Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2017-18 Long Beach St. 15-18 (0.455) | Big West

All-Play Percentage: 0.500 (176^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.551 (118^th)	Record Quality: -0.042 (197^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 181.34 (184^th)
Pace: 73.67 (26^th)	Momentum: 0.52 (147^th)	Off. Momentum: -1.03 (263^rd)	Def. Momentum: 1.55 (67^th)
Consistency: -7.96 (50^th)	Res. Consistency: -11.83 (183^rd)	Away From Home: -0.36 (169^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -2.84 (311^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 2, 2018. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

102.41

28.63

73.54

78.58

46.18

24.02

36.55

25.66

37.41

28.90

61.98

12.67

16.82

8.51

30.57

32.65

36.78

1.94

RANK:

154^th

67^th

106^th

315^th

79^th

333^rd

107^th

88^th

158^th

156^th

95^th

66^th

51^st

327^th

63^rd

101^st

49^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

104.70

21.31

84.68

45.83

30.42

36.27

24.98

39.04

29.27

61.56

14.22

13.63

6.82

35.93

29.50

34.57

2.01

RANK:

210^th

28^th

284^th

232^nd

168^th

230^th

270^th

256^th

193^rd

219^th

344^th

92^nd

173^rd

112^th

251^st

153^rd

193^rd

ANALYSIS:
Long Beach St. has a squad that most likely falls somewhere in the bottom half of NCAA Division I teams this year. Haslametrics has them ranked 176th overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 15-18. They are also ranked by this site as the #5 team (out of nine) in the Big West (average ranking 208.1).

Long Beach St. will likely rely on their offense more than anything else to win games. The team is ranked 154th in offensive efficiency and scores more than 102 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Long Beach St. does a pretty solid job of scoring points off of offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team successfully converts 8.5% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 51st nationally). Long Beach St. will also shoot more mid-range jumpers than most teams. The club is ranked 63rd in ratio of mid-range attempts to total field goal attempts. As far as converting those mid-range shots goes, the team shoots a mediocre 37.4% vs. AO. If Long Beach St. does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's penchant for allowing too many easy buckets off of giveaways. The squad has a rating of 14.22 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of steals, which ranks eighth-worst in the college game.

Long Beach St. doesn't perform as well defensively as they do offensively. The team is ranked 210th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 105 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Long Beach St. will allow opponents more chances to shoot than the norm. The team is ranked 284th in the nation in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 84.68 vs. AO. If Long Beach St. does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their success preventing opponents from getting to the free throw line. The team has a defensive free throw attempt rate of 21.31 vs. AO, which ranks 28th-best in the country.

Long Beach St. is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 50th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/10/2017	@ San Francisco₁₄₀	L 69.48 - 75.36	W 83-71	1-0	98.01	101.05	▲ 3.04	101.43	80.66	▲ 20.77	▲ 23.81
Tue 11/14/2017	vs San Francisco State	---	W 95-70	2-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 11/18/2017	@ Oregon State₉₄	L 68.06 - 77.94	L 81-89	2-1	98.42	102.27	▲ 3.85	107.13	106.27	▲ 0.86	▲ 4.71
Mon 11/20/2017	@ West Virginia₁₄	L 67.18 - 88.85	L 62-91	2-2	91.98	84.36	▼ 7.62	115.41	112.22	▲ 3.19	▼ 4.43
Thu 11/23/2017	vs Missouri₃₂ *	L 66.50 - 80.16	L 58-95	2-3	93.60	64.29	▼ 29.31	111.94	115.79	▼ 3.85	▼ 33.16
Fri 11/24/2017	vs Oregon State₉₄ *	L 69.64 - 76.37	W 74-69	3-3	98.42	101.37	▲ 2.95	107.13	94.52	▲ 12.61	▲ 15.56
Sun 11/26/2017	vs Nebraska₅₇ *	L 69.47 - 80.58	L 80-85	3-4	95.34	108.11	▲ 12.77	109.98	113.33	▼ 3.35	▲ 9.42
Wed 11/29/2017	@ Arizona₂₇	L 68.95 - 86.81	L 56-91	3-5	97.98	79.06	▼ 18.92	117.25	124.05	▼ 6.80	▼ 25.72
Sat 12/2/2017	vs Fresno State₆₈	L 71.40 - 77.61	L 70-106	3-6	98.04	93.04	▼ 5.00	110.35	137.65	▼ 27.30	▼ 32.30
Sun 12/3/2017	vs Stanford₁₀₆	L 76.63 - 79.52	W 76-68	4-6	98.96	112.11	▲ 13.15	106.59	103.86	▲ 2.73	▲ 15.88
Wed 12/6/2017	@ Southern Utah₂₄₉	W 81.02 - 78.47	L 89-94	4-7	107.90	108.22	▲ 0.32	99.80	107.03	▼ 7.23	▼ 6.91
Sat 12/9/2017	@ Pepperdine₂₄₈	W 78.95 - 77.10	W 78-71	5-7	110.56	113.70	▲ 3.14	103.26	99.16	▲ 4.10	▲ 7.24
Sat 12/16/2017	vs E. Michigan₁₄₆	W 71.88 - 71.01	L 80-85	5-8	99.73	112.02	▲ 12.29	102.58	125.46	▼ 22.88	▼ 10.59
Thu 12/21/2017	@ Michigan State₆	L 63.36 - 87.25	L 60-102	5-9	89.37	88.81	▼ 0.56	116.65	143.88	▼ 27.23	▼ 27.79
Sat 12/23/2017	@ Colorado State₂₀₅	L 77.39 - 78.64	L 66-68	5-10	105.92	92.68	▼ 13.24	103.06	90.88	▲ 12.18	▼ 1.06
Sat 12/30/2017	vs Texas A&M-International	---	W 77-59	6-10	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Thu 1/4/2018	vs Hawaii₁₉₃	W 74.58 - 70.12	W 89-81	7-10	100.14	114.84	▲ 14.70	98.31	110.27	▼ 11.96	▲ 2.74
Sat 1/6/2018	@ UC Irvine₁₅₄	L 69.53 - 74.23	L 73-86	7-11	97.55	93.70	▼ 3.85	99.42	114.87	▼ 15.45	▼ 19.30
Wed 1/10/2018	vs CSU Northridge₃₂₄	W 81.00 - 67.10	W 80-70	8-11	111.28	107.32	▼ 3.96	96.70	98.16	▼ 1.46	▼ 5.42
Sat 1/13/2018	@ UC Riverside₂₈₃	W 74.18 - 69.69	W 75-68	9-11	102.99	105.35	▲ 2.36	92.63	71.17	▲ 21.46	▲ 23.82
Thu 1/18/2018	@ UC Davis₁₃₄	L 69.67 - 75.80	L 75-84	9-12	98.61	95.78	▼ 2.83	102.41	108.26	▼ 5.85	▼ 8.68
Sat 1/20/2018	vs CSU Fullerton₁₆₂	W 76.47 - 74.23	W 81-73	10-12	100.38	124.29	▲ 23.91	101.57	97.58	▲ 3.99	▲ 27.90
Thu 1/25/2018	@ Cal Poly₃₁₂	W 76.93 - 70.33	W 87-71	11-12	109.75	123.81	▲ 14.06	95.90	91.48	▲ 4.42	▲ 18.48
Sat 1/27/2018	@ CSU Northridge₃₂₄	W 77.80 - 70.24	W 70-66	12-12	111.28	98.16	▼ 13.12	96.70	90.69	▲ 6.01	▼ 7.11
Wed 1/31/2018	vs UC Irvine₁₅₄	W 72.79 - 71.04	L 68-75	12-13	97.55	94.87	▼ 2.68	99.42	107.90	▼ 8.48	▼ 11.16
Sat 2/3/2018	vs UC Davis₁₃₄	W 72.90 - 72.59	L 104-105 (2OT)	12-14	98.61	111.62	▲ 13.01	102.41	113.08	▼ 10.67	▲ 2.34
Sat 2/10/2018	vs Cal Poly₃₁₂	W 80.13 - 67.01	W 73-54	13-14	109.75	93.25	▼ 16.50	95.90	72.86	▲ 23.04	▲ 6.54
Thu 2/15/2018	vs UCSB₁₃₅	W 78.13 - 77.91	L 70-80	13-15	105.88	94.95	▼ 10.93	109.18	111.86	▼ 2.68	▼ 13.61
Fri 2/23/2018	@ Hawaii₁₉₃	L 71.33 - 73.29	L 63-74	13-16	100.14	91.98	▼ 8.16	98.31	103.53	▼ 5.22	▼ 13.38
Sat 2/24/2018	@ CSU Fullerton₁₆₂	L 73.14 - 77.59	L 71-81	13-17	100.38	97.79	▼ 2.59	101.57	112.66	▼ 11.09	▼ 13.68
Thu 3/1/2018	@ UCSB₁₃₅	L 74.89 - 81.09	W 70-69	14-17	105.88	109.96	▲ 4.08	109.18	100.72	▲ 8.46	▲ 12.54
Sat 3/3/2018	vs UC Riverside₂₈₃	W 77.47 - 66.48	W 77-59	15-17	102.99	106.69	▲ 3.70	92.63	79.54	▲ 13.09	▲ 16.79
Thu 3/8/2018	vs CSU Fullerton₁₆₂ *	L 74.81 - 75.91	L 74-76	15-18	100.38	94.87	▼ 5.51	101.57	98.70	▲ 2.87	▼ 2.64
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Long Beach St. performs better against squads that aren't terribly skilled defensively. When facing teams that have a defensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 98.68, Long Beach St. is more efficient than normal 59% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 22% of the time.
	When playing teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot, Long Beach St. usually performs worse than average. Long Beach St. is more efficient than normal 22% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 38.19%. In all other contests, Long Beach St. performs better than average 59% of the time.
	Long Beach St. is typically better vs. teams that have trouble defending the mid-range shot. Against foes that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 35.08%, Long Beach St. performs above their norm 59% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 22% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox