Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 Lafayette 10-20 (0.333) | Patriot League

All-Play Percentage: 0.156 (298^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.419 (257^th)	Record Quality: -0.277 (305^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 307.36 (312^th)
Pace: 69.60 (109^th)	Momentum: -2.73 (286^th)	Off. Momentum: 0.32 (185^th)	Def. Momentum: -3.05 (309^th)
Consistency: -11.05 (315^th)	Res. Consistency: -13.95 (271^st)	Away From Home: -0.50 (225^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.50 (225^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

98.57

19.66

73.74

82.56

42.91

35.46

37.32

22.48

33.74

24.61

59.32

8.48

10.95

4.86

42.95

27.23

29.81

2.13

RANK:

252^nd

340^th

96^th

215^th

218^th

78^th

43^rd

123^rd

259^th

340^th

185^th

325^th

313^th

287^th

63^rd

108^th

331^st

332^nd

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

111.51

26.82

85.51

47.39

29.48

38.71

22.76

37.46

33.26

61.89

12.75

14.85

7.30

34.48

26.62

38.90

1.96

RANK:

318^th

215^th

254^th

313^th

59^th

336^th

266^th

235^th

292^nd

236^th

264^th

279^th

300^th

33^rd

251^st

270^th

307^th

ANALYSIS:
If you're looking for a squad in the bottom quartile of all Division I basketball teams this year, Lafayette likely fits the bill. They are ranked #298 (out of 353) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 10-20. Of the 10 schools in the Patriot League (average ranking 211.8), they're currently ranked as the worst team in the conference.

Lafayette does not provide much of a challenge on defense. They are ranked at #318 in efficiency on that end of the court and give up about 112 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Lafayette does an extremely poor job to deny the opposition behind the arc. They rank 336th nationally in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make 38.7% of their attempts from afar. Luckily, AO will take nowhere near as many threes as they typically would, and only 34.5% of AO's field goal attempts will come from downtown. Lafayette also does a pretty inadequate job to provide chances for themselves to score quickly off of steals. They're ranked #325 in potential points off of breakaway steals with a rating of only 8.48 vs. AO.

Though they rate better on offense than they do on defense, Lafayette still isn't one of the more capable offensive teams in college hoops. Scoring roughly 99 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #252 in the nation in offensive efficiency. Lafayette does an extremely poor job drawing fouls and getting to the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of just 19.66 vs. AO, they are 340th in the overall rankings for that category. Lafayette also does a fairly poor job cleaning the offensive glass. Against AO, the ball-club has a rating of 10.95 in potential points scored off of second chances (313th nationally). If Lafayette does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's ability to sink threes. The squad converts 37.3% of their three-point attempts vs. AO, which ranks 43rd in the nation.

Lafayette has been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 315th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Wed 11/7/2018	@ St. Peter's₃₁₆	L 66.15 - 67.96	L 86-93 (OT)	0-1	102.79	115.35	▲ 12.56	99.89	110.36	▼ 10.47	▲ 2.09
Sat 11/10/2018	@ La Salle₂₂₃	L 68.36 - 77.38	W 77-76	1-1	99.67	110.95	▲ 11.28	107.59	106.08	▲ 1.51	▲ 12.79
Tue 11/13/2018	@ Penn₁₂₄	L 63.75 - 79.81	L 61-91	1-2	95.22	78.50	▼ 16.72	111.69	136.72	▼ 25.03	▼ 41.75
Sun 11/18/2018	vs St. Francis (BKN)₂₈₆	W 72.41 - 70.52	L 72-84	1-3	101.64	91.01	▼ 10.63	103.81	109.94	▼ 6.13	▼ 16.76
Sun 11/25/2018	@ Fair. Dickinson₂₂₈	L 70.15 - 78.62	W 80-76	2-3	106.87	121.01	▲ 14.14	113.02	110.94	▲ 2.08	▲ 16.22
Wed 11/28/2018	vs Cornell₂₁₀	L 70.66 - 73.31	L 58-63 (OT)	2-4	99.16	78.75	▼ 20.41	107.74	83.43	▲ 24.31	▲ 3.90
Sun 12/2/2018	vs Sacred Heart₂₄₄	L 78.87 - 79.25	L 62-64	2-5	105.61	84.52	▼ 21.09	111.18	91.38	▲ 19.80	▼ 1.29
Wed 12/5/2018	@ UConn₈₃	L 65.00 - 84.04	L 63-90	2-6	95.56	79.72	▼ 15.84	117.19	127.69	▼ 10.50	▼ 26.34
Sat 12/8/2018	@ Quinnipiac₂₅₄	L 70.63 - 77.23	L 77-88	2-7	105.78	98.50	▼ 7.28	110.64	133.87	▼ 23.23	▼ 30.51
Wed 12/19/2018	vs Rosemont College	---	W 95-54	3-7	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Fri 12/21/2018	vs Princeton₁₇₈	L 68.03 - 72.47	L 79-81	3-8	95.76	107.71	▲ 11.95	106.68	107.83	▼ 1.15	▲ 10.80
Wed 1/2/2019	@ Lehigh₁₆₄	L 73.04 - 86.05	L 83-86	3-9	103.39	121.07	▲ 17.68	115.34	119.92	▼ 4.58	▲ 13.10
Sat 1/5/2019	@ Army₂₃₈	L 68.96 - 76.74	L 69-77	3-10	98.46	94.16	▼ 4.30	104.02	101.56	▲ 2.46	▼ 1.84
Wed 1/9/2019	vs Loyola (MD)₂₅₁	W 74.95 - 74.87	W 85-70	4-10	104.30	117.79	▲ 13.49	108.01	99.64	▲ 8.37	▲ 21.86
Sat 1/12/2019	@ Holy Cross₂₁₁	L 64.59 - 73.66	L 70-77	4-11	100.46	106.00	▲ 5.54	108.33	123.37	▼ 15.04	▼ 9.50
Wed 1/16/2019	vs Navy₂₆₄	W 71.92 - 71.10	L 77-85	4-12	102.62	103.00	▲ 0.38	104.66	124.55	▼ 19.89	▼ 19.51
Sat 1/19/2019	@ American₁₉₀	L 66.21 - 76.88	W 84-79 (OT)	5-12	98.78	103.97	▲ 5.19	108.16	98.60	▲ 9.56	▲ 14.75
Wed 1/23/2019	@ Colgate₁₃₄	L 66.98 - 82.59	L 47-57	5-13	100.93	73.44	▼ 27.49	118.08	83.22	▲ 34.86	▲ 7.37
Sat 1/26/2019	vs Army₂₃₈	L 72.54 - 73.26	L 63-69	5-14	98.46	82.64	▼ 15.82	104.02	94.50	▲ 9.52	▼ 6.30
Wed 1/30/2019	vs Lehigh₁₆₄	L 76.66 - 82.31	L 86-93 (OT)	5-15	103.39	104.65	▲ 1.26	115.34	111.19	▲ 4.15	▲ 5.41
Sat 2/2/2019	vs Bucknell₁₄₂	L 72.45 - 80.24	L 66-94	5-16	98.41	82.84	▼ 15.57	114.35	119.16	▼ 4.81	▼ 20.38
Wed 2/6/2019	@ Boston U₂₂₆	L 69.02 - 77.74	W 79-72	6-16	102.78	129.92	▲ 27.14	110.96	111.79	▼ 0.83	▲ 26.31
Sun 2/10/2019	vs Holy Cross₂₁₁	L 67.90 - 70.45	W 69-67	7-16	100.46	101.65	▲ 1.19	108.33	98.21	▲ 10.12	▲ 11.31
Wed 2/13/2019	@ Navy₂₆₄	L 68.50 - 74.52	W 80-74	8-16	102.62	115.17	▲ 12.55	104.66	101.73	▲ 2.93	▲ 15.48
Sun 2/17/2019	@ Loyola (MD)₂₅₁	L 71.44 - 78.36	W 69-64	9-16	104.30	103.23	▼ 1.07	108.01	88.61	▲ 19.40	▲ 18.33
Wed 2/20/2019	vs American₁₉₀	L 69.65 - 73.49	W 70-68	10-16	98.78	94.73	▼ 4.05	108.16	98.27	▲ 9.89	▲ 5.84
Sun 2/24/2019	@ Bucknell₁₄₂	L 68.87 - 83.83	L 76-118	10-17	98.41	75.47	▼ 22.94	114.35	175.88	▼ 61.53	▼ 84.47
Wed 2/27/2019	vs Boston U₂₂₆	L 72.46 - 74.42	L 82-84	10-18	102.78	119.44	▲ 16.66	110.96	125.12	▼ 14.16	▲ 2.50
Sat 3/2/2019	vs Colgate₁₃₄	L 70.38 - 79.12	L 70-76	10-19	100.93	101.98	▲ 1.05	118.08	112.64	▲ 5.44	▲ 6.49
Tue 3/5/2019	vs Holy Cross₂₁₁	L 67.90 - 70.45	L 74-79	10-20	100.46	102.84	▲ 2.38	108.33	115.35	▼ 7.02	▼ 4.64
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---

Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Lafayette performs better against squads that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities. When facing teams that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 12.36, Lafayette is more efficient than normal 92% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 44% of the time.
	When playing teams that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds, Lafayette usually performs worse than average. Lafayette is more efficient than normal 36% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 14.64. In all other contests, Lafayette performs better than average 83% of the time.
	Lafayette is typically better vs. teams that have trouble defending the mid-range shot. Against foes that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 36.25%, Lafayette performs above their norm 80% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 33% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	Lafayette men fall to Holy Cross in first round of Patriot League tournament (3/5/2019 10:01:00 PM) Petrie and Jaworski led Lafayette with 23 and 22 points, respectively. This was the Leopards' 10th loss to a league opponent ... He loves the game of basketball. He's done a great job for us."
	Men's basketball: Jehyve Floyd leads Holy Cross over Lafayette in Patriot League tournament (3/5/2019 10:00:00 PM) Jehyve Floyd had 24 points as Holy Cross edged past Lafayette 79-74 in the Patriot League Conference ... Alex Petrie had 23 points for the Leopards (10-20). Justin Jaworski added 22 points. Lukas Jarrett had 10 points and 12 rebounds.
	Floyd leads Holy Cross over Lafayette 79-74 (3/5/2019 9:49:00 PM) (AP) Jehyve Floyd had 24 points as Holy Cross edged past Lafayette 79-74 ... Petrie had 23 points for the Leopards (10-20). Justin Jaworski added 22 points. Lukas Jarrett had 10 points and 12 rebounds. For more AP college basketball coverage: https ...
	Hot-Shooting Bison Post Record-Setting 118-76 Win over Lafayette (2/25/2019 10:10:00 PM) LEWISBURG, Pa. – Bucknell put an emphatic end to a two-game losing streak and regained sole possession of first place in the Patriot League behind a scintillating, record-setting offensive performance in a 118-76 win over Lafayette on Saturday afternoon ...
	College Basketball Recap: Winners and Losers from the weekend (2/25/2019 11:22:00 AM) Look at this box score from Bucknell: On Sunday, Bucknell beat Lafayette by a score of 118-76. The Bison poured in an absurd 1.57 points per possession and hit 21 (!!!) threes in the process. Bucknell dropped 63 points in the first half alone! The 118 ...

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox