Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2020-21 Texas State 18-7 (0.720) | Sun Belt

All-Play Percentage: 0.497 (180^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.334 (306^th)	Record Quality: 0.119 (117^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 180.30 (179^th)
Pace: 64.64 (354^th)	Momentum: 0.18 (164^th)	Off. Momentum: -0.99 (260^th)	Def. Momentum: 1.17 (71^st)
Consistency: -7.36 (27^th)	Res. Consistency: -7.47 (7^th)	Away From Home: 1.07 (90^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.23 (134^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 5, 2021. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

96.90

22.52

72.08

80.98

45.20

20.67

36.13

29.58

38.76

30.73

57.50

11.65

11.64

4.66

25.53

36.53

37.94

1.88

RANK:

223^rd

266^th

147^th

225^th

98^th

356^th

70^th

27^th

152^nd

69^th

222^nd

138^th

241^st

191^st

356^th

17^th

58^th

4^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

98.11

24.76

78.54

43.79

34.54

35.97

17.03

38.78

26.97

56.95

11.80

10.77

4.32

43.98

21.68

34.34

2.10

RANK:

129^th

187^th

41^st

171^st

328^th

279^th

5^th

196^th

126^th

108^th

233^rd

54^th

98^th

348^th

6^th

181^st

49^th

ANALYSIS:
Regardless of what the win percentage says, Texas State isn't a very good team this year. Carrying a record of 18-7, they are currently rated #180 overall (out of 357) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the 12 schools in the Sun Belt (average ranking 234.5), they're currently ranked as our #2 team in the conference.

If there is a strength for Texas State this year, it's probably on the defensive end of the court. While preferring an extremely deliberate pace (the fourth-slowest in D1), the team is rated 129th in defensive efficiency, allowing fewer than 99 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Texas State does a really good job to prevent opponents from getting off shots from the field. The club is ranked 41st in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 78.54 vs. AO. Texas State also does a fairly satisfactory job to deny opponents chances to score off of the offensive glass. They have a rating of 10.77 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked 54th in the country).

Texas State doesn't perform as well offensively as they do defensively. The team is ranked 223rd in offensive efficiency, scoring about 97 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Texas State is not one of the better teams at drawing fouls and getting to the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of just 22.52 vs. AO, they are 266th in the overall rankings for that category.

Texas State is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 27th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Wed 11/25/2020	vs Mary Har	---	W 98-59	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 11/28/2020	@ Texas A&M-CC₃₃₇	W 67.00 - 58.28	W 75-63	2-0	104.29	108.02	▲ 3.73	86.76	81.44	▲ 5.32	▲ 9.05
Mon 11/30/2020	@ Miss. State₆₈	L 55.24 - 66.29	L 51-68	2-1	91.08	83.00	▼ 8.08	104.28	107.02	▼ 2.74	▼ 10.82
Sat 12/5/2020	vs Incarnate Word₃₃₄	W 67.67 - 54.41	W 72-64	3-1	106.74	108.21	▲ 1.47	89.45	99.11	▼ 9.66	▼ 8.19
Wed 12/9/2020	@ Texas₂₂	L 56.04 - 73.03	L 53-74	3-2	88.28	79.92	▼ 8.36	109.58	105.80	▲ 3.78	▼ 4.58
Sat 12/12/2020	vs Our Lady	---	L 58-61	3-3	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Tue 12/15/2020	vs Texas A&M-CC₃₃₇	W 69.75 - 55.55	W 51-46	4-3	104.29	87.56	▼ 16.73	86.76	81.95	▲ 4.81	▼ 11.92
Sat 12/19/2020	@ Denver₃₃₉	W 69.85 - 60.48	W 70-68	5-3	106.70	100.73	▼ 5.97	89.34	93.64	▼ 4.30	▼ 10.27
Mon 12/21/2020	vs N. Arizona₃₂₉ *	W 66.07 - 56.49	W 70-65	6-3	107.42	107.94	▲ 0.52	92.31	99.62	▼ 7.31	▼ 6.79
Fri 1/1/2021	@ Louisiana₁₈₈	L 63.94 - 66.14	L 77-83 (OT)	6-4	98.27	98.04	▼ 0.23	96.90	102.43	▼ 5.53	▼ 5.76
Sat 1/2/2021	@ Louisiana₁₈₈	L 63.94 - 66.14	W 71-59	7-4	98.27	110.19	▲ 11.92	96.90	88.70	▲ 8.20	▲ 20.12
Fri 1/15/2021	@ Little Rock₂₃₆	W 62.13 - 61.48	W 63-59	8-4	99.37	96.17	▼ 3.20	94.45	87.26	▲ 7.19	▲ 3.99
Sat 1/16/2021	@ Little Rock₂₃₆	W 62.13 - 61.48	W 67-56	9-4	99.37	119.68	▲ 20.31	94.45	96.11	▼ 1.66	▲ 18.65
Fri 1/22/2021	@ UL Monroe₂₉₈	W 62.84 - 58.39	W 57-47	10-4	100.78	91.20	▼ 9.58	89.63	66.61	▲ 23.02	▲ 13.44
Sat 1/23/2021	@ UL Monroe₂₉₈	W 62.84 - 58.39	W 69-63	11-4	100.78	109.95	▲ 9.17	89.63	97.86	▼ 8.23	▲ 0.94
Fri 1/29/2021	vs Louisiana₁₈₈	W 66.72 - 63.42	L 60-62	11-5	98.27	81.40	▼ 16.87	96.90	99.74	▼ 2.84	▼ 19.71
Sat 1/30/2021	vs Louisiana₁₈₈	W 66.72 - 63.42	L 73-74	11-6	98.27	124.82	▲ 26.55	96.90	122.14	▼ 25.24	▲ 1.31
Fri 2/5/2021	vs Little Rock₂₃₆	W 64.81 - 58.84	W 57-47	12-6	99.37	92.28	▼ 7.09	94.45	77.58	▲ 16.87	▲ 9.78
Sat 2/6/2021	vs Little Rock₂₃₆	W 64.81 - 58.84	W 77-67 (OT)	13-6	99.37	104.30	▲ 4.93	94.45	103.89	▼ 9.44	▼ 4.51
Thu 2/11/2021	@ UT Arlington₂₃₇	W 64.80 - 64.14	W 63-56	14-6	100.34	97.59	▼ 2.75	95.89	82.71	▲ 13.18	▲ 10.43
Sat 2/13/2021	vs UT Arlington₂₃₇	W 67.56 - 61.40	W 79-68	15-6	100.34	123.73	▲ 23.39	95.89	109.41	▼ 13.52	▲ 9.87
Mon 2/22/2021	@ Arkansas State₂₅₀	W 64.03 - 62.80	W 57-52	16-6	101.19	89.83	▼ 11.36	95.22	77.86	▲ 17.36	▲ 6.00
Fri 2/26/2021	vs UL Monroe₂₉₈	W 65.50 - 55.79	W 58-49	17-6	100.78	91.20	▼ 9.58	89.63	81.13	▲ 8.50	▼ 1.08
Sat 2/27/2021	vs UL Monroe₂₉₈	W 65.50 - 55.79	W 61-57	18-6	100.78	97.45	▼ 3.33	89.63	90.85	▼ 1.22	▼ 4.55
Sat 3/6/2021	vs Appalachian St.₂₄₄ *	W 61.61 - 58.16	L 73-76 (OT)	18-7	99.27	97.01	▼ 2.26	93.29	96.30	▼ 3.01	▼ 5.27
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

When playing teams that favor a faster tempo, Texas State usually performs better than average. Texas State is more efficient than normal 60% of the time when facing clubs that have a pace vs. AO greater than 68.82. In all other contests, Texas State performs better than average 25% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	Harrell leads Texas State past Arkansas State 57-52 (2/22/2021 9:24:29 PM) JONESBORO, Ark. (AP) — Mason Harrell posted 17 points as Texas State narrowly beat Arkansas State 57-52 on Monday night.
	Harrell leads Texas State over Texas-Arlington 63-56 (2/11/2021 9:33:47 PM) ARLINGTON, Texas (AP) — Mason Harrell had 19 points, seven assists and six rebounds as Texas State defeated Texas-Arlington 63-56 on Thursday night.
	Texas State defeats Little Rock 77-67 in OT (2/6/2021 9:51:26 PM) SAN MARCOS, Texas (AP) — Caleb Asberry and Mason Harrell scored 21 points apiece as Texas State defeated Arkansas-Little Rock 77-67 in overtime on Saturday.
	Here's How Much Every State Spends on Public Health (1/30/2021 10:00:01 AM) The COVID-19 crisis has forced many states to reexamine their public health budgets or even the framework of their entire public health infrastructure. Here's how every state measures up.
	La.-Lafeyette looks to extend streak vs Texas State (1/30/2021 6:30:59 AM) Louisiana-Lafayette (12-4, 6-3) vs. Texas State (11-5, 5-2)

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox