Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 Texas State 24-10 (0.706) | Sun Belt

All-Play Percentage: 0.653 (123^rd)	Schedule Strength: 0.458 (218^th)	Record Quality: 0.159 (94^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 90.86 (90^th)
Pace: 66.72 (294^th)	Momentum: -4.53 (334^th)	Off. Momentum: -1.37 (285^th)	Def. Momentum: -3.16 (314^th)
Consistency: -7.98 (27^th)	Res. Consistency: -9.77 (36^th)	Away From Home: 1.19 (43^rd)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.26 (205^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

101.59

25.95

69.38

84.46

43.38

31.22

33.04

23.16

35.73

30.08

60.00

12.16

16.22

7.33

36.97

27.42

35.61

2.01

RANK:

194^th

185^th

234^th

122^nd

200^th

211^th

247^th

104^th

179^th

173^rd

161^st

127^th

49^th

43^rd

220^th

107^th

186^th

154^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

98.03

27.87

79.41

42.72

31.94

31.77

20.40

36.42

27.08

60.39

11.74

11.94

4.91

40.22

25.68

34.09

2.06

RANK:

75^th

249^th

31^st

108^th

169^th

35^th

155^th

192^nd

60^th

182^nd

186^th

46^th

54^th

245^th

216^th

94^th

99^th

ANALYSIS:
As an average to slightly above-average foe, Texas State should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. Carrying a record of 24-10, they are currently rated #123 overall (out of 353) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the 12 schools in the Sun Belt (average ranking 171.9), they're currently ranked as our #2 team in the conference.

The primary strength for Texas State is defense. The team is ranked 75th in efficiency, allowing fewer than 99 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Texas State does a really good job to prevent opponents from getting off shots from the field. The club is ranked 31st in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 79.41 vs. AO. Texas State has also done a very good job to prevent opponents from draining threes this year. They rank 35th in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 31.8% of their attempts from afar.

The offense for Texas State, on the other hand, isn't nearly as efficient as the defense is. The team is ranked 194th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 102 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Despite their struggles on offense, Texas State doesn't really stand out as being terrible in any one particular area on that end of the floor. In fact, they aren't even in the bottom-100 in any of the offensive categories we consider for this analysis. If Texas State does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's ability to obtain and convert second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad has a second-chance conversion percentage of 7.3% vs. AO, which ranks 43rd in the nation.

Texas State has definitely not been as efficient as of late compared to earlier in the season and, consequently, the team is nationally ranked 334th in positive momentum. Texas State is also one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 27th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm. On the road, Texas State performs somewhat better than their norm, as the squad is nationally ranked 43rd in our away-from-home metric.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/9/2018	vs Air Force₂₄₅	W 71.34 - 59.67	W 67-57	1-0	105.04	100.19	▼ 4.85	92.98	91.21	▲ 1.77	▼ 3.08
Tue 11/13/2018	vs Hardin-Simmons	---	W 97-52	2-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 11/17/2018	@ Drake₁₃₅	L 67.04 - 69.93	L 69-75	2-1	101.10	97.02	▼ 4.08	100.71	98.51	▲ 2.20	▼ 1.88
Wed 11/21/2018	vs Cal Poly₃₃₂ *	W 73.12 - 57.58	W 54-42	3-1	111.70	90.76	▼ 20.94	88.55	70.00	▲ 18.55	▼ 2.39
Fri 11/23/2018	vs USC Upstate₃₃₀ *	W 73.50 - 57.65	W 82-50	4-1	108.85	113.30	▲ 4.45	86.32	73.36	▲ 12.96	▲ 17.41
Sat 11/24/2018	@ Portland₃₁₅	W 69.32 - 59.48	W 91-68	5-1	108.05	134.75	▲ 26.70	89.12	92.59	▼ 3.47	▲ 23.23
Wed 11/28/2018	vs Rice₂₄₁	W 75.21 - 63.24	W 74-60	6-1	106.17	108.27	▲ 2.10	94.32	93.12	▲ 1.20	▲ 3.30
Sat 12/1/2018	@ UTSA₁₄₃	L 69.37 - 71.21	W 69-68	7-1	100.29	95.74	▼ 4.55	98.46	88.17	▲ 10.29	▲ 5.74
Wed 12/5/2018	@ Texas A&M-CC₂₅₆	W 64.32 - 58.66	W 61-55	8-1	101.90	89.64	▼ 12.26	88.09	76.08	▲ 12.01	▼ 0.25
Sat 12/8/2018	vs Houston Baptist₂₇₄	W 79.82 - 65.66	W 90-80	9-1	109.98	127.19	▲ 17.21	94.05	105.14	▼ 11.09	▲ 6.12
Sat 12/15/2018	@ UT Rio Grande₁₈₈	W 66.97 - 65.32	W 77-68	10-1	98.74	103.81	▲ 5.07	91.89	86.68	▲ 5.21	▲ 10.28
Sat 12/22/2018	@ Arkansas₆₅	L 64.48 - 72.36	L 70-73	10-2	95.95	99.72	▲ 3.77	101.79	98.89	▲ 2.90	▲ 6.67
Sat 12/29/2018	vs Howard Payne	---	W 105-29	11-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Thu 1/3/2019	vs GA Southern₁₀₀	W 72.70 - 70.61	W 73-70	12-2	99.54	88.75	▼ 10.79	101.89	92.24	▲ 9.65	▼ 1.14
Sat 1/5/2019	vs Georgia State₁₃₇	W 71.58 - 67.43	L 69-73	12-3	100.64	97.50	▼ 3.14	100.24	109.07	▼ 8.83	▼ 11.97
Thu 1/10/2019	@ Coast. Carolina₁₄₅	L 69.31 - 70.97	W 65-61	13-3	105.44	103.27	▼ 2.17	102.61	90.99	▲ 11.62	▲ 9.45
Sat 1/12/2019	@ Appalachian St.₁₉₃	W 73.01 - 70.93	W 70-69	14-3	105.72	103.95	▼ 1.77	99.20	100.49	▼ 1.29	▼ 3.06
Thu 1/17/2019	vs Little Rock₂₁₅	W 73.91 - 63.86	W 80-62	15-3	103.62	116.91	▲ 13.29	94.37	95.88	▼ 1.51	▲ 11.78
Sat 1/19/2019	vs Arkansas State₂₂₉	W 73.19 - 62.69	W 77-64	16-3	107.00	110.74	▲ 3.74	96.87	96.61	▲ 0.26	▲ 4.00
Thu 1/24/2019	@ Georgia State₁₃₇	L 68.20 - 70.74	W 81-68	17-3	100.64	136.39	▲ 35.75	100.24	98.79	▲ 1.45	▲ 37.20
Sat 1/26/2019	@ GA Southern₁₀₀	L 69.23 - 74.07	L 58-74	17-4	99.54	82.82	▼ 16.72	101.89	110.62	▼ 8.73	▼ 25.45
Sat 2/2/2019	vs UT Arlington₁₅₇	W 66.16 - 60.20	L 77-84 (2OT)	17-5	98.84	91.25	▼ 7.59	94.93	97.36	▼ 2.43	▼ 10.02
Thu 2/7/2019	vs Appalachian St.₁₉₃	W 76.45 - 67.48	W 74-71	18-5	105.72	99.93	▼ 5.79	99.20	103.21	▼ 4.01	▼ 9.80
Sat 2/9/2019	vs Coast. Carolina₁₄₅	W 72.60 - 67.61	W 65-57	19-5	105.44	97.50	▼ 7.94	102.61	86.01	▲ 16.60	▲ 8.66
Thu 2/14/2019	@ Arkansas State₂₂₉	W 69.92 - 66.02	W 84-74	20-5	107.00	126.74	▲ 19.74	96.87	108.01	▼ 11.14	▲ 8.60
Sat 2/16/2019	@ Little Rock₂₁₅	W 70.52 - 67.16	W 67-60	21-5	103.62	113.70	▲ 10.08	94.37	94.28	▲ 0.09	▲ 10.17
Thu 2/21/2019	vs UL Monroe₁₃₈	W 70.97 - 66.90	L 60-63	21-6	105.44	92.37	▼ 13.07	104.98	105.35	▼ 0.37	▼ 13.44
Sat 2/23/2019	vs Louisiana₁₅₆	W 75.12 - 68.73	W 64-62	22-6	104.28	93.03	▼ 11.25	99.57	96.44	▲ 3.13	▼ 8.12
Thu 2/28/2019	@ Troy₂₄₃	W 69.94 - 64.93	W 58-44	23-6	106.47	97.58	▼ 8.89	95.02	72.08	▲ 22.94	▲ 14.05
Sat 3/2/2019	@ South Alabama₂₂₇	W 68.52 - 64.70	L 63-77	23-7	106.20	107.06	▲ 0.86	96.73	132.59	▼ 35.86	▼ 35.00
Sat 3/9/2019	@ UT Arlington₁₅₇	L 62.97 - 63.45	L 73-81	23-8	98.84	106.20	▲ 7.36	94.93	118.26	▼ 23.33	▼ 15.97
Fri 3/15/2019	vs South Alabama₂₂₇ *	W 70.13 - 63.13	W 79-67	24-8	106.20	115.75	▲ 9.55	96.73	96.75	▼ 0.02	▲ 9.53
Sat 3/16/2019	vs Georgia State₁₃₇ *	W 69.89 - 69.09	L 46-59	24-9	100.64	64.47	▼ 36.17	100.24	81.43	▲ 18.81	▼ 17.36
Sat 3/23/2019	vs FIU₂₂₂	W 80.66 - 69.52	L 81-87	24-10	104.43	105.15	▲ 0.72	94.61	116.97	▼ 22.36	▼ 21.64
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot, Texas State usually performs worse than average. Texas State is more efficient than normal 9% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 36.05%. In all other contests, Texas State performs better than average 71% of the time.
	Texas State is typically better vs. teams that find ways to get to the free throw line. Against foes that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 27.98, Texas State performs above their norm 90% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 32% of the time.
	When facing teams that aren't terribly skilled defensively, Texas State often performs better than normal. Texas State is more efficient than usual 83% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 107.19. In their other contests, Texas State performs better than the norm 30% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	Panthers pounce on Bobcat’s postseason dreams (3/24/2019 12:01:00 PM) The Texas State men’s basketball team played host to the Florida International University basketball team and were bounced out of the first round of the postseason tournament with a final score of 87-81. After finishing fourth in the Sun Belt conference ...
	Georgia State: What you need to know about the Panthers in the NCAA Tournament (3/17/2019 10:10:00 PM) On offense, Georgia State might need at least 60 total points from its starting five. In Sunday's win over Texas-Arlington, the Big Five all scored in double digits and and accounted for 70-plus percent of the total rebounds.
	Texas State accepts bid to CIT, will host Florida International on Saturday (3/17/2019 9:37:00 PM) Texas State beat South Alabama 79-67 in the quarterfinals on Friday before losing 59-46 to Georgia State in Saturday's semifinals. Florida International, the nation's leader in pace, went 19-13 and 10-8 in Conference USA. The Panthers lost 71-57 to North ...
	Texas State rims out against Georgia State (3/17/2019 11:21:00 AM) One of the best seasons in Texas State history came to an end Saturday as the Bobcats fell to the Georgia State Panthers 59-46. The Bobcats struggled all night with their shots, shooting a Texas State tournament low 21 percent from the floor and 17 percent ...
	Sun Belt Championship Preview: It’s deja vu in the Big Easy (3/17/2019 9:50:00 AM) The Panthers had one of their best defensive performances of the season in the semifinals, holding Texas State to just 21 percent from the floor and forcing 18 turnovers in a 59-46 win. Georgia State build a lead as big as 20 points in the second half ...

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox