Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 Lafayette20-13 (0.606) | Patriot League
All-Play Percentage: 0.437 (197th)
Schedule Strength: 0.400 (276th)
Record Quality: -0.003 (174th)
Avg. Season Rank: 153.47 (149th)
Pace: 65.64 (167th)
Momentum: -0.46 (189th)
Off. Momentum: 2.13 (92nd)
Def. Momentum: -2.59 (283rd)
Consistency: -11.32 (339th)
Res. Consistency: -15.81 (341st)
Away From Home: 0.93 (69th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -2.19 (270th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
107.44
65.56
23.61
75.08
83.36
38.80
46.55
31.02
12.10
39.00
24.78
9.91
40.00
27.55
16.79
60.95
9.90
13.98
7.30
37.22
29.73
33.05
2.04
RANK:
54th
170th
330th
26th
107th
32nd
32nd
64th
27th
18th
198th
107th
17th
213th
148th
102nd
263rd
237th
105th
83rd
213th
239th
261st
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
112.01
65.73
23.86
--
89.61
41.70
46.53
30.82
11.47
37.20
27.86
11.11
39.86
30.93
19.12
61.83
12.47
19.21
8.74
34.40
31.09
34.51
2.00
RANK:
337th
190th
23rd
--
351st
347th
309th
289th
324th
299th
275th
335th
328th
270th
301st
264th
255th
345th
323rd
191st
185th
163rd
176th
ANALYSIS: Regardless of what the win percentage says, Lafayette isn't a very good team this year. They have a record of 20-13 and are ranked 197th overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #2 team (out of 10) in the Patriot League (average ranking 233.2).
Lafayette succeeds primarily through their offense. They are ranked 54th in offensive efficiency and score in excess of 107 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Lafayette is an excellent shooting team, capable of converting from multiple locations on the court and ranking in the top-50 in three of our four primary field goal categories. They can be considered sharpshooters out on the perimeter, converting 39.0% of their three-pointers (18th in the nation), 40.0% of their mid-range chances (17th), and 46.6% of their total shots from the field (32nd) vs. AO. Lafayette also does a really good job converting from the free throw line. Making 75.1% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked 26th nationally in free throw percentage. Though they typically convert their shots from the line, the downside is that they hardly ever manage to get there. The squad has a free throw attempt rate of 23.61 vs. AO (22nd-worst in the nation).
Sadly for Lafayette, the drop-off from offensive efficiency to defensive efficiency is massive. The team is ranked 337th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 112 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Lafayette allows the opposition to get off far too many shots from the floor. The team is ranked last in the nation in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 89.61 vs. AO. Lafayette also gives up far too many offensive rebounds and second chances to their opponents. The club has a rating of 19.21 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (seventh from the bottom nationally), and they let AO convert a healthy 8.7% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 323rd) as well. Lafayette lastly performs really badly when attempting to stop opponents from making mid-range jumpers. The squad is ranked 328th nationally in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on 39.9% of their attempts from those in-between spots on the floor. If Lafayette does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their success preventing opponents from getting to the free throw line. The team has a defensive free throw attempt rate of 23.86 vs. AO, which ranks 23rd-best in the country.
Lafayette has been one of the most erratic teams in college basketball this year (currently ranked 339th overall in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their future games far more difficult to predict.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When playing teams that do not defend well on the perimeter, Lafayette usually performs better than average. Lafayette is more efficient than normal 75% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 35.21%. In all other contests, Lafayette performs better than average 17% of the time.
Lafayette is typically better vs. teams that allow a higher number of conversions off of the offensive glass. Against foes that have a defensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 6.93%, Lafayette performs above their norm 71% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 18% of the time.
When facing teams that favor a faster tempo, Lafayette often performs better than normal. Lafayette is more efficient than usual 68% of the time when facing teams that have a pace vs. AO greater than 64.65. In their other contests, Lafayette performs better than the norm 20% of the time.
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