Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2021-22 Merrimack 14-16 (0.467) | Northeast

All-Play Percentage: 0.140 (308^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.285 (328^th)	Record Quality: -0.178 (264^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 294.18 (303^rd)
Pace: 64.32 (352^nd)	Momentum: 3.89 (28^th)	Off. Momentum: 3.84 (16^th)	Def. Momentum: 0.04 (143^rd)
Consistency: -11.44 (348^th)	Res. Consistency: -13.50 (278^th)	Away From Home: 1.79 (32^nd)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.09 (196^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 4, 2022. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

90.93

20.60

66.57

81.67

40.39

34.34

32.74

16.04

32.65

31.28

52.76

14.91

11.80

3.52

42.05

19.64

38.31

2.04

RANK:

325^th

310^th

326^th

273^rd

311^th

85^th

230^th

344^th

341^st

77^th

330^th

28^th

250^th

309^th

65^th

344^th

59^th

198^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

104.41

27.33

82.39

45.48

27.93

35.63

24.31

38.46

30.14

60.27

11.69

17.00

7.76

33.90

29.51

36.59

1.97

RANK:

253^rd

310^th

112^th

265^th

47^th

273^rd

237^th

212^th

245^th

227^th

226^th

350^th

356^th

59^th

257^th

263^rd

296^th

ANALYSIS:
If you're looking for a squad in the bottom quartile of all Division I basketball teams this year, Merrimack likely fits the bill. Their record this season is 14-16, and the club is ranked 308th overall (out of 358) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. Of the 10 schools in the NEC (average ranking 281.6), they're currently ranked as our #5 team in the conference.

Offense is not the strong suit when it comes to Merrimack. The team is ranked 325th in offensive efficiency and scores fewer than 91 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Merrimack struggles to drain shots consistently from most spots on the floor, ranking in the bottom-50 in three of the four primary field goal shooting categories. They are worse off shooting inside the three-point stripe, making good on just 32.6% of their mid-range jumpers (341st in the nation), 52.8% of their near-proximity chances (330th), and 40.4% of their total shots from the field (311th) vs. AO. Merrimack is also not one of the better teams when it comes to sinking foul shots. Converting just 66.6% of their attempts, the squad is ranked #326 overall in free throw percentage.

Though they rate better on defense than they do on offense, Merrimack still isn't one of the more capable defensive teams in college hoops. Allowing roughly 104 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #253 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Merrimack is one of the very worst teams in the game when it comes to preventing opponents from scoring off of offensive rebounds. The team allows AO to convert 7.8% of all second-chance opportunities (third from the bottom nationally), and with a rating of 17.00, they're ninth from the bottom in potential points surrendered off of the offensive boards as well. Merrimack also commits too many fouls, which leads to plentiful free throw attempts for the opposition. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 27.33 vs. AO, the squad is ranked #310 in the country in that category. If Merrimack does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their willingness to take risks in order to score fast points off of steals. The team has a solid rating of 14.91 in potential points scored off of steals vs. AO, which ranks 28th-best in college basketball.

Merrimack has been playing better basketball in their most recent outings, as evidenced by the team's #28 ranking in positive momentum. Merrimack has also been one of the most erratic teams in college basketball this year (currently ranked 348th overall in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their future games far more difficult to predict. On the road, Merrimack performs somewhat better than their norm, as the squad is nationally ranked 32nd in our away-from-home metric.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Tue 11/9/2021	vs Emerson	---	W 77-48	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Thu 11/11/2021	@ NJIT₃₄₅	W 61.03 - 59.91	W 61-54	2-0	96.26	90.40	▼ 5.86	89.91	69.12	▲ 20.79	▲ 14.93
Sat 11/13/2021	@ Rutgers₇₃	L 51.30 - 70.89	L 35-48	2-1	83.41	60.30	▼ 23.11	107.41	78.68	▲ 28.73	▲ 5.62
Wed 11/17/2021	@ Army₂₉₁	L 61.93 - 66.46	L 51-74	2-2	95.29	59.04	▼ 36.25	96.35	102.69	▼ 6.34	▼ 42.59
Fri 11/19/2021	vs Lehigh₃₀₀	W 65.33 - 62.78	W 55-45	3-2	96.38	81.94	▼ 14.44	97.09	72.98	▲ 24.11	▲ 9.67
Sun 11/21/2021	@ Virginia Tech₂₄	L 49.65 - 72.75	L 43-72	3-3	83.30	76.67	▼ 6.63	114.73	116.94	▼ 2.21	▼ 8.84
Tue 11/23/2021	vs Hartford₂₈₁	W 65.65 - 64.69	W 75-60	4-3	97.98	111.39	▲ 13.41	102.04	100.63	▲ 1.41	▲ 14.82
Sun 11/28/2021	@ Boston U₂₂₇	L 59.20 - 68.42	L 60-61	4-4	95.95	102.67	▲ 6.72	105.00	100.72	▲ 4.28	▲ 11.00
Sat 12/4/2021	vs UMass Lowell₂₄₇	L 61.57 - 62.64	L 57-61	4-5	90.87	82.40	▼ 8.47	97.44	93.72	▲ 3.72	▼ 4.75
Tue 12/7/2021	vs Brown₂₀₀	L 61.16 - 65.13	L 56-76	4-6	90.22	69.88	▼ 20.34	100.46	123.43	▼ 22.97	▼ 43.31
Thu 12/9/2021	@ Gonzaga₁	L 52.39 - 87.55	L 55-80	4-7	78.26	83.00	▲ 4.74	122.54	115.07	▲ 7.47	▲ 12.21
Sun 12/12/2021	@ Indiana₂₈	L 49.95 - 73.63	L 49-81	4-8	79.73	87.58	▲ 7.85	109.95	126.96	▼ 17.01	▼ 9.16
Tue 12/21/2021	@ Maine₃₅₀	W 63.80 - 61.63	W 49-47	5-8	101.82	83.00	▼ 18.82	92.73	75.66	▲ 17.07	▼ 1.75
Wed 12/29/2021	vs St. Francis (BKN)₃₁₉	W 64.65 - 60.53	W 74-64	6-8	96.83	112.95	▲ 16.12	96.22	104.26	▼ 8.04	▲ 8.08
Fri 12/31/2021	vs Long Island₂₃₄	L 66.32 - 68.25	W 82-77	7-8	92.52	129.05	▲ 36.53	99.52	119.34	▼ 19.82	▲ 16.71
Sat 1/8/2022	@ Cent. Conn. St.₃₅₁	W 60.97 - 58.54	W 66-57	8-8	98.10	113.02	▲ 14.92	89.95	87.33	▲ 2.62	▲ 17.54
Sat 1/15/2022	vs St. Francis (PA)₃₁₃	W 65.54 - 61.73	L 46-62	8-9	96.10	63.48	▼ 32.62	95.62	94.98	▲ 0.64	▼ 31.98
Mon 1/17/2022	vs Mt. St. Mary's₂₅₈	L 59.08 - 59.22	L 50-57	8-10	93.29	82.07	▼ 11.22	98.42	99.28	▼ 0.86	▼ 12.08
Fri 1/21/2022	vs Bryant₂₀₆	L 66.94 - 70.74	L 63-79	8-11	93.74	98.99	▲ 5.25	104.09	133.18	▼ 29.09	▼ 23.84
Sun 1/23/2022	vs Wagner₁₅₄	L 58.64 - 65.14	L 57-71	8-12	88.11	90.66	▲ 2.55	103.28	121.01	▼ 17.73	▼ 15.18
Thu 1/27/2022	@ Bryant₂₀₆	L 63.43 - 74.42	L 67-76	8-13	93.74	96.44	▲ 2.70	104.09	101.55	▲ 2.54	▲ 5.24
Thu 2/3/2022	@ Mt. St. Mary's₂₅₈	L 55.97 - 62.38	L 53-69	8-14	93.29	95.65	▲ 2.36	98.42	112.85	▼ 14.43	▼ 12.07
Sat 2/5/2022	@ St. Francis (PA)₃₁₃	L 62.19 - 65.05	W 65-64 (OT)	9-14	96.10	98.87	▲ 2.77	95.62	93.94	▲ 1.68	▲ 4.45
Thu 2/10/2022	vs Cent. Conn. St.₃₅₁	W 64.20 - 55.30	L 57-60	9-15	98.10	89.26	▼ 8.84	89.95	99.45	▼ 9.50	▼ 18.34
Sat 2/12/2022	@ Wagner₁₅₄	L 55.38 - 68.51	W 80-65 (OT)	10-15	88.11	85.53	▼ 2.58	103.28	81.39	▲ 21.89	▲ 19.31
Tue 2/15/2022	@ Sacred Heart₃₂₄	L 65.94 - 67.89	W 70-63	11-15	103.24	105.61	▲ 2.37	101.57	92.78	▲ 8.79	▲ 11.16
Thu 2/17/2022	vs Fair. Dickinson₃₄₉	W 69.72 - 60.72	W 64-44	12-15	101.10	95.60	▼ 5.50	92.96	69.91	▲ 23.05	▲ 17.55
Sat 2/19/2022	vs Sacred Heart₃₂₄	W 69.26 - 64.45	W 80-79	13-15	103.24	126.36	▲ 23.12	101.57	130.09	▼ 28.52	▼ 5.40
Thu 2/24/2022	@ Long Island₂₃₄	L 62.80 - 71.84	L 74-85	13-16	92.52	107.09	▲ 14.57	99.52	130.66	▼ 31.14	▼ 16.57
Sat 2/26/2022	@ St. Francis (BKN)₃₁₉	L 61.36 - 63.89	W 72-52	14-16	96.83	113.78	▲ 16.95	96.22	82.23	▲ 13.99	▲ 30.94
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Merrimack is typically better vs. teams that aren't terribly skilled defensively. Against foes that have a defensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 105.46, Merrimack performs above their norm 75% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 35% of the time.
	When facing teams that have trouble defending the mid-range shot, Merrimack often performs better than normal. Merrimack is more efficient than usual 75% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 40.49%. In their other contests, Merrimack performs better than the norm 35% of the time.
	Merrimack does better vs. clubs that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds. When playing squads that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 14.31, Merrimack performs above average 75% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 35% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	Red Flash hands Merrimack first conference loss 62-46 (1/15/2022 7:35:47 PM) NORTH ANDOVER, Mass. (AP) — Marlon Hargis scored 15 points and Saint Francis (Pennsylvania) defeated Merrimack 62-46 on Saturday, handing the Warriors...
	Minor leads Merrimack past Maine 49-47 (12/21/2021 8:52:41 PM) BANGOR, Maine (AP) — Jordan Minor recorded 13 points and 10 rebounds to lift Merrimack to a 49-47 win over Maine on Tuesday.
	Minor, Merrimack visit Indiana (12/10/2021 12:32:55 PM) Merrimack (4-7) vs. Indiana (7-2)
	Timme scores 22 as No. 5 Gonzaga beats Merrimack 80-55 (12/9/2021 11:09:47 PM) SPOKANE, Wash. (AP) — Drew Timme scored 22 points, making all eight of his shots, and No. 5 Gonzaga beat cold-shooting Merrimack 80-55 on Thursday nig...
	Minor, Merrimack visit No. 5 Gonzaga (12/7/2021 11:17:44 PM) SPOKANE, Wash. - Merrimack (4-6) vs. No. 5 Gonzaga (7-2)

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox