191^st

307^th

293^rd

8^th

274^th

155^th

ANALYSIS:
As an average to slightly above-average foe, Texas State should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. Carrying a record of 21-8, they are currently rated #134 overall (out of 358) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the 12 schools in the Sun Belt (average ranking 204.8), they're currently ranked as the best team in the conference.

If there is a strength for Texas State this year, it's probably on the offensive end of the court. The team is rated 114th in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 103 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Texas State loves taking the mid-range two, far more so than most other teams. The club is ranked 15th in ratio of mid-range attempts to total field goal attempts. If you do allow them to take that in-between shot, they can certainly make it, too. Currently rated in the top-75 in mid-range shooting percentage, they make roughly 40.1% of their attempts from that distance vs. AO. Texas State is also one of the more accurate teams in the college game when it comes to shooting the three. They're ranked 32nd nationally in three-point field goal percentage and make about 37.2% of their attempts from there vs. AO.

Texas State doesn't perform as well defensively as they do offensively. The team is ranked 185th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 101 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Texas State does a less-than-adequate job to prevent opponents from scoring off of the offensive glass. The team allows AO to convert 6.1% of all second-chance opportunities (307th nationally).

Texas State is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 32nd in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Tue 11/9/2021	@ Incarnate Word₃₅₂	W 74.86 - 61.32	W 75-57	1-0	115.36	111.63	▼ 3.73	91.27	84.98	▲ 6.29	▲ 2.56
Fri 11/12/2021	@ LSU₁₉	L 58.43 - 73.75	L 59-84	1-1	88.75	93.96	▲ 5.21	105.88	125.20	▼ 19.32	▼ 14.11
Sun 11/14/2021	@ Vanderbilt₆₆	L 62.13 - 72.08	L 60-79	1-2	95.08	88.61	▼ 6.47	104.73	109.83	▼ 5.10	▼ 11.57
Fri 11/19/2021	vs Dixie State₂₇₈ *	W 74.74 - 65.71	W 85-65	2-2	104.91	123.08	▲ 18.17	92.89	92.31	▲ 0.58	▲ 18.75
Sat 11/20/2021	vs E. Washington₂₁₆ *	W 74.29 - 69.61	W 81-74	3-2	107.84	112.86	▲ 5.02	100.59	97.10	▲ 3.49	▲ 8.51
Wed 11/24/2021	vs LeTourneau	---	W 92-47	4-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Tue 11/30/2021	@ Rice₂₂₄	W 71.23 - 70.05	W 80-69	5-2	108.85	109.52	▲ 0.67	101.77	88.99	▲ 12.78	▲ 13.45
Sun 12/5/2021	vs Denver₂₇₉	W 74.79 - 62.78	W 71-58	6-2	109.93	113.72	▲ 3.79	97.49	84.21	▲ 13.28	▲ 17.07
Sun 12/12/2021	vs Southwestern U	---	W 101-54	7-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Wed 12/15/2021	vs Lamar₃₄₄	W 76.61 - 57.83	W 67-47	8-2	112.50	111.05	▼ 1.45	89.95	72.67	▲ 17.28	▲ 15.83
Sat 12/18/2021	vs Paul Quinn	---	W 75-36	9-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Wed 12/22/2021	@ Houston₄	L 55.41 - 74.77	L 47-80	9-3	89.10	76.48	▼ 12.62	113.69	152.09	▼ 38.40	▼ 51.02
Thu 12/30/2021	vs Troy₂₁₀	W 70.20 - 62.33	L 63-78	9-4	101.80	92.78	▼ 9.02	95.73	122.83	▼ 27.10	▼ 36.12
Thu 1/13/2022	vs UL Monroe₂₈₈	W 76.92 - 63.91	W 80-56	10-4	110.67	131.29	▲ 20.62	97.66	83.80	▲ 13.86	▲ 34.48
Sat 1/15/2022	vs Louisiana₁₈₄	W 72.29 - 65.87	W 72-68	11-4	101.80	97.33	▼ 4.47	98.03	98.45	▼ 0.42	▼ 4.89
Thu 1/20/2022	@ Little Rock₃₂₃	W 73.50 - 64.52	W 69-59	12-4	112.29	115.33	▲ 3.04	94.16	85.02	▲ 9.14	▲ 12.18
Sat 1/22/2022	@ Arkansas State₁₈₂	L 67.29 - 68.23	L 60-67	12-5	101.37	99.45	▼ 1.92	97.13	104.96	▼ 7.83	▼ 9.75
Thu 1/27/2022	@ UT Arlington₂₄₅	W 65.51 - 62.53	L 58-70	12-6	101.71	86.28	▼ 15.43	92.60	103.89	▼ 11.29	▼ 26.72
Sat 1/29/2022	vs UT Arlington₂₄₅	W 69.03 - 59.14	W 58-53	13-6	101.71	93.99	▼ 7.72	92.60	91.01	▲ 1.59	▼ 6.13
Thu 2/3/2022	vs Appalachian St.₁₅₇	W 66.65 - 61.88	W 68-66	14-6	100.77	107.01	▲ 6.24	98.59	107.43	▼ 8.84	▼ 2.60
Sat 2/5/2022	vs Coast. Carolina₁₆₅	W 70.06 - 64.69	W 69-64	15-6	102.12	105.14	▲ 3.02	99.32	99.11	▲ 0.21	▲ 3.23
Thu 2/10/2022	@ Louisiana₁₈₄	L 68.62 - 69.44	W 82-73	16-6	101.80	119.81	▲ 18.01	98.03	101.36	▼ 3.33	▲ 14.68
Sat 2/12/2022	@ UL Monroe₂₈₈	W 73.31 - 67.39	W 63-54	17-6	110.67	93.98	▼ 16.69	97.66	75.31	▲ 22.35	▲ 5.66
Thu 2/17/2022	vs Arkansas State₁₈₂	W 70.91 - 64.60	W 84-67	18-6	101.37	115.24	▲ 13.87	97.13	90.91	▲ 6.22	▲ 20.09
Sat 2/19/2022	vs Little Rock₃₂₃	W 77.08 - 61.03	W 68-50	19-6	112.29	103.78	▼ 8.51	94.16	84.64	▲ 9.52	▲ 1.01
Wed 2/23/2022	@ South Alabama₁₄₄	L 65.71 - 68.76	W 55-52	20-6	99.99	92.84	▼ 7.15	99.38	83.99	▲ 15.39	▲ 8.24
Fri 2/25/2022	@ Troy₂₁₀	W 66.63 - 65.82	W 66-61	21-6	101.80	115.98	▲ 14.18	95.73	98.99	▼ 3.26	▲ 10.92
Sat 3/5/2022	vs Louisiana₁₈₄ *	W 70.46 - 67.66	L 72-79	21-7	101.80	98.63	▼ 3.17	98.03	106.76	▼ 8.73	▼ 11.90
Tue 3/15/2022	@ North Texas₇₀	L 54.84 - 63.34	L 63-67 (OT)	21-8	94.62	104.46	▲ 9.84	103.86	99.11	▲ 4.75	▲ 14.59
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that aren't terribly skilled defensively, Texas State usually performs better than average. Texas State is more efficient than normal 100% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 100.29. In all other contests, Texas State performs better than average 38% of the time.
	Texas State is typically better vs. teams that allow opponents to shoot well from the field. Against foes that have a defensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 43.67%, Texas State performs above their norm 100% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 38% of the time.
	When facing teams that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities, Texas State often performs worse than normal. Texas State is more efficient than usual 22% of the time when facing teams that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 12.12. In their other contests, Texas State performs better than the norm 82% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	Harrell scores 19 to lead Texas State past Little Rock 68-50 (2/19/2022 7:48:18 PM) SAN MARCOS, Texas (AP) — Mason Harrell registered 19 points as Texas State stretched its win streak to seven games, topping Arkansas-Little Rock 68-50...
	Carlton scores 20 as No. 13 Houston beats Texas State 80-47 (12/22/2021 10:22:56 PM) HOUSTON (AP) — Josh Carlton scored a season-high 20 points, Kyler Edwards added 14 and No. 13 Houston defeated Texas State 80-47 on Wednesday night. Marcus Sasser had 13 points and Jamal Shead finished with 12 points and 10 assists for Houston (11-2). The Cou…
	Texas State goes up against Paul Quinn (12/16/2021 5:32:58 PM) SAN MARCOS, Texas - Paul Quinn vs. Texas State (8-2)
	Adams scores 14 to carry Texas St. over Lamar 67-47 (12/15/2021 10:23:49 PM) SAN MARCOS, Texas (AP) — Shelby Adams registered 14 points as Texas State won its seventh straight game, easily defeating Lamar 67-47 on Wednesday nig...
	Texas State squares off against Southwestern (12/10/2021 5:32:53 PM) SAN MARCOS, Texas - Southwestern vs. Texas State (6-2)

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox