Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Wisconsin 27-10 (0.730) | Big Ten

All-Play Percentage: 0.943 (21^st)	Schedule Strength: 0.730 (31^st)	Record Quality: 0.437 (19^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 18.71 (17^th)
Pace: 65.37 (343^rd)	Momentum: 2.04 (79^th)	Off. Momentum: 3.85 (17^th)	Def. Momentum: -1.81 (256^th)
Consistency: -9.91 (294^th)	Res. Consistency: -12.40 (246^th)	Away From Home: -1.58 (302^nd)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.49 (226^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

111.16

29.01

62.58

86.67

46.90

31.98

36.60

21.71

36.98

32.98

63.42

8.19

15.01

6.86

36.89

25.05

38.06

1.99

RANK:

40^th

102^nd

341^st

9^th

56^th

92^nd

106^th

233^rd

151^st

30^th

66^th

314^th

148^th

144^th

157^th

284^th

62^nd

127^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

89.68

21.23

81.49

39.39

27.58

35.45

30.54

33.72

23.37

51.46

9.81

9.59

4.15

33.84

37.48

28.68

2.05

RANK:

10^th

12^th

155^th

24^th

81^st

174^th

343^rd

59^th

23^rd

15^th

96^th

2^nd

6^th

79^th

346^th

24^th

86^th

ANALYSIS:
When listing some of the better squads you will find in NCAA basketball this year, one can definitely make a case for Wisconsin. Their record this season is 27-10, and the club is ranked 21st overall (out of 351) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #3 team (out of 14) in the Big Ten (average ranking 55.9).

Preferring a style of play that will try to grind things to a crawl (the ninth-slowest pace in D1), Wisconsin is one of the most menacing defensive teams in the country. Ranked tenth in defensive efficiency, they will allow fewer than 90 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Wisconsin does a super job to deny opponents offensive rebounds and second chances. They have a rating of 9.59 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked second in the country), and they allow AO to convert just 4.2% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked sixth) as well. Wisconsin is also a superior unit when it comes to preventing opponents from getting to the foul line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 21.23 vs. AO, they are currently rated 12th in the country in that category. Wisconsin lastly does tremendous work shutting down the opposition from the inside. They are ranked 15th in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 51.5% of their attempts from close-up. Because of this, AO takes nowhere near as many inside shots as they typically would -- just 28.7% of AO's field goal attempts will come from short-distance. If Wisconsin does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's unwillingness to take risks in order to score fast points off of the opposition's turnovers. The squad only has a rating of 8.19 in potential points scored off of steals vs. AO, which ranks 38th-worst in the college game.

Wisconsin plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 40th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 111 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Wisconsin is one of the very best when it comes to maximizing field goal opportunities. The team is ranked ninth in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 86.67 vs. AO. And when they do shoot, they make a fair portion of their shots. Ranked in the top-75 in field goal shooting percentage, the squad converts about 46.9% of their total attempts vs. AO. Wisconsin also makes an effort to get off shots from the inside more so than the perimeter. The ball-club is 62nd in the NCAA in ratio of near-proximity attempts to total field goal attempts. If you do allow them to get to the inside, they are undoubtedly capable of making you pay. Presently rated in the top-75 in near-proximity shooting percentage, they make roughly 63.4% of their attempts from short-distance vs. AO. If Wisconsin does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's poor shooting at the line. The squad makes just 62.6% of their free throw attempts, which ranks 11th-worst in Division I.

When playing on the road, Wisconsin performs somewhat worse than they normally do on their home court. The club is nationally ranked 302nd in our site's away-from-home metric.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/11/2016	vs Cent. Arkansas₃₁₀	W 85.90 - 56.41	W 79-47	1-0	122.22	123.27	▲ 1.05	84.69	77.73	▲ 6.96	▲ 8.01
Tue 11/15/2016	@ Creighton₂₉	L 69.16 - 70.11	L 67-79	1-1	103.99	103.73	▼ 0.26	101.13	113.96	▼ 12.83	▼ 13.09
Thu 11/17/2016	vs Chicago State₃₃₄	W 79.37 - 47.85	W 69-51	2-1	119.75	114.15	▼ 5.60	76.07	74.94	▲ 1.13	▼ 4.47
Mon 11/21/2016	vs Tennessee₅₁ *	W 68.50 - 63.06	W 74-62	3-1	103.02	114.52	▲ 11.50	94.97	96.72	▼ 1.75	▲ 9.75
Tue 11/22/2016	vs Georgetown₆₀ *	W 69.06 - 62.43	W 73-57	4-1	104.37	112.70	▲ 8.33	94.36	85.71	▲ 8.65	▲ 16.98
Wed 11/23/2016	vs North Carolina₃ *	L 66.88 - 71.32	L 56-71	4-2	99.15	63.16	▼ 35.99	105.28	103.45	▲ 1.83	▼ 34.16
Sun 11/27/2016	vs PV A&M₃₁₆	W 79.35 - 51.18	W 95-50	5-2	117.74	124.10	▲ 6.36	79.40	79.00	▲ 0.40	▲ 6.76
Tue 11/29/2016	vs Syracuse₄₃	W 70.37 - 63.21	W 77-60	6-2	109.24	120.74	▲ 11.50	101.28	100.58	▲ 0.70	▲ 12.20
Sat 12/3/2016	vs Oklahoma₅₉	W 70.38 - 60.68	W 90-70	7-2	102.90	126.14	▲ 23.24	92.82	106.69	▼ 13.87	▲ 9.37
Wed 12/7/2016	vs Idaho State₃₂₃	W 82.17 - 52.54	W 78-44	8-2	121.63	103.44	▼ 18.19	81.54	56.93	▲ 24.61	▲ 6.42
Sat 12/10/2016	@ Marquette₃₂	W 71.70 - 71.14	W 93-84	9-2	109.35	130.16	▲ 20.81	104.46	109.72	▼ 5.26	▲ 15.55
Wed 12/14/2016	vs Green Bay₂₀₁	W 80.86 - 58.62	W 73-59	10-2	111.66	107.95	▼ 3.71	84.92	72.91	▲ 12.01	▲ 8.30
Fri 12/23/2016	vs Florida A&M₃₄₁	W 83.84 - 49.70	W 90-37	11-2	123.02	114.11	▼ 8.91	76.95	54.30	▲ 22.65	▲ 13.74
Tue 12/27/2016	vs Rutgers₁₂₂	W 68.93 - 53.53	W 72-52	12-2	105.20	107.95	▲ 2.75	85.76	81.53	▲ 4.23	▲ 6.98
Tue 1/3/2017	@ Indiana₄₀	W 68.24 - 67.10	W 75-68	13-2	106.26	130.29	▲ 24.03	100.15	106.41	▼ 6.26	▲ 17.77
Sun 1/8/2017	@ Purdue₁₂	L 64.67 - 69.37	L 55-66	13-3	100.62	85.55	▼ 15.07	103.32	105.98	▼ 2.66	▼ 17.73
Thu 1/12/2017	vs Ohio State₇₂	W 71.99 - 60.77	W 89-66	14-3	107.78	156.48	▲ 48.70	95.30	93.33	▲ 1.97	▲ 50.67
Tue 1/17/2017	vs Michigan₁₈	W 65.32 - 63.21	W 68-64	15-3	105.93	104.03	▼ 1.90	107.04	103.80	▲ 3.24	▲ 1.34
Sat 1/21/2017	@ Minnesota₄₆	W 66.02 - 63.94	W 78-76 (OT)	16-3	100.94	108.56	▲ 7.62	93.57	100.86	▼ 7.29	▲ 0.33
Tue 1/24/2017	vs Penn State₉₆	W 72.64 - 58.47	W 82-55	17-3	105.96	124.57	▲ 18.61	89.53	87.67	▲ 1.86	▲ 20.47
Sat 1/28/2017	vs Rutgers₁₂₂ *	W 67.59 - 54.83	W 61-54 (OT)	18-3	105.20	68.18	▼ 37.02	85.76	68.18	▲ 17.58	▼ 19.44
Tue 1/31/2017	@ Illinois₆₇	W 64.74 - 59.70	W 57-43	19-3	103.54	102.22	▼ 1.32	91.60	71.92	▲ 19.68	▲ 18.36
Sun 2/5/2017	vs Indiana₄₀	W 70.96 - 64.21	W 65-60	20-3	106.26	96.27	▼ 9.99	100.15	91.77	▲ 8.38	▼ 1.61
Thu 2/9/2017	@ Nebraska₁₀₄	W 68.64 - 59.95	W 70-69 (OT)	21-3	107.48	87.51	▼ 19.97	90.46	85.66	▲ 4.80	▼ 15.17
Sun 2/12/2017	vs Northwestern₃₃	W 65.93 - 60.14	L 59-66	21-4	102.19	92.70	▼ 9.49	97.37	110.41	▼ 13.04	▼ 22.53
Thu 2/16/2017	@ Michigan₁₈	L 62.80 - 65.98	L 58-64	21-5	105.93	97.30	▼ 8.63	107.04	102.70	▲ 4.34	▼ 4.29
Sun 2/19/2017	vs Maryland₄₈	W 69.05 - 61.50	W 71-60	22-5	104.89	105.36	▲ 0.47	97.85	93.12	▲ 4.73	▲ 5.20
Thu 2/23/2017	@ Ohio State₇₂	W 69.27 - 63.57	L 73-83	22-6	107.78	100.55	▼ 7.23	95.30	129.45	▼ 34.15	▼ 41.38
Sun 2/26/2017	@ Michigan State₄₁	W 64.56 - 63.39	L 74-84	22-7	101.99	105.16	▲ 3.17	96.25	118.37	▼ 22.12	▼ 18.95
Thu 3/2/2017	vs Iowa₆₂	W 75.51 - 65.37	L 57-59	22-8	108.47	84.15	▼ 24.32	97.98	91.61	▲ 6.37	▼ 17.95
Sun 3/5/2017	vs Minnesota₄₆	W 68.78 - 61.02	W 66-49	23-8	100.94	94.75	▼ 6.19	93.57	77.60	▲ 15.97	▲ 9.78
Fri 3/10/2017	vs Indiana₄₀ *	W 69.60 - 65.66	W 70-60	24-8	106.26	116.67	▲ 10.41	100.15	101.69	▼ 1.54	▲ 8.87
Sat 3/11/2017	vs Northwestern₃₃ *	W 64.62 - 61.56	W 76-48	25-8	102.19	125.49	▲ 23.30	97.37	74.00	▲ 23.37	▲ 46.67
Sun 3/12/2017	vs Michigan₁₈ *	L 64.06 - 64.59	L 56-71	25-9	105.93	96.43	▼ 9.50	107.04	119.64	▼ 12.60	▼ 22.10
Thu 3/16/2017	vs Virginia Tech₅₀ *	W 71.31 - 65.60	W 84-74	26-9	109.63	133.33	▲ 23.70	101.42	119.35	▼ 17.93	▲ 5.77
Sat 3/18/2017	vs Villanova₁ *	L 60.74 - 66.21	W 65-62	27-9	98.82	112.07	▲ 13.25	107.45	103.33	▲ 4.12	▲ 17.37
Fri 3/24/2017	vs Florida₄ *	L 63.53 - 67.67	L 83-84 (OT)	27-10	96.97	109.09	▲ 12.12	103.53	112.50	▼ 8.97	▲ 3.15
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that do a nice job converting inside the paint, Wisconsin usually performs worse than average. Wisconsin is more efficient than normal 31% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 66.44%. In all other contests, Wisconsin performs better than average 75% of the time.
	Wisconsin is typically worse vs. teams that tend to get off more shots. Against foes that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 82.55, Wisconsin performs above their norm 42% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 78% of the time.
	When facing teams that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities, Wisconsin often performs better than normal. Wisconsin is more efficient than usual 83% of the time when facing teams that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 11.89. In their other contests, Wisconsin performs better than the norm 48% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox