Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Winthrop 26-7 (0.788) | Big South

All-Play Percentage: 0.677 (114^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.344 (320^th)	Record Quality: 0.179 (80^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 126.54 (126^th)
Pace: 72.87 (45^th)	Momentum: 1.64 (93^rd)	Off. Momentum: 1.10 (152^nd)	Def. Momentum: 0.54 (90^th)
Consistency: -7.25 (18^th)	Res. Consistency: -7.65 (4^th)	Away From Home: 2.01 (12^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.71 (250^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

102.42

27.61

70.32

80.51

43.71

33.87

37.23

24.99

39.23

21.66

59.02

10.89

12.23

6.06

42.06

31.03

26.90

2.15

RANK:

151^st

165^th

179^th

239^th

179^th

47^th

77^th

123^rd

56^th

344^th

182^nd

160^th

294^th

233^rd

42^nd

114^th

342^nd

339^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

99.52

27.91

82.38

42.34

28.88

33.07

26.50

35.93

27.00

58.55

10.89

15.83

6.61

35.06

32.17

32.77

2.02

RANK:

113^th

179^th

211^th

85^th

155^th

61^st

286^th

127^th

117^th

133^rd

186^th

264^th

161^st

132^nd

282^nd

111^th

158^th

ANALYSIS:
They may not cause sleepless nights for opponents, but Winthrop, as a slightly above-average team, cannot be totally ignored. They are ranked #114 (out of 351) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 26-7. Of the 10 schools in the Big South (average ranking 252.1), they're currently ranked as the best team in the conference.

If there is a strength for Winthrop this year, it's probably on the defensive end of the court. The team is rated 113th in defensive efficiency, allowing fewer than 100 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Winthrop owns a pretty good track record against teams that shoot the three. They rank 61st in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 33.1% of their attempts from afar.

Winthrop plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 151st nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 102 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Winthrop will make a concerted effort to fire off quite a few three-pointers each game. The team ranks 42nd in ratio of three-point attempts to total field goal attempts. If you do allow them to shoot from long, they have the ability to punish you for it, too. Ranked in the top-100 in three-point shooting percentage, they make approximately 37.2% of their three-point attempts vs. AO. Winthrop also does fairly solid work converting shots between the three-point stripe and the low post. The squad is ranked 56th nationally in mid-range field goal percentage, making about 39.2% of their attempts from those locations vs. AO.

Winthrop is one of the most consistent teams in NCAA basketball (currently ranked 18th in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their upcoming games far easier to predict. When playing on the road, Winthrop has played their best basketball this season. The team is currently ranked 12th in the country in the away-from-home metric our site tracks.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Sat 11/12/2016	vs Ferrum	---	W 66-47	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Tue 11/15/2016	@ Manhattan₂₉₂	W 77.68 - 68.26	W 94-81	2-0	106.36	117.60	▲ 11.24	89.79	97.78	▼ 7.99	▲ 3.25
Fri 11/18/2016	@ Florida State₂₄	L 68.21 - 85.68	L 86-100	2-1	92.62	99.55	▲ 6.93	111.58	120.45	▼ 8.87	▼ 1.94
Mon 11/21/2016	@ Illinois₆₇	L 65.67 - 73.93	W 84-80 (OT)	3-1	94.40	91.96	▼ 2.44	101.57	88.69	▲ 12.88	▲ 10.44
Sun 11/27/2016	vs UNH₁₈₆	W 74.35 - 66.66	L 60-65	3-2	103.79	84.74	▼ 19.05	97.05	95.07	▲ 1.98	▼ 17.07
Wed 11/30/2016	vs Furman₁₀₃	W 72.21 - 70.31	W 58-57 (OT)	4-2	99.48	72.78	▼ 26.70	101.00	76.06	▲ 24.94	▼ 1.76
Sat 12/3/2016	@ Dayton₄₂	L 66.44 - 79.00	L 67-83	4-3	92.70	83.79	▼ 8.91	105.22	103.05	▲ 2.17	▼ 6.74
Tue 12/6/2016	vs Greensboro	---	W 106-63	5-3	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 12/17/2016	@ Hampton₃₁₄	W 76.40 - 65.15	W 86-79	6-3	106.86	118.43	▲ 11.57	87.14	103.12	▼ 15.98	▼ 4.41
Tue 12/20/2016	vs Ga Southern₁₉₂	W 79.10 - 70.98	W 86-84	7-3	105.13	106.65	▲ 1.52	98.25	107.22	▼ 8.97	▼ 7.45
Thu 12/22/2016	@ Saint Louis₂₇₇	W 70.92 - 63.44	W 66-55	8-3	104.19	96.33	▼ 7.86	89.67	75.73	▲ 13.94	▲ 6.08
Thu 12/29/2016	@ Charleston So.₃₀₂	W 81.03 - 70.70	W 84-68	9-3	112.90	110.32	▼ 2.58	94.74	82.92	▲ 11.82	▲ 9.24
Sat 12/31/2016	vs Radford₃₀₇	W 75.92 - 59.86	L 80-82	9-4	106.27	103.05	▼ 3.22	88.05	110.11	▼ 22.06	▼ 25.28
Wed 1/4/2017	@ High Point₂₈₃	W 75.78 - 67.68	W 80-74	10-4	108.37	116.50	▲ 8.13	92.85	102.01	▼ 9.16	▼ 1.03
Sat 1/7/2017	vs Longwood₃₄₈	W 89.86 - 62.44	W 83-65	11-4	117.97	124.90	▲ 6.93	86.04	88.18	▼ 2.14	▲ 4.79
Wed 1/11/2017	vs Presbyterian₃₅₀	W 81.63 - 55.34	W 75-52	12-4	115.75	117.78	▲ 2.03	82.73	79.57	▲ 3.16	▲ 5.19
Sat 1/14/2017	@ Campbell₂₇₉	W 74.92 - 67.21	W 72-63	13-4	107.84	111.45	▲ 3.61	93.14	91.63	▲ 1.51	▲ 5.12
Thu 1/19/2017	vs UNC Asheville₁₂₉	W 76.38 - 71.94	W 76-73	14-4	102.82	97.78	▼ 5.04	101.31	100.86	▲ 0.45	▼ 4.59
Sat 1/21/2017	@ Liberty₂₀₉	W 68.52 - 65.30	W 61-48	15-4	102.07	102.22	▲ 0.15	93.17	71.12	▲ 22.05	▲ 22.20
Thu 1/26/2017	@ Gardner-Webb₂₀₀	W 75.59 - 72.79	W 72-70	16-4	102.42	102.22	▼ 0.20	94.25	91.12	▲ 3.13	▲ 2.93
Sat 1/28/2017	vs High Point₂₈₃	W 78.88 - 64.49	L 80-83 (OT)	16-5	108.37	100.52	▼ 7.85	92.85	106.38	▼ 13.53	▼ 21.38
Wed 2/1/2017	@ Radford₃₀₇	W 72.88 - 62.79	W 81-65	17-5	106.27	109.16	▲ 2.89	88.05	86.52	▲ 1.53	▲ 4.42
Sat 2/4/2017	vs Campbell₂₇₉	W 78.00 - 64.07	W 76-62	18-5	107.84	115.24	▲ 7.40	93.14	95.76	▼ 2.62	▲ 4.78
Thu 2/9/2017	@ UNC Asheville₁₂₉	L 73.22 - 75.03	L 101-104 (2OT)	18-6	102.82	115.98	▲ 13.16	101.31	115.29	▼ 13.98	▼ 0.82
Sat 2/11/2017	vs Gardner-Webb₂₀₀	W 78.85 - 69.69	W 77-71	19-6	102.42	96.50	▼ 5.92	94.25	93.24	▲ 1.01	▼ 4.91
Wed 2/15/2017	@ Longwood₃₄₈	W 86.60 - 65.74	W 83-63	20-6	117.97	114.72	▼ 3.25	86.04	75.56	▲ 10.48	▲ 7.23
Sat 2/18/2017	vs Liberty₂₀₉	W 71.50 - 62.25	W 84-67	21-6	102.07	122.78	▲ 20.71	93.17	95.87	▼ 2.70	▲ 18.01
Thu 2/23/2017	vs Charleston So.₃₀₂	W 84.21 - 67.61	W 86-72	22-6	112.90	122.42	▲ 9.52	94.74	105.11	▼ 10.37	▼ 0.85
Sat 2/25/2017	@ Presbyterian₃₅₀	W 78.61 - 58.28	W 93-56	23-6	115.75	148.88	▲ 33.13	82.73	71.12	▲ 11.61	▲ 44.74
Thu 3/2/2017	vs Charleston So.₃₀₂	W 84.21 - 67.61	W 92-78	24-6	112.90	112.26	▼ 0.64	94.74	96.95	▼ 2.21	▼ 2.85
Fri 3/3/2017	vs Gardner-Webb₂₀₀	W 78.85 - 69.69	W 80-77 (OT)	25-6	102.42	93.56	▼ 8.86	94.25	97.99	▼ 3.74	▼ 12.60
Sun 3/5/2017	vs Campbell₂₇₉	W 78.00 - 64.07	W 76-59	26-6	107.84	119.10	▲ 11.26	93.14	90.74	▲ 2.40	▲ 13.66
Thu 3/16/2017	vs Butler₂₅ *	L 66.86 - 79.68	L 64-76	26-7	95.31	83.58	▼ 11.73	113.26	105.88	▲ 7.38	▼ 4.35
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Winthrop performs worse against squads that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities. When facing teams that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 10.56, Winthrop is more efficient than normal 8% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 74% of the time.
	When playing teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities, Winthrop usually performs better than average. Winthrop is more efficient than normal 90% of the time when facing clubs that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 12.15. In all other contests, Winthrop performs better than average 29% of the time.
	Winthrop is typically worse vs. teams that tend to get off more shots. Against foes that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 79.50, Winthrop performs above their norm 19% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 80% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox