Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 Youngstown St. 11-21 (0.344) | Horizon

All-Play Percentage: 0.289 (250^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.507 (157^th)	Record Quality: -0.236 (296^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 233.50 (234^th)
Pace: 67.82 (55^th)	Momentum: -1.08 (231^st)	Off. Momentum: -0.25 (235^th)	Def. Momentum: -0.83 (179^th)
Consistency: -7.29 (13^th)	Res. Consistency: -9.98 (63^rd)	Away From Home: 2.83 (7^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: 0.53 (63^rd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

101.29

26.81

70.16

83.94

43.41

27.49

34.96

31.97

37.99

24.47

59.97

11.26

16.13

7.32

32.75

38.09

29.16

2.04

RANK:

145^th

253^rd

148^th

85^th

146^th

206^th

142^nd

18^th

65^th

320^th

127^th

172^nd

127^th

103^rd

223^rd

21^st

329^th

253^rd

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

109.72

30.22

82.27

47.00

29.07

37.90

28.37

40.15

24.83

65.50

11.92

17.31

8.15

35.34

34.48

30.18

2.05

RANK:

327^th

223^rd

182^nd

319^th

230^th

319^th

290^th

332^nd

44^th

335^th

214^th

305^th

291^st

230^th

296^th

39^th

62^nd

ANALYSIS:
Youngstown St. has a squad that most likely falls somewhere in the bottom half of NCAA Division I teams this year. They have a record of 11-21 and are ranked 250th overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. Of the nine schools in the Horizon League (average ranking 173.2), they're currently ranked as our #8 team in the conference.

If there is a strength for Youngstown St. this year, it's probably on the offensive end of the court. The team is rated 145th in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 101 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Youngstown St. loves taking the mid-range two, far more so than most other teams. The club is ranked 21st in ratio of mid-range attempts to total field goal attempts. If you do allow them to take that in-between shot, they can certainly make it, too. Currently rated in the top-75 in mid-range shooting percentage, they make roughly 38.0% of their attempts from that distance vs. AO.

Unfortunately, Youngstown St. is not even remotely close to being as good on defense as they are on offense. The team is ranked 327th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 110 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Youngstown St. can be counted on to make some of the inferior shooting teams look pretty capable. The team ranks in the bottom-50 in each of the four major defensive field goal shooting categories. They allow AO to make 37.9% of their three-pointers (33rd-worst in the nation), 40.2% of their mid-range jumpers (20th-worst), 65.5% of their near-proximity chances (17th-worst), and 47.0% of their total shots from the field (33rd-worst). Youngstown St. also can be weak on rebounding, giving the opposition too many chances to score off of the offensive glass. The club has a rating of 17.31 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (305th nationally).

Youngstown St. is one of the most consistent teams in NCAA basketball (currently ranked 13th in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their upcoming games far easier to predict. When playing on the road, Youngstown St. has played their best basketball this season. The team is currently ranked seventh in the country in the away-from-home metric our site tracks.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Sat 11/15/2014	vs Kent State₁₂₉	L 67.43 - 70.94	L 61-69	0-1	100.74	85.43	▼ 15.31	111.36	102.97	▲ 8.39	▼ 6.92
Sun 11/16/2014	vs Oberlin	---	W 71-53	1-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Tue 11/18/2014	@ Cent. Michigan₈₆	L 68.46 - 82.87	L 63-75	1-2	104.87	88.28	▼ 16.59	120.39	99.73	▲ 20.66	▲ 4.07
Fri 11/21/2014	@ E. Michigan₁₄₄	L 64.89 - 75.41	L 62-71	1-3	96.79	98.36	▲ 1.57	106.02	107.97	▼ 1.95	▼ 0.38
Sat 11/22/2014	vs Longwood₃₁₇ *	W 75.69 - 70.20	W 82-72	2-3	108.47	112.50	▲ 4.03	100.68	100.00	▲ 0.68	▲ 4.71
Sun 11/23/2014	vs UNCG₂₈₀ *	W 73.55 - 71.58	W 76-67	3-3	106.28	108.57	▲ 2.29	102.91	95.71	▲ 7.20	▲ 9.49
Wed 11/26/2014	vs UMKC₂₈₉	W 73.43 - 67.19	W 66-63	4-3	105.74	92.22	▼ 13.52	102.53	92.82	▲ 9.71	▼ 3.81
Sat 11/29/2014	@ Illinois State₆₉	L 63.16 - 79.33	L 73-85 (OT)	4-4	95.60	97.17	▲ 1.57	113.28	91.23	▲ 22.05	▲ 23.62
Tue 12/2/2014	@ Robert Morris₂₂₇	L 70.06 - 75.38	W 89-81	5-4	104.63	130.11	▲ 25.48	106.44	112.74	▼ 6.30	▲ 19.18
Fri 12/5/2014	@ South Dakota₂₁₁	L 69.98 - 76.22	W 87-79	6-4	104.48	126.16	▲ 21.68	107.82	111.52	▼ 3.70	▲ 17.98
Sun 12/7/2014	vs Thiel	---	W 70-45	7-4	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 12/13/2014	@ Texas A&M₅₃	L 61.14 - 79.28	L 63-81	7-5	94.38	104.64	▲ 10.26	114.97	126.54	▼ 11.57	▼ 1.31
Wed 12/17/2014	vs Kennesaw State₃₄₅	W 79.49 - 64.22	L 84-90	7-6	111.60	117.03	▲ 5.43	95.48	126.58	▼ 31.10	▼ 25.67
Fri 12/19/2014	vs Wilberforce	---	W 92-71	8-6	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Wed 12/31/2014	vs N. Kentucky₂₃₄	W 72.69 - 69.77	W 78-74	9-6	106.78	111.73	▲ 4.95	107.61	113.42	▼ 5.81	▼ 0.86
Fri 1/2/2015	@ UIC₂₈₈	L 71.12 - 72.93	L 71-77	9-7	107.96	100.15	▼ 7.81	104.61	108.62	▼ 4.01	▼ 11.82
Sun 1/4/2015	@ Valparaiso₆₃	L 60.61 - 77.40	L 64-79	9-8	94.60	101.43	▲ 6.83	113.78	118.57	▼ 4.79	▲ 2.04
Thu 1/8/2015	vs Wright State₂₂₁	W 70.34 - 68.06	L 61-70	9-9	102.69	81.77	▼ 20.92	104.90	118.23	▼ 13.33	▼ 34.25
Sun 1/11/2015	@ Green Bay₇₃	L 61.77 - 77.80	L 67-82	9-10	92.88	90.11	▼ 2.77	110.00	108.46	▲ 1.54	▼ 1.23
Wed 1/14/2015	@ Milwaukee₂₀₉	L 68.45 - 74.79	L 62-77	9-11	103.71	98.05	▼ 5.66	106.62	116.70	▼ 10.08	▼ 15.74
Sat 1/17/2015	vs Cleveland State₁₀₈	L 66.87 - 71.79	L 61-74	9-12	100.21	96.61	▼ 3.60	113.40	122.63	▼ 9.23	▼ 12.83
Tue 1/20/2015	vs Valparaiso₆₃	L 64.44 - 73.57	L 62-77	9-13	94.60	91.86	▼ 2.74	113.78	125.00	▼ 11.22	▼ 13.96
Sat 1/24/2015	vs UIC₂₈₈	W 75.06 - 68.91	W 77-64	10-13	107.96	105.98	▼ 1.98	104.61	92.52	▲ 12.09	▲ 10.11
Thu 1/29/2015	@ Detroit Mercy₁₈₃	L 69.47 - 77.17	L 87-93 (OT)	10-14	101.93	98.97	▼ 2.96	106.69	91.77	▲ 14.92	▲ 11.96
Sun 2/1/2015	vs Oakland₁₆₄	L 77.25 - 78.31	L 80-96	10-15	107.67	107.48	▼ 0.19	114.42	140.28	▼ 25.86	▼ 26.05
Wed 2/4/2015	@ Cleveland State₁₀₈	L 63.10 - 75.56	L 60-73	10-16	100.21	92.64	▼ 7.57	113.40	107.28	▲ 6.12	▼ 1.45
Wed 2/11/2015	vs Green Bay₇₃	L 65.74 - 73.93	L 62-63	10-17	92.88	98.67	▲ 5.79	110.00	106.25	▲ 3.75	▲ 9.54
Sun 2/15/2015	@ Wright State₂₂₁	L 66.47 - 71.92	W 74-69	11-17	102.69	122.33	▲ 19.64	104.90	104.84	▲ 0.06	▲ 19.70
Sat 2/21/2015	vs Detroit Mercy₁₈₃	W 73.53 - 73.12	L 70-83	11-18	101.93	100.06	▼ 1.87	106.69	125.70	▼ 19.01	▼ 20.88
Wed 2/25/2015	@ Oakland₁₆₄	L 73.20 - 82.34	L 71-82	11-19	107.67	100.23	▼ 7.44	114.42	109.36	▲ 5.06	▼ 2.38
Sat 2/28/2015	vs Milwaukee₂₀₉	W 72.39 - 70.71	L 74-82	11-20	103.71	98.40	▼ 5.31	106.62	112.30	▼ 5.68	▼ 10.99
Tue 3/3/2015	@ Detroit Mercy₁₈₃	L 69.47 - 77.17	L 67-77	11-21	101.93	99.99	▼ 1.94	106.69	108.62	▼ 1.93	▼ 3.87
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Youngstown St. performs worse against squads that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities. When facing teams that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 81.05, Youngstown St. is more efficient than normal 22% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 70% of the time.
	When playing teams that prefer the outside shot, Youngstown St. usually performs worse than average. Youngstown St. is more efficient than normal 22% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.04. In all other contests, Youngstown St. performs better than average 70% of the time.
	Youngstown St. is typically worse vs. teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities. Against foes that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 11.19, Youngstown St. performs above their norm 39% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 82% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox