Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 Fort Wayne 24-10 (0.706) | Summit League

All-Play Percentage: 0.603 (140^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.522 (151^st)	Record Quality: 0.182 (91^st)	Avg. Season Rank: 155.39 (155^th)
Pace: 71.89 (62^nd)	Momentum: -0.60 (191^st)	Off. Momentum: 0.37 (177^th)	Def. Momentum: -0.97 (208^th)
Consistency: -7.95 (57^th)	Res. Consistency: -8.45 (15^th)	Away From Home: -0.81 (256^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.22 (202^nd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

106.40

26.98

72.38

82.01

44.48

35.47

39.23

17.27

33.50

29.27

57.32

10.28

14.07

6.70

43.25

21.06

35.69

2.08

RANK:

93^rd

229^th

84^th

172^nd

124^th

24^th

16^th

338^th

271^st

143^rd

217^th

206^th

221^st

166^th

23^rd

337^th

146^th

303^rd

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

104.53

25.67

83.22

45.44

29.62

37.84

25.86

36.99

27.74

61.43

10.08

13.97

6.82

35.59

31.07

33.34

2.02

RANK:

214^th

66^th

223^rd

245^th

220^th

313^th

257^th

217^th

135^th

235^th

100^th

107^th

170^th

193^rd

248^th

115^th

126^th

ANALYSIS:
As an average to slightly above-average foe, Fort Wayne should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. They have a record of 24-10 and are ranked 140th overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #3 team (out of nine) in the Summit League (average ranking 164.9).

Fort Wayne has a reasonably potent offensive attack. Occupying the #93 slot in our offensive efficiency rankings, they will score about 106 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Fort Wayne is one of the most accurate teams when shooting from long-distance. They're ranked 16th nationally in three-point field goal percentage and make about 39.2% of their attempts from there vs. AO. And they'll definitely take every opportunity to chuck it from long. About 43.2% of the team's shots vs. AO are three-pointers, the 23rd-highest percentage in the nation.

The defense for Fort Wayne, on the other hand, isn't nearly as efficient as the offense is. The team is ranked 214th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 105 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Fort Wayne does a very lackluster job preventing opponents from draining threes. They rank 313th nationally in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make 37.8% of their attempts from afar.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/13/2015	@ Valparaiso₅₀	L 65.33 - 78.13	L 64-78	0-1	95.99	97.04	▲ 1.05	107.88	105.65	▲ 2.23	▲ 3.28
Mon 11/16/2015	vs Manchester	---	W 85-53	1-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Wed 11/18/2015	@ Austin Peay₂₅₃	W 79.95 - 76.64	W 80-77	2-1	112.04	114.03	▲ 1.99	101.54	104.03	▼ 2.49	▼ 0.50
Sat 11/21/2015	vs SIUE₂₈₇	W 79.87 - 65.67	W 87-67	3-1	110.59	114.99	▲ 4.40	96.49	96.95	▼ 0.46	▲ 3.94
Tue 11/24/2015	@ Miami (OH)₂₄₁	W 70.97 - 68.34	W 57-53	4-1	106.21	87.99	▼ 18.22	97.00	73.89	▲ 23.11	▲ 4.89
Fri 11/27/2015	vs Jacksonville₂₈₉ *	W 83.24 - 72.69	W 71-63	5-1	113.08	95.95	▼ 17.13	98.78	86.30	▲ 12.48	▼ 4.65
Sat 11/28/2015	@ UNCG₂₀₄	W 75.11 - 74.58	W 64-58	6-1	108.39	99.89	▼ 8.50	101.45	83.24	▲ 18.21	▲ 9.71
Sun 11/29/2015	vs Navy₁₉₆ *	W 72.32 - 68.74	L 53-75	6-2	104.78	80.30	▼ 24.48	99.28	107.58	▼ 8.30	▼ 32.78
Thu 12/3/2015	@ Cal Poly₁₇₁	L 76.49 - 78.15	W 75-73	7-2	110.37	111.61	▲ 1.24	107.29	102.88	▲ 4.41	▲ 5.65
Sat 12/5/2015	@ Utah₂₈	L 66.51 - 82.04	L 79-96	7-3	99.43	104.46	▲ 5.03	115.09	128.90	▼ 13.81	▼ 8.78
Wed 12/9/2015	@ Indiana₁₁	L 69.71 - 90.01	L 65-90	7-4	100.02	89.40	▼ 10.62	121.89	111.95	▲ 9.94	▼ 0.68
Sat 12/12/2015	vs Austin Peay₂₅₃	W 84.14 - 72.59	W 85-68	8-4	112.04	110.13	▼ 1.91	101.54	88.63	▲ 12.91	▲ 11.00
Sat 12/19/2015	vs Stetson₂₈₄	W 87.78 - 73.11	W 95-89	9-4	115.88	127.22	▲ 11.34	101.72	123.19	▼ 21.47	▼ 10.13
Tue 12/22/2015	@ W. Michigan₁₉₁	L 75.22 - 75.85	W 89-86 (OT)	10-4	108.46	115.42	▲ 6.96	102.85	111.17	▼ 8.32	▼ 1.36
Wed 12/30/2015	vs Oral Roberts₁₆₃	W 81.41 - 75.34	W 90-84	11-4	109.24	109.58	▲ 0.34	106.87	109.25	▼ 2.38	▼ 2.04
Sat 1/2/2016	vs Purdue University-No	---	W 126-95	12-4	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Wed 1/6/2016	vs South Dakota₂₁₈	W 84.91 - 75.16	W 85-65	13-4	112.20	126.91	▲ 14.71	104.52	83.27	▲ 21.25	▲ 35.96
Sat 1/9/2016	@ Denver₁₈₄	L 68.31 - 69.28	W 65-64	14-4	106.71	106.09	▼ 0.62	102.40	102.00	▲ 0.40	▼ 0.22
Thu 1/14/2016	@ South Dakota St.₇₀	L 72.43 - 83.28	L 76-92	14-5	103.70	114.86	▲ 11.16	112.67	133.45	▼ 20.78	▼ 9.62
Sat 1/16/2016	@ Omaha₁₂₂	L 82.67 - 88.24	W 106-101 (OT)	15-5	108.25	113.76	▲ 5.51	109.13	109.28	▼ 0.15	▲ 5.36
Thu 1/21/2016	vs North Dakota St.₁₅₃	W 72.94 - 68.10	W 79-74	16-5	103.56	103.84	▲ 0.28	101.92	101.58	▲ 0.34	▲ 0.62
Sat 1/23/2016	vs IUPUI₂₀₅	W 79.49 - 70.47	L 82-84	16-6	107.03	104.98	▼ 2.05	100.52	113.44	▼ 12.92	▼ 14.97
Thu 1/28/2016	@ Oral Roberts₁₆₃	L 77.25 - 79.56	W 68-63	17-6	109.24	98.69	▼ 10.55	106.87	85.81	▲ 21.06	▲ 10.51
Sun 1/31/2016	vs W. Illinois₂₂₉	W 80.79 - 70.48	W 88-67	18-6	109.50	118.82	▲ 9.32	100.67	98.57	▲ 2.10	▲ 11.42
Thu 2/4/2016	@ South Dakota₂₁₈	W 80.68 - 79.34	W 95-82	19-6	112.20	129.07	▲ 16.87	104.52	90.83	▲ 13.69	▲ 30.56
Sat 2/6/2016	@ North Dakota St.₁₅₃	L 69.02 - 71.95	L 46-62	19-7	103.56	79.10	▼ 24.46	101.92	100.87	▲ 1.05	▼ 23.41
Sat 2/13/2016	vs Denver₁₈₄	W 72.08 - 65.42	W 88-84	20-7	106.71	139.02	▲ 32.31	102.40	136.25	▼ 33.85	▼ 1.54
Thu 2/18/2016	vs South Dakota St.₇₀	L 76.54 - 79.07	W 91-79	21-7	103.70	122.43	▲ 18.73	112.67	109.86	▲ 2.81	▲ 21.54
Sat 2/20/2016	vs Omaha₁₂₂	W 87.15 - 83.67	W 94-90	22-7	108.25	116.07	▲ 7.82	109.13	115.42	▼ 6.29	▲ 1.53
Thu 2/25/2016	@ W. Illinois₂₂₉	W 76.67 - 74.59	W 87-75	23-7	109.50	122.64	▲ 13.14	100.67	98.49	▲ 2.18	▲ 15.32
Sat 2/27/2016	@ IUPUI₂₀₅	W 75.35 - 74.60	L 77-80	23-8	107.03	111.37	▲ 4.34	100.52	105.19	▼ 4.67	▼ 0.33
Sat 3/5/2016	vs South Dakota₂₁₈ *	W 82.79 - 77.25	W 86-70	24-8	112.20	120.29	▲ 8.09	104.52	95.65	▲ 8.87	▲ 16.96
Mon 3/7/2016	vs North Dakota St.₁₅₃ *	W 70.98 - 70.02	L 68-69	24-9	103.56	102.84	▼ 0.72	101.92	104.35	▼ 2.43	▼ 3.15
Tue 3/15/2016	@ San Diego State₅₃	L 62.46 - 74.62	L 55-79	24-10	94.38	64.74	▼ 29.64	105.48	109.58	▼ 4.10	▼ 33.74
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Fort Wayne does worse vs. clubs that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities. When playing squads that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 10.88, Fort Wayne performs above average 8% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 70% of the time.
	Fort Wayne performs better against squads that aren't terribly skilled defensively. When facing teams that have a defensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 103.81, Fort Wayne is more efficient than normal 75% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 19% of the time.
	When playing teams that allow more chances at the line, Fort Wayne usually performs better than average. Fort Wayne is more efficient than normal 68% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 28.75. In all other contests, Fort Wayne performs better than average 15% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox