Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 Incarnate Word17-12 (0.586) | Southland
All-Play Percentage: 0.151 (298th)
Schedule Strength: 0.357 (313th)
Record Quality: -0.055 (195th)
Avg. Season Rank: 278.16 (281st)
Pace: 69.58 (176th)
Momentum: -2.28 (274th)
Off. Momentum: 1.64 (105th)
Def. Momentum: -3.92 (327th)
Consistency: -10.01 (303rd)
Res. Consistency: -14.59 (327th)
Away From Home: -0.39 (213th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -6.17 (350th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
95.25
69.38
25.21
76.56
79.97
32.39
40.50
30.87
11.17
36.19
23.10
7.67
33.20
26.00
13.55
52.11
9.09
10.10
3.33
38.61
28.88
32.51
2.06
RANK:
282nd
190th
295th
11th
267th
318th
298th
102nd
90th
99th
213th
244th
288th
294th
333rd
327th
276th
339th
349th
82nd
198th
268th
283rd
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
108.61
69.77
28.01
--
81.53
39.23
48.12
28.65
10.94
38.19
25.28
10.53
41.67
27.60
17.75
64.32
10.72
14.85
7.93
35.14
31.00
33.86
2.01
RANK:
296th
185th
144th
--
143rd
316th
331st
166th
264th
325th
236th
325th
340th
128th
205th
309th
166th
166th
263rd
177th
246th
131st
144th
ANALYSIS: Despite having a win percentage north of .500, Incarnate Word is definitely a below-average ball-club in college hoops this year. Their record this season is 17-12, and the club is ranked 298th overall (out of 351) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #5 team (out of 13) in the Southland (average ranking 283.7).
Incarnate Word will certainly not be one of the stingier defenses opponents will encounter. Allowing more than 108 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked down at #296 in defensive efficiency. Incarnate Word can be counted on to make some of the inferior shooting teams look pretty capable. The team ranks in the bottom-50 in each of the four major defensive field goal shooting categories. They allow AO to make 38.2% of their three-pointers (27th-worst in the nation), 41.7% of their mid-range jumpers (12th-worst), 64.3% of their near-proximity chances (43rd-worst), and 48.1% of their total shots from the field (21st-worst).
Incarnate Word doesn't rate much better on offense than they do on defense. Scoring roughly 95 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #282 in the nation in offensive efficiency. Incarnate Word does a terrible job to take advantage of scoring chances off of offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team converts only 3.3% of all second-chance opportunities (third from the bottom nationally), and with a rating of 10.10, they're 339th in potential points scored off of the offensive boards as well. Incarnate Word will also have a really tough time winning games when taking into consideration their shooting percentage near the basket. The team is ranked 327th in near-proximity field goal percentage, making only 52.1% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. If Incarnate Word does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's outstanding shooting at the charity stripe. The squad makes 76.6% of their free throw attempts, which ranks #11 in Division I.
Incarnate Word has been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 303rd in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When facing teams that tend to get off more shots, Incarnate Word often performs worse than normal. Incarnate Word is more efficient than usual 13% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 81.84. In their other contests, Incarnate Word performs better than the norm 88% of the time.
Incarnate Word does worse vs. clubs that prefer the outside shot. When playing squads that have an offensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.02, Incarnate Word performs above average 25% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 82% of the time.
Incarnate Word performs worse against squads that are typically efficient on offense. When facing teams that have an offensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 96.68, Incarnate Word is more efficient than normal 33% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 81% of the time.
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