Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 UC Davis 23-13 (0.639) | Big West

All-Play Percentage: 0.409 (208^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.388 (291^st)	Record Quality: 0.034 (145^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 211.24 (208^th)
Pace: 70.94 (131^st)	Momentum: -2.52 (277^th)	Off. Momentum: -3.73 (337^th)	Def. Momentum: 1.21 (58^th)
Consistency: -7.74 (40^th)	Res. Consistency: -10.19 (97^th)	Away From Home: -1.53 (298^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -2.33 (288^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

94.74

29.41

67.14

78.25

42.53

24.94

33.84

24.58

36.98

28.73

54.82

9.17

14.76

7.10

31.88

31.41

36.71

1.95

RANK:

291^st

86^th

284^th

317^th

237^th

314^th

232^nd

141^st

152^nd

156^th

300^th

268^th

163^rd

125^th

288^th

104^th

96^th

57^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

99.42

25.67

81.36

43.83

29.43

33.99

21.32

38.82

30.60

56.79

12.80

16.08

7.80

36.18

26.21

37.62

1.99

RANK:

111^th

99^th

147^th

146^th

186^th

102^nd

86^th

273^rd

263^rd

82^nd

311^th

276^th

269^th

177^th

82^nd

272^nd

232^nd

ANALYSIS:
Regardless of what the win percentage says, UC Davis isn't a very good team this year. Haslametrics has them ranked 208th overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 23-13. They are also ranked by this site as the #2 team (out of nine) in the Big West (average ranking 256.1).

UC Davis will likely call on their defense to win a majority of their games. The team is ranked 111th in defensive efficiency and allows fewer than 100 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. UC Davis has been pretty good preventing teams from hitting shots in the paint. They are ranked 82nd in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 56.8% of their attempts from close-up.

Unfortunately, UC Davis is not even remotely close to being as good on offense as they are on defense. The team is ranked 291st in offensive efficiency, scoring about 95 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. UC Davis is one of the more inferior teams in the college game when it comes to maximizing opportunities to score on offense. The team is nationally ranked 317th in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of only 78.25 vs. AO. UC Davis also has some difficulty protecting the ball efficiently when in possession, which leads to some quick and easy baskets for the opposition. The team's rating for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals vs. AO is 12.80, which ranks 311th in D1.

UC Davis is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 40th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/11/2016	vs Tennessee St.₁₃₃ *	L 62.71 - 67.46	L 64-78	0-1	89.57	82.05	▼ 7.52	95.34	95.12	▲ 0.22	▼ 7.30
Sat 11/12/2016	@ Santa Clara₁₃₉	L 61.05 - 68.04	W 63-58	1-1	94.34	92.22	▼ 2.12	99.95	74.93	▲ 25.02	▲ 22.90
Sun 11/13/2016	vs N. Arizona₃₂₈ *	W 73.79 - 63.62	W 89-76	2-1	102.44	117.57	▲ 15.13	88.15	95.95	▼ 7.80	▲ 7.33
Thu 11/17/2016	vs Holy Names	---	W 89-75	3-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Mon 11/21/2016	@ Sacramento St.₂₉₅	W 69.22 - 66.35	W 81-72	4-1	103.47	113.48	▲ 10.01	94.79	92.07	▲ 2.72	▲ 12.73
Thu 11/24/2016	vs Weber State₁₇₃ *	L 68.90 - 71.35	L 58-86	4-2	99.10	86.21	▼ 12.89	102.13	125.42	▼ 23.29	▼ 36.18
Fri 11/25/2016	vs Drake₂₅₁ *	W 72.84 - 69.91	W 64-58	5-2	101.61	114.29	▲ 12.68	96.75	94.83	▲ 1.92	▲ 14.60
Sat 11/26/2016	vs Oakland₁₀₆ *	L 67.06 - 74.20	L 66-79	5-3	90.56	94.29	▲ 3.73	99.38	111.59	▼ 12.21	▼ 8.48
Sat 12/3/2016	@ Idaho₂₁₃	L 65.13 - 67.78	L 66-68	5-4	95.65	97.87	▲ 2.22	94.95	97.78	▼ 2.83	▼ 0.61
Sat 12/10/2016	@ California₆₈	L 56.98 - 70.70	L 61-86	5-5	85.39	75.74	▼ 9.65	100.53	102.13	▼ 1.60	▼ 11.25
Wed 12/14/2016	@ North Dakota St.₁₈₃	L 65.07 - 69.93	L 70-74	5-6	95.65	102.22	▲ 6.57	97.52	102.01	▼ 4.49	▲ 2.08
Sat 12/17/2016	vs William Jessup	---	W 87-64	6-6	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Thu 12/22/2016	@ Air Force₂₁₈	L 67.86 - 70.22	L 67-77	6-7	98.95	91.55	▼ 7.40	98.17	100.45	▼ 2.28	▼ 9.68
Wed 12/28/2016	@ Seattle₂₆₉	W 64.82 - 64.11	W 72-65	7-7	95.07	99.48	▲ 4.41	89.88	83.90	▲ 5.98	▲ 10.39
Sat 12/31/2016	vs Utah Valley₁₆₈	W 71.09 - 70.91	W 83-69	8-7	92.03	108.74	▲ 16.71	95.55	90.05	▲ 5.50	▲ 22.21
Wed 1/4/2017	vs UCSB₃₂₄	W 70.32 - 58.59	W 73-47	9-7	101.27	115.78	▲ 14.51	88.03	59.36	▲ 28.67	▲ 43.18
Sat 1/7/2017	vs Cal Poly₂₉₀	W 71.09 - 63.37	W 68-64	10-7	102.10	97.78	▼ 4.32	95.07	99.19	▼ 4.12	▼ 8.44
Thu 1/12/2017	@ UC Riverside₃₀₅	W 66.28 - 62.49	L 55-61	10-8	96.05	58.28	▼ 37.77	86.21	78.09	▲ 8.12	▼ 29.65
Sat 1/14/2017	@ CSU Northridge₂₈₀	W 76.63 - 74.92	W 71-68	11-8	104.33	98.16	▼ 6.17	97.47	88.45	▲ 9.02	▲ 2.85
Sat 1/21/2017	@ Hawaii₂₇₆	W 66.64 - 65.42	W 76-70	12-8	97.87	112.36	▲ 14.49	91.38	96.38	▼ 5.00	▲ 9.49
Sat 1/28/2017	vs UC Irvine₁₃₅	L 64.23 - 65.86	W 74-65	13-8	90.48	92.52	▲ 2.04	96.59	86.43	▲ 10.16	▲ 12.20
Thu 2/2/2017	@ Cal Poly₂₉₀	W 68.19 - 66.32	L 70-74	13-9	102.10	103.66	▲ 1.56	95.07	103.50	▼ 8.43	▼ 6.87
Sat 2/4/2017	@ UCSB₃₂₄	W 67.43 - 61.44	W 67-64	14-9	101.27	103.73	▲ 2.46	88.03	93.31	▼ 5.28	▼ 2.82
Wed 2/8/2017	vs CSU Fullerton₂₆₀	W 69.83 - 63.73	W 74-65	15-9	95.69	96.43	▲ 0.74	91.32	86.00	▲ 5.32	▲ 6.06
Sat 2/11/2017	vs UC Riverside₃₀₅	W 69.27 - 59.46	W 77-63	16-9	96.05	99.40	▲ 3.35	86.21	70.97	▲ 15.24	▲ 18.59
Thu 2/16/2017	@ Long Beach St.₂₂₇	L 70.49 - 72.17	L 69-78 (OT)	16-10	100.02	89.52	▼ 10.50	97.51	85.09	▲ 12.42	▲ 1.92
Sat 2/18/2017	@ CSU Fullerton₂₆₀	W 66.81 - 66.79	L 72-79	16-11	95.69	95.72	▲ 0.03	91.32	97.78	▼ 6.46	▼ 6.43
Thu 2/23/2017	vs CSU Northridge₂₈₀	W 79.81 - 71.59	W 96-85	17-11	104.33	124.45	▲ 20.12	97.47	110.22	▼ 12.75	▲ 7.37
Sat 2/25/2017	vs Long Beach St.₂₂₇	W 73.55 - 68.98	W 75-71 (OT)	18-11	100.02	96.29	▼ 3.73	97.51	102.22	▼ 4.71	▼ 8.44
Thu 3/2/2017	vs Hawaii₂₇₆	W 69.60 - 62.37	W 68-59	19-11	97.87	105.72	▲ 7.85	91.38	92.54	▼ 1.16	▲ 6.69
Sat 3/4/2017	@ UC Irvine₁₃₅	L 61.29 - 68.86	L 49-79	19-12	90.48	74.44	▼ 16.04	96.59	117.78	▼ 21.19	▼ 37.23
Thu 3/9/2017	vs Cal Poly₂₉₀ *	W 69.64 - 64.85	W 66-55	20-12	102.10	92.96	▼ 9.14	95.07	78.57	▲ 16.50	▲ 7.36
Fri 3/10/2017	vs CSU Fullerton₂₆₀ *	W 68.32 - 65.26	W 66-64 (OT)	21-12	95.69	88.71	▼ 6.98	91.32	87.30	▲ 4.02	▼ 2.96
Sat 3/11/2017	vs UC Irvine₁₃₅ *	L 62.76 - 67.36	W 50-47	22-12	90.48	75.76	▼ 14.72	96.59	71.21	▲ 25.38	▲ 10.66
Wed 3/15/2017	vs NC Central₁₈₄ *	L 66.04 - 67.77	W 67-63	23-12	94.28	91.78	▼ 2.50	96.57	87.50	▲ 9.07	▲ 6.57
Fri 3/17/2017	vs Kansas₆ *	L 61.30 - 85.97	L 62-100	23-13	85.24	77.36	▼ 7.88	118.55	137.04	▼ 18.49	▼ 26.37
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	UC Davis does better vs. clubs that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities. When playing squads that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 11.65, UC Davis performs above average 90% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 42% of the time.
	UC Davis performs worse against squads that find ways to get to the free throw line. When facing teams that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 27.62, UC Davis is more efficient than normal 31% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 71% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox