Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2022-23 Fresno State 11-20 (0.355) | Mountain West

All-Play Percentage: 0.641 (131^st)	Schedule Strength: 0.636 (70^th)	Record Quality: -0.032 (191^st)	Avg. Season Rank: 131.90 (128^th)
Pace: 65.25 (326^th)	Momentum: 2.73 (56^th)	Off. Momentum: 4.26 (15^th)	Def. Momentum: -1.53 (226^th)
Consistency: -9.94 (270^th)	Res. Consistency: -9.88 (50^th)	Away From Home: -0.88 (209^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.34 (132^nd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2023. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

102.27

21.24

76.74

85.42

44.03

33.55

32.05

21.46

40.00

30.40

60.10

11.60

10.52

3.35

39.28

25.13

35.59

2.04

RANK:

181^st

338^th

28^th

145^th

167^th

92^nd

286^th

264^th

83^rd

132^nd

131^st

129^th

334^th

350^th

106^th

275^th

150^th

219^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

99.27

24.80

83.01

42.07

29.70

35.81

26.44

37.12

26.87

53.87

9.37

13.43

4.58

35.78

31.85

32.37

2.03

RANK:

100^th

168^th

107^th

82^nd

125^th

281^st

291^st

151^st

71^st

32^nd

64^th

138^th

86^th

142^nd

315^th

76^th

140^th

ANALYSIS:
As an average to slightly above-average foe, Fresno State should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. Carrying a record of 11-20, they are currently rated #131 overall (out of 363) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the 11 schools in the MWC (average ranking 85.3), they're currently ranked as our #9 team in the conference.

The primary strength for Fresno State is defense. The team is ranked 100th in efficiency, allowing fewer than 100 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Fresno State has done a really good job this year to prevent opponents from making shots from the inside. They are ranked 32nd in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 53.9% of their attempts from close-up.

Fresno State is also a fairly decent team on the offensive end of the court. The team ranks 181st nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 102 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Fresno State does a really good job converting from the free throw line. Making 76.7% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked 28th nationally in free throw percentage. Though they typically convert their shots from the line, the downside is that they hardly ever manage to get there. The squad has a free throw attempt rate of 21.24 vs. AO (26th-worst in the nation). Fresno State is also fairly competent protecting the ball on offense, which minimizes opportunities for the opponent to score quickly off of steals. The team's rating vs. AO for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals is 9.37, which ranks #64 in the country. If Fresno State does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's difficulties obtaining and converting second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad has a second-chance conversion percentage of just 3.4% vs. AO, which ranks 14th-worst in the nation.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Mon 11/7/2022	vs Fresno Pacific	---	W 69-56	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Fri 11/11/2022	vs UCSB₁₁₁ *	L 63.89 - 65.42	L 54-61	1-1	101.67	85.71	▼ 15.96	103.49	96.83	▲ 6.66	▼ 9.30
Wed 11/16/2022	vs San Francisco₉₂	L 66.93 - 67.39	L 60-67	1-2	99.23	83.71	▼ 15.52	103.90	98.75	▲ 5.15	▼ 10.37
Sat 11/19/2022	@ North Texas₅₂	L 53.43 - 61.86	L 52-61	1-3	94.69	91.27	▼ 3.42	103.78	101.39	▲ 2.39	▼ 1.03
Wed 11/23/2022	vs Washington₁₀₄ *	L 63.82 - 65.89	L 57-62	1-4	95.80	80.88	▼ 14.92	98.26	88.57	▲ 9.69	▼ 5.23
Thu 11/24/2022	vs Vanderbilt₈₀ *	L 64.59 - 68.99	L 59-67	1-5	100.67	89.39	▼ 11.28	106.81	99.63	▲ 7.18	▼ 4.10
Sat 12/3/2022	@ UC Irvine₈₉	L 63.05 - 69.22	W 80-66	2-5	96.80	125.81	▲ 29.01	101.40	95.99	▲ 5.41	▲ 34.42
Wed 12/7/2022	vs CSU Northridge₃₁₉	W 69.22 - 55.39	W 65-56	3-5	107.19	98.00	▼ 9.19	88.84	87.83	▲ 1.01	▼ 8.18
Sat 12/10/2022	@ Pacific₂₀₄	W 71.18 - 69.28	L 72-76	3-6	106.81	109.47	▲ 2.66	99.87	113.15	▼ 13.28	▼ 10.62
Sat 12/17/2022	vs Sacramento St.₂₃₀	W 66.05 - 57.98	L 53-59	3-7	105.49	83.14	▼ 22.35	96.71	95.65	▲ 1.06	▼ 21.29
Tue 12/20/2022	@ CSU Bakersfield₂₉₄	W 62.38 - 55.81	W 56-48	4-7	102.39	102.00	▼ 0.39	87.69	85.27	▲ 2.42	▲ 2.03
Wed 12/28/2022	vs Wyoming₁₅₅	W 66.94 - 62.44	W 58-53	5-7	102.74	94.66	▼ 8.08	99.71	88.89	▲ 10.82	▲ 2.74
Sat 12/31/2022	@ Utah State₃₀	L 62.43 - 74.50	L 54-67	5-8	96.78	87.72	▼ 9.06	109.35	99.16	▲ 10.19	▲ 1.13
Tue 1/3/2023	vs New Mexico₆₈	L 70.27 - 73.68	W 71-67	6-8	99.75	96.61	▼ 3.14	108.11	96.37	▲ 11.74	▲ 8.60
Sat 1/7/2023	@ Colorado State₁₀₅	L 63.73 - 68.31	L 57-79	6-9	100.92	95.34	▼ 5.58	103.54	119.31	▼ 15.77	▼ 21.35
Tue 1/10/2023	@ San Jose State₁₀₃	L 59.92 - 64.39	L 64-74	6-10	101.30	104.81	▲ 3.51	103.58	117.35	▼ 13.77	▼ 10.26
Sat 1/14/2023	vs Air Force₁₃₇	W 63.68 - 60.41	L 48-51	6-11	101.84	80.76	▼ 21.08	99.89	89.93	▲ 9.96	▼ 11.12
Sat 1/21/2023	vs UNLV₉₀	L 65.88 - 66.64	W 76-63	7-11	96.26	122.59	▲ 26.33	101.06	103.62	▼ 2.56	▲ 23.77
Tue 1/24/2023	@ Boise State₄₈	L 58.67 - 68.89	L 53-63	7-12	93.34	76.24	▼ 17.10	104.67	90.42	▲ 14.25	▼ 2.85
Sat 1/28/2023	vs Utah State₃₀	L 65.18 - 71.71	L 53-70	7-13	96.78	81.26	▼ 15.52	109.35	115.56	▼ 6.21	▼ 21.73
Tue 1/31/2023	@ Wyoming₁₅₅	L 64.27 - 65.04	L 62-85	7-14	102.74	98.78	▼ 3.96	99.71	123.80	▼ 24.09	▼ 28.05
Fri 2/3/2023	@ UNLV₉₀	L 63.09 - 69.39	W 82-79	8-14	96.26	124.39	▲ 28.13	101.06	117.69	▼ 16.63	▲ 11.50
Tue 2/7/2023	vs San Jose State₁₀₃	W 62.45 - 61.94	W 70-62	9-14	101.30	112.75	▲ 11.45	103.58	97.24	▲ 6.34	▲ 17.79
Fri 2/10/2023	@ Nevada₅₈	L 59.69 - 69.16	L 66-77	9-15	94.75	103.54	▲ 8.79	103.96	112.92	▼ 8.96	▼ 0.17
Wed 2/15/2023	vs San Diego State₁₃	L 57.95 - 67.06	L 43-45	9-16	88.77	68.49	▼ 20.28	106.80	75.77	▲ 31.03	▲ 10.75
Sat 2/18/2023	vs Colorado State₁₀₅	W 66.42 - 65.63	L 57-60	9-17	100.92	84.36	▼ 16.56	103.54	92.91	▲ 10.63	▼ 5.93
Tue 2/21/2023	@ Air Force₁₃₇	L 61.12 - 62.94	W 74-69	10-17	101.84	117.63	▲ 15.79	99.89	105.81	▼ 5.92	▲ 9.87
Fri 2/24/2023	vs Nevada₅₈	L 62.38 - 66.38	L 56-60	10-18	94.75	86.89	▼ 7.86	103.96	97.24	▲ 6.72	▼ 1.14
Tue 2/28/2023	@ New Mexico₆₈	L 67.39 - 76.55	L 80-94	10-19	99.75	113.77	▲ 14.02	108.11	136.23	▼ 28.12	▼ 14.10
Sat 3/4/2023	vs Chicago State₃₁₅	W 71.77 - 58.29	W 108-72	11-19	109.91	159.66	▲ 49.75	93.41	99.41	▼ 6.00	▲ 43.75
Wed 3/8/2023	vs Colorado State₁₀₅ *	L 65.07 - 66.97	L 65-67	11-20	100.92	100.00	▼ 0.92	103.54	101.52	▲ 2.02	▲ 1.10
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

Fresno State does better vs. clubs that find ways to get to the free throw line. When playing squads that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 27.31, Fresno State performs above average 67% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 33% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox