Automated Team Capsule for 2017-18 Indiana State13-18 (0.419) | Missouri Valley
All-Play Percentage: 0.611 (137th)
Schedule Strength: 0.587 (96th)
Record Quality: -0.037 (195th)
Avg. Season Rank: 147.65 (149th)
Pace: 71.62 (88th)
Momentum: -1.66 (245th)
Off. Momentum: -1.51 (291st)
Def. Momentum: -0.15 (149th)
Consistency: -7.78 (35th)
Res. Consistency: -11.34 (143rd)
Away From Home: 0.49 (82nd)
Paper Tiger Factor: 0.16 (83rd)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 2, 2018. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
102.06
71.62
26.69
71.10
80.16
35.47
44.25
31.64
12.15
38.40
21.50
7.64
35.53
27.02
15.68
58.05
12.25
14.85
6.74
39.47
26.83
33.70
2.06
RANK:
161st
85th
139th
198th
265th
201st
166th
139th
79th
45th
212th
230th
241st
240th
247th
227th
86th
162nd
164th
115th
195th
216th
233rd
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
100.71
71.62
30.18
--
77.10
34.22
44.38
28.92
10.12
35.00
22.65
8.35
36.87
25.53
15.74
61.67
10.89
12.38
5.88
37.51
29.38
33.11
2.04
RANK:
133rd
265th
309th
--
19th
69th
156th
96th
103rd
148th
185th
169th
162nd
67th
104th
223rd
180th
31st
79th
182nd
246th
115th
123rd
ANALYSIS: Per this website's calculations, Indiana State is somewhere between an average to slightly above-average D1 ball-club. Their record this season is 13-18, and the club is ranked 137th overall (out of 351) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #5 team (out of 10) in the MVC (average ranking 135.8).
Based on their performances this year, Indiana State will likely find more success on defense than they will on offense. Allowing about 101 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #133 slot in the ratings for defensive efficiency. Indiana State has extremely pesky defenders that ceaselessly attempt to deny opponents ample opportunity to shoot. The club is ranked 19th in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 77.10 vs. AO. Indiana State is also a solid rebounding team that will deny the opposition chances to score off of offensive rebounds. They have a rating of 12.38 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked 31st in the country). If Indiana State does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's tendency to send opponents to the line too much by fouling. The squad has a rating of 30.18 in defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO, which ranks 43rd-worst in the country.
Indiana State plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 161st nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 102 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Indiana State is one of the more accurate teams in the college game when it comes to shooting the three. They're ranked 45th nationally in three-point field goal percentage and make about 38.4% of their attempts from there vs. AO.
Indiana State is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 35th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When facing teams that favor a faster tempo, Indiana State often performs worse than normal. Indiana State is more efficient than usual 28% of the time when facing teams that have a pace vs. AO greater than 68.59. In their other contests, Indiana State performs better than the norm 82% of the time.
Indiana State does worse vs. clubs that have trouble defending the mid-range shot. When playing squads that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 37.39%, Indiana State performs above average 20% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 63% of the time.
Indiana State performs worse against squads that allow opponents to shoot well from the field. When facing teams that have a defensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 43.37%, Indiana State is more efficient than normal 20% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 63% of the time.
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