Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 Fresno State 23-9 (0.719) | Mountain West

All-Play Percentage: 0.753 (88^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.483 (190^th)	Record Quality: 0.218 (68^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 69.01 (67^th)
Pace: 69.64 (107^th)	Momentum: -1.76 (246^th)	Off. Momentum: 1.05 (133^rd)	Def. Momentum: -2.81 (301^st)
Consistency: -8.87 (89^th)	Res. Consistency: -10.60 (79^th)	Away From Home: 1.73 (12^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.85 (162^nd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

106.16

26.17

71.19

82.23

44.50

38.15

37.58

16.09

39.06

27.99

57.06

12.18

14.21

6.13

46.39

19.56

34.04

2.12

RANK:

111^th

174^th

235^th

143^rd

24^th

36^th

309^th

54^th

254^th

242^nd

124^th

138^th

151^st

12^th

310^th

240^th

322^nd

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

97.89

25.69

81.59

42.62

32.84

31.78

20.74

36.99

28.01

59.50

12.38

13.31

6.54

40.25

25.42

34.33

2.06

RANK:

71^st

162^nd

93^rd

101^st

214^th

36^th

180^th

220^th

82^nd

155^th

243^rd

148^th

239^th

246^th

205^th

100^th

103^rd

ANALYSIS:
While this site doesn't quite consider them to be in the national title hunt, Fresno State has the potential to be a formidable opponent for many in Division I. Ranked 88th overall (out of 353) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 23-9. They are also ranked by this site as the #3 team (out of 11) in the MWC (average ranking 168.5).

Fresno State will mainly try to find success through their defense. They are ranked 71st in defensive efficiency and allow fewer than 98 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Fresno State has done a very good job to prevent opponents from draining threes this year. They rank 36th in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 31.8% of their attempts from afar.

Fresno State plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 111th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 106 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Fresno State lives and dies by the three-ball and will launch from long-distance early and often. The team ranks 12th in ratio of three-point attempts to total field goal attempts. If you do allow them to shoot from long, they have the ability to punish you for it, too. Ranked in the top-50 in three-point shooting percentage, they make approximately 37.6% of their three-point attempts vs. AO. Fresno State also does fairly solid work converting shots between the three-point stripe and the low post. The squad is ranked 54th nationally in mid-range field goal percentage, making about 39.1% of their attempts from those locations vs. AO.

When playing on the road, Fresno State has played their best basketball this season. The team is currently ranked 12th in the country in the away-from-home metric our site tracks.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Tue 11/6/2018	vs Alaska-Anchorage	---	W 91-63	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Thu 11/15/2018	@ TCU₃₇	L 66.59 - 76.00	L 69-77	1-1	97.79	94.28	▼ 3.51	105.81	102.98	▲ 2.83	▼ 0.68
Thu 11/22/2018	vs Northwestern₇₀ *	L 66.13 - 67.58	W 78-59	2-1	97.01	105.80	▲ 8.79	99.26	83.82	▲ 15.44	▲ 24.23
Fri 11/23/2018	vs Miami₆₈ *	L 70.04 - 71.46	L 76-78	2-2	103.13	102.70	▼ 0.43	104.35	105.41	▼ 1.06	▼ 1.49
Sun 11/25/2018	vs Hawaii₁₉₇ *	W 73.80 - 65.76	W 79-64	3-2	108.08	118.58	▲ 10.50	96.36	93.65	▲ 2.71	▲ 13.21
Wed 11/28/2018	vs Pacific₂₁₇	W 74.08 - 61.51	W 81-78 (OT)	4-2	107.43	90.04	▼ 17.39	93.16	95.03	▼ 1.87	▼ 19.26
Sat 12/1/2018	vs Cal Poly₃₃₂	W 81.10 - 59.05	W 76-67	5-2	116.34	114.43	▼ 1.91	89.13	107.18	▼ 18.05	▼ 19.96
Wed 12/5/2018	vs Weber State₂₁₂	W 80.40 - 67.12	W 71-52	6-2	107.07	93.22	▼ 13.85	94.53	68.21	▲ 26.32	▲ 12.47
Sat 12/8/2018	vs Long Beach St.₂₂₄	W 81.31 - 67.54	W 92-71	7-2	108.29	121.38	▲ 13.09	94.51	90.73	▲ 3.78	▲ 16.87
Wed 12/19/2018	vs California₂₃₆	W 78.69 - 64.70	W 95-73	8-2	114.11	117.65	▲ 3.54	97.85	94.80	▲ 3.05	▲ 6.59
Sat 12/22/2018	vs UT Martin₃₁₂	W 85.01 - 65.62	W 93-53	9-2	119.63	128.99	▲ 9.36	95.71	76.57	▲ 19.14	▲ 28.50
Sat 12/29/2018	vs Utah Valley₁₀₄	W 75.80 - 70.92	L 60-64	9-3	107.19	84.46	▼ 22.73	104.50	93.60	▲ 10.90	▼ 11.83
Wed 1/2/2019	@ San Jose State₃₄₃	W 81.87 - 61.99	W 73-53	10-3	118.60	117.01	▼ 1.59	85.17	80.84	▲ 4.33	▲ 2.74
Sat 1/5/2019	vs Colorado State₁₇₄	W 78.21 - 67.90	W 78-67	11-3	111.45	108.14	▼ 3.31	101.24	93.04	▲ 8.20	▲ 4.89
Wed 1/9/2019	@ Utah State₄₆	L 67.77 - 76.13	W 78-77	12-3	99.56	118.91	▲ 19.35	105.24	109.10	▼ 3.86	▲ 15.49
Sat 1/12/2019	vs Nevada₃₂	L 71.49 - 74.63	L 64-74	12-4	98.93	94.47	▼ 4.46	107.04	112.94	▼ 5.90	▼ 10.36
Sat 1/19/2019	@ Boise State₁₀₉	L 69.78 - 71.41	W 63-53	13-4	105.97	105.77	▼ 0.20	103.02	82.99	▲ 20.03	▲ 19.83
Tue 1/22/2019	vs San Diego State₁₃₂	W 72.26 - 66.05	W 66-62	14-4	103.85	93.16	▼ 10.69	99.22	93.34	▲ 5.88	▼ 4.81
Sat 1/26/2019	@ Colorado State₁₇₄	W 74.82 - 71.25	L 65-74	14-5	111.45	92.77	▼ 18.68	101.24	100.28	▲ 0.96	▼ 17.72
Wed 1/30/2019	@ Wyoming₃₀₁	W 75.76 - 63.74	W 75-62	15-5	110.49	125.45	▲ 14.96	88.41	100.84	▼ 12.43	▲ 2.53
Sat 2/2/2019	vs New Mexico₂₀₁	W 82.59 - 69.81	W 82-70	16-5	110.00	102.63	▼ 7.37	97.09	90.00	▲ 7.09	▼ 0.28
Tue 2/5/2019	vs Utah State₄₆	L 71.20 - 72.55	L 81-82	16-6	99.56	124.07	▲ 24.51	105.24	128.65	▼ 23.41	▲ 1.10
Sat 2/9/2019	@ UNLV₁₈₃	W 74.16 - 70.12	W 83-65	17-6	110.62	131.53	▲ 20.91	98.58	100.78	▼ 2.20	▲ 18.71
Wed 2/13/2019	vs Boise State₁₀₉	W 73.11 - 68.03	W 65-63	18-6	105.97	99.07	▼ 6.90	103.02	97.95	▲ 5.07	▼ 1.83
Sat 2/16/2019	@ New Mexico₂₀₁	W 78.97 - 73.44	W 81-73	19-6	110.00	125.34	▲ 15.34	97.09	101.48	▼ 4.39	▲ 10.95
Wed 2/20/2019	vs Air Force₂₄₅	W 77.47 - 62.79	L 61-64	19-7	109.53	81.35	▼ 28.18	93.51	89.57	▲ 3.94	▼ 24.24
Sat 2/23/2019	@ Nevada₃₂	L 68.02 - 78.11	L 68-74	19-8	98.93	101.05	▲ 2.12	107.04	104.36	▲ 2.68	▲ 4.80
Wed 2/27/2019	vs Wyoming₃₀₁	W 79.23 - 60.28	W 71-60	20-8	110.49	108.44	▼ 2.05	88.41	89.45	▼ 1.04	▼ 3.09
Wed 3/6/2019	@ San Diego State₁₃₂	L 68.90 - 69.45	W 76-74	21-8	103.85	105.20	▲ 1.35	99.22	96.17	▲ 3.05	▲ 4.40
Sat 3/9/2019	vs San Jose State₃₄₃	W 85.36 - 58.63	W 121-81	22-8	118.60	147.50	▲ 28.90	85.17	111.59	▼ 26.42	▲ 2.48
Thu 3/14/2019	vs Air Force₂₄₅ *	W 75.76 - 64.45	W 76-50	23-8	109.53	121.43	▲ 11.90	93.51	73.73	▲ 19.78	▲ 31.68
Fri 3/15/2019	vs Utah State₄₆ *	L 69.48 - 74.34	L 60-85	23-9	99.56	81.48	▼ 18.08	105.24	135.85	▼ 30.61	▼ 48.69
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Fresno State performs worse against squads that are typically efficient on offense. When facing teams that have an offensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 106.10, Fresno State is more efficient than normal 30% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 67% of the time.
	When playing teams that shoot the ball well from the field, Fresno State usually performs worse than average. Fresno State is more efficient than normal 33% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 45.00%. In all other contests, Fresno State performs better than average 68% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	March Madness bracket projection and today’s games to watch (3/16/2019 12:28:00 PM) Fortunately for borderline teams, Utah State (27-6) was already a credible at-large possibility. The Aggies clubbed Fresno State, 85-60, to reach the final; if they win again, no one is getting bumped from the field. Buffalo vs. Bowling Green (Mid-American ...
	Air Force basketball has long pointed toward next year, and now next year has begun (3/15/2019 10:06:00 PM) It was at that point late Thursday in a blowout 76-50 loss to Fresno State in the Mountain West Tournament quarterfinals that Air Force coach Dave Pilipovich pulled his starters from the game and ...
	Dogs splash Falcons (3/15/2019 8:40:00 PM) A week after dropping in 23 shots from outside the arc against SJSU, Fresno State continued that pace against Air Force. What made this game different was where the shots were coming from. Instead of the usual suspects of Deshon Taylor and Braxton Huggins ...
	Fresno State men's basketball beats San Jose State 121-81 (3/10/2019 11:28:00 AM) FRESNO, Calif. -- It was a special Senior Night for the Fresno State men's basketball team who defeated the San Jose State Spartans 121-81 Saturday night. The Bulldogs (22-8, 13-5) broke records ...
	Nevada hoping to end losing streak to San Diego State (3/7/2019 10:04:00 PM) Caroline averages 17.7 points and a team-leading 9.6 rebounds but he scored just eight points in the recent loss to San Diego State. The Aztecs have won nine of their past 12 games but will be trying to bounce back from a brutal 76-74 home loss to Fresno ...

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox