Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2023-24 St. Thomas 20-13 (0.606) | Summit League

All-Play Percentage: 0.643 (130^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.305 (313^th)	Record Quality: -0.053 (209^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 156.40 (155^th)
Pace: 63.73 (356^th)	Momentum: 4.44 (31^st)	Off. Momentum: 1.35 (110^th)	Def. Momentum: 3.10 (26^th)
Consistency: -11.45 (346^th)	Res. Consistency: -18.55 (361^st)	Away From Home: -1.01 (275^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: 0.46 (57^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

106.94

23.76

72.84

85.51

44.51

39.20

34.47

20.83

48.14

25.48

56.98

10.51

9.72

3.98

45.85

24.36

29.79

2.16

RANK:

137^th

284^th

148^th

175^th

148^th

16^th

177^th

239^th

1^st

344^th

196^th

227^th

342^nd

318^th

12^th

243^rd

343^rd

357^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

103.25

23.25

83.64

45.38

30.11

33.89

26.62

41.93

26.90

61.66

10.87

10.78

4.85

36.00

31.83

32.17

2.04

RANK:

133^rd

58^th

86^th

244^th

109^th

163^rd

313^th

309^th

36^th

314^th

136^th

18^th

87^th

139^th

331^st

45^th

107^th

ANALYSIS:
St. Thomas is a fairly decent basketball team that, while likely better than average, isn't quite good enough to crack any top-25 rankings this year. They have a record of 20-13 and are ranked 130th overall (out of 362) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. Of the nine schools in the Summit League (average ranking 228.3), they're currently ranked as the best team in the conference.

Based on their performances this year, St. Thomas will likely find more success on defense than they will on offense. Allowing about 103 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO and favoring a style of play that will try to grind things to a crawl (the seventh-slowest pace in D1), they currently occupy the #133 slot in the ratings for defensive efficiency. St. Thomas does a super job to deny opponents offensive rebounds and second chances. They have a rating of 10.78 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked 18th in the country). St. Thomas also makes a point to avoid fouls and prevent opponents from getting to the free throw line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 23.25 vs. AO, they are currently rated 58th in the country in that category. If St. Thomas does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's difficulties stopping opponents from converting from the inside. AO will convert 61.7% of their near-proximity field goal attempts, and the team ranks 49th-worst in that category as a result.

St. Thomas plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 137th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 107 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. St. Thomas is superb at converting jumpers in between the three-point stripe and the low post. The squad is ranked first nationally in mid-range field goal percentage, making about 48.1% of their attempts from those locations vs. AO. St. Thomas also lives and dies by the three-ball and will launch from long-distance early and often. The team ranks 12th in ratio of three-point attempts to total field goal attempts. When it comes to actually making their three-point attempts, the squad shoots a so-so 34.5% from beyond the arc vs. AO. If St. Thomas does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's difficulties obtaining second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad only has a rating of 9.72 vs. AO in potential points off of second chances, which ranks 21st-worst in college hoops.

St. Thomas has been playing better basketball in their most recent outings, as evidenced by the team's #31 ranking in positive momentum. St. Thomas has also been one of the most erratic teams in college basketball this year (currently ranked 346th overall in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their future games far more difficult to predict.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Mon 11/6/2023	@ California₁₂₃	L 66.10 - 69.85	L 66-71	0-1	104.78	110.73	▲ 5.95	105.35	111.98	▼ 6.63	▼ 0.68
Fri 11/10/2023	vs Idaho State₂₃₉	W 67.98 - 59.03	W 54-53	1-1	110.74	85.99	▼ 24.75	100.82	89.07	▲ 11.75	▼ 13.00
Sun 11/12/2023	vs North Central	---	W 100-54	2-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Fri 11/17/2023	vs Cal Poly₃₂₇ *	W 69.96 - 57.00	L 60-61	2-2	111.64	105.26	▼ 6.38	90.96	108.44	▼ 17.48	▼ 23.86
Sat 11/18/2023	@ Cal Baptist₂₁₁	W 63.36 - 61.63	L 62-66	2-3	106.84	93.92	▼ 12.92	99.02	105.94	▼ 6.92	▼ 19.84
Sun 11/19/2023	vs Portland State₂₅₈ *	W 70.86 - 63.15	W 76-70	3-3	107.81	113.43	▲ 5.62	95.88	106.06	▼ 10.18	▼ 4.56
Sat 11/25/2023	@ Green Bay₂₃₅	W 64.94 - 61.98	L 51-64	3-4	109.99	79.20	▼ 30.79	100.33	94.19	▲ 6.14	▼ 24.65
Fri 12/1/2023	@ W. Michigan₃₁₈	W 71.30 - 63.02	W 66-51	4-4	113.40	103.78	▼ 9.62	95.64	70.49	▲ 25.15	▲ 15.53
Wed 12/6/2023	vs Milwaukee₂₁₇	W 75.68 - 66.61	W 75-71	5-4	112.96	117.95	▲ 4.99	104.14	110.47	▼ 6.33	▼ 1.34
Sun 12/10/2023	@ Chicago State₂₉₆	W 67.20 - 60.62	W 66-50	6-4	111.07	109.32	▼ 1.75	96.04	81.67	▲ 14.37	▲ 12.62
Thu 12/14/2023	@ Marquette₁₂	L 60.15 - 76.88	L 79-84	6-5	95.76	116.62	▲ 20.86	116.12	117.46	▼ 1.34	▲ 19.52
Sun 12/17/2023	vs Crown	---	W 85-66	7-5	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Thu 12/21/2023	vs Uw-Riv Fls	---	W 104-51	8-5	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Fri 12/29/2023	@ North Dakota₂₂₃	W 68.18 - 65.47	W 70-45	9-5	109.86	120.31	▲ 10.45	100.71	47.46	▲ 53.25	▲ 63.70
Sun 12/31/2023	vs UMKC₂₀₁	W 69.01 - 60.87	W 77-56	10-5	107.46	129.52	▲ 22.06	99.32	84.02	▲ 15.30	▲ 37.36
Wed 1/3/2024	@ Idaho₃₀₆	W 68.28 - 61.28	W 75-67	11-5	113.05	122.71	▲ 9.66	96.33	94.07	▲ 2.26	▲ 11.92
Sat 1/6/2024	vs Sacramento St.₃₀₄	W 69.66 - 56.83	W 63-50	12-5	111.82	104.24	▼ 7.58	95.84	85.29	▲ 10.55	▲ 2.97
Thu 1/11/2024	vs South Dakota St.₁₄₁	W 70.27 - 66.08	L 80-81	12-6	107.59	113.41	▲ 5.82	105.40	121.65	▼ 16.25	▼ 10.43
Sat 1/13/2024	@ Oral Roberts₂₆₉	W 69.96 - 64.77	W 87-76	13-6	112.14	126.78	▲ 14.64	99.03	100.15	▼ 1.12	▲ 13.52
Thu 1/18/2024	@ South Dakota₃₂₀	W 74.20 - 65.57	L 73-74 (OT)	13-7	117.16	112.21	▼ 4.95	98.94	107.14	▼ 8.20	▼ 13.15
Thu 1/25/2024	vs North Dakota St.₂₇₂	W 72.98 - 61.50	W 79-66	14-7	114.50	119.69	▲ 5.19	100.99	102.54	▼ 1.55	▲ 3.64
Sat 1/27/2024	vs North Dakota₂₂₃	W 71.34 - 62.35	L 64-74	14-8	109.86	91.31	▼ 18.55	100.71	116.38	▼ 15.67	▼ 34.22
Thu 2/1/2024	@ Omaha₂₄₆	W 68.86 - 65.31	L 65-69	14-9	110.81	104.12	▼ 6.69	100.16	106.70	▼ 6.54	▼ 13.23
Sat 2/3/2024	@ UMKC₂₀₁	W 65.89 - 64.00	W 71-56	15-9	107.46	122.88	▲ 15.42	99.32	88.84	▲ 10.48	▲ 25.90
Thu 2/8/2024	vs Oral Roberts₂₆₉	W 73.14 - 61.59	W 85-63	16-9	112.14	139.28	▲ 27.14	99.03	95.39	▲ 3.64	▲ 30.78
Sat 2/10/2024	@ Denver₂₅₃	W 74.57 - 70.35	L 77-94	16-10	115.94	99.09	▼ 16.85	104.09	138.84	▼ 34.75	▼ 51.60
Sat 2/17/2024	vs South Dakota₃₂₀	W 77.42 - 62.34	W 83-80	17-10	117.16	123.22	▲ 6.06	98.94	123.75	▼ 24.81	▼ 18.75
Thu 2/22/2024	@ North Dakota St.₂₇₂	W 69.87 - 64.60	L 50-64	17-11	114.50	84.31	▼ 30.19	100.99	106.24	▼ 5.25	▼ 35.44
Sat 2/24/2024	@ South Dakota St.₁₄₁	L 67.10 - 69.27	L 72-77	17-12	107.59	111.63	▲ 4.04	105.40	114.13	▼ 8.73	▼ 4.69
Thu 2/29/2024	vs Omaha₂₄₆	W 72.03 - 62.13	W 88-61	18-12	110.81	135.46	▲ 24.65	100.16	78.16	▲ 22.00	▲ 46.65
Sat 3/2/2024	vs Denver₂₅₃	W 77.84 - 67.11	W 83-58	19-12	115.94	123.29	▲ 7.35	104.09	78.90	▲ 25.19	▲ 32.54
Sun 3/10/2024	vs North Dakota St.₂₇₂ *	W 71.42 - 63.05	W 68-58	20-12	114.50	137.50	▲ 23.00	100.99	87.23	▲ 13.76	▲ 36.76
Mon 3/11/2024	vs South Dakota St.₁₄₁ *	W 68.69 - 67.68	L 49-59	20-13	107.59	84.48	▼ 23.11	105.40	98.33	▲ 7.07	▼ 16.04
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	St. Thomas is typically better vs. teams that prefer the outside shot. Against foes that have an offensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.06, St. Thomas performs above their norm 73% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 32% of the time.
	When facing teams that fail to defend efficiently inside the paint, St. Thomas often performs worse than normal. St. Thomas is more efficient than usual 20% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 59.98%. In their other contests, St. Thomas performs better than the norm 60% of the time.
	St. Thomas does better vs. clubs that have trouble defending the mid-range shot. When playing squads that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 37.95%, St. Thomas performs above average 60% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 20% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox