Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Louisiana21-12 (0.636) | Sun Belt
All-Play Percentage: 0.603 (141st)
Schedule Strength: 0.456 (211th)
Record Quality: 0.085 (123rd)
Avg. Season Rank: 120.36 (119th)
Pace: 74.10 (19th)
Momentum: -0.01 (170th)
Off. Momentum: -0.66 (239th)
Def. Momentum: 0.64 (82nd)
Consistency: -8.50 (121st)
Res. Consistency: -11.71 (201st)
Away From Home: 0.85 (64th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -2.06 (271st)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
106.36
74.21
31.35
69.82
82.94
37.69
45.44
26.54
9.10
34.29
22.09
7.83
35.44
34.31
20.76
60.50
11.89
18.36
9.32
31.99
26.64
41.37
1.91
RANK:
86th
15th
44th
192nd
100th
73rd
102nd
265th
266th
214th
221st
239th
225th
11th
21st
142nd
98th
15th
13th
283rd
240th
18th
22nd
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
105.38
73.99
28.38
--
78.31
37.81
48.29
26.82
10.12
37.74
21.41
8.22
38.38
30.09
19.47
64.73
9.75
13.32
8.76
34.25
27.33
38.42
1.96
RANK:
232nd
332nd
203rd
--
43rd
259th
328th
52nd
143rd
293rd
91st
134th
254th
247th
296th
302nd
90th
87th
324th
99th
112th
291st
288th
ANALYSIS: As an average to slightly above-average foe, Louisiana should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. Haslametrics has them ranked 141st overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 21-12. Of the 12 schools in the Sun Belt (average ranking 182.6), they're currently ranked as our #5 team in the conference.
While favoring a very up-tempo style of play (the 19th-fastest pace in D1), the primary strength for Louisiana this year is offense. The team is ranked 86th in efficiency on that end of the floor, and they'll rack up more than 106 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Louisiana does an outstanding job finishing any scoring chances they obtain from offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team successfully converts 9.3% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 13th nationally), and with a rating of 18.36, they're 15th in potential points scored off of the offensive glass as well. Louisiana will also routinely look to penetrate, pound the ball inside, and score from as short a distance as possible. The ball-club is 18th in the NCAA in ratio of near-proximity attempts to total field goal attempts. As far as converting those near-proximity shots goes, the team shoots 60.5% vs. AO, which falls somewhere in the middle of the pack of the rankings in that category.
The defense for Louisiana, on the other hand, isn't nearly as efficient as the offense is. The team is ranked 232nd in defensive efficiency, allowing about 105 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Louisiana is one of the very worst teams in the country in terms of overall defensive field goal percentage. The ball-club ranks #328 nationally in field goal percentage allowed, as AO will convert approximately 48.3% of their total attempts from the floor. Louisiana also gives up too many chances to easily score off of offensive rebounds. The team allows AO to convert 8.8% of all second-chance opportunities (324th nationally). If Louisiana does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their ability to limit the number of shot attempts by the opposition. The team has a defensive field goal attempt rate of 78.31 vs. AO, which ranks 43rd-best in college basketball.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When playing teams that have trouble defending the mid-range shot, Louisiana usually performs better than average. Louisiana is more efficient than normal 100% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 37.84%. In all other contests, Louisiana performs better than average 36% of the time.
Louisiana is typically better vs. teams that do not defend well on the perimeter. Against foes that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 36.78%, Louisiana performs above their norm 90% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 38% of the time.
When facing teams that prefer the outside shot, Louisiana often performs worse than normal. Louisiana is more efficient than usual 20% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.02. In their other contests, Louisiana performs better than the norm 71% of the time.
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