Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2017-18 San Diego State 22-11 (0.667) | Mountain West

All-Play Percentage: 0.917 (30^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.624 (83^rd)	Record Quality: 0.262 (58^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 39.38 (40^th)
Pace: 70.99 (123^rd)	Momentum: 5.23 (11^th)	Off. Momentum: 1.51 (103^rd)	Def. Momentum: 3.71 (11^th)
Consistency: -10.34 (308^th)	Res. Consistency: -15.12 (339^th)	Away From Home: -2.28 (324^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -2.37 (289^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 2, 2018. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

109.33

28.72

72.56

83.88

46.29

30.40

35.66

26.23

41.45

27.24

62.80

10.52

16.47

8.30

36.25

31.27

32.48

2.04

RANK:

58^th

62^nd

141^st

81^st

76^th

180^th

146^th

78^th

28^th

229^th

77^th

205^th

87^th

63^rd

198^th

86^th

258^th

197^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

92.69

21.24

81.26

41.27

31.57

31.93

27.18

35.48

22.51

61.35

10.88

12.12

5.85

38.85

33.45

27.70

2.11

RANK:

21^st

27^th

133^rd

42^nd

226^th

23^rd

312^th

93^rd

13^th

214^th

179^th

24^th

77^th

243^rd

324^th

15^th

30^th

ANALYSIS:
A borderline top-25 caliber adversary, San Diego State will likely be a stiff test for any team in Division I. Ranked 30th overall (out of 351) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 22-11. Of the 11 schools in the MWC (average ranking 114.7), they're currently ranked as our #2 team in the conference.

San Diego State is one of the most menacing defensive teams in the country. Ranked 21st in defensive efficiency, they will allow fewer than 93 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. San Diego State does an outstanding job shutting down the opposition from behind the arc. They rank 23rd in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 31.9% of their attempts from afar. San Diego State also does a super job to deny opponents offensive rebounds and second chances. They have a rating of 12.12 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked 24th in the country).

San Diego State plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 58th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 109 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. San Diego State has a keen ability to drain field goals between the three-point line and the low post. The squad is ranked 28th nationally in mid-range field goal percentage, making about 41.5% of their attempts from those locations vs. AO. The team will take a fair amount of shots from those in-between locations, too. Approximately 31.3% of their attempts vs. AO are of the mid-range variety, which puts the team in the top-100 in that category nationally. San Diego State also acquires a fair amount of chances from the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of 28.72 vs. AO, they are ranked 62nd in the nation at getting to the charity stripe, where the team shoots a rather mediocre 72.6%.

San Diego State has been playing some of its most efficient basketball of the season recently and is presently ranked 11th in positive momentum. San Diego State has also been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 308th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most. When playing on the road, San Diego State performs somewhat worse than they normally do on their home court. The club is nationally ranked 324th in our site's away-from-home metric.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/10/2017	vs San Diego Christian	---	W 91-52	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Tue 11/14/2017	@ Arizona State₃₈	L 76.01 - 78.43	L 68-90	1-1	104.62	87.78	▼ 16.84	103.65	116.57	▼ 12.92	▼ 29.76
Fri 11/17/2017	vs McNeese₃₀₀	W 86.13 - 60.57	W 83-52	2-1	116.78	116.25	▼ 0.53	86.30	64.53	▲ 21.77	▲ 21.24
Mon 11/20/2017	vs E. Illinois₂₆₁	W 78.80 - 56.92	W 94-63	3-1	112.13	123.59	▲ 11.46	85.03	77.27	▲ 7.76	▲ 19.22
Fri 11/24/2017	vs Sacramento St.₂₇₄ *	W 78.45 - 59.07	W 89-52	4-1	113.95	131.71	▲ 17.76	86.31	39.02	▲ 47.29	▲ 65.05
Fri 11/24/2017	vs Georgia₅₈ *	W 67.48 - 64.61	W 75-68	5-1	99.72	97.40	▼ 2.32	95.73	87.18	▲ 8.55	▲ 6.23
Mon 11/27/2017	vs Washington St.₁₇₄ *	W 81.04 - 67.50	L 86-93	5-2	113.84	110.26	▼ 3.58	94.99	119.23	▼ 24.24	▼ 27.82
Thu 11/30/2017	@ San Diego₁₁₀	W 70.38 - 65.01	W 66-57	6-2	103.05	99.33	▼ 3.72	91.41	84.09	▲ 7.32	▲ 3.60
Sun 12/3/2017	vs Bradley₁₃₂	W 74.42 - 61.03	W 75-52	7-2	104.51	115.59	▲ 11.08	90.41	69.54	▲ 20.87	▲ 31.95
Sat 12/9/2017	vs California₂₄₁	W 80.44 - 59.38	L 62-63	7-3	110.95	87.59	▼ 23.36	85.90	92.27	▼ 6.37	▼ 29.73
Thu 12/21/2017	vs Gonzaga₉	L 73.71 - 75.23	W 72-70	8-3	100.47	92.47	▼ 8.00	106.65	95.60	▲ 11.05	▲ 3.05
Wed 12/27/2017	@ Wyoming₁₁₁	W 77.67 - 71.67	L 69-82	8-4	104.74	95.33	▼ 9.41	92.54	110.23	▼ 17.69	▼ 27.10
Sat 12/30/2017	vs Utah State₁₁₉	W 77.28 - 64.87	W 79-59	9-4	108.23	109.67	▲ 1.44	95.58	85.85	▲ 9.73	▲ 11.17
Tue 1/2/2018	@ Colorado State₂₀₅	W 79.88 - 67.26	W 77-68	10-4	112.83	109.21	▼ 3.62	91.52	93.51	▼ 1.99	▼ 5.61
Tue 1/9/2018	vs San Jose State₂₇₉	W 80.47 - 56.85	W 85-49	11-4	111.94	110.46	▼ 1.48	83.71	64.09	▲ 19.62	▲ 18.14
Sat 1/13/2018	@ Boise State₃₇	L 69.47 - 71.89	L 80-83	11-5	99.53	118.21	▲ 18.68	98.41	116.30	▼ 17.89	▲ 0.79
Wed 1/17/2018	vs Fresno State₆₈	W 73.72 - 66.49	L 73-77	11-6	104.95	96.38	▼ 8.57	98.81	109.21	▼ 10.40	▼ 18.97
Sat 1/20/2018	@ New Mexico₁₀₀	W 78.86 - 74.29	L 75-79	11-7	109.96	110.97	▲ 1.01	99.49	112.22	▼ 12.73	▼ 11.72
Wed 1/24/2018	vs Colorado State₂₀₅	W 83.09 - 64.10	W 97-78	12-7	112.83	141.28	▲ 28.45	91.52	107.11	▼ 15.59	▲ 12.86
Sat 1/27/2018	@ UNLV₈₄	W 78.48 - 75.79	L 78-88	12-8	106.51	103.57	▼ 2.94	98.69	112.02	▼ 13.33	▼ 16.27
Sat 2/3/2018	vs Air Force₂₀₀	W 77.99 - 59.79	W 81-50	13-8	110.92	121.46	▲ 10.54	89.48	78.00	▲ 11.48	▲ 22.02
Tue 2/6/2018	@ Fresno State₆₈	W 70.66 - 69.46	L 61-79	13-9	104.95	95.37	▼ 9.58	98.81	122.73	▼ 23.92	▼ 33.50
Sat 2/10/2018	@ Nevada₂₉	L 74.02 - 77.32	L 58-83	13-10	105.71	92.59	▼ 13.12	105.81	123.54	▼ 17.73	▼ 30.85
Wed 2/14/2018	vs Wyoming₁₁₁	W 81.04 - 68.28	W 87-77	14-10	104.74	115.30	▲ 10.56	92.54	105.01	▼ 12.47	▼ 1.91
Sat 2/17/2018	vs UNLV₈₄	W 81.83 - 72.49	W 94-56	15-10	106.51	117.09	▲ 10.58	98.69	75.60	▲ 23.09	▲ 33.67
Wed 2/21/2018	@ Air Force₂₀₀	W 74.92 - 62.90	W 67-56	16-10	110.92	105.35	▼ 5.57	89.48	83.88	▲ 5.60	▲ 0.03
Sat 2/24/2018	@ San Jose State₂₇₉	W 77.33 - 59.86	W 71-59	17-10	111.94	113.21	▲ 1.27	83.71	84.83	▼ 1.12	▲ 0.15
Tue 2/27/2018	vs Boise State₃₇	W 72.64 - 68.67	W 72-64	18-10	99.53	101.99	▲ 2.46	98.41	94.19	▲ 4.22	▲ 6.68
Sat 3/3/2018	vs Nevada₂₉	W 77.20 - 74.10	W 79-74	19-10	105.71	113.91	▲ 8.20	105.81	109.52	▼ 3.71	▲ 4.49
Thu 3/8/2018	vs Fresno State₆₈ *	W 72.19 - 67.97	W 64-52	20-10	104.95	96.97	▼ 7.98	98.81	77.27	▲ 21.54	▲ 13.56
Fri 3/9/2018	vs Nevada₂₉ *	L 75.61 - 75.71	W 90-73	21-10	105.71	143.48	▲ 37.77	105.81	75.00	▲ 30.81	▲ 68.58
Sat 3/10/2018	vs New Mexico₁₀₀ *	W 80.49 - 72.63	W 82-75	22-10	109.96	112.33	▲ 2.37	99.49	101.35	▼ 1.86	▲ 0.51
Thu 3/15/2018	vs Houston₁₉ *	L 70.12 - 73.13	L 65-67	22-11	98.76	90.28	▼ 8.48	102.86	93.06	▲ 9.80	▲ 1.32
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When facing teams that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities, San Diego State often performs worse than normal. San Diego State is more efficient than usual 18% of the time when facing teams that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 10.88. In their other contests, San Diego State performs better than the norm 62% of the time.
	San Diego State does worse vs. clubs that favor a faster tempo. When playing squads that have a pace vs. AO greater than 68.95, San Diego State performs above average 33% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 73% of the time.
	San Diego State performs better against squads that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities. When facing teams that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 80.39, San Diego State is more efficient than normal 59% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 20% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox