Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 CSU Bakersfield 25-10 (0.714) | WAC

All-Play Percentage: 0.717 (99^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.478 (187^th)	Record Quality: 0.190 (79^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 112.83 (111^th)
Pace: 69.75 (212^th)	Momentum: 1.61 (94^th)	Off. Momentum: 3.35 (33^rd)	Def. Momentum: -1.73 (251^st)
Consistency: -9.73 (272^nd)	Res. Consistency: -12.01 (227^th)	Away From Home: 0.46 (100^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: 0.92 (38^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

97.34

29.21

64.09

80.01

43.26

25.59

36.70

24.87

33.36

29.55

57.28

14.32

14.28

6.09

31.98

31.08

36.93

1.95

RANK:

239^th

96^th

330^th

258^th

201^st

301^st

102^nd

131^st

302^nd

112^th

240^th

21^st

193^rd

225^th

284^th

112^th

87^th

54^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

91.41

32.11

77.28

38.50

29.57

32.62

19.65

31.60

28.07

49.52

10.84

16.30

6.07

38.26

25.42

36.32

2.02

RANK:

19^th

323^rd

24^th

12^th

191^st

49^th

31^st

16^th

160^th

2^nd

181^st

286^th

112^th

267^th

55^th

232^nd

167^th

ANALYSIS:
They may not cause sleepless nights for opponents, but CSU Bakersfield, as a slightly above-average team, cannot be totally ignored. Ranked 99th overall (out of 351) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 25-10. They are also ranked by this site as the #2 team (out of eight) in the WAC (average ranking 208.0).

CSU Bakersfield will suffocate most opponents with its stifling defense. Allowing roughly 91 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, this squad is rated #19 in defensive efficiency. CSU Bakersfield will put a good dent in the shooting percentages of several opponents, considering the team ranks in the top-50 in each of the four major defensive shooting categories. While their best work on defense is done near the bucket (allowing 49.5% shooting from near-proximity locations vs. AO, second-best in the nation), the team also pesters AO into converting just 32.6% of their three-pointers (49th), 31.6% of their mid-range field goals (16th), and 38.5% of their total shots from the field (12th). CSU Bakersfield also thrives on scoring fast and easy points off of steals. They're ranked 21st in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 14.32. (Predictably, this aggressive style of play tends to result in too many fouls -- the team has a defensive free throw attempt rate of 32.11, ranked #323 in the country -- so they need to be wary of opponents that can convert from the foul line.) CSU Bakersfield lastly has extremely pesky defenders that ceaselessly attempt to deny opponents ample opportunity to shoot. The club is ranked 24th in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 77.28 vs. AO.

Unfortunately, CSU Bakersfield is not even remotely close to being as good on offense as they are on defense. The team is ranked 239th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 97 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. CSU Bakersfield has had serious struggles making their free throws this year. Converting just 64.1% of their attempts, the squad is ranked #330 overall in free throw percentage. CSU Bakersfield also needs improvement when it comes to draining the mid-range shot. The team is ranked 302nd in field goal percentage from that distance, making only 33.4% of their mid-range attempts vs. AO.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Sat 11/12/2016	vs SD Christian	---	W 96-54	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Tue 11/15/2016	@ Arizona₂₇	L 58.46 - 72.13	L 66-78	1-1	89.12	99.27	▲ 10.15	104.60	111.02	▼ 6.42	▲ 3.73
Sat 11/19/2016	vs UCSB₃₂₄	W 71.04 - 52.08	W 77-70	2-1	103.88	104.73	▲ 0.85	80.07	96.66	▼ 16.59	▼ 15.74
Tue 11/22/2016	vs Fresno State₁₁₀	W 66.09 - 62.42	W 71-63	3-1	92.65	93.50	▲ 0.85	91.81	81.93	▲ 9.88	▲ 10.73
Fri 11/25/2016	@ Wright State₁₆₅	W 68.08 - 66.98	L 64-68	3-2	98.04	80.26	▼ 17.78	92.51	81.74	▲ 10.77	▼ 7.01
Sat 11/26/2016	vs North Florida₂₆₈ *	W 74.17 - 62.65	W 77-54	4-2	104.43	116.67	▲ 12.24	88.33	78.33	▲ 10.00	▲ 22.24
Sun 11/27/2016	vs North Dakota₁₇₇ *	W 70.96 - 65.47	L 55-57	4-3	97.53	82.09	▼ 15.44	90.25	85.07	▲ 5.18	▼ 10.26
Wed 11/30/2016	vs Pacific Union	---	W 79-46	5-3	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Fri 12/2/2016	@ SMU₁₅	L 56.17 - 71.55	L 43-49	5-4	88.27	76.35	▼ 11.92	106.93	79.45	▲ 27.48	▲ 15.56
Mon 12/5/2016	@ N. Arizona₃₂₈	W 73.18 - 58.45	W 81-47	6-4	105.08	129.14	▲ 24.06	80.44	63.17	▲ 17.27	▲ 41.33
Sat 12/10/2016	vs Portland State₂₁₄	W 76.69 - 65.03	W 81-79	7-4	103.30	101.63	▼ 1.67	91.44	100.97	▼ 9.53	▼ 11.20
Thu 12/15/2016	vs Bethesda	---	W 105-78	8-4	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Thu 12/22/2016	@ BYU₈₈	L 70.20 - 74.67	L 71-81	8-5	94.46	93.01	▼ 1.45	95.59	100.32	▼ 4.73	▼ 6.18
Tue 12/27/2016	@ UCSB₃₂₄	W 68.24 - 54.86	L 60-62	8-6	103.88	91.10	▼ 12.78	80.07	88.11	▼ 8.04	▼ 20.82
Tue 1/3/2017	@ Dartmouth₃₀₈	W 71.60 - 59.85	W 64-60	9-6	104.59	89.89	▼ 14.70	84.05	79.98	▲ 4.07	▼ 10.63
Sat 1/7/2017	vs Seattle₂₆₉	W 68.59 - 54.65	W 78-71	10-6	97.68	114.20	▲ 16.52	82.18	105.11	▼ 22.93	▼ 6.41
Thu 1/12/2017	@ UT Rio Grande₃₀₀	W 78.59 - 66.91	W 88-81	11-6	105.78	122.76	▲ 16.98	86.27	107.24	▼ 20.97	▼ 3.99
Sat 1/14/2017	@ New Mexico St.₉₃	L 65.18 - 68.94	L 58-63	11-7	96.04	90.93	▼ 5.11	97.04	97.78	▼ 0.74	▼ 5.85
Sat 1/21/2017	vs Utah Valley₁₆₈	W 72.11 - 63.99	W 68-65	12-7	94.66	96.34	▲ 1.68	88.01	96.42	▼ 8.41	▼ 6.73
Thu 1/26/2017	@ Chicago State₃₃₄	W 72.03 - 56.29	W 75-59	13-7	105.92	103.59	▼ 2.33	79.06	80.88	▼ 1.82	▼ 4.15
Sat 1/28/2017	@ UMKC₂₃₇	W 71.20 - 64.90	W 74-63	14-7	100.85	112.98	▲ 12.13	87.92	90.21	▼ 2.29	▲ 9.84
Sat 2/4/2017	@ Grand Canyon₁₆₄	W 65.68 - 63.94	W 65-62	15-7	94.48	91.26	▼ 3.22	88.07	81.57	▲ 6.50	▲ 3.28
Thu 2/9/2017	vs New Mexico St.₉₃	W 68.06 - 65.92	W 72-53	16-7	96.04	89.33	▼ 6.71	97.04	73.23	▲ 23.81	▲ 17.10
Sat 2/11/2017	vs UT Rio Grande₃₀₀	W 81.74 - 63.59	W 75-53	17-7	105.78	97.78	▼ 8.00	86.27	65.85	▲ 20.42	▲ 12.42
Thu 2/16/2017	@ Utah Valley₁₆₈	W 69.02 - 67.23	W 80-71	18-7	94.66	106.27	▲ 11.61	88.01	80.22	▲ 7.79	▲ 19.40
Sat 2/18/2017	@ Seattle₂₆₉	W 65.73 - 57.57	W 51-48	19-7	97.68	73.05	▼ 24.63	82.18	65.39	▲ 16.79	▼ 7.84
Thu 2/23/2017	vs UMKC₂₃₇	W 74.20 - 61.79	W 71-62	20-7	100.85	93.73	▼ 7.12	87.92	88.33	▼ 0.41	▼ 7.53
Sat 2/25/2017	vs Chicago State₃₃₄	W 74.93 - 53.28	W 69-49	21-7	105.92	99.60	▼ 6.32	79.06	54.00	▲ 25.06	▲ 18.74
Sat 3/4/2017	vs Grand Canyon₁₆₄	W 68.63 - 60.97	L 52-58	21-8	94.48	69.02	▼ 25.46	88.07	82.77	▲ 5.30	▼ 20.16
Fri 3/10/2017	vs Utah Valley₁₆₈ *	W 70.56 - 65.61	W 81-80 (4OT)	22-8	94.66	73.24	▼ 21.42	88.01	74.29	▲ 13.72	▼ 7.70
Sat 3/11/2017	vs New Mexico St.₉₃ *	L 66.62 - 67.43	L 60-70	22-9	96.04	88.24	▼ 7.80	97.04	104.48	▼ 7.44	▼ 15.24
Tue 3/14/2017	@ California₆₈	L 57.96 - 63.94	W 73-66	23-9	88.01	108.01	▲ 20.00	92.63	94.84	▼ 2.21	▲ 17.79
Mon 3/20/2017	@ Colorado State₉₄	L 63.66 - 67.23	W 81-63	24-9	95.07	121.89	▲ 26.82	96.30	77.45	▲ 18.85	▲ 45.67
Wed 3/22/2017	@ UT Arlington₇₇	L 66.11 - 71.07	W 80-76	25-9	94.72	113.33	▲ 18.61	97.61	103.34	▼ 5.73	▲ 12.88
Tue 3/28/2017	vs Georgia Tech₇₅ *	L 60.04 - 62.07	L 61-76	25-10	86.67	85.94	▼ 0.73	89.53	114.06	▼ 24.53	▼ 25.26
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When facing teams that effectively clean the offensive glass, CSU Bakersfield often performs better than normal. CSU Bakersfield is more efficient than usual 61% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 13.76. In their other contests, CSU Bakersfield performs better than the norm 21% of the time.
	CSU Bakersfield does better vs. clubs that tend to get off more shots. When playing squads that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 80.97, CSU Bakersfield performs above average 63% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 25% of the time.
	CSU Bakersfield performs worse against squads that fail to defend efficiently inside the paint. When facing teams that have a defensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 60.10%, CSU Bakersfield is more efficient than normal 30% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 67% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox